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Stocks
RLI Corp.
RLI

RLI RLI Corp.

RLI Corp. · NYSE
Market Closed
60.48
▲ ⁦+0.07%⁩ (+0.04)
Market Cap$5.6B
Beta0.33
52w Low52w High
47.2669.19
Last Week
⁦-4.53%⁩
Last Month
⁦-6.06%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+15.07%⁩
Last Year
⁦-11.58%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall75
Strong — clearly above market medianHigh FlyerF 6/9Better than 75% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
49
12.7x▲17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
56
8.7%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
96
——Top tier
▸
Safety
34
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
78
7.70%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
52
-7.5%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
53
6▲3Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$60
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$57
⁦-6%⁩
See it slightly overvalued
Range ⁦$53–$74⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$100
⁦+66%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$57–$100⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$61.33
⁦+1.4%⁩
Current Price $60.48·Median $57.00
Low
$53.00
High
$74.00
Current price
$60.48
Average target
$61.33
Street summary

Lower Average Price Target and Growing Caution

Bearish tilt

The consensus price target fell over the last 30 days from 65.50 to 61.33, a decline of 4.17 or 6.37%, while the range remained wide at 53 to 74. The current consensus implies only limited upside from the current price of 60.48, but the median of 57 is below it, reflecting clear divergence among analysts rather than a cohesive bullish trend. The number of analysts included in the consensus also decreased from 3 to 2 over the last 7 days, with no further change in the consensus.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-6.4%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.00
Hold
Analyst coverage
8
Buy conviction
13%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 1↓
Target dispersion
35%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time8 analysts rating
1
5
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.25 → 3.00
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-25
    Jefferies
    HoldUnderperform
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-07-29
    Wells Fargo
    Underweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-28
    Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    12.71x
    3.16x25.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    22.51x
    2.76x22.06x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    8.7%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    36.0%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    7.7%
    0.6%9.0%
    High
  • Payout Ratio
    97.6%
    9.8%97.8%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

RLI Corp. operates in specialty property and casualty insurance through three main segments: Casualty, Property, and Surety. The company generates income from insurance policy premiums and underwriting profits, in addition to returns from its investment portfolio; in Q2 fiscal 2026, net investment income totaled $46 million, while investments and cash reached approximately $4.9 billion as of June 30, 2026. Casualty includes personal umbrella, transportation, and professional liability insurance, while Property includes excess and specialty property, Hawaii Homeowners, and Marine businesses.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, RLI reported revenue of $575.6 million and net income of $168.0 million, equivalent to $1.82 per share, compared with earnings per share of $1.34 in the comparable quarter. Operating earnings were $0.83 per share versus $0.82, and underwriting income totaled $59.9 million, with a combined ratio of 85.6%, a loss ratio of 45.5%, and an expense ratio of 40.1%. Casualty led premium growth with an 11% increase, while premiums in both Property and Surety declined by 6%.

