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Stocks
Range Resources Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall89
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 8/9Grey zoneBetter than 89% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
85
10.6x▲17.6xTop tier
▸
Growth
43
23.2%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
81
15.2%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
75
0.8x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
75
1.00%▼2.15%Top tier
▸
Momentum
50
14.6%▲2.3%Around median
▸
Sentiment
67
15▲3Top tier
RRC

RRC Range Resources Corporation

Range Resources Corporation · NYSE
Market Open
37.63
▼ ⁦-2.11%⁩ (-0.81)
Market Cap$9.0B
Beta0.43
52w Low52w High
32.6848.31
Last Week
⁦-8.55%⁩
Last Month
⁦-4.40%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-7.06%⁩
Last Year
⁦+9.55%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$38
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$43
⁦+12%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$39–$52⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$58
⁦+52%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$43–$58⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$44.00
⁦+16.9%⁩
Current Price $37.63·Median $43.00
Low
$39.00
High
$52.00
Current price
$37.63
Average target
$44.00
Street summary

Slight Improvement While Dispersion Remains High

The consensus target price rose to 44 from 43.13 over seven days, an increase of 2.02%, and to 44 from 43.38 over 30 days, an increase of 1.43%. The consensus was unchanged over the last day, while the number of analysts also remained at five, indicating a limited improvement in the outlook without an expansion of the coverage base. The consensus is approximately 14.5% above the current price of 38.44, while the range is between 39 and 52, with a median average of 43, reflecting clear dispersion in estimates.

As of 2026-09-18
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.4%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.22
Hold
Analyst coverage
23
Buy conviction
26%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
35%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time23 analysts rating
1
5
16
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.08 → 3.22
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-14
    UBS
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    UBS
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-23
    Citigroup
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    10.62x
    3.50x28.02x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    8.81x
    3.29x26.33x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    7.85x
    2.11x16.89x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    8.3%
    -20.4%16.4%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    23.2%
    -19.6%63.2%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    81.9%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    93.9%
    7.8%72.1%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    15.2%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.80x
    0.40x3.23x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.0%
    0.4%10.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    10.5%
    11.9%109.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.71
    -1.774.35
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-22 data

Company Overview

Range Resources Corporation produces natural gas and natural gas liquids from its Marcellus asset base, and its revenue-generating capacity depends on selling these products in domestic and international markets. Its marketing portfolio provides access to ethane, propane, and butane markets, and natural gas liquids achieved a premium of $3.49 per barrel above the Mont Belvieu benchmark in Q2 FY 2026. Management says its Marcellus inventory exceeds 30 years, while growth activity under the current plan is expected to be allocated approximately 65%–70% to the liquids-rich side and 30%–35% to dry gas.

In Q2 FY 2026, the company reported revenue of $833.6 million, gross profit of $774.2 million, net income of $195.3 million, and diluted earnings per share of $0.83, according to EDGAR data. These figures equate to a gross profit margin of approximately 92.9% and a net income margin of approximately 23.4%, while production reached 2.3 billion cubic feet equivalent per day. According to the news published on August 1, 2026, adjusted earnings per share were $0.79, exceeding expectations by 20.54%, while revenue of $833.57 million surpassed expectations by 11.92%.

