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Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc.
REXR

REXR Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc.

Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
38.04
▲ ⁦+2.81%⁩ (+1.04)
Market Cap$8.7B
Beta1.21
52w Low52w High
32.1444.38
Last Week
⁦+3.85%⁩
Last Month
⁦+5.11%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+5.64%⁩
Last Year
⁦-4.92%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall42
Weak — below market medianFalling StarF 6/9Better than 42% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
21
—17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
23
0.5%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
54
2.0%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
48
6.5x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
84
4.55%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
46
-9.1%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
70
4▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$38
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$39
⁦+3%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$36–$43⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-1.89
⁦-105%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.7⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$-1.89–$39⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$39.17
⁦+3.0%⁩
Current Price $38.04·Median $39.00
Low
$36.00
High
$43.00
Current price
$38.04
Average target
$39.17
Street summary

Higher Average Price Target Amid Divergent Outlook

The average price target rose over the last 30 days from 37.50 to 39.17, an increase of 4.45%, while there was no change over the last 7 days or 1 day. The current price is 37.43, placing it slightly below the average target, with a target range of 36 to 43 from three analysts, reflecting a clear divergence in valuations.

As of 2026-09-08
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+4.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.11
Hold
Analyst coverage
18
Buy conviction
33%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
18%
Analyst ratings over time18 analysts rating
2
4
9
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.29 → 3.11
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-01
    Wells Fargo
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-31
    Scotiabank
    Sector Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-19
    Raymond James
    Underperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    36.41x
    5.89x47.13x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    24.10x
    3.68x29.40x
    Expensive
  • FCF Yield
    2.7%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    0.5%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -233.3%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Weak
  • Gross Margin
    76.8%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    2.0%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Near median
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    6.45x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    4.5%
    0.6%15.6%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-24 data

Company Overview

Rexford Industrial Realty focuses on owning, operating, repositioning, and developing industrial properties within supply-constrained Southern California markets, and generates its revenue primarily by leasing these spaces. Its portfolio under review totaled approximately 51 million square feet; it intends to sell 8 million square feet of non-core assets, leaving a core portfolio of 43 million square feet. Operating demand was diversified across advanced manufacturing, logistics, food and beverage, automotive, and construction, with particular strength in spaces smaller than 50 thousand square feet.

In Q2 fiscal year 2026, the company reported revenue of $245.5 million and a net loss of $504.1 million, equivalent to a loss of $2.26 per share. The results included a $625 million non-cash asset impairment charge resulting from shortening the holding period of assets designated for sale; this charge was excluded from core funds from operations. Core funds from operations were $0.63 per share, and same-property net operating income achieved cash growth of 1.5% and contracted by 0.5% on a net effective basis, while period-end occupancy reached 95.1%.

Leasing volume totaled 2.1 million square feet in Q2 fiscal year 2026, bringing the first-half total to 6.2 million square feet, an increase of 2 million square feet from the first half of fiscal year 2025. However, cash re-leasing spreads were negative 11.3% due to the renewal of leases signed at the market peak, while market rents declined by slightly more than 1% from the previous quarter. At the market level, IE West and San Diego shifted to positive net absorption, and Greater Los Angeles recorded its second consecutive positive quarter, while Orange County remained under pressure from negative absorption and competitive supply.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Rexford Industrial Realty raised the midpoint of its fiscal year 2026 core funds from operations per-share guidance by $0.01 for the second consecutive time, driven by better-than-expected same-property net operating income performance, lower general and administrative expenses, and settlement proceeds in Q2 fiscal year 2026.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The company plans to sell between $1.5 billion and $2.0 billion of non-core assets during fiscal year 2026, representing 8 million square feet, with advanced negotiations underway for a substantial portion and the majority expected to close by the end of fiscal year 2026.
  • The company will allocate $1 billion of the sale proceeds to repay debt maturing in 2027, which is expected to reduce net debt to adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization from 4.5 times to 3.5 times; it also lowered its fiscal year 2026 interest expense forecast to $105 million.
  • The board of directors authorized a new $1 billion share repurchase program, after spending $100 million to purchase approximately 3 million shares at a weighted average of $36 during fiscal year 2026, with purchases over the 12 months ended Q2 fiscal year 2026 reaching approximately $550 million, representing nearly 6% of shares outstanding.
  • The company raised its fiscal year 2026 average same-property occupancy forecast to a range of 95.3%–95.7% and increased the midpoint of its same-property net operating income growth forecast by 75 basis points on both a cash and net effective basis.
  • The existing repositioning and development projects represent an opportunity to add $50 million of annual net operating income after lease-up is completed, and the company also commenced the 16.4 thousand Gale project, which is expected to be completed in late 2027 at a yield more than 200 basis points above the stabilized capitalization rate.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The sale of non-core assets could improve cash flow quality; the targeted assets carry in-place rents more than 20% above market, shorter lease terms, and greater competitive supply, while management confirmed that the development and repositioning pipeline carrying a $50 million annual net operating income opportunity will not be included in the sales.
    • +The capital allocation plan combines reducing expected leverage to 3.5 times, avoiding the refinancing of a large portion of the 2027 maturities in a higher-interest-rate environment, and a new $1 billion share repurchase program; according to management, the company's previous purchases generated a funds from operations yield of between 6% and 7%.
    • +Operating activity improved in Q2 fiscal year 2026, as first-half leasing volume rose approximately 50% year over year to 6.2 million square feet, and period-end occupancy reached 95.1%, an increase of 30 basis points year over year.
    • +Supply scarcity could support the value of the 43 million-square-foot core portfolio; industrial supply under construction in Southern California was at its lowest level in decades, alongside positive net absorption and a 30-basis-point decline in market vacancy in Q2 fiscal year 2026.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The company incurred a net loss of $504.1 million in Q2 fiscal year 2026, and its loss for the 12 months ended in 2026 was approximately $388.5 million; the primary factor was a $625 million non-cash impairment charge related to assets largely acquired at the market peak that are being prepared for sale.
    • −The portfolio restructuring entails significant execution and pricing risks, as the company aims to sell up to $2 billion of assets during fiscal year 2026 without yet disclosing capitalization rates or transaction valuations, and it acknowledged the possibility of recording additional impairment charges if other assets are added to the sale pool.
    • −Rent pressure remains; cash re-leasing spreads were negative 11.3% in Q2 fiscal year 2026, and the company expects a range of negative 15% to negative 10% for fiscal year 2026, while the portfolio's cash-to-market rent metric declined from negative 3% to negative 4%.
    • −Market rents declined by slightly more than 1% quarter over quarter in Q2 fiscal year 2026, and Orange County continued to record negative net absorption due to additional supply, while blended development yield assumptions were reduced by 50 basis points from the previous quarter.
    • −Average occupancy declined by approximately 60 basis points quarter over quarter due to the departure of 2 large tenants in IE West, 1 of which was related to a bankruptcy, and management expects a further decline of between 50 and 100 basis points in Q3 fiscal year 2026 before an anticipated improvement in Q4 fiscal year 2026.
    • −There is no positive price-to-earnings multiple on which to rely due to accounting losses, while the average analyst target of $37.6 is within the 52-week range of $32.14–$44.38 and approximately 15% below its high; therefore, valuation support depends heavily on the successful sale of assets and redeployment of the proceeds without weakening funds from operations per share.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $37.6 and a relatively narrow target range of $36 to $40; the average is within the 52-week range of $32.14–$44.38 and approximately 15% below the upper end of the range. There is no positive price-to-earnings multiple due to the $388.5 million net loss for the 12 months ended in 2026, making the stock's valuation more dependent on funds from operations, asset value, and the outcome of the $1.5–$2.0 billion asset sale plan.

