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Science Applications International Corporation
SAIC

SAIC Science Applications International Corporation

Science Applications International Corporation · NASDAQ
Market Closed
129.90
▲ ⁦+0.89%⁩ (+1.14)
Market Cap$5.4B
Beta0.29
52w Low52w High
81.08142.66
Last Week
⁦+2.14%⁩
Last Month
⁦+3.54%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+25.27%⁩
Last Year
⁦+8.63%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall87
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 6/9Grey zoneBetter than 87% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
83
15.2x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
22
-0.8%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
71
12.0%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
56
3.5x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
61
1.13%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
89
6.6%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
76
7▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$130
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$113
⁦-13%⁩
See it slightly overvalued
Range ⁦$95–$154⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$185
⁦+42%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$113–$185⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$118.75
⁦-8.6%⁩
Current Price $129.90·Median $113.00
Low
$95.00
High
$154.00
Current price
$129.90
Average target
$118.75
Street summary

Limited Consensus Increase Amid a Decline in the Number of Analysts

The consensus price target rose to 118.75 from 111.75 over 30 days, an increase of 7 dollars or 6.26%, while remaining unchanged over the last day. Over 7 days, the consensus rose by 1.75 dollars or 1.5%, but the number of analysts fell from 3 to 2, making the improvement less robust in terms of coverage breadth. There is also a clear disparity between the high target of 154 and the low of 95, with a median of 113, while the current price of 126.2 is above both the consensus and the median.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+6.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.09
Hold
Analyst coverage
11
Buy conviction
18%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
45%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time11 analysts rating
2
8
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.09 → 3.09
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    Goldman Sachs
    Sell
  • = Reiterate2026-09-01
    UBS
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-31
    TD Cowen
    Hold
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    15.16x
    6.87x54.92x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    12.57x
    5.19x41.53x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    10.78x
    4.52x36.15x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    11.4%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -0.8%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    3.5%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    12.6%
    12.9%79.5%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    12.0%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.52x
    0.26x3.22x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    1.1%
    0.0%3.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    17.4%
    4.4%96.7%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.96
    -10.9113.66
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-31 data

Company Overview

Science Applications International Corporation provides advanced engineering and technology services to government agencies in the defense, intelligence, and civilian markets, combining software, hardware, and specialized expertise to execute national security missions. Its activities mentioned in the fiscal Q2 2027 call include systems integration for the Army, border security programs, intelligence space engineering, artificial intelligence applications, and quantum solutions, while revenue comes from executing existing contracts, winning new contracts, and recompeting for current programs.

In fiscal Q2 2027, ended July 31, 2026, SAIC recorded revenue of $1.9 billion, with reported growth of 6.3% and organic growth of approximately 5.3%. Gross profit was $239 million, equivalent to a calculated gross margin of approximately 12.6%, net income was $102 million, and EDGAR EPS was $2.38, while adjusted EPS was $3.01, exceeding the analyst estimate of $2.25. The company also recorded adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $193 million and an adjusted margin of 10.3%, with growth split between a 5% increase in defense and intelligence and 9% in civilian operations, despite a 20% year-over-year decline in net income.