Gross written premiums grew 3% in Q2 fiscal 2026, and the company achieved a 25% return on equity. Net investment income increased 17%, while the investment portfolio generated a total return of 3.4% during the quarter. In terms of capital allocation, RLI paid special dividends of $2 per share and repurchased approximately 235 thousand shares at an average price of $51.25, with approximately $238 million remaining under the repurchase authorization as of June 30, 2026.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Total Casualty premiums increased 11% in Q2 fiscal 2026, driven by 26% growth in personal umbrella premiums and 19% growth in transportation insurance, with rate increases of 17% and 8%, respectively.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Transportation insurance submissions increased 9% in Q2 fiscal 2026 as some competitors withdrew from certain regions or coverages, while RLI offers a solution with coverage limits of up to $5 million for certain transportation companies and supports underwriting with in-house loss-control services.
  • Net investment income increased 17% to $46 million in Q2 fiscal 2026 after the company invested $145 million of operating cash flow in fixed-income instruments at an average purchase yield of 4.9%, approximately 60 basis points above the portfolio's book yield, according to management.
  • Property produced a strong combined ratio of 56.8% in Q2 fiscal 2026, supported by $23 million of favorable prior-year reserve development and lighter catastrophe losses of $9 million, while Hawaii Homeowners premiums grew 9% and Marine premiums grew 7%.
  • In July 2026, RLI launched a non-admitted product in the entertainment and amusement sector and began accepting new business submissions, expanding its specialty Casualty portfolio, although the product remains at an early stage that does not allow its financial impact to be measured.
  • Insider data showed net buying activity of 152,700 during the three months ended with the latest transaction on June 1, 2026, with one purchase recorded and no sales recorded in the provided data.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +RLI continues to deliver profitable underwriting, with a combined ratio of 85.6% and underwriting income of $59.9 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, alongside strong combined ratios of 56.8% in Property and 87.2% in Surety.
    • +Casualty growth provides a clear premium driver, as the segment increased 11%, with personal umbrella up 26% and transportation up 19%, supported by double-digit rate increases in personal umbrella and new business opportunities resulting from competitors withdrawing from parts of the transportation market.
    • +The investment portfolio is supporting earnings at an increasing pace; net investment income rose 17% to $46 million, and the average yield on new fixed-income purchases was 4.9% in Q2 fiscal 2026.
    • +The company returned more than $200 million to shareholders through special dividends, alongside the quarterly dividend of $0.18 per share and the repurchase of approximately 235 thousand shares, while retaining approximately $238 million under its repurchase authorization as of June 30, 2026.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Property faces an intensely competitive market, where a single submission may be sent to more than 45 companies and some competitors offer broader coverage at lower premiums; segment premiums declined 6%, and renewal retention fell to just below 70% in Q2 fiscal 2026.
    • −The pace of growth in personal umbrella and transportation carries risks related to loss severity and litigation, and the Casualty segment's combined ratio was approximately 99.3% in Q2 fiscal 2026. Management explained that growth in these businesses requires conservatism in reserve setting and that pricing in Excess Casualty is only close to keeping pace with loss trends, without a significant excess margin.
    • −The company's combined ratio increased to 85.6% from 84.5% in the comparable quarter as the expense ratio rose 1.5 percentage points to 40.1% due to employee costs, acquisition expenses, and technology investments, creating pressure on operating margin improvement.
    • −Q2 fiscal 2026 results benefited from $39.8 million of favorable prior-year reserve development, compared with $27.6 million in the comparable quarter, while the gap between net income and operating earnings widened due to $103 million of unrealized gains on securities. Therefore, GAAP earnings per share may be more volatile than underlying underwriting performance.
    • −Surety premiums declined 6% in Q2 fiscal 2026 due to slower renewable energy construction and nonrecurring items in customs bonds, coinciding with the beginning of rising loss ratios in the surety industry, particularly in construction and renewable energy projects.
    • −The neutral analyst consensus reflects valuation risks despite underwriting quality, with targets ranging from $53 to $74, a wide spread of $21. The average target of $61.33 is also below the 52-week range high of $68.29, indicating that analysts do not agree on the stock returning to its highest levels recorded during that period.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $61.33, with a wide range between $53 and $74 and a neutral consensus, reflecting meaningful differences in assessments of RLI's value. The average target lies within the 52-week range of $47.26–$68.29 and approximately 10% below its high, while the highest target is approximately 8% above that high. The valuation view remains divided between the strong combined ratio and growth in investment income on one hand, and competitive pressures, the higher expense ratio, and net income's partial reliance on unrealized investment gains on the other.

    HoldAnalyst target: $61.33(+1.4%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove RLI's results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    RLI reported revenue of $575.6 million and net income of $168.0 million, or $1.82 per share, in Q2 fiscal 2026. Operating earnings were $0.83 per share, while underwriting income reached $59.9 million. Results also benefited from a 17% increase in net investment income to $46 million and $103 million of unrealized gains in the equity portfolio.

    Why is RLI's Casualty segment growing?

    Casualty premiums increased 11% in Q2 fiscal 2026, led by 26% growth in personal umbrella and 19% growth in transportation insurance. The rate increase in personal umbrella was 17%, while transportation reached 8%. Transportation submissions also increased 9% as some competitors reduced their appetite, and RLI benefits from its in-house loss-control services and its ability to offer coverage limits of up to $5 million in selected cases.

    Has RLI's underwriting profitability deteriorated?

    Underwriting profitability remained strong in Q2 fiscal 2026, with a combined ratio of 85.6% and underwriting income of $59.9 million. However, the combined ratio increased from 84.5% in the comparable quarter because the expense ratio rose 1.5 points to 40.1%. Favorable prior-year reserve development of $39.8 million helped support the result, while 2026 catastrophe losses totaled approximately $10 million.

    What is the greatest competitive pressure facing the Property business?

    Property premiums declined 6% in Q2 fiscal 2026 as competition intensified in the excess and specialty property market. Management reported that a single submission may reach more than 45 markets and that some competitors offer broader terms for lower premiums. Renewal retention declined to just below 70%, but the segment recorded a combined ratio of 56.8%, supported by $23 million of favorable reserve development and lighter catastrophe losses.

    How does RLI allocate capital to shareholders?

    In Q2 fiscal 2026, RLI paid a special dividend of $2 per share, in addition to the regular quarterly dividend of $0.18 per share. Total capital returned through the special dividend exceeded $200 million. The company also repurchased approximately 235 thousand shares at an average price of $51.25, and approximately $238 million remained available under the repurchase authorization as of June 30, 2026.

    What does the analyst consensus indicate about RLI stock?

    The analyst consensus rates RLI stock as neutral, with an average target of $61.33. Targets range from $53 to $74, a spread of $21 that indicates clear differences in analyst estimates. The average target lies within the 52-week range of $47.26–$68.29, while the highest target exceeds the top of that range and the average target does not reach it.