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Stocks
Ralph Lauren Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall78
Strong — clearly above market medianHigh FlyerF 7/8Better than 78% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
49
21.2x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
72
14.7%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
91
15.5%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
71
1.9x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
31
1.08%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
54
31.7%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
63
12▲3Around median
RL

RL Ralph Lauren Corporation

Ralph Lauren Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
339.09
▲ ⁦+0.72%⁩ (+2.42)
Market Cap$20.7B
Beta1.37
52w Low52w High
299.98421.60
Last Week
⁦+0.77%⁩
Last Month
⁦-14.74%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-9.92%⁩
Last Year
⁦+9.46%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$339
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$460
⁦+36%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$425–$511⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$184
⁦-46%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.5⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$184–$460⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$456.67
⁦+34.7%⁩
Current Price $339.09·Median $460.00
Low
$425.00
High
$511.00
Current price
$339.09
Average target
$456.67
Street summary

Ralph Lauren (RL) Price Target Update

Bullish tilt

The price target for Ralph Lauren stock has seen a positive revision over the past thirty days, with the average forecast rising by 3.73% to reach $456.67 compared to $440.25 in mid-July. This movement reflects increasing analyst optimism, especially with the stock currently trading at $388.92, a level even lower than the lowest observed price target ($425), indicating a positive price gap expected by the market.

As of 2026-08-14
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.05
Buy
Analyst coverage
19
Buy conviction
89%
High
Target dispersion
25%
Analyst ratings over time19 analysts rating
5
12
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.05
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-07
    Barclays
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-07
    Evercore ISI Group
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-07
    Raymond James
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    21.21x
    4.56x36.49x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    18.64x
    3.79x30.29x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.77x
    2.75x22.03x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    5.0%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    14.7%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    27.3%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    70.3%
    12.0%66.5%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    15.5%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.89x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.1%
    0.1%5.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    22.8%
    8.9%99.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Ralph Lauren Corporation is a global lifestyle products company that derives revenue from women's, men's, and children's apparel, outerwear, handbags, and home products through its stores, digital commerce sites, and wholesale partners. Core products, including jackets, shirts, and caps, represent more than 70% of the business, while direct-to-consumer channels account for about 70% of the mix versus approximately 30% for wholesale; the company supports demand through brand investment, expansion in key cities, and a higher proportion of full-price sales.

In fiscal Q1 2027, revenue increased 14% to $1.96 billion, and adjusted earnings per share reached $4.59 versus expectations of $4.30. On the constant-currency basis used in the call, revenue grew 13%, adjusted operating income increased 23%, adjusted gross margin expanded 130 basis points to 73.6%, and adjusted operating margin expanded 150 basis points to 18.5%. Performance was geographically diversified, with Asia growing 25%, North America 13%, and Europe 5%, while global comparable-store sales increased 12% and wholesale revenue rose 13%.

Fiscal 2026 provides an annual baseline of $8.1 billion in revenue, $5.7 billion in gross profit, $941.1 million in net income, and $15.11 in earnings per share. In fiscal Q4 2026, the company recorded $2.0 billion in revenue, $1.4 billion in gross profit, and $151.6 million in net income. These figures show that fiscal Q1 2027 began from a large base, with further improvement in growth and margins driven by increased full-price sales, lower markdowns, and a better product, channel, and geographic mix.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management raised its fiscal 2027 constant-currency revenue growth outlook to a range of 5%–6% from 4%–5%, while also raising its operating margin expansion outlook to 60–80 basis points from 40–60 basis points and its gross margin expansion outlook to 50–70 basis points.
  • Asia is leading operating momentum; its sales increased 25% in fiscal Q1 2027, China grew more than 40%, and Japan and Korea delivered double-digit growth. The company raised its fiscal 2027 outlook for Asia to growth between the high single digits and low double digits, with China expected to grow in the mid-teens during the year.
  • Average unit retail increased 15% in fiscal Q1 2027 due to increased full-price sales, reduced discounting, selective pricing, and improved mix. Management expects this metric to grow between the mid- and high-single digits in fiscal Q2 2027 and throughout fiscal 2027, helping absorb freight and tariff pressures.
  • Women's apparel, outerwear, and handbags collectively grew more than 20% in fiscal Q1 2027, outpacing the company's growth, while core product sales increased at a mid-teens rate. Product drivers include Polo Play, Polo ID, and lightweight jackets, as well as the launch of Polo Blaze for fall 2026.
  • The company added 1.5 million new customers to its direct-to-consumer business in fiscal Q1 2027, and its social media following increased at a high-single-digit rate to more than 70 million. It also opened 22 company-owned or partner-operated stores and expanded the RL app to Korea, supporting digital expansion and its presence in key cities.
  • Global comparable-store sales increased 12% in fiscal Q1 2027, and the digital sales ecosystem grew at a mid-teens rate. In North America, comparable retail sales increased 9% and comparable digital sales rose 8%, indicating that growth did not depend on a single channel.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Fiscal Q1 2027 combines 13% constant-currency revenue growth with 150 basis points of operating margin expansion, representing simultaneous improvement in scale and profitability supported by increased full-price sales and lower discounting.
  • +Geographic diversification provides more than one growth driver; Asia increased 25%, North America 13%, and Europe 5% in fiscal Q1 2027, with China growing more than 40% and Japan and Korea delivering double-digit growth.
  • +The company is expanding beyond core products, which represent more than 70% of the business, as women's apparel, outerwear, and handbags grew more than 20% in fiscal Q1 2027. This performance gives Ralph Lauren an opportunity to increase the contribution of categories that management describes as high-potential.
  • +The company ended fiscal Q1 2027 with $1.9 billion in cash and short-term investments versus $1.2 billion in total debt, and returned more than $300 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. Net inventory declined 3% in constant currency, supporting sales quality and operating discipline.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The stock has a consensus "Buy" rating with an average price target of $456.67, within a wide range of $425 to $511, and the data include no recent rating or price-target downgrade; instead, Deutsche Bank raised its target to $446 and BTIG to $460 on August 7, 2026. The average target exceeds the upper end of the 52-week range of $421.6 by about 8.3%, while the 52-week range extends from $292.9 to $421.6, reflecting significant variation in the market's valuation during the period. The price-to-earnings ratio is unavailable in the data, so the justification for analysts' targets depends more heavily on continued growth in Asia, improved full-price sales, and margin expansion, balanced against the risks of slowing growth, pressure in Europe, and tariffs in the second half of fiscal 2027.