    BuyAnalyst target: $37.6(-1.2%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    Why did REXR report a large loss in Q2 fiscal year 2026 despite growth in core funds from operations?

    Rexford Industrial Realty reported a net loss of $504.1 million and a loss of $2.26 per share in Q2 fiscal year 2026. The period included a $625 million non-cash asset impairment charge after shortening the holding period of assets designated for sale. This charge was excluded from core funds from operations, which were $0.63 per share and increased by $0.02 from Q1 fiscal year 2026. Therefore, net income reflects the impact of the portfolio accounting decision to a greater extent than the period's underlying operating cash flow.

    What are the details of Rexford Industrial Realty's asset sale plan?

    The company aims to sell between $1.5 billion and $2.0 billion of non-core assets during fiscal year 2026, totaling approximately 8 million square feet. These assets generally feature in-place rents more than 20% above market, shorter lease terms, fewer value-add opportunities, and greater competitive supply. As of July 24, 2026, the company was in advanced negotiations regarding a substantial portion of the sales and expected to complete the majority by the end of fiscal year 2026. After execution, the continuing core portfolio is expected to consist of approximately 43 million square feet.

    How will REXR use the proceeds from asset sales?

    The company plans to direct $1 billion toward repaying debt maturing in 2027 instead of refinancing it at higher rates. It expects this to reduce net debt to adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization from 4.5 times in Q2 fiscal year 2026 to 3.5 times. It also intends to use the remaining proceeds selectively for share repurchases and repositioning and development projects, and the board of directors has authorized a new $1 billion repurchase program. Management expects the redeployment to be at least neutral and potentially accretive to funds from operations per share in 2027, depending on market conditions.

    Is the industrial real estate market in which Rexford Industrial Realty operates improving?

    The Southern California infill industrial market recorded positive net absorption in Q2 fiscal year 2026, and vacancy declined by 30 basis points. IE West and San Diego shifted to positive absorption, and Greater Los Angeles recorded its second consecutive positive quarter, while Orange County remained negative. Within the company's portfolio, first-half leasing totaled 6.2 million square feet, an increase of 2 million square feet from the first half of fiscal year 2025. However, market rents declined by slightly more than 1% quarter over quarter, indicating that the recovery remained uneven across regions and space types.

    What is the impact of negative re-leasing spreads at REXR?

    Cash re-leasing spreads were negative 11.3% in Q2 fiscal year 2026 due to the renewal of leases signed at the market peak. The company expects these spreads to range between negative 15% and negative 10% during fiscal year 2026, with pressure continuing through 2027. The sales target assets with in-place rents more than 20% above market to reduce future downside risk. However, management acknowledged that the retained portfolio will also face pressure during the 2 years following the July 24, 2026 call, although it described this as a known and diminishing headwind.

    What supports REXR's growth after reducing the portfolio?

    The company estimates that the existing repositioning and development pipeline can add $50 million of annual net operating income after lease-up is completed, and it confirmed that this opportunity will not be sold as part of the restructuring plan. In Q2 fiscal year 2026, it commenced the 16.4 thousand Gale project in City of Industry, which is expected to be completed in late 2027 at a yield more than 200 basis points above the stabilized capitalization rate. It also leased 2 buildings under construction in South Bay before their completion and signed leases at the Plummer and Avenue Kearny projects. This is supplemented by the $1 billion share repurchase program and the reduction in targeted general and administrative expenses from $60 million to $57 million in fiscal year 2026.