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Regency Centers Corporation
REG

REG Regency Centers Corporation

Regency Centers Corporation · NASDAQ
Market Closed
74.62
▼ ⁦-0.92%⁩ (-0.69)
Market Cap$13.6B
Beta0.82
52w Low52w High
66.8683.66
Last Week
⁦-1.57%⁩
Last Month
⁦-3.24%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-3.53%⁩
Last Year
⁦+2.97%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall45
Weak — below market medianMomentum TrapF 7/9Better than 45% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
31
25.1x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
68
8.3%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
43
8.5%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
51
3.6x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
49
3.85%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
56
6.8%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
47
7▲3Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$75
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$85
⁦+14%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$83–$92⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-6.82
⁦-109%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.0⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$-6.82–$85⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$86.63
⁦+16.1%⁩
Current Price $74.62·Median $85.00
Low
$83.00
High
$92.00
Current price
$74.62
Average target
$86.63
Street summary

Price Forecast Analysis for Regency Centers (REG)

Bullish tilt

The stock has seen stability in its average price target at $86.63 over the past 21 days, following a slight increase of 0.73% recorded 30 days ago. The stock is currently trading at $76.69, a level significantly below even the lowest analyst price forecast ($83), indicating a positive price gap. Furthermore, analyst dispersion shows a relatively narrow range between $83 and $92, reflecting a consensus on the stock's fair value.

As of 2026-08-24
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.75
Buy
Analyst coverage
20
Buy conviction
55%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
12%
Analyst ratings over time20 analysts rating
4
7
9
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.77 → 3.75
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-17
    Barclays
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-09
    UBS
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-06-29
    Raymond James
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    25.12x
    5.03x40.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    29.87x
    5.89x47.13x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    13.14x
    3.68x29.40x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    1.5%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    8.3%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    38.8%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    17.3%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    8.5%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.62x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    3.8%
    0.6%15.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    96.6%
    31.2%370.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Regency Centers Corporation owns, develops, and redevelops open-air shopping centers in strong neighborhoods and suburbs, with a primary focus on grocery-anchored centers. Its revenue comes from rent, tenant reimbursements of property expenses, lease termination fees, and additional income sources such as solar energy, electric vehicle charging, and marketing events; additional income reached an annualized rate of approximately $35 million in Q2 FY 2026. Its tenant mix includes grocery, health and wellness, restaurants, personal services, and value retailers, while medical and fitness businesses represented approximately 12% of annual base rent, an increase of 200 basis points over approximately five years.

In Q1 FY 2026, Regency Centers reported revenue of $412.5 million and net income of $128.5 million, representing a calculated net income margin of approximately 31.2%. For comparison across the disclosed periods, FY 2025 revenue was approximately $1.6 billion and net income was $527.5 million, while the figures for the trailing twelve months ending in FY 2026 were approximately $1.6 billion and $546.4 million, respectively. The provided data did not include gross profit or earnings per share, so the profitability assessment here focuses on net income and the operating metrics presented in the earnings call.

