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Stocks
Restaurant Brands International Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall78
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 7/9DistressBetter than 78% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
51
21.1x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
61
6.5%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
86
12.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
38
4.9x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
67
3.30%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
74
17.5%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
61
17▲3Around median
QSR

QSR Restaurant Brands International Inc.

Restaurant Brands International Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
76.97
▲ ⁦+0.63%⁩ (+0.48)
Market Cap$26.5B
Beta0.53
52w Low52w High
61.4481.96
Last Week
⁦-2.41%⁩
Last Month
⁦+4.96%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+5.15%⁩
Last Year
⁦+24.43%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$77
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$85
⁦+10%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$79–$92⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$44
⁦-43%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$44–$85⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$84.33
⁦+9.6%⁩
Current Price $76.97·Median $85.00
Low
$79.00
High
$92.00
Current price
$76.97
Average target
$84.33
Street summary

Relatively stable with a slight short-term decline in QSR targets

The consensus price target for QSR is approximately 84.33 versus a current price of 80.17, with a range between 79 and 92 from six analysts. The consensus declined by 0.49 points, or 0.58%, over the last 7 days, but rose by 0.71 points, or 0.85%, over the last 30 days, with no change in the number of analysts; this indicates limited monthly improvement offset by slight recent weakening.

As of 2026-09-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.9%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.67
Buy
Analyst coverage
27
Buy conviction
63%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
17%
Analyst ratings over time27 analysts rating
3
14
9
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.65 → 3.67
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-01
    Citigroup
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-07
    Evercore ISI Group
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-15
    Morgan Stanley
    Mixed
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    21.11x
    4.56x36.49x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    18.09x
    3.79x30.29x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    14.69x
    2.75x22.03x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    6.1%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    6.5%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    40.9%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    44.8%
    12.0%66.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    12.1%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.93x
    0.65x5.48x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    3.3%
    0.1%5.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    68.5%
    8.9%99.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.68
    -2.656.14
    Near median
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Restaurant Brands International operates a restaurant portfolio comprising Burger King, Tim Hortons, Popeyes, and Firehouse Subs, relying on an extensive franchisee network alongside the Restaurant Holdings segment. Operating profit is distributed approximately among Tim Hortons at 41%, international operations at 29%, and Burger King at 19%, with the remaining brands and operations contributing the balance; therefore, the company combines coffee and baked goods, burgers, chicken, and sandwiches across multiple markets.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue reached $2.5 billion, net income was $507 million, and earnings per share according to EDGAR filings were approximately $1.45, equivalent to a calculated net income margin of about 20.3%. On the adjusted basis presented by management, earnings per share rose 12.9% to $1.07, and adjusted operating income grew organically by 6.7%, supported by comparable restaurant sales growth of 3.8%, net restaurant growth of 2.9%, and system-wide sales growth of 6.4%.

The performance mix was clearly varied in fiscal Q2 2026: Burger King achieved comparable sales growth of 8.6%, and international operations recorded 5.5%, with system-wide sales growth of 10.7%, while Tim Hortons in Canada posted growth of only 0.1%, and Popeyes comparable sales in the United States declined 5.2%. For the twelve-month period ending within fiscal 2026, the company recorded revenue of $9.6 billion, net income of $1.3 billion, and earnings per share of approximately $2.83.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Burger King's outperformance in the United States was the strongest driver in fiscal Q2 2026; its comparable sales grew 8.5% and outperformed the burger restaurant segment by more than 9 percentage points, while average Whopper platform sales have risen by more than 20% since the launch of the brand elevation campaign.
  • International operations achieved comparable sales growth of 5.5% and net restaurant growth of 5.1% in fiscal Q2 2026, lifting system-wide sales by 10.7%. The momentum included double-digit comparable sales growth for Burger King in China, an increase of more than 60% in Firehouse Subs transactions in Brazil during fiscal 2026 through July 2026, and comparable sales growth of more than 20% for Popeyes in Brazil during the same period.
  • The company aims to accelerate unit growth from 2.9% in fiscal Q2 2026 to 5% by 2028. Tim Hortons plans to open approximately 80 restaurants in total in Canada during fiscal 2026, compared with more than 50 in fiscal 2025, with payback periods of less than three years for traditional drive-thru restaurants.
  • Product innovations and partnerships support traffic across the brands; Tim Hortons brought back melts, launched Matcha, and expanded its cold beverages, while Burger King's Mandalorian collaboration increased average kids' meal sales to more than $28 per day in fiscal Q2 2026, up approximately 50% from 2022. In July 2026, Firehouse Subs became the official sandwich partner of Major League Baseball in the United States and Canada.
  • The company generated free cash flow of $501 million in fiscal Q2 2026 and returned $435 million to shareholders, including $137 million in share repurchases. Liquidity reached $2.3 billion, while net leverage declined to 4.1 times, and S&P upgraded the credit rating to BB+ in May 2026.
  • Management maintained its fiscal 2026 guidance unchanged, including a target of 8% organic growth in adjusted operating income and approximately $500 million in share repurchases. It also expects capital expenditures and cash incentives of approximately $400 million, adjusted net interest expense of between $500 million and $520 million, and an adjusted tax rate of between 18% and 19%.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Fiscal Q2 2026 results demonstrate the portfolio's ability to convert system-wide sales growth of 6.4% into adjusted earnings per share growth of 12.9%, while the first half of fiscal 2026 delivered organic adjusted operating income growth of 8.5% and adjusted earnings per share growth of approximately 14%.
  • +Burger King's turnaround in the United States is supported by improvements in operations, restaurants, and the menu rather than a single promotion; its comparable sales reached 8.5% in fiscal Q2 2026, alongside continued restaurant modernization and expansion of the Whopper menu and service elevation program.
  • +International operations provide a multi-market growth path, combining comparable sales growth of 5.5% and net restaurant growth of 5.1% in fiscal Q2 2026. The investment payback period in Burger King's ten most important growth markets is approximately 4 to 5 years, supporting the plan to approach 5% net unit growth by 2028.
  • +Free cash flow of $501 million in fiscal Q2 2026 supports both capital returns and deleveraging. The company returned $750 million to shareholders during the first half of fiscal 2026, while reducing net leverage to 4.1 times and progressing toward a low-to-mid 3 times range by 2028.

