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Home
Stocks
SBA Communications Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall38
Weak — below market medianFalling StarF 7/9DistressBetter than 38% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
34
20.0x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
28
5.4%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
81
9.4%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
24
11.2x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
60
2.56%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
37
-16.6%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
74
10▲3Top tier
SBAC

SBAC SBA Communications Corporation

SBA Communications Corporation · NASDAQ
Market Closed
185.47
▲ ⁦+2.23%⁩ (+4.05)
Market Cap$19.2B
Beta0.98
52w Low52w High
162.41224.46
Last Week
⁦-0.51%⁩
Last Month
⁦+0.78%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-8.71%⁩
Last Year
⁦-10.89%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$185
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$213
⁦+15%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$205–$238⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-8.85
⁦-105%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.7⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$-8.85–$213⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$217.67
⁦+17.4%⁩
Current Price $185.47·Median $212.50
Low
$205.00
High
$238.00
Current price
$185.47
Average target
$217.67
Street summary

SBAC Price Target Revision Analysis

SBA Communications stock saw a 2.39% decline in its average price target over the past thirty days, with the consensus falling from $223 to $217.67, remaining completely stable over the last week. Despite this reduction, the current price ($186.96) remains significantly below the analysts' low-end forecast of $205, indicating a valuation gap favoring the upside despite the lowered targets.

As of 2026-08-27
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-2.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.71
Buy
Analyst coverage
21
Buy conviction
52%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
18%
Analyst ratings over time21 analysts rating
4
7
10
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.65 → 3.71
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-24
    UBS
    Market Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-24
    BMO Capital
    Market Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-20
    Barclays
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    19.96x
    5.03x40.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    24.82x
    5.89x47.13x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    23.26x
    3.68x29.40x
    Expensive
  • FCF Yield
    5.3%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    5.4%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    14.1%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    75.2%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    9.4%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    11.19x
    1.55x12.39x
    Above average
  • Dividend Yield
    2.6%
    0.6%15.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    51.0%
    31.2%370.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    0.13
    -0.883.10
    Below average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-03 data

Company Overview

SBA Communications Corporation operates communications tower infrastructure and generates revenue by leasing tower sites, adding new tenants, and modifying existing customer equipment. Operating growth is tied to telecommunications companies' spending on expanding 5G coverage, deploying C-band spectrum, installing massive MIMO antennas, and increasing network density, while long-term lease agreements and rent escalators linked to price indices support international cash flows. In Q2 fiscal 2026, the company added approximately $9 million in billings from new leases and amendments in the United States and approximately $4 million internationally.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, the company reported revenue of $715.3 million, gross profit of $539.3 million, net income of $198.8 million, and earnings per share of $1.87. This equates to a gross profit margin of approximately 75.4% and a net income margin of approximately 27.8%, while AFFO per share was $3.05 and the company-wide tower cash flow margin reached just under 80%. Compared with Q1 fiscal 2026, revenue increased from $703.4 million, net income from $184.8 million, and earnings per share from $1.74.

The business mix was supported by continued international demand and growth in tower construction, while the U.S. market remained relatively weaker and customer activity did not rise above first-half fiscal 2026 levels. SBA Communications built 99 new towers during Q2 fiscal 2026, compared with 75 towers in the previous quarter, and is targeting the construction of approximately 600 sites during fiscal 2026, with most concentrated in Central America and a meaningful number in Tanzania. International growth helped offset domestic pressures, despite international churn remaining elevated due to telecommunications company mergers, bankruptcies, and network restructurings.

What's Driving the Stock

  • SBA Communications modestly raised its fiscal 2026 outlook for site leasing revenue, AFFO, and AFFO per share, driven by higher straight-line revenue and improved net cash interest expense, while management emphasized that most of the change was minor and did not represent a significant shift in its previous operating outlook.
  • The program to build approximately 600 towers during fiscal 2026 gives the company a tangible path for international growth; the number of towers built increased to 99 in Q2 fiscal 2026 from 75 in the previous quarter, and management expects the number to increase gradually during the remainder of the fiscal year.
  • The company intends to resume share repurchases in the second half of fiscal 2026 after fully repaying the outstanding balance on its revolving credit facility, with approximately $1.1 billion remaining under the repurchase authorization, according to the call. It also paid a dividend of $1.25 per share during the quarter and declared an equivalent dividend payable on September 17, 2026, an increase of approximately 13% from the comparable period of the previous year.
  • In July 2026, the company issued $3.5 billion of unsecured investment-grade notes, with an average cash coupon of 5.11% and an average maturity of five years, and used the proceeds to repay the Term Loan B and the outstanding balance on its revolving facility. S&P upgraded the company in June 2026 from BBB- to BBB, while secured debt fell below 50% of total debt following the transaction.
  • The release of 160 megahertz of upper C-band spectrum, whose auction is scheduled to begin in April 2027, could support additional demand for tower equipment modifications due to coverage requirements of 45% after two years from the end of the transition period and 80% after six years. However, management explained that the primary impact of these bands is long term and extends beyond five years, and it does not expect a significant impact from them in fiscal 2027.
  • SBA Communications is in discussions with several parties regarding distributed edge computing and believes that approximately half of its U.S. portfolio is suitable for the use cases under discussion. Management expects this opportunity to develop during the twelve months following the August 3, 2026 call, while emphasizing that the sites currently being considered are generally smaller than one-megawatt facilities.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Q2 fiscal 2026 results showed sequential improvement, with revenue rising to $715.3 million, net income to $198.8 million, and earnings per share to $1.87, along with a tower cash flow margin of just under 80%.
  • +Capital allocation combines growth with shareholder returns: the company targets building approximately 600 towers in fiscal 2026, intends to resume share repurchases in its second half, and increased its quarterly dividend year over year by approximately 13% to $1.25 per share.
  • +The financing structure improved after the issuance of $3.5 billion of investment-grade notes and the full repayment of the Term Loan B and revolving facility; the company now has approximately $570 million in cash and a $2.5 billion unsecured revolving facility.
  • +The upgrade of networks in international markets from 4G to 5G provides an extended runway for growth, as management said that the average Latin American and African markets lag the United States by at least five years and perhaps longer, alongside expanding tower construction in Central America and Tanzania.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is "Buy," with an average price target of $217.67 and a target range of $205 to $238. The average target is approximately 3% below the 52-week range high of $224.46, while the highest target exceeds that high by approximately 6%, suggesting that the bullish case requires additional growth from new towers, spectrum, and repurchases to materialize. Conversely, these targets should be weighed against debt of approximately $13 billion, leverage of 6.4 times, and an expected slowdown in the contribution from U.S. leasing during the second half of fiscal 2026.