On a trailing twelve-month basis in FY 2026, EDGAR data showed revenue of approximately $3.5 billion and gross profit of approximately $3.3 billion, with two net income estimates of $860.3 million and $902.6 million. By comparison, FY 2025 revenue was approximately $3.1 billion, net income was $658.0 million, and earnings per share were $2.74. During the first half of FY 2026, Range Resources repurchased $105 million of shares, paid $47 million in dividends, and reduced debt by $337 million, bringing total value returned to shareholders to $489 million, according to management's presentation.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Range Resources is targeting an increase in production from 2.3 billion cubic feet equivalent per day in Q2 FY 2026 to 2.4 billion in Q3 and then 2.5 billion by the end of FY 2026, while its target of 2.6 billion cubic feet equivalent per day in FY 2027 remains unchanged.
  • FY 2026 pricing guidance improved to a premium of $2.50 per barrel for natural gas liquids above the Mont Belvieu benchmark and to $0.35–$0.40 per thousand cubic feet for natural gas above Henry Hub, after achieving an actual premium of $3.49 per barrel for natural gas liquids in Q2.
  • Export markets support demand for the company's products; feed gas to U.S. LNG facilities exceeded 17 billion cubic feet per day in Q2 FY 2026, up 17% year over year, while seaborne ethane exports rose 40% to 658 thousand barrels per day, and propane and butane exports increased 30% year over year to more than 2.6 million barrels per day.
  • Operations set company records in Q2 FY 2026, drilling approximately 190 thousand lateral feet and completing nearly 1,900 fracturing stages, while the contracted electric fracturing fleet achieved efficiency of approximately 14 stages per day. Management stated that returning to certain existing drilling sites delivered efficiency improvements of up to 30% in some cases, alongside double-digit annual savings in cost per foot across the program.
  • Part of the growth opportunity is linked to rising electricity and data center demand; the company has already announced a ten-year contract to supply gas to a power plant in the Midwest. Management emphasized that any growth after FY 2027 will remain conditional on clear end demand and viable margins, rather than increasing production and selling it within the basin without a specified destination.
  • The share repurchase program reduces the share count and supports growth in cash flow per share; since launching the program, the company has purchased 35.9 million shares, equivalent to a reduction of approximately 10% in the count. In Q2 FY 2026 alone, repurchases totaled $78 million and dividends totaled $24 million.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case5 pts

  • +The current plan combines production growth with capital discipline; the company is targeting a 20% increase in production to approximately 2.6 billion cubic feet equivalent per day in FY 2027, while estimating that it can maintain this level with less than $600 million annually in drilling and completion capital, or approximately $0.60 per thousand cubic feet equivalent.
  • +The Marcellus inventory of more than 30 years provides a long-term growth base, while contiguous locations and returning to approximately one-third of nearly 250 drilling sites allow the company to reuse roads and production infrastructure and improve capital efficiency.
  • +The company's international marketing portfolio provides margin sources beyond the local benchmark price, as demonstrated by the natural gas liquids premium of $3.49 per barrel in Q2 FY 2026 and the increase in full-year guidance to $2.50 above Mont Belvieu.
  • +Q2 FY 2026 results demonstrated the ability to convert operating performance into earnings, with net income of $195.3 million and a net margin of approximately 23.4%, alongside adjusted earnings per share and revenue exceeding market expectations by 20.54% and 11.92%, respectively.
  • +The capital allocation policy enhances returns per share, after the company returned a total of $489 million to shareholders during the first half of FY 2026 through repurchases, dividends, and debt reduction, equivalent to approximately 5.5% of market capitalization over six months, according to management.

Valuation

No published price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, so the valuation assessment is based on the “Neutral” consensus and an average target of $43.38, within a range of $39 to $52. The average target is approximately 10.2% below the 52-week range high of $48.31, while the highest target is approximately 7.6% above that high; this divergence reflects the market's balancing of production growth and capital returns on one hand against commodity price volatility and the requirement to secure end demand for subsequent growth on the other. The 52-week range is between $32.68 and $48.31, highlighting the breadth of potential repricing in a business dependent on natural gas and natural gas liquids prices.

HoldAnalyst target: $43.38(+15.3%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is driving Range Resources' growth in FY 2026 and FY 2027?

The company is targeting an increase in production from 2.3 billion cubic feet equivalent per day in Q2 FY 2026 to 2.4 billion in Q3 and 2.5 billion by the end of FY 2026. The announced plan to reach approximately 2.6 billion cubic feet equivalent per day in FY 2027 remains in place, representing total growth of 20% under the multi-year plan. This trajectory is supported by bringing new gathering, compression, and processing facilities online, in addition to using the inventory of drilled but uncompleted wells. As for growth after FY 2027, management ties it to actual demand from power plants, data centers, and export markets, as well as acceptable margins.

How does Range Resources benefit from demand related to AI data centers?