▼ Selling Case

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $84.82 and a range between $79 and $92; the average is above the 52-week range high of $81.96, while the lowest target is below it. Based on earnings per share of $2.83 for the twelve-month period ending within fiscal 2026, the targets imply price-to-earnings multiples of approximately 27.9 times at the low end and 32.5 times at the high end, assuming continued growth at Burger King and international operations alongside successful remediation of weakness at Popeyes and Tim Hortons.

BuyAnalyst target: $84.82(+10.2%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove QSR's results in fiscal Q2 2026?

System-wide sales rose 6.4%, driven by comparable sales growth of 3.8% and net restaurant growth of 2.9%. Burger King led the performance with comparable sales growth of 8.6%, while international operations recorded 5.5%, and their system-wide sales grew 10.7%. Revenue reached $2.5 billion, and net income was $507 million, while adjusted earnings per share rose 12.9% to $1.07.

Can Burger King maintain its momentum after fiscal Q2 2026?

Comparable sales growth in the United States reached 8.5% in fiscal Q2 2026, outperforming the burger restaurant segment by more than 9 percentage points. Average Whopper platform sales have risen by more than 20% since the launch of the elevation campaign, while average kids' meal sales increased to more than $28 per day. The company continues to modernize restaurants and improve service and the menu, while acknowledging that a large number of Burger King restaurants have not yet reached the targeted modern image.

How significant is the Popeyes problem within Restaurant Brands International?

Popeyes comparable sales in the United States declined 5.2% in fiscal Q2 2026, and system-wide sales fell 3.3% despite net restaurant growth of 0.3%. The company focused on $5 offers, a $6 large meal, and a $20 family meal, alongside improving chicken-piece specifications and operational training. Management expects comparable sales to return to positive growth during the second half of fiscal 2026, but achieving this remains a key test of the recovery plan.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

6 pts
  • −Weakness at Popeyes in the United States represents the most prominent execution risk; comparable sales declined 5.2%, and system-wide sales fell 3.3% in fiscal Q2 2026, despite $5 and $6 value offers, improved chicken-piece specifications, and increased field support.
  • −Tim Hortons contributes approximately 41% of operating profit, so its slowdown carries significant weight in consolidated results; its comparable sales in Canada grew only 0.1% in fiscal Q2 2026, and management acknowledged that the marketing calendar did not deliver the expected growth and failed to keep pace with the prior year's launches.
  • −Beef price inflation, which management described as being at a record level in fiscal Q2 2026, pressured Burger King franchisee profits and delayed their full benefit from sales growth. Management expects most of the improvement in this cost to appear at the beginning of fiscal 2027, leaving margins vulnerable to pressure until then.
  • −Management expects currency movements and dollar strength to reduce adjusted operating income by approximately $10 million and adjusted earnings per share by approximately $0.02 to $0.03 during the second half of fiscal 2026. This risk is additionally significant because international operations generate approximately 29% of operating profit.
  • −Net leverage remained elevated at 4.1 times at the end of fiscal Q2 2026, despite its improvement and S&P's rating upgrade to BB+ in May 2026. The company also expects adjusted net interest expense of between $500 million and $520 million in fiscal 2026, while it does not target reaching a low-to-mid 3 times leverage range before 2028.
  • −The valuation based on analyst targets leaves limited room for operational error; the average target of $84.82 is only approximately 3.5% above the 52-week range high of $81.96. Based on twelve-month earnings of $2.83, the average target implies a price-to-earnings multiple of approximately 30 times, while the target range extends from $79 to $92.
How do Tim Hortons and international operations balance QSR's portfolio performance?

Tim Hortons represents approximately 41% of operating profit, but recorded growth of only 0.1% in Canadian comparable sales in fiscal Q2 2026. By contrast, international operations represent approximately 29% of operating profit and achieved comparable sales growth of 5.5% and system-wide sales growth of 10.7%. Tim Hortons is betting on Matcha, cold beverages, and its loyalty partnership with Canadian Tire, while international growth depends on markets including Germany, Spain, Brazil, China, Korea, and Japan.

What is the status of QSR's liquidity, debt, and share repurchases?

Free cash flow reached $501 million in fiscal Q2 2026, and the company ended the period with liquidity of $2.3 billion, including $1.1 billion in cash. It returned $435 million to shareholders during the quarter, including $137 million in share repurchases, and targets approximately $500 million in purchases during fiscal 2026. Net leverage was 4.1 times, and the company aims to reach a low-to-mid 3 times range by 2028 following S&P's upgrade to BB+ in May 2026.

What do analyst targets and insider activity look like for QSR stock?

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” and the average target is $84.82, with a low of $79 and a high of $92. The average target is above the 52-week range high of $81.96 and equals approximately 30 times earnings per share of $2.83 for the twelve-month period ending within fiscal 2026. Insider activity recorded net selling of $5.2 million during the three months ended August 21, 2026, consisting of one sale and no purchases, but such sales may be prearranged and are not sufficient on their own to assess the company's prospects.