The Q2 FY 2026 call showed 3.8% growth in same-property net operating income, with a leased rate of approximately 97% and rent-paying occupancy of 94.5%. Cash rent spreads exceeded 10%, accounting rent spreads approached 20%, and the tenant retention rate was 84%. Leased space for which rent collection had not yet begun also exceeded current occupancy by approximately 240 basis points, giving the company a path to convert signed leases into actual revenue.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On July 30, 2026, Regency Centers raised its FY 2026 outlook after increasing the midpoint of its same-property net operating income growth range by 40 basis points, and it now expects total net operating income growth in the mid-6% range and core operating earnings per share growth above 5%.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Leasing strength supports internal growth; the leased rate in Q2 FY 2026 reached approximately 97%, rent-paying occupancy increased by 20 basis points, cash rent spreads exceeded 10%, and accounting spreads approached 20%. More than 80% of new small-shop leases also included annual increases of 3% or more.
  • The company is targeting nearly $400 million of development and redevelopment starts during FY 2026, after starting more than $140 million of projects year to date. These investments include the $55 million Berkman at Durbin Park project, which is associated with Whole Foods and TJ Maxx stores in a suburb of Jacksonville.
  • Development projects under construction totaled $680 million, with an expected blended yield of 9% and a leased rate of 80%. The openings of Trader Joe's at The Golden Hills and Kroger at Westchester Plaza ahead of schedule accelerated the commencement of rent collection from these projects.
  • Liquidity provides flexibility to fund expansion; management expected approximately $180 million of free cash flow in FY 2026, with leverage at the low end of the targeted range of 5 to 5.5 times and nearly full availability under a $1.5 billion revolving credit facility.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Regency Centers' model combines internal growth supported by high occupancy and strong rent spreads with external growth led by development projects; same-property net operating income grew 3.8% in Q2 FY 2026, while the expected yield on the development portfolio under construction was 9%.
    • +Signed leases that are not yet generating rent provide a visible source of growth, with the gap between them and current occupancy reaching approximately 240 basis points compared with a historically stable level of approximately 180 basis points. This reinforces management's expectation that average rent-paying occupancy will continue to rise during the second half of FY 2026.
    • +The focus on grocery-anchored neighborhood centers gives Regency Centers a demand base spanning necessities, services, and value, and management confirmed on July 30, 2026 that tenant sales continued to grow, visitor traffic increased, and receivables remained below historical averages.
    • +The A-rated balance sheet supports funding the project portfolio; leverage is within the 5 to 5.5 times range, expected free cash flow is approximately $180 million, and the $1.5 billion revolving facility is nearly fully available.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −A pullback in tenant plans could delay the conversion of space into rent; a major electric vehicle charging station operator decided not to open 11 locations under a package agreement, although it continued operating approximately 15 locations and paying rent through the end of FY 2026. Regency Centers received a termination fee equivalent to four years of rent and began negotiations to re-lease 8 of the 11 locations, but the event highlights execution risks associated with tenant expansion plans.
    • −The company lowered its non-cash revenue outlook in Q2 FY 2026 because of the reversal of accumulated straight-line rent for a lease moved to cash-basis accounting, in addition to lower amortization of below-market rents. Management confirmed that the tenant in question continued making cash payments, but these items moved in a negative direction within the funds from operations metric.
    • −Development projects face volatility in construction costs related to fuel prices, supply chains, and tariffs. Regency Centers seeks to mitigate this by obtaining binding bids for most costs before starting a project and including allowances for contingencies and cost escalation, but management acknowledged that some projects could experience overruns despite its record of delivering on time and on budget in most cases.
    • −Competition to acquire grocery-anchored shopping centers has intensified, with capitalization rates falling from approximately the mid-5% range to deals beginning below 5% by Q2 FY 2026. This could reduce acquisition returns or push Regency Centers to rely more heavily on longer-duration development projects, although management emphasized that it would remain selective.
    • −Valuation poses a risk if the stated occupancy increases and development returns do not materialize; the average analyst target of $86.63 exceeds the high end of the 52-week range of $83.66, while the target range extends from $83 to $92. The price-to-earnings ratio is also unavailable in the provided data, preventing its use to determine whether the valuation is conservative or elevated.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $86.63 and a target range of $83 to $92. The average target is above the 52-week high of $83.66, and even the lowest target exceeds that high by a limited margin, reflecting expectations for continued occupancy and development growth, but leaving clear sensitivity to any execution or margin setbacks. A price-to-earnings ratio is not available in the provided data, so the attractiveness of the valuation cannot be confirmed using the traditional earnings metric.

    BuyAnalyst target: $86.63(+16.1%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving Regency Centers' growth in FY 2026?

    Growth depends on higher occupancy, rent spreads, and the development portfolio. In Q2 FY 2026, same-property net operating income grew 3.8%, the leased rate reached approximately 97%, and cash rent spreads exceeded 10%. The company also raised its outlook to total net operating income growth in the mid-6% range and core operating earnings per share growth above 5%.

    How important is the development portfolio to REG stock?

    Projects under construction totaled $680 million on July 30, 2026, with an expected blended yield of 9% and a leased rate of 80%. Regency Centers expects development and redevelopment starts to approach $400 million during FY 2026, after starting more than $140 million since the beginning of the year. Specific projects include the $55 million Berkman at Durbin Park, which is associated with Whole Foods and TJ Maxx stores.

    Does Regency Centers have additional room to increase occupancy?

    Rent-paying occupancy was 94.5% in Q2 FY 2026, while the leased rate approached 97%. The gap associated with signed leases for which rent had not yet commenced was approximately 240 basis points, compared with a historically stable level of approximately 180 basis points. Management believes that converting these leases into rent-paying tenants will support net operating income and expense reimbursements.

    How does Regency Centers fund its projects and acquisitions?

    The funding plan begins with expected free cash flow of approximately $180 million in FY 2026. Leverage was at the low end of the targeted range of 5 to 5.5 times, with nearly full availability under the $1.5 billion revolving credit facility. The company can also use debt, equity, or partnerships, including its partnership of more than 20 years with the state of Oregon.

    What are the main operating risks facing REG?

    Risks include pullbacks in some tenants' plans, construction cost volatility, and intensifying acquisition competition. In Q2 FY 2026, an electric vehicle charging station operator canceled the opening of 11 locations, although the company received a termination fee equivalent to four years of rent and began working to re-lease 8 locations. Capitalization rates on some grocery-center transactions also fell to levels beginning below 5%, alongside volatility in fuel, supply chains, and tariffs.

    What do Regency Centers' liquidity and balance sheet look like?

    Management described the balance sheet as A-rated during the July 30, 2026 call. Leverage was at the low end of the targeted range of 5 to 5.5 times, with expected free cash flow of approximately $180 million in FY 2026. The $1.5 billion revolving credit facility was also nearly fully available, supporting the funding of projects and investment opportunities.

    −
    Insider activity recorded one sale and no purchases, for net selling of approximately $99.4 thousand over the three months through the latest transaction on June 12, 2026. This is a weak signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the provided data contain no evidence to the contrary.