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Stocks
Banco Santander, S.A.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall80
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 5/9Better than 80% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
71
12.2x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
51
17.7%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
80
——Top tier
▸
Safety
10
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
47
2.20%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
94
50.5%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
82
10▲3Top tier
SAN

SAN Banco Santander, S.A.

Banco Santander, S.A. · NYSE
Market Closed
14.96
▲ ⁦+2.26%⁩ (+0.33)
Market Cap$219.6B
Beta0.93
52w Low52w High
9.6215.05
Last Week
⁦+1.42%⁩
Last Month
⁦+1.70%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+25.50%⁩
Last Year
⁦+52.65%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$15
Analyst target · 9 analysts
$3.00
⁦-80%⁩
See it clearly overvalued
Range ⁦$3.00–$3.00⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 9 analysts setting price target
$3.00
⁦-79.9%⁩
Current Price $14.96·Median $3.00
Low
$3.00
High
$3.00
Street summary

Santander's Targets Hold Steady with Limited Variation in Estimates

Price targets remained unchanged over one day, one week, and 30 days; consensus, high, low, and median all stayed at 3, while the number of analysts remained at 9. Compared with the current price of 14.68, the data show no recent bullish or bearish repricing in analyst targets.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.67
Buy
Analyst coverage
3
Buy conviction
33%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time3 analysts rating
1
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.00 → 3.67
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-02
    Santander
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-27
    Santander
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-28
    Santander
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    12.18x
    3.16x25.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    17.7%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    20.7%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    2.2%
    0.6%9.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    27.5%
    9.8%97.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-22 data

Company Overview

Banco Santander, S.A. is an international banking group that earns income from net interest income and fees across five global businesses: Retail Banking, Openbank, Corporate & Investment Banking CIB, Wealth Management, and Payments. The group serves 182 million customers, an increase of more than 12 million year-on-year in Q2 FY 2026, including 4 million customers added through the TSB acquisition, which closed on April 30, 2026; it also benefits from its presence across Europe and the Americas and from cross-selling CIB, insurance, and payments products to its banking customer base.

Banco Santander recorded a record quarterly profit of €3.8 billion in Q2 FY 2026, and underlying profit rose 14% year-on-year in H1 FY 2026. Revenue grew 6% in constant euros, driven by a 6% increase in net interest income and a 7% increase in fees, while costs fell 1%, the efficiency ratio improved to 42.8%, and net operating income rose 11%. The call did not disclose an absolute quarterly revenue figure, while older EDGAR data showed revenue of $74.2 billion and net income of $8.2 billion in FY 2017.

The growth mix was broad in H1 FY 2026: CIB revenue rose 16%, Retail Banking fees 6%, Openbank fees 6%, and Payments fees 8%, with payment volumes growing 10%. Retail Banking profit rose 12%, CIB 17%, and Wealth Management 19%, while Ebury revenue grew 17%, its EBITDA margin improved to 33%, and its profit quadrupled. The CET1 ratio was approximately 14% after absorbing the 55-basis-point impact of TSB, while underlying return on tangible equity rose to 15.6% and underlying earnings per share increased 20%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Quarterly earnings exceeding market expectations and accelerated capital returns drove SAN shares up 5.16% in the July 30, 2026 session; the bank also received ECB approval for a new share buyback program of up to €1.8 billion against FY 2026 results, bringing total buybacks, including the ongoing program and subject to the necessary corporate approvals, to approximately €9 billion.
  • Santander Holdings USA completed the acquisition of Webster Financial on August 20, 2026, following Federal Reserve approval announced on August 4, 2026. Webster adds a U.S. banking franchise that generated a 17% return on tangible equity excluding transaction costs, and the group aims to use its deposits and commercial business to expand banking and CIB in the United States.
  • ONE Transformation supports operating leverage: revenue rose 6% and costs fell 1% year-on-year in H1 FY 2026, while efficiency improved by three percentage points. In Retail Banking and Openbank, which represent 75% of the cost base, revenue rose 4% and costs fell 3% even after including TSB.
  • The TSB acquisition adds four million customers and increased Santander's U.K. customer base to 27 million, including 16 million active customers. The group is targeting a return on tangible equity of approximately 16% for the U.K. business by 2028, supported by at least €400 million in integration savings.
  • Digital growth and payments platforms are expanding; Openbank Pay serves more than 2.6 million customers, while Getnet processed approximately 15 billion transactions during the twelve months ended Q2 FY 2026 and launched the first use of agentic payments in Latin America. Ebury's revenue growth reached approximately 17%, with a 33% EBITDA margin and a result above 50% under the Rule of 40 metric.
  • Management reaffirmed guidance for more than €14.1 billion in net profit in FY 2026 excluding mergers and acquisitions and said performance in H1 FY 2026 was slightly ahead of plan. It also expects cost of risk to remain near 1.15% in FY 2026 and improve to a 1%–1.1% range during 2027 and 2028 due to changes in the portfolio mix following TSB and Webster.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case5 pts

  • +The bank delivered a strong combination of revenue growth and cost reduction in H1 FY 2026; revenue rose 6%, costs fell 1%, and net operating income increased 11%, supporting sustained profitability improvement if execution of ONE Transformation continues.
  • +Diversification across Europe and the Americas and among Retail Banking, CIB, Wealth Management, and Payments reduces reliance on a single driver; in H1 FY 2026, Retail Banking profit grew 12%, CIB 17%, and Wealth Management 19%, alongside 7% growth in group fees.
  • +The capital base provides room to execute transactions and return capital; CET1 was approximately 14% after absorbing 55 basis points of impact from TSB, and the bank generated 27 basis points of net organic capital in Q2 FY 2026. The ECB also approved a buyback of up to €1.8 billion against FY 2026 results.
  • +Integrating TSB and Webster could improve funding and profitability in two core markets; TSB supports a target return of approximately 16% in the U.K. by 2028 with savings of at least €400 million, while Webster generated a 17% return on tangible equity excluding transaction costs.
  • +Growth in the customer base to 182 million and a 3% increase in fees per active customer show that expansion does not depend solely on the number of accounts. The 7% increase in fees, compared with 6% growth in net interest income, supports management's goal of making revenue more diversified and dependent on recurring activity.

