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Home
Stocks
Rayonier Inc.
RYN

RYN Rayonier Inc. REIT

Rayonier Inc. REIT · NYSE
Market Closed
20.22
▼ ⁦-0.30%⁩ (-0.06)
Market Cap$3.1B
Beta0.90
52w Low52w High
19.4927.06
Last Week
⁦-0.05%⁩
Last Month
⁦-6.78%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-4.22%⁩
Last Year
⁦-23.61%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall41
Weak — below market medianFalling StarF 5/9Better than 41% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
38
38.9x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
62
0.6%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
53
—4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
55
4.5x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
65
12.31%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
31
-18.7%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
41
4▲3Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$20
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$24
⁦+19%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$24–$25⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$41
⁦+105%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦8.4⁩% discount · ⁦12⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$24–$41⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$24.33
⁦+20.3%⁩
Current Price $20.22·Median $24.00
Low
$24.00
High
$25.00
Current price
$20.22
Average target
$24.33
Street summary

Decline in Rayonier (RYN) targets amid cautious outlook

Bearish tilt

Rayonier (RYN) stock saw a 3.64% reduction in its average price target over the past seven days, as the consensus fell from $25.25 to $24.33. This negative adjustment comes despite a stable number of analysts, indicating a reassessment of fair value by institutions covering the stock, coinciding with Citigroup maintaining its "Neutral" rating on August 10, 2026.

As of 2026-08-17
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-3.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.33
Hold
Analyst coverage
6
Buy conviction
33%
Target dispersion
5%
Analyst ratings over time6 analysts rating
2
4
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.33 → 3.33
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-10
    Citigroup
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-05-19
    BMO Capital
    —· $25.00
  • = Reiterate2026-04-16
    RBC Capital
    —· $24.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    38.88x
    5.03x40.26x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    32.22x
    5.89x47.13x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    14.43x
    3.68x29.40x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    8.1%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    0.6%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -89.6%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    23.8%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.48x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    12.3%
    0.6%15.6%
    High
  • Payout Ratio
    478.8%
    31.2%370.0%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Rayonier Inc. is a real estate investment trust that generates income from managing timberlands and harvesting timber, manufacturing and selling wood products, and selling higher-and-better-use land. Following its merger of equals with PotlatchDeltic in January 2026, the company's operations now include Southern Timberlands, Northwest Timberlands, Wood Products, and Real Estate; it also seeks to extract additional value from its land through solar energy projects, data center sites, and land-based solutions.

In fiscal Q2 2026, Rayonier reported GAAP income of $19 million, or $0.06 per share, while adjusted net income was $32 million, or $0.10 per share, and adjusted EBITDA reached $124 million. Operating performance was distributed across $53 million from Southern Timberlands, $26 million from Northwest Timberlands, $25 million from Wood Products, and $38 million from Real Estate, reflecting the broader business mix following the addition of PotlatchDeltic's operations.

In the latest EDGAR filings for fiscal Q1 2026, revenue was $276.8 million and gross profit was $46.5 million, equivalent to a calculated gross margin of approximately 16.8%, while the company recorded a net loss of $12.4 million and negative earnings per share of $0.05. In fiscal Q2 2026, the Real Estate segment alone generated revenue of $54 million from the sale of approximately 7,500 acres at an average of $6,300 per acre, and its adjusted EBITDA was $38 million, up $20 million from the comparable period.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The PotlatchDeltic merger added significant operating scale in fiscal Q2 2026; Southern Timberlands harvest volumes more than doubled, supported by approximately 1.5 million additional tons, and the segment's adjusted EBITDA rose 85% to $53 million.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

