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Home
Stocks
RBC Bearings Incorporated
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall64
Balanced — near the middle of the marketFalling StarF 7/9SafeBetter than 64% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
17
48.8x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
79
17.3%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
67
8.7%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
81
1.4x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
67
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
42
42.0%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
45
7▲3Around median
RBC

RBC RBC Bearings Incorporated

RBC Bearings Incorporated · NYSE
Market Closed
494.83
▲ ⁦+3.51%⁩ (+16.77)
Market Cap$15.7B
Beta1.41
52w Low52w High
364.50667.69
Last Week
⁦+0.83%⁩
Last Month
⁦-11.08%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-12.60%⁩
Last Year
⁦+24.11%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$495
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$646
⁦+30%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$640–$686⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$150
⁦-70%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.7⁩% discount · ⁦5⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$150–$646⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$654.25
⁦+32.2%⁩
Current Price $494.83·Median $645.50
Low
$640.00
High
$686.00
Current price
$494.83
Average target
$654.25
Street summary

Consensus rises as estimate range widens

Bullish tilt

The consensus price target rose to 654.25 from 631.8 over the last 30 days, an increase of 3.55%, while it remained unchanged over the last 7 days. This improvement coincided with the number of analysts increasing from 3 to 6, so it reflects a broader coverage base more than a continuous wave of recent revisions. The current range is between 640 and 686, with a median of 645.5, indicating notable divergence in valuations despite all targets remaining above the current price of 488.54.

As of 2026-09-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦9 (+3)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
78%
High
Target dispersion
9%
Analyst ratings over time9 analysts rating
2
5
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.56 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-04
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-03
    Raymond James
    Market PerformOutperform
  • = Reiterate2026-05-19
    Truist Securities
    —· $615.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    48.80x
    5.69x45.54x
    Expensive
  • Forward P/E
    33.27x
    4.57x36.58x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    27.83x
    3.43x27.47x
    Expensive
  • FCF Yield
    2.5%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    17.3%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    27.4%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    45.2%
    8.6%54.6%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    8.7%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.42x
    0.55x4.37x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    6.76
    -5.667.97
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-15 data

Company Overview

RBC Bearings manufactures advanced mechanical components for the aerospace, defense, and industrial markets, deriving revenue by supplying its products to original equipment manufacturers, distribution channels, and aftermarket service programs. Its end markets include commercial aircraft engines and airframes, submarines, missiles, and space, alongside industrial applications such as aggregates, warehousing, food and beverage, grain, and semiconductors. In Q4 fiscal 2026, the industrial segment represented 57% of revenue versus 43% for aerospace and defense, while sales to industrial original equipment manufacturer customers grew 7.8% and industrial distribution grew 4.5%.

In Q1 fiscal 2027, revenue reached $519.5 million, up 19.2% year over year according to the July 31, 2026 results, while the company recorded gross profit of $247.8 million, net income of $101.5 million, and GAAP earnings per share of $3.20. These figures equate to a gross margin of approximately 47.7% and a net income margin of approximately 19.5%. Reported adjusted earnings per share also reached $3.88, exceeding analyst estimates of $3.42.

Q1 fiscal 2027 followed a strong end to fiscal 2026, which recorded revenue of $1.9 billion and net income of $287.6 million. In Q4 fiscal 2026 alone, sales rose 18.3% to $518 million, gross margin reached 44.4%, and adjusted gross margin reached 45.3%, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 21% to $168.9 million. Aerospace and defense was the leading driver, with quarterly revenue rising 41.2%, or 22.8% excluding VACCO.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Q1 fiscal 2027 revenue of $519.5 million exceeded the upper end of the May 2026 guidance range of $500 million to $510 million, while adjusted earnings per share of $3.88 surpassed expectations of $3.42.
  • Backlog reached approximately $2.3 billion on May 15, 2026, driven by demand from defense and space programs and higher commercial aircraft production rates, giving the company strong visibility into future demand.
  • The aerospace and defense segment grew 41.2% year over year in Q4 fiscal 2026 and rose 32% during fiscal 2026, including 19.1% organic growth; within the segment, defense increased 65.4%, including 22.1% organically, while commercial aircraft grew 17.8%.
  • Missile revenue exceeded $45 million in fiscal 2026, with RBC and VACCO participating in programs including Tomahawk, Patriot, GMLRS, JAGM, ASTER, and hypersonic missiles, and the company is working to increase capacity and content in these programs over a period of up to three years.
  • Space revenue exceeded $70 million in fiscal 2026, including $30 million from VACCO's eight-month contribution, compared with space revenue of $4 million in 2021; the customer base includes traditional companies such as Boeing, Lockheed, Northrop, Raytheon, and Collins, as well as newer companies such as SpaceX, Blue, and Rocket Lab.
  • Management is targeting growth exceeding 15% in commercial aerospace during fiscal 2027 and expects faster growth in defense and space, while also targeting a doubling of marine product revenue within 24 to 36 months, supported by the Virginia and Columbia submarine programs and fleet spare parts.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case5 pts

