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Home
Stocks
Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall76
Strong — clearly above market medianTurnaroundF 5/9Better than 76% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
52
22.9x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
33
15.4%▲7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
50
10.3%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
80
1.2x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
50
1.22%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
92
43.0%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
43
6▲3Around median
RS

RS Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co.

Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co. · NYSE
Market Closed
394.21
▲ ⁦+0.46%⁩ (+1.81)
Market Cap$20.1B
Beta0.97
52w Low52w High
260.31432.65
Last Week
⁦+1.05%⁩
Last Month
⁦-5.72%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+4.18%⁩
Last Year
⁦+33.93%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$394
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$381
⁦-3%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$350–$418⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$184
⁦-53%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.7⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$184–$381⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$382.50
⁦-3.0%⁩
Current Price $394.21·Median $381.00
Low
$350.00
High
$418.00
Current price
$394.21
Average target
$382.50
Street summary

Price Forecast Analysis for Reliance Steel & Aluminum (RS) Stock

The stock is currently trading at $382.49, which is nearly identical to the average price target of $382.5, suggesting that the stock has reached its fair value according to analyst estimates. We observe stability in the price consensus over the past thirty days; however, data shows a decline in the number of analysts providing price targets from two to just one in the last week, which increases uncertainty and reduces the accuracy of the general consensus.

As of 2026-08-24
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.00
Hold
Analyst coverage
8
Buy conviction
25%
Target dispersion
17%
Analyst ratings over time8 analysts rating
2
5
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.00 → 3.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    Citigroup
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-06-24
    KeyBanc
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-04-28
    Seaport Global
    Buy· $390.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    22.85x
    4.94x39.51x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    19.48x
    3.70x29.59x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    14.63x
    2.62x20.92x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    3.6%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    15.4%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    25.7%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    26.4%
    7.6%58.9%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    10.3%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.20x
    0.22x3.72x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.2%
    0.2%5.5%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    27.8%
    4.7%147.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co. operates through a metals processing and distribution network, selling carbon steel, aluminum, stainless steel, and specialty products, along with value-added processing services and outsourced processing of automotive products. Its model relies on purchasing metals, particularly from domestic mills, then processing and supplying them to a diverse customer base; in Q2 FY2026, non-residential construction accounted for approximately one-third of sales, general manufacturing approximately one-third, aerospace about 9%, and automotive about 4%.

In Q2 FY2026, Reliance generated the second-highest quarterly revenue in its history, with sales growing 27% year over year and tons sold rising 10.8%, while tonnage reached a quarterly record. Gross profit was 1.3 billion dollars, up 20% from Q2 FY2025 and 11% from Q1 FY2026, while the adjusted FIFO gross profit margin was 30.5% versus 30.1% and 30.6%, respectively.

Adjusted pretax income reached 429 million dollars in Q2 FY2026, an increase of 40% year over year, and adjusted diluted earnings per share rose 42% to 6.27 dollars. The border wall contract with the U.S. Department of Homeland Security contributed 0.41 dollars to earnings per share and added approximately 30 basis points to the pretax income margin, despite pressuring the gross profit margin by approximately 40 basis points; operating cash flow was approximately 162 million dollars amid an increase in working capital resulting from higher shipments and metal prices.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Growth in tons sold in Q2 FY2026 clearly exceeded expectations; it rose 7% from the previous quarter and 10.8% year over year, versus guidance that projected quarterly growth of between 1% and 3% and annual growth of between 4.5% and 6.5%.
  • The border wall contract added 5.1 percentage points to quarterly tonnage growth in Q2 FY2026, and management expects its shipments to increase further during Q3 FY2026 to near the full run rate, with that level potentially continuing through mid-2027 depending on customer drawdowns and metal availability.
  • The first phase of the border wall contract is valued at 1.4 billion dollars through mid-2027, while there is an optional second phase for the customer valued at approximately 800 to 900 million dollars; therefore, the contract provides strong revenue visibility, but the contribution from the second phase is not guaranteed.
  • The average selling price rose 7.8% from Q1 FY2026, exceeding the previous expectation of 1.5% to 3.5%, supported by tight supply, extended lead times, and strong pricing for carbon steel and aluminum.
  • Reliance expects adjusted diluted earnings per share of between 6.40 and 6.60 dollars in Q3 FY2026, representing year-over-year growth of between 76% and 81%, despite including LIFO expense of 75 million dollars, or approximately 1.10 dollars per share.
  • Data centers and energy-related infrastructure supported demand in non-residential construction, while general manufacturing recorded strong growth driven by industrial machinery, shipbuilding, and military spending, and signs of improvement emerged in commercial aerospace and semiconductors in Q2 FY2026.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Q2 FY2026 demonstrates tangible operational outperformance, as the company recorded quarterly record tonnage and 27% year-over-year sales growth, with adjusted pretax income increasing 40% and adjusted earnings per share rising 42%.
  • +The diversification of sales across non-residential construction, general manufacturing, aerospace, automotive, and semiconductors gives Reliance multiple demand drivers, while its relationships with domestic mills provide a better ability to secure products in markets experiencing extended lead times.
  • +The border wall contract provides a profitable contribution due to the use of existing infrastructure and the low operating cost per ton; it added 0.41 dollars to earnings per share and approximately 30 basis points to the pretax income margin in Q2 FY2026.
  • +Net debt to EBITDA was approximately 0.9 times at the end of Q2 FY2026, with 529 million dollars remaining under the share repurchase authorization, giving the company flexibility to fund expected annual capital expenditures of approximately 300 million dollars and shareholder distributions.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is 382.5 dollars, within a wide range of 350 to 418 dollars, accompanied by a neutral consensus rather than a buy consensus. The average is approximately 11.7% below the 52-week range high of 433.02 dollars, while remaining approximately 47% above the range low of 260.31 dollars; this spread reflects a balance between accelerating earnings and the strength of the border wall contract on one hand, and LIFO risks, margin pressure, and the second phase of the contract being dependent on the customer's option on the other.

