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Stocks
Saia, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall74
Strong — clearly above market medianSucker StockF 6/9SafeBetter than 74% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
34
33.9x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
59
4.8%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
47
9.7%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
91
0.3x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
81
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
39
20.0%▲2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
80
12▲3Top tier
SAIA

SAIA Saia, Inc.

Saia, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
351.05
▲ ⁦+1.46%⁩ (+5.05)
Market Cap$9.2B
Beta2.14
52w Low52w High
249.32494.71
Last Week
⁦+5.73%⁩
Last Month
⁦-1.66%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-24.42%⁩
Last Year
⁦+20.03%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$351
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$475
⁦+35%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$285–$504⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$93
⁦-73%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦13.3⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$93–$475⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$455.90
⁦+29.9%⁩
Current Price $351.05·Median $475.00
Low
$285.00
High
$504.00
Current price
$351.05
Average target
$455.90
Street summary

Stable Targets with Clear Divergence Among Analysts

The average price target remained unchanged at 455.9 over the last day, 7 days, and 30 days, while the number of analysts also remained at 7. Compared with the current price of 346, the average target reflects a calculated upside of approximately 31.8%, but the estimate range is wide, between 285 and 504, indicating a notable divergence in outlook; the low target is below the current price, while the high target is significantly above it.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.71
Buy
Analyst coverage
21
Buy conviction
62%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
62%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time21 analysts rating
3
10
7
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.42 → 3.71
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    Citigroup
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-09-04
    Bank of America Securities
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-04
    Citigroup
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    33.85x
    5.69x45.54x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    27.18x
    4.57x36.58x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.21x
    3.43x27.47x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    2.7%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.8%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -4.3%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    16.1%
    8.6%54.6%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    9.7%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.29x
    0.55x4.37x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    7.85
    -5.667.97
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Saia, Inc. operates in less-than-truckload LTL freight transportation through a nationwide network of 118 facilities, generating revenue from transporting shipments priced according to distance, weight, and business mix, along with fuel surcharges linked to base prices. Since 2022, it has invested approximately $1 billion in real estate, added 33 terminals, and relocated or expanded more than 25 others, increasing the number of operating doors by approximately 25%. It also invested an additional $1 billion in the fleet, increasing the number of tractors and trailers by 20%.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue according to EDGAR filings reached approximately $956.5 million, up 17.1% year over year, while net income was $94.3 million and diluted earnings per share were $3.51, with earnings per share growth of 31.5%. Operating income reached $125 million, up 26%, while the operating ratio improved to 86.9% from 87.8% in fiscal Q2 2025 and improved sequentially by 480 basis points, compared with a historical seasonal improvement of 250 to 300 basis points.

The growth mix in fiscal Q2 2026 consisted of a 4.4% increase in shipments per workday and an 8.4% increase in tonnage per workday, with shipment weight rising 3.9%. Fuel surcharges represented 22.3% of revenue, compared with 14.6% a year earlier, and revenue per shipment excluding fuel rose 1.5% to $303.12, while the metric including fuel increased 12%. For the trailing 12 months in 2026, EDGAR data shows revenue of $3.4 billion, net income of $278 million, and earnings per share of approximately $10.36.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Saia recorded quarterly revenue of $956.5 million in fiscal Q2 2026, driven by a 4.4% increase in daily shipments and an 8.4% increase in daily tonnage, while daily tonnage growth accelerated from 6.9% in April to 9.9% in June.
  • Pricing strength supports core revenue; contract renewal increases reached 10.7% in June and across fiscal Q2 2026, and the company implemented a 7.1% general rate increase GRI in early July 2026, with initial indications of good customer acceptance.
  • The company launched the Saia REV initiative, which included more than 2,000 transit-time improvements, automation of guaranteed delivery service by 10:00 a.m., dynamic real-time tracking, updated estimated arrival times, and predictive insights into special service needs.
  • Network investments have begun to demonstrate operating leverage; terminals opened in 2023 and 2024 operated at an operating ratio in the low 90s and improved by approximately 300 basis points year over year, while Saia also opened five new terminals in fiscal Q2 2026.
  • Service quality improved despite volume growth and a 1% decline in headcount at the end of the quarter; the company recorded a record-low freight claims ratio of 0.3%, average customer inquiry handling time fell 50% after a year of customer service decentralization, and miles between preventable accidents improved by more than 45%.
  • July 2026 data through the date of the call showed growth of approximately 1% in shipments per workday and 7.5% in tonnage, reflecting continued weight growth but also revealing shipment volatility during the absorption period for the general rate increase.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Fiscal Q2 2026 combines 17.1% revenue growth, 26% operating income growth, and a 90-basis-point year-over-year improvement in the operating ratio, providing initial evidence that returns are beginning to emerge from the approximately $2 billion invested in the network and fleet since 2022.
  • +The nationwide network of 118 facilities and 33 terminals added since 2022 gives the company greater capacity to serve one-day and two-day lanes, while Saia REV enhances service value through more than 2,000 transit-time improvements and better shipment visibility.
  • +Execution quality supports the company’s pricing power; contract renewal increases of 10.7% were accompanied by a record-low freight claims ratio of 0.3%, while revenue per shipment excluding fuel increased by approximately 4% between April and June 2026.
  • +Saia ended fiscal Q2 2026 with liquidity of $84 million and total debt of $100 million after repaying the credit facility balance, providing flexibility to finance network maturation through operating cash flow.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $455.9, within a wide range of $285 to $504, and the stock carries a “Buy” consensus. The average target is below the 52-week range high of $494.71 and substantially above its low of $249.32, reflecting clear divergence in estimates of the pace of margin improvement and network maturation. No price-to-earnings ratio is provided in the data, so the risk assessment is based on the breadth of the target range and the balance between record quarterly growth and pressures from fuel, wages, and purchased transportation.