Valuation

The analyst consensus is rated “Buy,” but the average price target, highest target, and lowest target are identical at $3, meaning there is no actual range of estimates. This target is below the low end of the 52-week range of $9.31 and far from its high of $15, while the price-to-earnings ratio is unavailable; therefore, the available figures provide a conflicting valuation signal that does not allow a reliable premium or discount to be derived from consensus alone.

BuyAnalyst target: $3(-79.9%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove Banco Santander's Q2 FY 2026 results?

Quarterly profit reached a record €3.8 billion, while underlying profit rose 14% year-on-year in H1 FY 2026. Revenue grew 6% in constant euros, supported by a 6% increase in net interest income and a 7% increase in fees. At the same time, costs fell 1% and the efficiency ratio improved to 42.8%, lifting net operating income by 11%.

How do the TSB and Webster acquisitions affect SAN shares?

The TSB acquisition closed on April 30, 2026, and the bank included two months of its results in Q2 FY 2026, adding four million customers to the group. Santander is targeting savings of at least €400 million and a return on tangible equity of approximately 16% for the U.K. business by 2028, but it recorded €250 million in non-recurring TSB items and expects an additional €250 million. The acquisition of Webster Financial was completed on August 20, 2026, adding a U.S. franchise that generated a 17% return on tangible equity excluding transaction costs, in exchange for a capital impact estimated by management at approximately 150 basis points.

Can Banco Santander achieve its FY 2026 earnings guidance?

Management maintained guidance for more than €14.1 billion in net profit in FY 2026 excluding mergers and acquisitions. This followed a 14% increase in underlying profit in H1 FY 2026, with performance described as slightly ahead of plan. Management also expects pre-tax profit to improve in H2 compared with H1 FY 2026 and an effective tax rate near the lower end of the 27%–28% range.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Cost of risk rose to 1.15% in H1 FY 2026, above the original plan range of 1%–1.1%, due to portfolio deterioration in Argentina and certain single names in CIB. The bank stopped lending in Argentina, but continued pressure there or weakening labor markets could prevent the targeted improvement.
  • −Brazil faces pressure from interest rates remaining higher for longer; deposit costs increased 87 basis points year-on-year, and cost of risk reached approximately 4.14%, with expectations that it will not exceed 4.2% in FY 2026. Management also noted pressure among corporates and small and medium-sized enterprises, making the path from a 15% return on tangible equity to 20% by 2028 partly dependent on gradual rate cuts and execution of the operational transformation.
  • −The U.K. business faces intense competition in mortgages and deposits and pressure on margins. This coincides with TSB integration costs, with €250 million in non-recurring items recorded through Q2 FY 2026 and management expecting an additional €250 million in subsequent quarters.
  • −Openbank Europe recorded a total impact of €245 million related to auto financing in H1 FY 2026, most of it in Q1 FY 2026. Business earnings were also affected by the expiration of U.S. electric vehicle tax incentives, illustrating the sensitivity of the mobility financing business to policy and credit quality.
  • −Acquisitions put pressure on capital and funding; TSB reduced the CET1 ratio by 55 basis points, and management estimated Webster's impact at approximately 150 basis points. The group also issued funding in preparation for approximately €10 billion of TLAC and MREL requirements related to Webster and expects an additional negative regulatory impact of 15–20 basis points in H2 FY 2026.
  • −Valuation data reflect an important contradiction for investors: the analyst consensus is rated “Buy,” but the consolidated target of $3 is below the low end of the 52-week range of $9.31, and no price-to-earnings ratio is available for comparison. This divergence between the rating and the numerical target limits the usefulness of the consensus as an independent valuation anchor.
What are Santander's main credit risks in FY 2026?

Cost of risk was 1.15% in Q2 FY 2026, compared with an initial plan range of 1%–1.1%. The main pressures came from Argentina and certain single names in CIB, while cost of risk excluding Argentina improved by two basis points to 1.07%. In Brazil, cost of risk was approximately 4.14%, and management expects it to remain at a maximum of approximately 4.2% during FY 2026.

How does ONE Transformation support Banco Santander's profitability?

The initiative reduced the number of products in the catalog from approximately 10 thousand to around 4 thousand over three and a half years through Q2 FY 2026, while continuing simplification, automation, and the removal of legacy systems. In Retail Banking and Openbank, which represent 75% of the cost base, revenue rose 4% and costs fell 3%. At the group level, efficiency improved by three percentage points, while headcount fell by more than two thousand employees between December 2025 and June 2026 despite the inclusion of TSB.

What does the capital return policy mean for SAN shareholders?

Banco Santander received ECB approval for a new share buyback program of up to €1.8 billion against FY 2026 results, with the relevant corporate approvals still required. After including the ongoing program, management expects total buybacks to reach approximately €9 billion, close to the commitment to distribute at least €10 billion for FY 2025 and FY 2026. This coincided with 20% growth in underlying earnings per share and a 19% increase in tangible net asset value plus cash distribution per share in H1 FY 2026.