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Stocks
Rumble Inc.
RUM

RUM Rumble Inc.

Rumble Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
7.17
▼ ⁦-2.65%⁩ (-0.20)
Market Cap$3.1B
Beta1.15
52w Low52w High
4.6210.60
Last Week
⁦-20.69%⁩
Last Month
⁦-5.03%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-20.07%⁩
Last Year
⁦-1.65%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall10
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketMomentum TrapF 4/8DistressInsider cluster buyBetter than 10% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
11
—17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
89
13.0%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
13
-16.1%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
49
—2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
10
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
58
-16.3%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
81
1▼3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$7.17
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$12
⁦+60%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$8.00–$15⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$11.50
⁦+60.4%⁩
Current Price $7.17·Median $11.50
Low
$8.00
High
$15.00
Current price
$7.17
Average target
$11.50
Street summary

Price Forecast Analysis for Rumble (RUM)

Rumble stock shows complete stability in the average price target at 11.5 dollars over the past 7 and 30-day periods, with a significant gap (Dispersion) between the high target (15 dollars) and the low target (8 dollars). This variance reflects uncertainty regarding the company's ability to achieve profitability, especially with expectations of continued loss in earnings per share (EPS) reaching -0.04 in forward estimates.

As of 2026-05-22
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
2
Buy conviction
50%
Mixed
Target dispersion
98%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time2 analysts rating
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2025-04-15
    Wedbush
    Neutral· $8.00
  • = Reiterate2025-03-26
    Wedbush
    —· $10.00
  • = Reiterate2024-07-17
    Wedbush
    Neutral
Premium content
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-10 data

Company Overview

Rumble Inc., following the renaming of the parent company to RUM Group, Inc., operates through two interconnected units: Rumble, a video platform monetized through advertising and users, and Quake AI, a cloud computing and artificial intelligence infrastructure business. Quake AI was established after the acquisition of approximately 85.2% of Northern Data shares closed on June 17, 2026, and combines Rumble Cloud with a fleet of approximately 22 thousand NVIDIA H100 and H200 graphics processing units. Management views Quake AI as the group’s financial engine, while the Rumble platform could generate additional revenue from advertising and potentially from video data used to train artificial intelligence and robotics systems.

Revenue for Q2 of fiscal year 2026 reached a record 40.4 million dollars, up 61% from 25.1 million dollars in Q2 of fiscal year 2025. EDGAR data shows gross profit of 33.0 million dollars, compared with a gross loss of 1.5 million dollars in Q1 of fiscal year 2026, but net loss attributable to RUM Group was 79.1 million dollars and earnings per share were negative 0.28 dollars. Management explained that the net loss was affected by 28.3 million dollars in costs related to closing the Northern Data transaction, in addition to higher non-cash depreciation and amortization.

The company did not disclose the distribution of Q2 fiscal year 2026 revenue between Rumble Video and Quake AI, as separate segment reporting will begin with the Q3 fiscal year 2026 report. Operationally, the video platform averaged 57 million monthly active users, and average revenue per user increased 20% quarter over quarter to 0.48 dollars, while Tether contributed approximately 4.8 million dollars of quarterly revenue. The company ended the quarter with total liquidity of 220.5 million dollars, including 203.3 million dollars in cash and cash equivalents and 293.14 Bitcoin units valued at approximately 17.2 million dollars.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The 13.7 billion dollar graphics processing unit services contract, announced on August 24, 2026 with an undisclosed U.S. cloud customer, represents the largest growth catalyst; the agreement runs for six years and is tied to delivering computing capacity from Georgia, and it also grants the customer stock purchase warrants.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • RUM Group is targeting 250 megawatts of operational power capacity in 2027, distributed among a 180-megawatt site near Atlanta, approximately 50 megawatts in Sweden, and approximately 20 megawatts in Norway, alongside a smaller site in Pittsburgh. Management estimates that converting this unused capacity into artificial intelligence computing services could enable an annual revenue run rate exceeding 3 billion dollars.
  • Utilization of Quake AI’s current graphics processing unit fleet exceeded 85% on August 10, 2026, supporting contracted revenue and strengthening the case for expansion. The company also signed a multi-year agreement with Together AI in June 2026 to deploy capacity based on NVIDIA HGX B300.
  • Management issued its first formal revenue guidance, expecting between 87 and 93 million dollars in Q3 of fiscal year 2026, the first full quarter to include Quake AI. This range compares with revenue of 40.4 million dollars in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, but it also reflects the change in the group’s scope following the Northern Data acquisition.
  • Activity on the Rumble platform improved in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, as average revenue per user increased 20% quarter over quarter to 0.48 dollars, and Tether contributed approximately 4.8 million dollars of revenue. The company is also exploring monetizing video data after Quake AI customers expressed interest in it, without announcing specific revenue or contracts for this opportunity.
  • Net insider purchases during the three months ending with the latest transaction on June 17, 2026 were approximately 108.7 million dollars, with three purchases and no recorded sales, providing a supportive signal of internal confidence, although it does not guarantee future performance.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The combination of the Rumble platform and Northern Data assets provides an integrated model encompassing video data, a distribution network, cloud computing, and approximately 22 thousand NVIDIA H100 and H200 units, a combination that does not rely exclusively on video advertising.
    • +Contracts and operational capacity provide a clear path for expanding Quake AI: utilization exceeding 85% for the existing fleet, the Together AI agreement, a contract valued at 13.7 billion dollars, and 250 megawatts that the company is targeting to make available in 2027.
    • +Revenue for Q2 of fiscal year 2026 increased 61% to 40.4 million dollars, while Q3 fiscal year 2026 guidance of 87 to 93 million dollars indicates a significant expansion in the scale of the business following the integration of Quake AI.
    • +Liquidity of 220.5 million dollars provides some flexibility to begin infrastructure investment, and the company spent approximately 47 million dollars on investing activities during Q2 of fiscal year 2026 to purchase technical equipment required to execute computing contracts.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The 13.7 billion dollar computing contract and 250-megawatt capacity require substantial financing and capital execution; available information indicates that the company does not have all the required funding and relies on debt or share issuance, while the contract includes purchase warrants that could dilute shareholders’ ownership.
    • −The 13.7 billion dollar contract creates significant exposure to a single undisclosed U.S. cloud customer, while Tether alone represented 4.8 million dollars, or approximately 12%, of Q2 fiscal year 2026 revenue. Disruption to either of these relationships could have a material impact on revenue and expansion plans.
    • −Profitability remains weak despite revenue growth; net loss attributable to RUM Group was approximately 79.1 million dollars in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, compared with a net loss of 30.2 million dollars in Q2 of fiscal year 2025, and the twelve-month period in 2026 recorded a net loss of 158.4 million dollars.
    • −Execution of the data center expansion remains exposed to risks in securing processing units, racks, cooling, and other equipment, and the start of execution required investment spending of approximately 47 million dollars in Q2 of fiscal year 2026. Details of the contract published on August 24, 2026 also indicate that one of its tranches is conditional on the customer’s approval of the delivery date, so the contract value does not equal guaranteed revenue.
    • −Quake AI competes with traditional cloud computing providers and independent infrastructure operators, and pricing for graphics processing unit services could come under pressure if supply growth approaches demand. Although management said on August 10, 2026 that it does not expect capacity and demand to reach equilibrium within one to two years, the economics of expansion depend on continued capacity scarcity and high utilization.
    • −The valuation reflects significant risk because the market capitalization of 3.9 billion dollars equals approximately 33 times twelve-month revenue in 2026 of 117.7 million dollars, while there is no positive price-to-earnings ratio due to losses. Analyst consensus is also neutral, and their wide target range of 8 to 15 dollars reveals substantial disagreement over the value of the transition to the artificial intelligence business.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is 11.5 dollars, compared with a high target of 15 dollars and a low target of 8 dollars, while the average target is above the recorded 52-week high of 10.595 dollars. However, the consensus is neutral, and the breadth of the target range indicates high uncertainty regarding the financing of the 13.7 billion dollar contract and execution of the Quake AI expansion. No positive price-to-earnings ratio is available due to losses, while the market capitalization equals approximately 33 times twelve-month revenue in 2026, so the valuation assumes substantial success in converting contracts and power capacity into actual revenue.

