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Stocks
Roku
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall38
Weak — below market medianHigh FlyerF 6/9Better than 38% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
17
64.5x▼17.7xBottom tier
▸
Growth
90
18.5%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
78
7.4%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
89
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
71
—2.16%Top tier
▸
Momentum
97
61.1%▲2.1%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
40
15▲3Around median
ROKU

ROKU Roku, Inc.

Roku, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Open
154.25
▼ ⁦-0.05%⁩ (-0.08)
Market Cap$22.9B
Beta2.05
52w Low52w High
78.53159.89
Last Week
⁦-2.03%⁩
Last Month
⁦-1.63%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+11.72%⁩
Last Year
⁦+56.85%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$154
Analyst target · 12 analysts
$160
⁦+4%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$150–$185⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$61
⁦-61%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦13.3⁩% discount · ⁦4⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$61–$160⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 12 analysts setting price target
$161.38
⁦+4.6%⁩
Current Price $154.25·Median $160.00
Low
$150.00
High
$185.00
Current price
$154.25
Average target
$161.38
Street summary

Consensus Stable Amid Rating Downgrades

The consensus price target remained stable at $161.38 over the last 7 days, with a very slight increase of $0.09, or 0.06%, over the last 30 days. The range is between $150 and $185, with a median of $160; this reflects notable dispersion around the current price of $155.12, although both the consensus and median remain slightly above it.

As of 2026-09-16
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.30
Hold
Analyst coverage
27
Buy conviction
26%
Target dispersion
23%
Analyst ratings over time27 analysts rating
1
6
20
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.63 → 3.30
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-07
    Guggenheim
    BuyNeutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-07
    Needham
    Buy
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-07
    Seaport Global
    BuyNeutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    64.54x
    4.13x33.08x
    Expensive
  • Forward P/E
    53.45x
    3.07x24.57x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    42.66x
    2.52x20.18x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    3.1%
    -36.6%21.9%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    18.5%
    -16.8%41.2%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    669.0%
    -481.0%139.3%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    45.5%
    11.2%77.9%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    7.4%
    -33.7%16.3%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-04-30 data

Company Overview

Roku operates a connected-TV streaming ecosystem that combines its operating system, streaming players, and Roku- and Hero-branded televisions, alongside licensing the system to manufacturers such as TCL and Hisense. Most device volumes come from partner televisions, while a growing share of the economics is generated through the platform: advertising, premium subscriptions, the free ad-supported The Roku Channel, and the paid Audi service priced at $3 per month. The platform surpassed 100 million streaming households globally in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, with a presence in more than half of U.S. broadband households.

In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, Roku reported revenue of $1.2 billion, gross profit of $564.9 million, net income of $85.7 million, and earnings per share of $0.57; equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 47% and a net income margin of approximately 7% based on the reported figures. Platform revenue grew 28%, advertising 27%, and subscriptions 30%, while advertising gross margin exceeded 60% and subscription margin was slightly above 40%. In contrast, device revenue declined 16%, and the segment recorded a negative margin of 14% due to lower average streaming-player prices and higher memory costs.

