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Stocks
Rogers Communications Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall90
Excellent — top fifth of the marketContrarianF 4/8Better than 90% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
94
4.5x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
79
8.7%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
70
14.7%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
47
3.1x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
53
3.28%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
43
-3.2%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
93
10▲3Top tier
RCI

RCI Rogers Communications Inc.

Rogers Communications Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
36.21
▲ ⁦+0.33%⁩ (+0.12)
Market Cap$19.5B
Beta0.79
52w Low52w High
31.3841.14
Last Week
⁦-0.55%⁩
Last Month
⁦+5.05%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-5.26%⁩
Last Year
⁦+1.06%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$36
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$36
⁦-1%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$36–$36⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$4.39
⁦-88%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$4.39–$36⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$36.00
⁦-0.6%⁩
Current Price $36.21·Median $36.00
Low
$36.00
High
$36.00
Street summary

Analysis of Rogers Communications (RCI) stock targets

Bullish tilt

Rogers Communications stock has seen stability in its price target at 36 over the past thirty days, following a slight decline of 2.7% from the level of 37 recorded at the end of June 2026. Notably, there is a complete lack of dispersion among the five analysts, as both the high and low estimates converged at 36, indicating a full technical consensus on the current fair value of the stock, which provides an estimated growth margin of about 5.6% compared to the current price of 34.08.

As of 2026-07-30
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.89
Buy
Analyst coverage
18
Buy conviction
72%
High
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time18 analysts rating
6
7
3
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.74 → 3.89
Recent analyst moves
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    Outperform
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    4.50x
    4.21x33.71x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    5.29x
    2.57x20.60x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    10.1%
    -33.4%21.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    8.7%
    -16.2%48.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    308.2%
    -464.8%138.2%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    39.0%
    11.3%77.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    14.7%
    -33.6%17.7%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.07x
    0.60x5.67x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    3.3%
    0.0%9.4%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    14.8%
    5.9%105.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-22 data

Company Overview

Rogers Communications Inc. operates through three interconnected businesses: wireless communications, cable and internet services, and sports and media. It generates revenue from mobile subscriptions and tiered service plans, internet and cable services, and broadcasting rights, subscriptions, attendance at sports venues, and media assets, including Toronto Blue Jays, Rogers Centre, and Sportsnet. Its sports and media portfolio also includes MLSE, and it intends to purchase the remaining 25% stake to become its sole owner after obtaining league approvals.

In fiscal Q2 2026, consolidated service revenue rose 8% to C$5.1 billion, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 3% to C$2.4 billion. The adjusted wireless margin reached 66% and the cable margin reached 58%, both improving year over year, while the sports and media segment generated C$1.2 billion in revenue, up 53%, and C$69 million in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, compared with C$8 million a year earlier. The company added 40 thousand net wireless subscribers and 17 thousand net retail internet subscribers, and generated approximately C$1 billion in free cash flow, up 6%.

In fiscal 2025, revenue was $21.7 billion, gross profit was $9.8 billion, net income was $6.9 billion, and earnings per share were $12.74. This represents a gross profit margin of approximately 45.2% and a net income margin of approximately 31.8%, compared with revenue of $20.6 billion and net income of $1.7 billion in fiscal 2024. Revenue therefore increased by approximately 5.3% between fiscal 2024 and fiscal 2025, but the provided information does not specify the reasons for the significant increase in net income.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Rogers reduced capital expenditures in fiscal Q2 2026 by 16% to C$0.7 billion, lowering capital intensity by 350 basis points to 12.4%, its lowest level since fiscal Q1 2008, which supported a 6% increase in free cash flow to approximately C$1 billion.
  • The company reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 capital expenditure range of C$2.5 billion to C$2.7 billion and expects further reductions in fiscal Q3 and Q4 2026 and accelerating free cash flow growth during the second half of the year. Management also stated that this level represents the expected spending rate for several subsequent periods, while it continues to seek additional efficiencies.
  • Sports and media revenue increased 53% to C$1.2 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, with approximately C$0.3 billion of the increase coming from the consolidation of MLSE. Excluding this effect, Rogers Sports & Media revenue grew organically by 13%, or approximately C$100 million, supported by Toronto Blue Jays revenue, attendance exceeding 95% of capacity at home games at Rogers Centre, and revenue from Warner Bros. Discovery channels launched in 2025.
  • Rogers signed an agreement to purchase the remaining 25% stake in MLSE at a negotiated valuation of C$4.35 billion and is targeting completion of the transaction in fiscal Q4 2026 following league approvals. After combining MLSE with Rogers Sports & Media, the company aims to sell a non-voting minority stake in the combined entity during the first half of 2027 and use the proceeds to reduce debt.
  • Customer retention metrics improved in fiscal Q2 2026, as postpaid mobile phone churn declined to 0.94%, improving by 6 basis points year over year. In cable, the company delivered its fifth consecutive quarter of service revenue growth and added 17 thousand net internet subscribers, while both cable service revenue and adjusted earnings grew organically by 2% after excluding the impact of the sale of the colocation data center business in December 2025.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The reduction in capital intensity to 12.4% and the increase in free cash flow to approximately C$1 billion in fiscal Q2 2026 provide greater capacity to reduce debt, and leverage had already declined to 3.8 times on June 30, 2026, from 4 times on December 31, 2025.
  • +The sports and media segment demonstrated growth that was not entirely dependent on the consolidation of MLSE, as its organic revenue increased 13% and its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization rose to C$69 million from C$8 million a year earlier, supported by Toronto Blue Jays and Warner Bros. Discovery channels.
  • +The communications base supports disciplined operating performance despite weak market growth, with an adjusted wireless margin of 66% and a cable margin of 58% in fiscal Q2 2026, as well as 57 thousand net customer additions across mobile and retail internet.
  • +The sale of a non-voting minority stake in the entity combining MLSE and Rogers Sports & Media could unlock the value of the sports and media assets, with management confirming that the proceeds will be used to repay debt while maintaining an investment-grade balance sheet.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is neutral, and the average price target is $36, with both the highest and lowest targets at $36, so the target range provides no dispersion that could reflect different upside and downside scenarios. The target lies within the 52-week range of $31.38 to $41.14, approximately 14.7% above the range low and approximately 12.5% below its high; this valuation balances improving free cash flow and sports and media growth on the one hand against weak wireless business growth and the risks of financing MLSE and executing the minority stake sale on the other.