What's Driving the Stock

  • SAIC raised its fiscal 2027 revenue guidance by 2% to a midpoint of $7.25 billion, and also raised the midpoint of its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance by 4% and its EPS guidance, following organic growth of approximately 5% in fiscal Q2 2027.
  • Growth within existing contracts reached 9% in fiscal Q2 2027, compared with a previous assumption of between 2% and 3% for the remaining period when the prior quarter was announced. Management assumes approximately 5% growth within contracts in the second half of fiscal 2027, while a group of programs the company won in fiscal 2025 and 2026 generated approximately $240 million in the first half, as part of an annual plan of $500 million.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The company booked $1.6 billion in intelligence space engineering contracts during the first half of fiscal 2027, a level management said was clearly ahead of previous trends. The recompete win rate also exceeded 90% in fiscal Q2 2027, and the company won a recompete for hardware and software integration for the Army and a significant border security program after the quarter closed.
  • Project Orbit targets annual run-rate savings of approximately $150 million by the end of a three-year implementation period; the company expects to reinvest approximately $100 million, or roughly two-thirds, in growth and increased contract capacity and competitiveness. Management sees a path from a margin in the mid-10% range in fiscal 2028 to approximately 11% in fiscal 2030 as the program's impact is fully realized.
  • Free cash flow was $131 million in fiscal Q2 2027, with fiscal 2027 guidance remaining at at least $600 million, or $14 per share. Net leverage declined to 3.0 times as adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization improved, giving the company additional flexibility to reduce debt or reshape the portfolio.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Organic growth of approximately 5.3% in fiscal Q2 2027, with 5% growth in defense and intelligence and 9% in civilian operations, shows that revenue expansion did not depend on a single market within SAIC's portfolio.
    • +The recompete win rate, which exceeded 90%, together with a targeted win rate of at least 30% for new business, could improve the growth base if the company maintains execution and converts its opportunity pipeline into bookings and revenue.
    • +Adjusted EPS of $3.01 exceeded the analyst estimate of $2.25, and the company raised its revenue, adjusted earnings, and EPS guidance for fiscal 2027, reflecting stronger operating performance than its previous assumptions.
    • +Project Orbit provides tangible internal leverage for margin expansion through targeted annual savings of $150 million, with a portion directed toward investment in automation, procurement, hiring, and mission execution using agentic artificial intelligence tools.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −SAIC expects organic performance ranging from a 2% contraction to flat growth in fiscal 2027 at a revenue midpoint of $7.25 billion, as the expiration of the RITS contract imposes approximately 350 basis points of pressure on second-half growth; therefore, Q2 growth does not mean the same pace will continue throughout the year.
    • −Net income declined 20% year over year in fiscal Q2 2027, while adjusted EPS fell to $3.01 from $3.63 in the comparable period. The company attributed part of the comparison to a favorable legal settlement in the prior period, but the decline remains a clear weakness in reported earnings growth.
    • −Management expects the adjusted margin to decline from 11% in the first half of fiscal 2027 to the high-9% range in the second half due to planned investments and an assumption of performance closer to 10% across the business groups. The achievement of an approximately 11% margin target is also deferred until fiscal 2030 and depends partly on the multi-year execution of Project Orbit.
    • −The book-to-bill ratio was 0.6 times in fiscal Q2 2027 and 0.8 times for the twelve months ended that quarter, amid delays in requests for proposals and awards and the movement of major opportunities into later periods. The company expects to end fiscal 2027 near only 1.0 times and does not assume a material improvement in the contracting environment during the remainder of the year.
    • −The gradual shift toward fixed-price contracts increases execution and cost risks, despite the opportunity to improve margins; these contracts currently represent approximately 15% to 18% of sales, while their share approaches one-third of the opportunity pipeline. Management acknowledges that the impact will be long term and that the benefit depends on selecting the right programs and executing them efficiently.
    • −The neutral analyst consensus and the absence of an available P/E ratio in the data reflect the difficulty of establishing a unified valuation for the stock, while the target range extends from $95 to $154. This wide divergence makes the valuation sensitive to the success of Orbit, improved bookings, and the company's ability to overcome the contraction in the second half of fiscal 2027.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $117, compared with a wide range of $95 to $154 and a neutral consensus, while the average is below the 52-week range high of $142.66 and above its low of $81.08. No P/E ratio is available in the data, so the valuation rests on SAIC's ability to offset pressure from the RITS contract, convert delayed bookings into revenue, and achieve the margin trajectory from the mid-10% range in fiscal 2028 to approximately 11% in fiscal 2030.

    HoldAnalyst target: $117(-9.9%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What were SAIC's key results in fiscal Q2 2027?

    SAIC recorded revenue of $1.9 billion in fiscal Q2 2027, ended July 31, 2026, with reported growth of 6.3% and organic growth of approximately 5.3%. Gross profit was $239 million and net income was $102 million, while EDGAR EPS was $2.38. Adjusted EPS was $3.01, exceeding the analyst estimate of $2.25, but net income declined 20% year over year.

    What is supporting SAIC's revenue growth in fiscal 2027?

    Growth came from improved spending on existing contracts, with growth within contracts reaching 9% in fiscal Q2 2027. Programs won by SAIC in fiscal 2025 and 2026 generated approximately $240 million in the first half, and the company expects them to reach $500 million during fiscal 2027. Defense and intelligence revenue also grew 5% and civilian operations grew 9%, while the company booked $1.6 billion in intelligence space engineering awards during the first half.

    Why does SAIC expect weakness in the second half of fiscal 2027?

    The expiration of the RITS contract imposes approximately 350 basis points of pressure on revenue growth in the second half of fiscal 2027. Accordingly, the guidance midpoint of $7.25 billion includes annual organic performance ranging from a 2% contraction to flat growth, despite the strength of Q2. Management also expects margins to decline to the high-9% range due to targeted investments in areas of increasing demand and strategic importance.

    What is Project Orbit's expected impact on SAIC's earnings?

    SAIC is targeting annual run-rate savings of approximately $150 million by the end of Project Orbit's three-year implementation period. The company plans to reinvest approximately $100 million of those savings in new initiatives, increased capacity on current contracts, and improved competitiveness, while the remainder supports margin expansion. Management is targeting a margin in the mid-10% range in fiscal 2028 and a path to approximately 11% in fiscal 2030.

    Is SAIC experiencing weakness in bookings and new contracts?

    The book-to-bill ratio was 0.6 times in fiscal Q2 2027 and 0.8 times for the twelve months ended that quarter. The company attributed this to delays in requests for proposals and awards and said the ratio would have approached 1.0 times if not for the delay of a major recompete contract that was booked two days after the quarter closed. In contrast, the recompete win rate exceeded 90%, and the company is targeting a win rate of at least 30% in new business.

    How do analysts view SAIC's stock valuation?

    The analyst consensus on SAIC is neutral, and the average price target is $117. The target range extends from $95 to $154, revealing significant differences in estimates of the impact of contract growth, Project Orbit, and pressure from the RITS contract. The average target is below the 52-week range high of $142.66, and no P/E ratio is available in the data to provide an additional valuation anchor.