  • +The backlog of approximately $2.3 billion provides a demand base exceeding fiscal 2026 revenue of $1.9 billion, with clear momentum in submarines, missiles, space, and commercial aerospace.
  • +Aerospace and defense growth does not depend on VACCO alone; segment sales rose 22.8% in Q4 fiscal 2026 even after excluding the acquisition, indicating strong expansion in existing operations.
  • +Profitability improved alongside growth, with adjusted earnings per share rising 27.9% in Q4 fiscal 2026 to $3.62 and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increasing 21% to $168.9 million.
  • +The company generated free cash flow of $342.6 million in fiscal 2026 at a conversion rate of 119.1%, repaid $116 million of debt during Q4, and repaid an additional $27 million after quarter-end, while targeting repayment of the remaining term loan by November 2026.
  • +Implementing repricing on the remaining 40% of long-term commercial aerospace agreements beginning in January 2027 represents a potential support for contract economics, after completing repricing on approximately 60% of them by the May 15, 2026 call.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $654.25, within a relatively narrow range of $640 to $686, with a consensus Buy rating. The average is approximately 2% below the 52-week range high of $667.69, while the highest target exceeds that high by approximately 2.7%. The wide 52-week range of $364.5 to $667.69 reflects the valuation's sensitivity to the execution of capacity expansions and the sustainability of aerospace and defense growth and elevated margins.

BuyAnalyst target: $654.25(+32.2%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove RBC Bearings' Q1 fiscal 2027 results?

Revenue reached $519.5 million, up 19.2% year over year, while net income was $101.5 million. GAAP earnings per share reached $3.20, while adjusted earnings per share were $3.88 versus expectations of $3.42. News reports dated July 31 and August 3, 2026 attributed the strength of the results to aerospace and defense, VACCO's performance, and improved operating efficiency.

How significant is RBC Bearings' exposure to the defense and missile markets?

Defense revenue rose 65.4% in fiscal 2026, including 22.1% organic growth, while missile revenue exceeded $45 million. Programs cited by management include Tomahawk, Patriot, GMLRS, JAGM, ASTER, and hypersonic missiles. On May 15, 2026, management said it was expanding capacity and working to increase the company's content in these programs over a period of up to three years.

Why is the submarine business important to RBC Bearings' growth?

Accelerating submarine fleet construction is contributing to backlog growth, which reached approximately $2.3 billion on May 15, 2026. The company serves the Virginia and Columbia programs, as well as fleet spare parts, and is targeting a doubling of marine product revenue within 24 to 36 months. This requires additional equipment, production space, testing laboratories, and employees because management described marine capacity as the tightest area of production capacity.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −The company faces real marine capacity constraints as submarine programs expand; management described its capacity to produce marine equipment as the tightest, requiring additional machinery, space, testing laboratories, and employees to execute its goal of doubling revenue from this business within 24 to 36 months.
  • −A faster aerospace and defense mix could limit consolidated margin expansion because this segment's margin is lower than the industrial segment's margin; in Q4 fiscal 2026, aerospace and defense adjusted gross margin was 44.2% versus 46.2% for industrial, despite management's expectation that consolidated gross margin will increase by approximately 50 basis points during fiscal 2027.
  • −VACCO's margin exceeding 46% in Q4 fiscal 2026 should not be extrapolated, as management attributed it to unique items and a strong mix and confirmed that its normalized operating margin during fiscal 2026 was in the mid-thirties and that this level was used in the Q1 fiscal 2027 outlook.
  • −There are supply and cost risks in the aerospace and defense segment, as management indicated on May 15, 2026 that concerns about titanium persisted, aluminum availability was being monitored, and the price of high-alloy steel had risen to a level it described as exceptional.
  • −Capital expenditures are rising as capacity expands, with management expecting capital spending of approximately 3.5% of revenue and potentially as high as 4% in some years, directing the spending toward equipment following earlier investments in buildings and the relocation of some factories.
  • −Insider activity through June 25, 2026 recorded four sales with no purchases and net sales of $1.1 million over three months; this is a weak standalone trading signal because such sales may have been prearranged, and the data did not state whether the transactions were conducted under preset plans.
How has RBC Bearings' space business developed?

Space revenue exceeded $70 million in fiscal 2026, including $30 million from VACCO's eight-month contribution. This compares with space revenue of only $4 million in 2021. The company serves traditional customers such as Boeing, Lockheed, Northrop, Raytheon, and Collins, alongside SpaceX, Blue, and Rocket Lab, but management described the near-term impact of higher Starship production as modest.

Can RBC Bearings fund expansion and reduce debt at the same time?

Free cash flow reached $342.6 million in fiscal 2026, with a conversion rate of 119.1%, compared with $243.8 million and a 99% rate in the prior year. In Q4 fiscal 2026, the company generated $67.5 million of free cash flow and repaid $116 million of debt, then repaid an additional $27 million after quarter-end. Management stated on May 15, 2026 that it was still targeting repayment of the remaining term loan by November 2026, despite expected capital spending equal to 3.5% to 4% of revenue in some years.

What are the main operational risks facing RBC Bearings in fiscal 2027?

The company needs to expand marine capacity rapidly to keep pace with submarine programs, increasing requirements for equipment, space, and hiring. Management is also monitoring the availability of titanium and aluminum and indicated on May 15, 2026 that high-alloy steel was available but at exceptional prices. In addition, faster aerospace and defense growth could pressure consolidated margin because of differences in segment mix, while VACCO's margin exceeding 46% in Q4 fiscal 2026 included unique items and does not represent its normalized operating rate.