The Wood Products segment generated $25 million of adjusted EBITDA in fiscal Q2 2026, its strongest quarterly performance since fiscal Q3 2022 at PotlatchDeltic, after the average lumber price rose 18% from $427 to $505 per thousand board feet and shipments reached 314 million board feet.
  • The Real Estate segment generated $54 million of revenue in fiscal Q2 2026, and sales included a 460-acre transaction with a solar energy developer for $4.6 million, while the land under options to sell or lease to solar energy developers totaled approximately 77,000 acres.
  • In July 2026, the company closed a real estate exchange with RMS under which it sold approximately 36,000 acres in southwest Washington for $145 million and purchased approximately 57,000 acres in Texas and Alabama for $146 million. Management expects both transactions to be cash-flow accretive based on timber activity alone, with additional opportunities from higher-and-better-use land sales and land-based solutions.
  • For fiscal 2026, management expects to harvest 12.2 to 12.5 million tons in Southern Timberlands and 2.0 to 2.2 million tons in Northwest Timberlands, and to ship approximately 1.1 billion board feet of wood products during 11 months of contribution from the combined business. It also maintained its Real Estate segment adjusted EBITDA outlook of $180 to $200 million for fiscal 2026.
  • Cash available for distribution reached $177 million during the first half of fiscal 2026, compared with $47 million in the comparable period, and the company repurchased 4.9 million shares for $103 million. At the end of fiscal Q2 2026, $126 million remained under the repurchase authorization, with $412 million in cash and approximately $1.9 billion of debt.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The PotlatchDeltic merger provides tangible scale expansion; its contributions more than doubled harvest volumes in both the Southern Timberlands and Northwest Timberlands segments during fiscal Q2 2026, while management confirmed that achieving the targeted operating synergies remains on track.
    • +The supply environment supports the Wood Products segment, as mill production curtailments and duties on Canadian imports have constrained supply, while the total duty burden on Canadian lumber reached approximately 35%, according to management. This was reflected in an 18% increase in the average realized price during fiscal Q2 2026 and the segment's generation of $25 million in adjusted EBITDA.
    • +The land portfolio offers more than one channel for value creation; the Real Estate segment generated $38 million of adjusted EBITDA in fiscal Q2 2026, and the portfolio includes approximately 77,000 acres under options with solar energy developers, alongside stated interest from data center developers.
    • +The increase in cash available for distribution to $177 million during the first half of fiscal 2026 strengthens the company's ability to repurchase shares and manage its balance sheet, and it repaid a $200 million term loan in cash in April 2026. Management targets keeping net debt to EBITDA below three times and maintaining an investment-grade credit rating.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Pulpwood demand remained weak in fiscal Q2 2026 following several mill closures, while dry weather and salvage logging of fire-damaged timber increased supply in the southern United States. Management said prices had generally stabilized but had not yet recorded significant positive momentum, maintaining pricing pressure in one of the company's core markets.
    • −Management expects average pine prices for the combined company's Southern Timberlands segment during fiscal 2026 to be lower than Rayonier's standalone prices in the previous year because of the geographic mix. Management also kept the midpoint of its annual harvest outlook unchanged despite stronger-than-expected activity in fiscal Q2 2026, limiting the extent to which the quarterly increase can be viewed as a signal of an outlook upgrade.
    • −The improvement in lumber prices in fiscal Q2 2026 depended primarily on supply constraints, duties, and transportation issues, while management described overall demand as merely stable and the macroeconomic backdrop as uncertain. A shortage of flatbed trucks increased shipping costs, even though the company passed most of that increase on to customers.
    • −The approximately 77,000-acre solar energy option portfolio may shrink in the quarters following fiscal Q2 2026 as developers screen their projects based on electrical interconnection costs, regulatory changes, and financial incentives. The options typically extend from five to seven years, and the significant increase in their expiration dates will not begin before 2027, so the timing of their conversion into sales or leases remains uncertain.
    • −Approximately 9,300 acres of Rayonier's land in Georgia were affected by fires during fiscal Q2 2026, and the company recorded a damage loss of approximately $2 million and was forced to conduct salvage harvesting of nearly 50,000 tons. Although management does not expect a material additional impact from those fires, the incident illustrates the exposure of timberland assets to weather and fire risks.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $24.33, within a narrow range of $24 to $25, while the stock carries a Neutral consensus rating. The average target is approximately 10.1% below the 52-week range high of $27.06 and approximately 24.8% above the range low of $19.49, placing the analysts' valuation within the historical range rather than assuming a full return to its peak. This valuation balances the expansion in operating earnings following the PotlatchDeltic merger against weak pulpwood, a lower pine pricing mix, and uncertainty surrounding the conversion of solar energy options.