Second-quarter fiscal 2026 results published on August 6, 2026 showed continued improvement, as total revenue rose 22% to $1 billion and earnings per share reached $1.08, compared with $0.07 in the comparable period, supported by a surge in platform revenue. On a trailing-twelve-month basis through fiscal 2026, revenue was $5.0 billion, gross profit was $2.2 billion, net income was $201.5 million, and earnings per share were approximately $1.33, compared with net income of $88.4 million and earnings per share of $0.59 in fiscal 2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Platform monetization accelerated in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, with platform revenue growing 28%, advertising 27%, and subscriptions 30%, followed by 22% total revenue growth in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 supported by platform revenue.
  • Roku expanded access to its advertising inventory through Amazon DSP, The Trade Desk, Yahoo, FreeWheel, and Google DV360, and the majority of video delivery now runs through third-party programmatic partners. Brands outside the media and entertainment sector also represented approximately 30% of Roku Experience advertising revenue in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, the highest level recorded by the company.
  • According to company testing in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, the redesigned home screen increased engagement, viewer satisfaction, and monetization, while also making the marquee ad visible on first launch and raising click-through rates. Adding video to the home screen supports the advertising margin, which exceeded 60% and increased by more than 400 basis points year over year.
  • The subscription business expanded by adding Apple TV in March 2026 and Peacock, alongside Paramount+, and launching premium subscriptions in Mexico. Management says tens of millions of subscriptions are monetized through the platform, while subscription growth was 23% in the first quarter of fiscal 2026 excluding the impact of the Friendly acquisition.
  • In the first-quarter fiscal 2026 call, management raised its full-year platform revenue forecast by more than $100 million, or approximately three percentage points of growth, to around 21%, and projected growth of approximately 20% in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 for both advertising and subscriptions. It also reaffirmed its expectation of expanding EBITDA margins and having free cash flow exceed adjusted EBITDA during fiscal 2026.
  • Free cash flow reached $148 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, the second-highest quarterly level in Roku's history, with a margin of approximately 16%, while the EBITDA margin slightly exceeded 12% after more than doubling year over year. This improvement provides greater capacity to fund advertising, subscription, and content development while maintaining the path to profitability.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The figures show Roku moving beyond simply expanding its user base toward stronger monetization and profitability; it surpassed 100 million streaming households, platform revenue grew 28% in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, and second-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue then rose 22% as earnings per share reached $1.08.
  • +Advertising economics improved clearly, with advertising revenue growing 27% and gross margin exceeding 60% in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, an increase of more than 400 basis points. Expanded integration with major buying platforms, alongside Ads Manager and the redesigned home screen, opens Roku's inventory to broader segments of advertisers.
  • +Subscriptions provide a second growth engine beyond advertising, with 30% growth in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, the addition of Apple TV and Peacock, and expansion into Mexico. Audi also targets a lower-priced segment with a $3 monthly subscription, while The Roku Channel represents more than 6% of U.S. streaming time and ranks second among apps on the platform.
  • +Profitability and cash flow support the operational improvement thesis; Roku generated net income of $85.7 million and free cash flow of $148 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2026. On a trailing-twelve-month basis, net income reached $201.5 million, compared with $88.4 million in fiscal 2025.

▼ Selling Case

Valuation

The analyst consensus is "Buy," with an average target of $161.29 within a relatively wide range of $150 to $185; the average is slightly above the 52-week range high of $159.89, while the range low is $78.53. No reported price-to-earnings ratio is available, despite earnings per share of approximately $1.33 and net income of $201.5 million on a trailing-twelve-month basis, so the valuation is primarily based on continued platform growth and improving margins and cash flow. Second-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue growth of 22% supports this framework, but weaker outlook visibility after August 6, 2026 and pressures in devices and subscriptions justify the gap between the lowest and highest targets.

BuyAnalyst target: $161.29(+4.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

How does Roku generate revenue, and which business is most important for growth?

Roku generates revenue from advertising, subscriptions, and platform services, in addition to selling streaming players and Roku- and Hero-branded televisions. Platform revenue grew 28% in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, with advertising growing 27% and subscriptions 30%. Device revenue, however, declined 16% and recorded a negative margin of 14%, making the platform the clearest driver of growth and profitability. Most Roku TV device volumes come from manufacturing partners such as TCL and Hisense, rather than televisions sold directly by Roku.

What were Roku's key results in the second quarter of fiscal 2026?

Roku announced on August 6, 2026 that total revenue rose 22% to $1 billion in the second quarter of fiscal 2026. Earnings per share reached $1.08, compared with $0.07 in the comparable period. The performance was driven by a surge in platform revenue, after platform revenue had grown 28% in the first quarter of fiscal 2026. According to news on that date, the company did not provide further financial guidance because of the pending acquisition by Fox Corporation.

Why is Roku's advertising revenue growing?