    HoldAnalyst target: $11.5(+60.4%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What changed RUM Group’s business model in 2026?

    On June 17, 2026, the company closed the acquisition of approximately 85.2% of Northern Data shares, then renamed the parent company RUM Group, Inc. The group now includes Rumble Video and Quake AI, which combines Rumble Cloud with approximately 22 thousand NVIDIA H100 and H200 units. During the August 10, 2026 call, management described Quake AI as the group’s future financial engine, with separate reporting for the two segments beginning in Q3 of fiscal year 2026.

    What is the significance of RUM Group’s 13.7 billion dollar contract?

    The contract was announced on August 24, 2026 with an undisclosed U.S. cloud customer to provide graphics processing unit services from Georgia over six years. Its value far exceeds fiscal year 2025 revenue of 100.6 million dollars, so it could transform the group’s scale if converted into delivered revenue. However, one tranche is tied to the customer’s approval of the delivery date, while financing may depend on debt or share issuance, and the agreement includes purchase warrants for the customer.

    Did RUM Group become profitable in Q2 of fiscal year 2026?

    The company did not become profitable, as net loss attributable to RUM Group was approximately 79.1 million dollars and earnings per share were negative 0.28 dollars in Q2 of fiscal year 2026. The result was affected by transaction costs of 28.3 million dollars related to closing the Northern Data transaction, in addition to higher non-cash depreciation and amortization. In contrast, the adjusted loss before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization improved to 16.6 million dollars, compared with a loss of 20.5 million dollars in Q2 of fiscal year 2025.

    What is RUM Group’s revenue outlook for Q3 of fiscal year 2026?

    Management expects revenue of between 87 and 93 million dollars in Q3 of fiscal year 2026, representing the company’s first formal guidance. This quarter is the first full period to include Quake AI following the closing of the Northern Data transaction on June 17, 2026. The guidance range compares with record revenue of 40.4 million dollars in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, but the comparison is affected by the expansion of the group’s scope following the acquisition.

    How does RUM Group plan to monetize 250 megawatts of capacity?

    The company is targeting 250 megawatts of available capacity in 2027, including 180 megawatts near Atlanta, approximately 50 megawatts in Sweden, and approximately 20 megawatts in Norway, in addition to a smaller site in Pittsburgh. Management estimates that providing computing as a service using this capacity could support an annual revenue run rate exceeding 3 billion dollars. It stated that the computing-as-a-service model could generate approximately 11 million dollars per megawatt annually with the Blackwell generation, compared with 1.5 to 2 million dollars for the powered-shell leasing model, but it requires more complex financing, equipment, and operations.

    What is the role of the Rumble platform following the creation of Quake AI?

    The platform averaged 57 million monthly active users in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, and average revenue per user increased 20% quarter over quarter to 0.48 dollars. Tether’s contribution to quarterly revenue was approximately 4.8 million dollars, while management continues to target brand advertising. The company also said on August 10, 2026 that Quake AI customers had expressed interest in Rumble video data for artificial intelligence and robotics applications, but no specific contracts or revenue from this use were announced.