BuyAnalyst target: $217.67(+17.4%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

How did SBA Communications perform in Q2 fiscal 2026?

Revenue was $715.3 million, gross profit was $539.3 million, and net income was $198.8 million in Q2 fiscal 2026. Earnings per share reached $1.87, while AFFO per share was $3.05. The company also maintained a tower cash flow margin of just under 80% and modestly raised its full-year outlook for site leasing revenue, AFFO, and AFFO per share.

Why is the plan to build 600 towers important for SBAC stock?

SBA Communications expects to build approximately 600 new sites during fiscal 2026, with most concentrated in Central America and a meaningful number in Tanzania. The company built 99 towers in Q2 fiscal 2026, up from 75 towers in the previous quarter. Management believes the risk-adjusted returns on these towers exceed the cost of capital in many cases from day one, but noted that U.S. construction opportunities are less attractive because competitors accept lower returns.

When does SBA Communications intend to resume share repurchases?

Management said during the August 3, 2026 call that it intends to resume share repurchases during the second half of fiscal 2026. The decision followed the issuance of $3.5 billion of notes and the repayment of the Term Loan B and the full outstanding balance on the revolving credit facility. The call stated that approximately $1.1 billion remained under the authorization, with management confirming that it expects actual repurchase activity without specifying a binding pace.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Total debt was approximately $13 billion at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, and net debt reached 6.4 times adjusted EBITDA; refinancing older debt in a higher interest-rate environment also means that some new debt is more expensive than the instruments it replaces, including the assumption that the $1.2 billion ABS maturity in November 2026 will be refinanced at 5.25%.
  • −International churn remained elevated due to telecommunications company mergers, bankruptcies, restructurings, and network rationalization, and management did not commit to a specific date for its return to a normal level. Agreements to stabilize long-term cash flows may also include rent reductions that result in lost contractual revenue.
  • −SBA Communications is involved in a federal court dispute with EchoStar regarding its contractual rights, while EchoStar maintains that bankruptcy law permits an 85% reduction in claims. The company left its fiscal 2026 assumptions regarding Sprint and EchoStar churn unchanged, but the outcome of the dispute and the timing of claim recoveries remain sources of uncertainty.
  • −U.S. customer activity volumes in the second half of fiscal 2026 did not rise above first-half levels, and management explained that the contribution from new U.S. leasing would be lower in the second half at the midpoint of its guidance range. Spending reviews and a focus on cost controls among some major customers also affected domestic spending levels.
  • −Direct-to-device satellite services could compete with some edge sites; the company estimates that U.S. sites potentially exposed to this risk account for no more than approximately 2% to 3% of the portfolio, while management acknowledged that the impact remains unresolved. Meanwhile, opportunities to generate revenue from the terrestrial components of these networks remain at an early stage, with no specific financial figures available.
  • −The average analyst price target is $217.67, only approximately 3% below the 52-week range high of $224.46, limiting the margin of safety if U.S. leasing slows or international churn remains elevated. The wide range of targets from $205 to $238 also reflects differing assessments of the impact of spectrum and edge computing opportunities relative to debt and customer risks.
  • What are the main risks associated with SBA Communications' debt?

    The company ended Q2 fiscal 2026 with total debt of approximately $13 billion and leverage of 6.4 times net debt to adjusted EBITDA, within its target range of 6 to 7 times. In July 2026, it issued $3.5 billion of unsecured notes with an average coupon of 5.11%, but acknowledged that the interest-rate environment is higher than when some of the maturing debt was issued. It also assumes that the $1.2 billion ABS maturity in November 2026 will be refinanced at 5.25%.

    Do satellites and edge computing represent an opportunity or a threat to SBAC?

    Management estimates that U.S. edge sites potentially affected by direct-to-device satellite solutions account for no more than approximately 2% to 3% of the portfolio, but said the ultimate impact remains unresolved. Conversely, the company has held discussions with several satellite providers and believes that competing networks will require terrestrial components that could use its infrastructure. In edge computing, management believes that approximately half of the U.S. portfolio is suitable for the use cases under discussion and expects the opportunity to develop during the twelve months following the August 3, 2026 call.