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Stocks
Ferrari N.V.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall78
Strong — clearly above market medianHigh FlyerF 7/8Better than 78% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
21
39.1x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
62
5.6%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
84
24.9%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
75
0.7x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
34
0.82%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
59
-15.7%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
96
10▲3Top tier
RACE

RACE Ferrari N.V.

Ferrari N.V. · NYSE
Market Closed
413.78
▲ ⁦+1.26%⁩ (+5.14)
Market Cap$71.9B
Beta0.59
52w Low52w High
312.51504.49
Last Week
⁦+0.87%⁩
Last Month
⁦+1.72%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+15.74%⁩
Last Year
⁦-13.61%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$414
Analyst target · 15 analysts
$473
⁦+14%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$460–$490⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$129
⁦-69%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$129–$473⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 15 analysts setting price target
$473.75
⁦+14.5%⁩
Current Price $413.78·Median $472.50
Low
$460.00
High
$490.00
Current price
$413.78
Average target
$473.75
Street summary

Slight Increase in Target Price Consensus While Ratings Remain Unchanged

Bullish tilt

The consensus target price for Ferrari’s stock rose from 469.25 to 473.75 over the last 7 and 30 days, an increase of 4.50 or 0.96%, while remaining unchanged over the last day. This occurred with the number of analysts holding steady at 15, indicating a limited improvement in average expectations without broadening the coverage base. The current range is between 460 and 490, a 30-point spread, reflecting an existing divergence among estimates, although the consensus is above the current price of 413.78.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.21
Buy
Analyst coverage
14
Buy conviction
93%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
7%
Analyst ratings over time14 analysts rating
4
9
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.92 → 4.21
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-10
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    Citigroup
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Bernstein
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    39.08x
    4.56x36.49x
    Expensive
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    26.33x
    2.75x22.03x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    1.7%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    5.6%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    3.9%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    51.6%
    12.0%66.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    24.9%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.67x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.8%
    0.1%5.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    32.3%
    8.9%99.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Ferrari N.V. is a luxury sports car company that generates its core revenue from the sale of cars and spare parts, with additional contributions from sponsorship, commercial and brand activities, and engine rentals to other Formula 1 teams. Its economic model is based on scarcity and exclusivity, model mix enrichment, and the sale of high-value personalization options such as paint, carbon fiber, wheels, and special leathers. In Q2 FY2026, personalizations represented approximately 20% of cars and spare parts revenue, supported particularly by the 296 Speciale family.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue reached €1.94 billion, EBITDA was €755 million, and industrial free cash flow was €275 million. Net revenue grew 11% at constant currency and 8% after accounting for currency effects, while the operating margin reached 31.2%, slightly higher year over year, and the EBITDA margin was 39%, slightly lower due to assumptions of an improved Formula 1 team ranking and the associated costs. The mix included increased contributions from Amalfi, 849 Testarossa, and the 296 Speciale family, continued deliveries of 12Cilindri Spider and Purosangue, and lower contributions from 296 GTS, Roma Spider, and SF90 XX as they phased out.

On an annual basis, FY2025 revenue increased to $7.1 billion from $6.7 billion in FY2024, and gross profit rose to $3.7 billion from $3.3 billion. Net income also increased to $1.6 billion from $1.5 billion, while earnings per share rose to 8.96 from 8.46. This performance continues the growth trajectory compared with FY2021, when revenue was $4.3 billion and net income was $833.1 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Ferrari raised its FY2026 guidance on July 30, 2026, because personalizations exceeded expectations and the currency environment improved; it now assumes that personalizations will exceed 20% of cars and spare parts revenue, with the U.S. dollar-to-euro exchange rate near 1.16 and the addition of new hedges.
  • The order book covers all FY2027 production, while the production runs of the 296 Speciale family and the 12Cilindri family are fully sold out, giving the company high demand visibility as it maintains its scarcity and exclusivity policy.
  • Ferrari introduced its first electric car, Ferrari Luce, in Q2 FY2026, featuring more than 60 patents, four electric traction motors, and a five-seat design. Two months after the global premiere in Rome, management said orders were progressing according to plan and included repeat customers and customers who had never previously owned a Ferrari.
  • Ferrari allocated all 1,499 units of the 12Cilindri Manuale, which was introduced on July 3, 2026, and uses the internally developed and patented Manuale by-wire system. The full allocation of production provides further evidence of strong demand for limited editions that combine traditional character with modern technologies.
  • A strong pricing mix supported operating profit growth in Q2 FY2026, with increased contributions from F80 and the 12Cilindri family, as well as greater selections of paint, carbon fiber, wheels, and special leathers. Management stated that the average personalization value per car in production increased and that personalization penetration remained above its expectations across the range.
  • Viking Global purchased an $817 million stake in Ferrari during Q2 FY2026, according to the news published on August 20, 2026. This represents notable institutional support, but it remains the portfolio decision of a single fund and does not by itself change the company’s operating fundamentals.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The order book covering all FY2027, combined with fully sold-out production runs for 296 Speciale and 12Cilindri, provides both revenue visibility and supply discipline, supporting Ferrari’s ability to protect exclusivity and pricing mix.
  • +Personalizations exceeded management’s expectations and reached approximately 20% of cars and spare parts revenue in Q2 FY2026, with broader demand for paint, carbon fiber, wheels, and special leathers. This provides growth that does not depend exclusively on increasing the number of cars delivered.
  • +The internal combustion, hybrid, and electric Ferrari Luce portfolio allows the company to serve different powertrain preferences without abandoning its technology-neutral strategy. Luce also attracted orders from repeat customers and new buyers of the brand two months after its global premiere.
  • +EDGAR results show multi-year improvement; revenue increased from $4.3 billion in FY2021 to $7.1 billion in FY2025, while net income nearly doubled from $833.1 million to $1.6 billion. Earnings per share rose over the same period from 4.50 to 8.96.