HoldAnalyst target: $36(-0.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove RCI's results in fiscal Q2 2026?

Consolidated service revenue rose 8% to C$5.1 billion, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 3% to C$2.4 billion. All three businesses contributed positively, but sports and media grew the fastest, with revenue increasing 53% to C$1.2 billion. In communications, Rogers added forty thousand net wireless subscribers and 17 thousand net retail internet subscribers, with adjusted margins of 66% and 58%, respectively.

Why is the MLSE transaction important for RCI stock?

Rogers agreed to purchase the remaining 25% stake in MLSE at a transaction price of C$4.35 billion and is targeting completion in fiscal Q4 2026 following league approvals. The proposed entity will combine MLSE with Rogers Sports & Media, including assets such as Toronto Maple Leafs, Toronto Raptors, Toronto Blue Jays, and Sportsnet. The company aims to sell a non-voting minority stake in the combined entity during the first half of 2027 and use the proceeds to reduce debt.

Is Rogers' free cash flow improving?

Free cash flow reached approximately C$1 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, up 6% year over year. The improvement came as capital expenditures declined 16% to C$0.7 billion and capital intensity fell to 12.4%. Management reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 capital expenditure range of C$2.5 billion to C$2.7 billion, with further reductions expected in fiscal Q3 and Q4 2026.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The wireless business remains low-growth: service revenue was stable in fiscal Q2 2026, average revenue per user declined 2% to C$54.25, and net mobile phone additions fell 34% from the previous year in a market that management estimated was growing at the low end of the 2% to 2.5% range.
  • −Mobile phone revenue faces pressure from intense competition and the government-mandated elimination of activation and cancellation fees; management said the impact of the fees was limited in fiscal Q2 2026 because it began in mid-June, but it did not expect a material change in the trajectory of average revenue per user during the following quarters. The response depends on pricing initiatives and fees for value-added services, leaving the outcome tied to competitors' behavior during promotional seasons.
  • −The transaction to purchase the remaining 25% stake in MLSE increases execution and financing risks, as it will initially be financed with bank facilities until a targeted minority stake sale is completed in the first half of 2027, while leverage was 3.8 times on June 30, 2026. The company also recorded a C$1 billion non-cash expense resulting from the increase in the value of the MLSE option liability from C$3.3 billion in July 2025 to the transaction price of C$4.35 billion on June 30, 2026.
  • −The MLSE transaction and the subsequent minority stake sale are subject to league approvals, and management explained that the sale to investors represents a separate approval step after approval of the purchase of the Kilmer stake. Therefore, the debt reduction that depends on proceeds from the stake sale could be delayed if approvals take longer or negotiations extend beyond the first-half 2027 target.
  • −According to management, the regulatory environment has reduced the viability of investments in fixed-line network expansion, prompting Rogers to defer some projects or transfer them to other parties. Although this reduces capital expenditures and cash outflows, it could limit new assets that might have generated future revenue if weak regulatory incentives for investment persist.
  • −The neutral analyst consensus and their uniform $36 target reflect the absence of positive dispersion in estimates, as the highest and lowest targets are identical at the same level. This target is approximately 12.5% below the 52-week range high of $41.14, indicating that analysts are not basing their estimates on a full return to that high.
What is the main issue in RCI's mobile phone business?

Wireless service revenue was stable in fiscal Q2 2026 despite the addition of 40 thousand net subscribers, including 22 thousand postpaid subscribers. Average revenue per user declined 2% to C$54.25, and net mobile phone additions fell 34% from the previous year. In contrast, postpaid churn improved by 6 basis points to 0.94%, and Rogers is relying on higher-tier plans, benefits, and partnerships instead of short-term price discounts.

How does the sports and media segment contribute to Rogers' growth?

The segment generated C$1.2 billion in revenue in fiscal Q2 2026, up 53%, with approximately C$0.3 billion of the increase coming from the consolidation of MLSE. Standalone organic revenue at Rogers Sports & Media grew 13%, or approximately C$100 million, supported by Toronto Blue Jays and attendance exceeding 95% of capacity at home games at Rogers Centre. Warner Bros. Discovery channels launched in 2025 also supported subscription revenue, and the segment's adjusted earnings increased to C$69 million from C$8 million a year earlier.

What was RCI's debt and liquidity position in fiscal Q2 2026?

Leverage was 3.8 times on June 30, 2026, down from 4 times on December 31, 2025. Liquidity exceeded C$6 billion, including C$1.7 billion in cash and cash equivalents and C$4.4 billion available through credit facilities. Rogers will use bank facilities to finance the purchase of the remaining MLSE stake on an interim basis, then plans to direct the proceeds from the minority stake sale and free cash flow toward debt repayment.