Advertising revenue grew 27% in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, and its gross margin reached more than 60%, an increase of over 400 basis points year over year. Integrations with Amazon DSP, The Trade Desk, Yahoo, FreeWheel, and Google DV360 allow advertisers to access Roku's inventory through the buying platforms they use, and the majority of video delivery now runs through third-party programmatic partners. Advertisers outside media and entertainment also represented approximately 30% of Roku Experience advertising revenue, the highest level recorded by the company. The redesigned home screen and the appearance of the marquee ad on first launch also support increased impressions, clicks, and monetization.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

7 pts
  • −The device business remains a financial weakness, as its revenue declined 16% and it recorded a negative margin of 14% in the first quarter of fiscal 2026. Management attributed this to the continued decline in average streaming-player prices and higher memory prices, with memory costs expected to remain elevated in the second half of fiscal 2026.
  • −Subscription margin faced pressure from the revenue mix and remained slightly above 40%, compared with an advertising margin above 60%. Management expects subscription margin to remain between 41% and 42% for the rest of fiscal 2026, meaning rapid premium-subscription growth is not fully translating into comparable margin expansion.
  • −Platform growth may slow after easier comparisons and sporting events; the first quarter of fiscal 2026 benefited from the Olympics and Super Bowl, while advertising growth moves to a comparison against 19% growth in the second quarter of fiscal 2025 instead of 12% in the first quarter. The company also begins comparing its results after including the impact of the Friendly acquisition in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, and first-quarter subscription growth was only 23% excluding it, versus 30% on a reported basis.
  • −Management said on April 30, 2026 that visibility for the second half of fiscal 2026 was weaker than for the second quarter because of the economic environment, political spending, and other initiatives, and therefore adopted a cautious position in its second-half outlook. News on August 6, 2026 also reported that Roku did not provide further financial guidance because of the pending acquisition by Fox Corporation, reducing investors' ability to assess the sustainability of revenue growth and margins using management's forward-looking figures.
  • −Roku faces strong competition in the connected-TV interface, device distribution, and advertising spending; management described the television market as highly price-competitive, while its advertising strategy relies on integrations with major external buying platforms. The company says its operating system's superior memory efficiency increases its appeal to manufacturers, but the continued decline in average player prices demonstrates competitive pressure in devices.
  • −Valuation carries risk if operational improvement falters, because the average analyst target of $161.29 is only slightly above the 52-week range high of $159.89, while the highest target reaches $185 and the lowest falls to $150. No reported price-to-earnings ratio is available despite the company's return to net profitability, making its valuation more dependent on continued platform growth and margin expansion.
  • −Insiders recorded net sales of $20.0 million during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 17, 2026, with 39 sales and no purchases recorded. This is a weak trading signal relative to operational risks, because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data states otherwise.
What role do subscriptions, The Roku Channel, and Audi play in Roku's strategy?

Subscription revenue grew 30% in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, or 23% excluding the impact of the Friendly acquisition. Roku added Apple TV subscriptions in March 2026 and Peacock, alongside Paramount+, and also expanded premium subscriptions into Mexico. The Roku Channel represents more than 6% of U.S. streaming time and ranks second among apps on the platform, while Audi offers an ad-free service priced at $3 per month. However, premium-subscription growth pressured the mix, and management expects subscription gross margin to range between 41% and 42% for the rest of fiscal 2026.

Does the rise in memory prices pose a risk to Roku?

Rising memory prices increased the cost of Roku devices and contributed, alongside lower average streaming-player prices, to a 16% decline in device revenue and a negative margin of 14% in the first quarter of fiscal 2026. Management said its fiscal 2026 outlook already included higher memory costs and that it had not changed its assumptions regarding device investment or units sold. In contrast, the Roku TV operating system uses less memory and storage than competing platforms, according to management, expanding the component-cost advantage for manufacturing partners. The portfolio of players, directly sold televisions, and partner televisions gives the company flexibility to adjust its device mix according to cost conditions.

What are the most important figures to monitor when valuing ROKU stock?

The average analyst target is $161.29, with the highest target at $185 and the lowest at $150, while the 52-week range extends from $78.53 to $159.89. The stock has a "Buy" consensus, but the average target exceeds the 52-week range high by only a limited margin. No reported price-to-earnings ratio is available, despite net income of $201.5 million and earnings per share of approximately $1.33 on a trailing-twelve-month basis. Therefore, the sustainability of platform growth, advertising margins that exceeded 60%, and pressures in devices and subscriptions remain the most important variables for assessing the valuation.