HoldAnalyst target: $382.5(-3.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove Reliance's results in Q2 FY2026?

Sales rose 27% year over year, and tons sold increased 10.8% to a quarterly record. The average selling price also rose 7.8% from Q1 FY2026, exceeding the previous expected range of 1.5% to 3.5%. This resulted in gross profit of 1.3 billion dollars and adjusted pretax income of 429 million dollars.

How important is the border wall contract to Reliance's results?

The contract added 5.1 percentage points to sequential tonnage growth and 0.41 dollars to earnings per share in Q2 FY2026. The first phase is valued at 1.4 billion dollars through mid-2027, and management expects Q3 FY2026 shipments to approach the full run rate. There is a potential second phase valued at approximately 800 to 900 million dollars, but it is subject to the customer's option and is not guaranteed.

What is Reliance's guidance for Q3 FY2026?

The company expects adjusted diluted earnings per share of between 6.40 and 6.60 dollars, an increase of between 76% and 81% year over year. The guidance includes LIFO expense of 75 million dollars, or approximately 1.10 dollars per share. Excluding the border wall contract, management expects shipments to decline by between 2% and 4% from the previous quarter due to seasonality and limited availability of certain supplies.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −A growing portion of growth is tied to the border wall contract; it represented 5.1 percentage points of the quarterly increase in tonnage and added 0.41 dollars to earnings per share in Q2 FY2026, while the pace of execution depends on metal availability and the customer's inventory drawdowns, and the second phase of 800 to 900 million dollars remains optional and not guaranteed.
  • −Supply constraints could limit shipment growth despite strong demand; management pointed to tight markets for carbon beams and plate and heat-treated aluminum plate, as well as delays of between four and eight weeks for some flat-product orders at certain mills.
  • −Margins face pressure from aluminum price inflation and the mix of the border wall contract; management estimated that aluminum causes approximately 100 basis points of margin pressure compared with levels from two years earlier, including approximately 50 basis points before LIFO and approximately 50 additional basis points from the LIFO impact, while the contract also reduced the gross profit margin by approximately 40 basis points.
  • −Reliance raised its estimate of LIFO expense for FY2026 to 300 million dollars from 150 million dollars and recorded 112.5 million dollars in Q2 FY2026 versus a previous estimate of 37.5 million dollars; continued increases in carbon steel and aluminum costs could lead to further distortion in accounting margins.
  • −Q3 FY2026 guidance indicates that shipments, excluding the contribution from the border wall contract, will decline by between 2% and 4% from the previous quarter due to normal seasonality and limited availability of certain products, meaning that the contract's strength masks some sequential slowdown in the core business.
  • −Net insider sales during the three months ended August 26, 2026, were approximately 2.5 million dollars across four sales and no purchases; this is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the context provides no evidence to the contrary.
  • How do aluminum prices and LIFO accounting affect Reliance's earnings?

    The company raised its estimate of LIFO expense for FY2026 from 150 million dollars to 300 million dollars, of which approximately 100 million dollars is related to aluminum according to the estimate provided during the July 23, 2026 call. LIFO expense in Q2 FY2026 was 112.5 million dollars, or 1.64 dollars per share, versus a previous estimate of 37.5 million dollars. Despite pressure on accounting ratios, management said that gross profit per unit and gross profit dollars from aluminum increased significantly.

    Which sectors drive demand for Reliance?

    Non-residential construction represented approximately one-third of Q2 FY2026 sales, supported by data centers, energy infrastructure, public civil works, and the border wall contract. General manufacturing also accounted for approximately one-third, with growth driven by industrial machinery, shipbuilding, military activities, consumer products, and construction equipment. Aerospace represented approximately 9% and automotive approximately 4%, alongside improvement in commercial aerospace, continued strength in defense and space, and accelerating semiconductor activity.

    Does Reliance have the financial flexibility to fund growth and return capital?

    Total debt was 1.7 billion dollars at the end of Q2 FY2026, and net debt to EBITDA was approximately 0.9 times. The company spent 93 million dollars on capital expenditures and paid 64 million dollars in dividends during that quarter, while operating cash flow was approximately 162 million dollars. The company targets capital expenditures of approximately 300 million dollars during FY2026 and has approximately 529 million dollars available under its share repurchase program.