▼ Selling Case5 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $469.25 and a target range of $442 to $490. The average is approximately $35.24 below the 52-week high of $504.49, while it is significantly above the low of $312.51; the wide spread between these reference points reflects differing assessments of the sustainability of strong demand and personalizations versus second-half cost and currency risks.

BuyAnalyst target: $469.25(+13.4%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove RACE’s results in Q2 FY2026?

Ferrari generated revenue of €1.94 billion and EBITDA of €755 million in Q2 FY2026. Net revenue grew 11% at constant currency and 8% after accounting for currency effects. The main support came from a richer model mix and personalizations, which represented approximately 20% of cars and spare parts revenue, particularly within the 296 Speciale family. The operating margin was 31.2%, while the EBITDA margin was 39%.

Why did Ferrari raise its FY2026 guidance?

Ferrari raised its guidance on July 30, 2026, because demand for personalizations remained above its previous assumptions and the currency environment became more favorable. The updated guidance assumes that personalizations will exceed 20% of cars and spare parts revenue, with the U.S. dollar-to-euro exchange rate near 1.16. The company raised its revenue guidance threshold by €100 million and its operating profit threshold by €40 million. Higher selling, general and administrative, research and development, and depreciation and amortization expenses in the second half of FY2026 limit the full conversion of the increase into profit.

How important is Ferrari Luce to the company’s future?

Ferrari Luce is the company’s first electric car and was unveiled in Q2 FY2026 with more than 60 patents, four electric traction motors, and a five-seat cabin. Two months after the global premiere in Rome, management said orders were progressing according to plan and included repeat customers and new customers who had never previously purchased a Ferrari. Luce places electric propulsion alongside internal combustion and hybrid engines within a technology-neutral strategy. Management also confirmed that the car is an addition to the portfolio and not an announced replacement for other technologies.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Ferrari is undergoing a broad model-cycle transition during FY2026 and planned lower delivery volumes to manage this transition, while contributions from 296 GTS, Roma Spider, and SF90 XX declined as they phased out. Higher personalization levels also extend manufacturing time and the timing of converting production into cash, which may limit delivery growth despite strong demand.
  • −Management expects selling, general and administrative, and research and development expenses to rise in the second half of FY2026 compared with the first half, in addition to depreciation and amortization gradually increasing to more than €700 million for the full year. It explained that these increases account for the difference between raising the revenue guidance threshold by €100 million and raising the operating profit threshold by only €40 million.
  • −The EBITDA margin was 39% in Q2 FY2026, slightly lower year over year due to costs associated with assuming a better Formula 1 team ranking. Results also included higher industrial costs and marketing expenses, making continued margin expansion dependent on the mix and personalizations remaining strong enough to offset these items.
  • −Currency effects reduced reported revenue growth in Q2 FY2026 to 8% from 11% at constant currency, particularly because of the U.S. dollar and Japanese yen. Although approximately 80% of the second-half FY2026 exposure is hedged, management said FY2027 is significantly less hedged and will depend more heavily on spot exchange rates.
  • −The average analyst target of $469.25 is only a limited distance from the upper end of the 52-week range of $504.49, while the highest target, $490, remains below that upper end. The stock may therefore become more sensitive to any slowdown in personalizations or margin pressure as it approaches valuations that assume continued strong execution.
  • How strong is Ferrari’s order book?

    Management said on July 30, 2026, that the order book covers all FY2027 production across geographic regions. The production runs of the 296 Speciale family and the 12Cilindri family are also fully sold out. The company also allocated all 1,499 units of the 12Cilindri Manuale introduced on July 3, 2026. According to management’s explanation, the order-book figure covering FY2027 does not include Manuale orders, which belong to Q3 FY2026.

    What are the main financial risks to monitor for RACE?

    Ferrari expects selling, general and administrative, and research and development expenses to increase in the second half of FY2026, alongside depreciation and amortization exceeding €700 million for the full year. Currency effects also reduced reported revenue growth in Q2 FY2026 to 8% from 11% at constant currency. Hedges cover approximately 80% of the second-half FY2026 exposure, but FY2027 is significantly less hedged. The model transition and longer manufacturing time for highly personalized cars add risks to delivery timing and cash flow.

    How did Ferrari’s annual results develop through FY2025?

    Revenue increased from $4.3 billion in FY2021 to $7.1 billion in FY2025. Gross profit rose over the same period from $2.2 billion to $3.7 billion, while net income increased from $833.1 million to $1.6 billion. Earnings per share also rose from 4.50 in FY2021 to 8.96 in FY2025. Between FY2024 and FY2025 alone, revenue increased from $6.7 billion to $7.1 billion and net income rose from $1.5 billion to $1.6 billion.