BuyAnalyst target: $456.67(+34.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove RL stock's fiscal Q1 2027 results?

Ralph Lauren's revenue increased 14% to $1.96 billion, and adjusted earnings per share reached $4.59 versus expectations of $4.30. On a constant-currency basis, revenue grew 13%, adjusted gross margin expanded to 73.6%, and adjusted operating margin expanded to 18.5%. The improvement came from increased full-price sales, lower markdowns, 15% growth in average unit retail, as well as 25% growth in Asia and 13% growth in North America.

How important are China and Asia to Ralph Lauren's growth story?

Asia revenue increased 25% in fiscal Q1 2027, with China growing more than 40% and Japan and Korea delivering double-digit growth. Greater China has grown to represent 10% of the company compared with about 2% before the COVID pandemic, according to management, but the company expects China to grow in the mid-teens during fiscal 2027 due to elevated comparisons in the second half. Local events such as the Ralph Lauren Polo Cup in Beijing supported this momentum, and 74 million people watched the event via livestream.

Can Ralph Lauren continue improving margins in fiscal 2027?

The company raised its fiscal 2027 gross margin expansion outlook to 50–70 basis points and its operating margin expansion outlook to 60–80 basis points. This is supported by mid- to high-single-digit growth in average unit retail, increased full-price sales, lower discounting, and an improved product, channel, and geographic mix. In contrast, management expects expansion to be concentrated in the first half because assumed tariffs rise to the high teens in the second half while freight and energy pressures persist.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Europe represents about 30% of the company, but regional revenue grew only 5% and comparable retail sales increased 1% in fiscal Q1 2027, with store traffic pressured by a weak consumer environment, energy costs, lower tourism from the Middle East, and disruption to partner sales in the region.
  • −The outlook indicates a clear slowdown after the strong start; following 13% constant-currency revenue growth in fiscal Q1 2027, management is targeting only 5%–6% for fiscal 2027. It also expects China to grow in the mid-teens during the year, after more than 40% in the first quarter, due to elevated comparisons in the second half.
  • −The reduction of off-price channel sales and exit from lower-tier stores in North America will pressure the second half of fiscal 2027, and management expects the effects of these actions to outweigh growth in the underlying full-price business. It therefore expects only low-single-digit growth in North America for the year despite a 13% increase in the first quarter.
  • −North American wholesale growth of 22% in fiscal Q1 2027 included a contribution of approximately 15 percentage points from shipment timing and the resumption of supply to a luxury wholesale account. European wholesale, which grew 8%, also benefited by about 5 percentage points from accelerating shipments scheduled for the following quarter, reducing the repeatability of the reported growth rates.
  • −Management expects margin expansion to be concentrated in the first half of fiscal 2027, assuming U.S. tariffs return to reciprocal rates in the high teens during the second half after approximately 10% in the first half. This is compounded by modest pressure from freight, energy, labor, and non-cotton material costs.
  • −The company expects foreign currency to have a negative impact of 50–100 basis points on fiscal 2027 revenue growth, rising to an expected impact of 100–150 basis points in fiscal Q2 2027. This makes reported growth weaker than constant-currency operating growth even if management's targets are achieved.
  • What role do new products and high-potential categories play in RL stock?

    Women's apparel, outerwear, and handbags collectively grew more than 20% in fiscal Q1 2027, outpacing the company's growth. Supporting products included Polo Play, Polo ID, and lightweight jackets, while the company identified the launch of Polo Blaze for fall 2026 as the next major handbag launch. At the same time, sales of core products, which represent more than 70% of the business, increased at a mid-teens rate.

    What are the key risks to monitor for Ralph Lauren during fiscal 2027?

    The main operating risks are weak European store traffic, higher energy costs, reduced tourism from the Middle East, and U.S. tariffs in the second half. The company also expects revenue growth to slow from 13% in constant currency in fiscal Q1 2027 to 5%–6% for the full year, with a negative currency impact of 50–100 basis points. In addition, the reduction of off-price channels and lower-tier stores in North America will affect the second half, while first-quarter wholesale results included temporary benefits from shipment timing.

    What does the insider selling signal mean for RL stock?

    The insider signal is classified as a "Strong Sell," with net sales totaling $105.8 million during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 18, 2026. The data show four sales and no purchases during that period. However, insider selling remains a weak standalone signal because these transactions may have been prearranged, and the data include no evidence that the sales reflect a deterioration in Ralph Lauren's business outlook.