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Stocks
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall73
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 5/9Better than 73% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
82
13.3x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
32
2.7%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
59
10.8%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
65
2.5x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
61
4.23%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
52
13.3%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
72
4▲3Top tier
REYN

REYN Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.

Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
21.75
▲ ⁦+0.83%⁩ (+0.18)
Market Cap$4.5B
Beta0.54
52w Low52w High
20.4427.32
Last Week
⁦-0.37%⁩
Last Month
⁦-17.08%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-7.13%⁩
Last Year
⁦-4.65%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$22
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$25
⁦+15%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$24–$25⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$26
⁦+21%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$25–$26⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$24.67
⁦+13.4%⁩
Current Price $21.75·Median $25.00
Low
$24.00
High
$25.00
Current price
$21.75
Average target
$24.67
Street summary

Reynolds Consumer Products (REYN) stock price target analysis

Bearish tilt

REYN stock has seen a slight improvement in its average price target over the past thirty days, with the consensus rising from $24 to $24.67, an increase of 2.79%. This change was accompanied by an upgrade of the stock's rating by Piper Sandler to "Overweight" on July 30, 2026, indicating a positive shift in the sentiment of some analysts, although other institutions such as UBS continue to maintain a neutral rating.

As of 2026-08-06
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.29
Hold
Analyst coverage
7
Buy conviction
29%
Target dispersion
5%
Analyst ratings over time7 analysts rating
2
5
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.38 → 3.29
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-07-30
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-16
    UBS
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-04-14
    Barclays
    —· $24.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    13.26x
    4.61x36.85x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    13.44x
    3.86x30.86x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.40x
    2.86x22.90x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    9.4%
    -37.4%14.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    2.7%
    -16.7%29.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    10.1%
    -135.4%136.3%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    25.1%
    9.2%67.5%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    10.8%
    -29.3%20.8%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.52x
    0.61x4.86x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    4.2%
    0.9%8.3%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    56.1%
    15.9%176.6%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. operates in consumer household products through a portfolio that includes Reynolds Wrap aluminum foil, Reynolds Parchment Paper and Reynolds Kitchens products, trash bags, food storage bags, and tableware products under the Hefty brand, as well as store-brand products. Revenue comes from four main operating units: Reynolds Cooking & Kitchen Essentials, Hefty Waste & Clean-Up, Hefty Home & Tableware, and Hefty Storage & Organization, with performance dependent on pricing, retail sales volume, store distribution, and non-retail sales.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue reached $944 million, up 1% from the comparable period, while adjusted EBITDA reached $171 million, up $8 million, or approximately 5%. This equates to an adjusted margin of approximately 18.1%, while gross margin improved by 200 basis points due to manufacturing and supply chain productivity. Adjusted EPS rose 7% to $0.42, marking, along with adjusted earnings, three consecutive quarters of growth.

The performance mix in Q2 fiscal 2026 varied across units: Hefty Storage & Organization generated record second-quarter revenue and retail volumes grew 8%, Hefty Waste & Clean-Up maintained stable retail volumes despite the loss of some private-label distribution, while foam product volumes in Hefty Home & Tableware remained under pressure. During the first half of fiscal 2026, revenue reached $1.8 billion, up 4%, adjusted EBITDA reached $302 million, up 8%, and operating cash flow increased to $173 million from $147 million. Meanwhile, EDGAR data for Q1 fiscal 2026 showed revenue of $877 million, gross profit of $207 million, and net income of $59 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 23.6%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management raised its fiscal 2026 net revenue outlook to low-single-digit growth compared with fiscal 2025 revenue of $3.721 billion, from a previous outlook centered on a 1% decline, supported by price increases and retail volume outperformance in the first half.
  • Productivity gains from manufacturing, automation, and the supply chain are accelerating; gross margin improved by 200 basis points in Q2 fiscal 2026 and 120 basis points in the first half, while full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance was maintained at $660 to $675 million.
  • Hefty Storage & Organization generated record second-quarter revenue, and retail volumes rose 8%, while Hefty food bag e-commerce sales grew approximately 30% year over year and gained market share during Q2 fiscal 2026.
  • In the first half of fiscal 2026, Hefty trash bags achieved low-double-digit distribution growth, and both volume and sales for branded products grew by two points, while maintaining market share and increasing dollar and unit sales velocity.
  • Digital channels supported the brand’s presence in July 2026, with Hefty Ultra Strong ranking among the top five best-selling products across all categories during Amazon Prime Day, while Zoo Pals also recorded a strong consumer response during the same event.
  • Price increases are intended to offset approximately $400 million in commodity pressures on an annualized basis, compared with an estimate of $200 million in April 2026; aluminum product price increases were approximately 20 points in each of Q1 and Q2 fiscal 2026, while management indicated a low-double-digit level of price increases companywide.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Manufacturing and automation initiatives have demonstrated their ability to convert limited revenue growth into faster earnings growth, as Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue rose 1% compared with adjusted EBITDA growth of approximately 5% and adjusted EPS growth of 7%.
  • +The Hefty portfolio is showing tangible momentum in distribution and e-commerce; Hefty Storage & Organization retail volumes rose 8%, online food bag sales grew approximately 30%, and the branded trash bag business achieved two-point growth in both volume and sales during the first half of fiscal 2026.
  • +The company maintained its fiscal 2026 adjusted net income outlook of $331 to $343 million and adjusted EPS outlook of $1.57 to $1.63, despite doubling its estimate of commodity pressures to $400 million on an annualized basis.
  • +Cash generation improved, with operating cash flow rising to $173 million in the first half of fiscal 2026 from $147 million, alongside a 25% increase in capital expenditures to fund growth, automation, and cost-reduction projects.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