BuyAnalyst target: $455.9(+29.9%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove SAIA’s revenue growth in fiscal Q2 2026?

Revenue reached $956.5 million, up 17.1% from fiscal Q2 2025. Shipments per workday increased 4.4%, tonnage per workday increased 8.4%, and shipment weight rose 3.9%. Revenue per shipment excluding fuel surcharges increased 1.5% to $303.12, while fuel surcharges represented 22.3% of total revenue.

Did Saia’s profitability improve in fiscal Q2 2026?

Operating income rose 26% to $125 million, and the operating ratio improved to 86.9% from 87.8% a year earlier. Net income reached $94.3 million and diluted earnings per share were $3.51, with earnings per share growth of 31.5%. The sequential operating ratio improvement of 480 basis points also exceeded the historical seasonal range of 250 to 300 basis points.

Why is the Saia REV initiative important for SAIA stock?

Saia REV includes more than 2,000 transit-time improvements across the nationwide network. The initiative adds automation of guaranteed delivery service by 10:00 a.m., along with dynamic real-time tracking, updated estimated arrival times, and predictive insights. Management believes these improvements support contract renewals and the 7.1% general rate increase that took effect in July 2026.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
New terminals remain below the network’s mature performance level; terminals opened in 2023 and 2024 operate at an operating ratio in the low 90s, and management acknowledged that some require more time to build customer density and reach the performance of the best facilities.
  • −Margins face pressure from fuel and purchased transportation; fuel expenses rose 49.6% as the average national diesel price increased 50.3%, while purchased transportation expenses rose 47.3% to 8.9% of revenue, compared with 7.1% a year earlier.
  • −Management guides to a sequential deterioration of approximately 100 basis points in the operating ratio during fiscal Q3 2026, although this would be better than the historical seasonal deterioration of 150 to 200 basis points, with an impact of approximately one point from the wage increase implemented in July 2026.
  • −Growth in shipments per workday slowed from 5.6% in April to 3.7% in May and 3.9% in June, then to approximately 1% in July 2026 through the date of the call, and management said July performance was slightly below normal seasonality, with volatility related to the general rate increase.
  • −The Los Angeles mix continues to pressure revenue and yield; shipments per workday in the region, which typically generates the company’s highest revenue per shipment, declined by approximately 2.5% year over year in fiscal Q2 2026 after Saia exited former large customers.
  • −Insider activity showed one sale and no purchases during the three months ending with the latest transaction on May 20, 2026, for a net sale of 136,880.84, but this is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless evidence indicates otherwise.
  • What are the main pressures on Saia’s margins after fiscal Q2 2026?

    Fuel expenses rose 49.6% year over year due to a 50.3% increase in the average national diesel price. Purchased transportation expenses also rose 47.3% and represented 8.9% of revenue, compared with 7.1% in the comparable quarter. In addition, management expects the operating ratio to deteriorate sequentially by approximately 100 basis points in fiscal Q3 2026, with an impact of approximately one point from the July 2026 wage increase.

    Have Saia’s network investments begun to generate returns?

    Since 2022, the company has spent approximately $1 billion on real estate and $1 billion on expanding and modernizing its fleet. These investments added 33 terminals, increased the number of operating doors by approximately 25%, and increased the numbers of tractors and trailers by 20%. In fiscal Q2 2026, the operating ratio of terminals opened in 2023 and 2024 improved by approximately 300 basis points, but remained in the low 90s, meaning the maturation process is not yet complete.

    What do analyst targets indicate about SAIA’s valuation?

    The stock carries a “Buy” consensus, and the average price target is $455.9. Targets range from $285 to $504, a wide range that indicates significant differences in analyst estimates. The average is below the 52-week range high of $494.71, while the data does not provide a price-to-earnings ratio that could be used as an additional valuation anchor.