Management believes that the expansion of data centers and electricity demand within the Appalachia region creates additional opportunities to supply natural gas. The company has announced a ten-year supply contract with a power plant in the Midwest and is also holding discussions with parties seeking additional supplies and diversification of operational and commercial risks. In Q2 FY 2026, Range Resources' production was approximately 2.3 billion cubic feet equivalent per day, with a target of 2.5 billion by the end of the fiscal year. However, management clarified that production will not increase after FY 2027 until a clear destination for the gas has been identified and margin viability has been confirmed.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Results remain highly sensitive to natural gas and natural gas liquids prices; management noted that the gas price curve weakened by approximately 15% during FY 2026 and that volatility could increase, while its assumption of more than $2.5 billion in free cash flow over three years depends on an assumed gas price of $3.75.
  • −Achieving the announced production trajectory requires bringing new processing, gathering, and compression infrastructure online; processing facilities were still in the startup phase in Q2 FY 2026. Any delay in commissioning this capacity could pressure the planned transition to 2.4 billion cubic feet equivalent per day in Q3 and then 2.5 billion by the end of FY 2026.
  • −Revenue declined from $1.0 billion in Q1 FY 2026 to $833.6 million in Q2, while net income fell from $341.6 million to $195.3 million and earnings per share declined from $1.44 to $0.83. Although Q2 results exceeded market expectations, this sequential decline illustrates earnings sensitivity to production timing, prices, and sales mix.
  • −Any significant increase after FY 2027 depends on securing an economic destination for new production; management emphasized that it will not grow merely to sell within the basin and that opportunities involving power plants and data centers must provide clear demand and margins capable of competing with alternatives in the company's portfolio. Therefore, scenarios involving production exceeding 3 billion cubic feet equivalent per day or doubling production remain conditional possibilities rather than formal guidance.
  • −Although leverage is approximately half a turn and management views its balance-sheet metrics as stronger than those of some investment-grade companies, the company's credit rating remains below investment grade. This may not have hindered commercial discussions through Q2 FY 2026, but it remains a financing exposure compared with investment-grade producers.
  • −The analyst consensus reflects a “Neutral” rating rather than a buy recommendation, with a wide target range between $39 and $52, while the average target is $43.38. Insider activity also recorded one sale totaling a net 140 thousand shares during the three months ending with the August 5, 2026 transaction, with no purchases; this is a weak standalone signal because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data indicates otherwise.
How important are natural gas liquids to RRC's earnings?

Liquids-rich activities represent approximately 65%–70% of the growth activity mix under the current plan, compared with 30%–35% for dry gas. In Q2 FY 2026, the company achieved a premium of $3.49 per barrel above the Mont Belvieu benchmark, supported by the flexibility of its export program and access to international markets. Management raised FY 2026 guidance to a premium of $2.50 per barrel above the benchmark, despite the normalization of net international realizations since June 2026. The company also expects the Repauno terminal capacity entering service in FY 2027 to support continued access to international markets from the East Coast.

Can Range Resources fund growth and return capital to shareholders at the same time?

During the first half of FY 2026, the company repurchased $105 million of shares, paid $47 million in dividends, and reduced debt by $337 million. Total value returned to shareholders was $489 million, or approximately 5.5% of market capitalization according to management's calculation. Since launching the repurchase program, Range Resources has purchased approximately 35.9 million shares, reducing the count by approximately 10%. The company estimates that maintaining production of 2.6 billion cubic feet equivalent per day after reaching it will require less than $600 million annually in drilling and completion capital.

What are the main risks that could disrupt RRC's production plan?

The first risk is volatility in natural gas and natural gas liquids prices, as management noted during the July 22, 2026 call that the gas curve had weakened by approximately 15% during FY 2026. The second risk is that the planned increase to 2.4 billion cubic feet equivalent per day in Q3 and then 2.5 billion by the end of FY 2026 depends on new processing capacity coming online as scheduled. Subsequent growth also requires contracts or end markets capable of absorbing the volumes at suitable margins, and the company does not intend to increase production merely to sell it within the basin. The below-investment-grade credit rating remains an additional factor, even though management says leverage is approximately half a turn and that the rating had not hindered commercial discussions through Q2 FY 2026.

How do Q2 FY 2026 results compare with the previous quarter?

Q2 FY 2026 revenue was approximately $833.6 million, compared with $1.0 billion in Q1 FY 2026. Net income declined to $195.3 million from $341.6 million, while earnings per share fell to $0.83 from $1.44, according to EDGAR data. However, an August 1, 2026 news report stated that adjusted earnings per share of $0.79 exceeded expectations by 20.54% and that revenue surpassed expectations by 11.92%. Operations also achieved production of 2.3 billion cubic feet equivalent per day and a quarterly record of approximately 1,900 fracturing stages.