Analyst consensus on REYN is neutral, with an average price target of $24.67 and an extremely narrow range of $24 to $25. This average is below the 52-week range high of $27.32 and above its low of $20.44, while the available data do not provide a valid comparable P/E multiple; therefore, the re-rating rationale primarily depends on the sustainability of margin improvement in the face of $400 million in commodity pressures and demand elasticity following the price increases.

HoldAnalyst target: $24.67(+13.4%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

How did Reynolds Consumer Products achieve earnings growth in Q2 fiscal 2026 despite weak revenue growth?

Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue reached approximately $944 million, up 1%, while adjusted EBITDA rose approximately 5% to $171 million. Gross margin improved by 200 basis points due to manufacturing and supply chain productivity, more than 12 months after implementation of the automation program. As a result, adjusted EPS rose 7% to $0.42, and adjusted earnings grew for the third consecutive quarter.

What are the main growth drivers for the Hefty brand in fiscal 2026?

Hefty Storage & Organization generated record second-quarter revenue, and retail volumes rose 8% in Q2 fiscal 2026, driven by Hefty-branded and store-brand food bags. Hefty food bag e-commerce sales grew approximately 30% year over year, while Hefty Ultra Strong ranked among the top five best-selling products across all categories during Amazon Prime Day in July 2026. In the trash bag business, distribution increased by a low-double-digit percentage, and both volume and sales grew by two points during the first half of fiscal 2026.

What is Reynolds Consumer Products’ outlook for fiscal 2026?

Management raised its net revenue outlook to low-single-digit growth compared with fiscal 2025 revenue of $3.721 billion, from a previous outlook centered on a 1% decline. It maintained the net income and adjusted net income range at $331 to $343 million, and EPS and adjusted EPS at $1.57 to $1.63. It also maintained adjusted EBITDA guidance at $660 to $675 million despite estimated commodity pressures rising to $400 million on an annualized basis.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
The estimate of commodity pressures on an annualized basis rose to approximately $400 million at the end of June 2026, from $200 million in April 2026, creating substantial reliance on productivity and price increases to protect earnings.
  • −Price increases implemented in July 2026 could reduce demand, as management expects price elasticity to create additional pressure in the second half and stated that additional pricing would be a mathematical headwind to the gross margin rate.
  • −The company operates in a highly competitive and promotional environment, with continued pressure on consumer spending; the price gap between Reynolds Wrap and private-label products widened slightly during Q2 fiscal 2026, although it generally remained below one dollar.
  • −The loss of distribution for some private-label products created a two-point volume headwind in the first half of fiscal 2026, with the impact more pronounced in Hefty Storage & Organization, while foam product volumes in Hefty Home & Tableware remained under pressure.
  • −The Q3 fiscal 2026 outlook indicates a slowdown compared with first-half momentum, with revenue approximately flat versus $931 million in the comparable period and adjusted EBITDA of $160 to $165 million versus $168 million.
  • −Analyst consensus is neutral, and the average target of $24.67 is confined to a narrow range of $24 to $25, reflecting a lack of strong agreement on substantial re-rating potential; the average target also stands below the 52-week range high of $27.32.
  • What is the impact of higher aluminum and resin prices on REYN?

    The company estimated commodity pressures at approximately $400 million on an annualized basis at the end of June 2026, compared with an estimate of $200 million in April 2026. To address this, aluminum price increases were approximately 20 points in each of Q1 and Q2 fiscal 2026, and cost-offsetting price increases for resin-based products began in July 2026. The risk is that these increases could weaken volumes, while management said additional pricing would be a mathematical headwind to the margin rate in the second half.

    Are Reynolds Wrap and Hefty maintaining their market shares after the price increases?

    During the first half of fiscal 2026, the company maintained its shares in aluminum foil and trash bags, while food bags, party cups, parchment paper, and Reynolds Kitchens products gained market share. Management reported that aluminum foil category volumes during the last four weeks of the period discussed on July 29, 2026, declined between 4% and 5%, while retail dollar sales rose by a low-double-digit percentage. The gap between Reynolds Wrap and private-label products also generally remained below one dollar, despite widening slightly during Q2 fiscal 2026.