    HoldAnalyst target: $24.33(+20.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove Rayonier's performance in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Rayonier reported GAAP income of $19 million, or $0.06 per share, and adjusted net income of $32 million, or $0.10 per share. Adjusted EBITDA was $124 million, supported by contributions from PotlatchDeltic's operations and improved Real Estate performance. Southern Timberlands adjusted EBITDA rose 85% to $53 million, while Wood Products generated $25 million. The Real Estate segment also contributed $38 million after the sale of approximately 7,500 acres.

    How did the PotlatchDeltic merger change the scale of Rayonier's business?

    The merger of equals closed in January 2026, and Rayonier began including PotlatchDeltic's contribution in its fiscal 2026 outlook as of January 31. PotlatchDeltic's lands added approximately 1.5 million tons to the Southern Timberlands harvest and 360,000 tons to the Idaho harvest in fiscal Q2 2026. As a result, harvest volumes more than doubled in both the Southern and Northwest segments compared with the comparable period. Management confirmed on August 6, 2026, that integration initiatives and actions to achieve the targeted operating synergies were on track.

    How important are the real estate and solar energy activities to the RYN story?

    The Real Estate segment generated revenue of $54 million and adjusted EBITDA of $38 million in fiscal Q2 2026. The results included the sale of 460 acres to a solar energy developer for $4.6 million, or approximately $10,000 per acre. At the end of that quarter, approximately 77,000 acres were under options to sell or lease to solar energy developers. However, these options typically extend from five to seven years, and management said the portfolio may shrink before a significant increase in expirations begins during 2027.

    What is management's outlook for harvest volumes and wood products in fiscal 2026?

    Management expects to harvest 12.2 to 12.5 million tons in the Southern Timberlands segment during fiscal 2026, including 3.1 to 3.3 million tons in fiscal Q3 2026. In the Northwest, the expected annual harvest range is 2.0 to 2.2 million tons, with approximately 600,000 tons in fiscal Q3 2026. The company expects to ship approximately 1.1 billion board feet of wood products during 11 months of contribution in fiscal 2026. The shipment outlook for fiscal Q3 2026 is between 320 and 330 million board feet.

    How is Rayonier managing capital and debt after the merger?

    Cash available for distribution reached $177 million during the first half of fiscal 2026, compared with $47 million in the comparable period. The company repurchased 4.9 million shares for $103 million, including 3.5 million shares for $72 million in fiscal Q2 2026, and $126 million remained under the authorization. It also repaid a $200 million term loan in cash at maturity in April 2026. It ended fiscal Q2 2026 with $412 million in cash and approximately $1.9 billion of debt, while targeting net debt to EBITDA below three times.

    What are the main operating risks facing Rayonier?

    Pulpwood markets are experiencing weak demand following several mill closures and increased supply due to dry weather and salvage harvesting, and management had not observed significant positive pricing momentum through fiscal Q2 2026. The company also expects average pine prices for the combined Southern business during fiscal 2026 to be lower than Rayonier's standalone prices in the previous year because of the geographic mix. In Wood Products, the improvement was more closely tied to supply constraints, duties, and transportation issues than to accelerating demand. In addition, fires damaged approximately 9,300 acres in Georgia and led to a loss of approximately $2 million during fiscal Q2 2026.

    −
    The analyst consensus carries a Neutral rating, with targets ranging only from $24 to $25 around an average of $24.33, reflecting limited dispersion and cautious conviction regarding revaluation potential. This compares with a relatively wide annual trading range of $19.49 to $27.06, highlighting the valuation's sensitivity to the timber cycle and merger execution.