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Stocks
Qualys, Inc.
QLYS

QLYS Qualys, Inc.

Qualys, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
150.28
▼ ⁦-6.99%⁩ (-11.29)
Market Cap$5.3B
Beta0.60
52w Low52w High
74.51201.54
Last Week
⁦-15.10%⁩
Last Month
⁦-17.33%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+31.80%⁩
Last Year
⁦+11.05%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall96
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 7/9SafeBetter than 96% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
36
26.0x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
65
10.4%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
97
31.6%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
85
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
70
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
84
36.1%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
61
15▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$150
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$180
⁦+20%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$130–$220⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$170
⁦+13%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$170–$180⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$179.36
⁦+19.4%⁩
Current Price $150.28·Median $180.00
Low
$130.00
High
$220.00
Current price
$150.28
Average target
$179.36
Street summary

A Slight Decline in Consensus and Increased Caution

The price consensus settled at $179.36, down $0.44 or 0.24% over the last 7 and 30 days, while the number of analysts remained at four. The range is between $130 and $220, while the median is $180, reflecting a clear divergence in targets compared with the current price of $150.28.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.2%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.23
Hold
Analyst coverage
22
Buy conviction
23%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 1↓
Target dispersion
60%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time22 analysts rating
1
4
16
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.13 → 3.23
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-09-10
    Wedbush
    OutperformNeutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    TD Cowen
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    Piper Sandler
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    25.96x
    6.87x54.92x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    18.99x
    5.19x41.53x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    19.69x
    4.52x36.15x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    6.0%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    10.4%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    15.3%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    83.3%
    12.9%79.5%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    31.6%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    7.44
    -10.9113.66
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Qualys provides a cybersecurity and pre-breach risk management platform that combines vulnerability discovery, determination of actual exploitability, impact measurement, and remediation. Its core engines include VMDR, Enterprise TruRisk Management, TruRisk Eliminate, Patch Management, and TotalAI, while the Risk Operations Center ecosystem connects Agent Insta for detection, Agent Val for validation, and Agent Sara for autonomous remediation. The company generates revenue from enterprise subscriptions and expansion within its customer base, including the QFlex model, which allows customers to allocate their financial commitment across multiple solutions while paying a premium price for this flexibility.

In the second quarter of fiscal 2026, revenue increased 11% year over year to 182.2 million dollars, and gross profit according to EDGAR was approximately 151.9 million dollars, equivalent to a gross margin of about 83.4%. Net income according to EDGAR was approximately 52.4 million dollars, with a net margin of about 28.8% and earnings per share of 1.50 dollars, while adjusted earnings per share were 1.98 dollars and the adjusted EBITDA margin was 46%. Channels accounted for 54% of revenue versus 49% a year earlier, and the revenue mix was 55% from the United States and 45% from international markets, while international revenue grew 15% and domestic revenue grew 8%.

Revenue for the twelve months ended in fiscal 2026 was approximately 703.0 million dollars, with gross profit of 585.8 million dollars and net income of 206.5 million dollars. In the second quarter of fiscal 2026, ETM and CSAM together represented 12% of total bookings and 14% of new bookings on a trailing-twelve-month basis, while Patch Management represented 9% of total bookings and 16% of new bookings. After second-quarter fiscal 2026 results exceeded expectations, management raised its fiscal 2026 revenue range to 732–738 million dollars and its adjusted earnings-per-share range to 7.74–7.88 dollars.

What's Driving the Stock

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

On August 4, 2026, Qualys raised its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance from 721–727 million dollars to 732–738 million dollars, equivalent to expected growth of between 9% and 10%, and also raised its adjusted earnings-per-share guidance from 7.44–7.65 dollars to 7.74–7.88 dollars.
  • The company launched InstaScan, powered by Agent Insta, to detect exposure within minutes of an advisory being published and without a new scan cycle, after which the finding passes to Agent Val for exploitability validation and Agent Sara for remediation. In the live tests presented by management, the exposure window fell from 21 days to minutes, and 60% of vulnerabilities were remediated automatically, while the company said TruConfirm reduces millions of findings to less than 1% requiring immediate action.
  • The upselling opportunity within large accounts expanded; the number of customers spending 500 thousand dollars or more annually increased 8% to 229 customers. Management cited a seven-figure annual expansion deal through QFlex with a Global 300 customer and another six-figure deal with a European healthcare company operating across more than 140 locations.
  • The dollar-based net expansion rate improved to 105% in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 from 104% in the previous quarter, while the rate among customers that purchased ETM or CSAM in the prior year remained at 107%. ETM and CSAM's contribution to total bookings also increased to 12% from 9% a year earlier, while VMDR's contribution declined to 49% from 54%, reflecting a gradual shift toward broader solutions within the platform.
  • Trailing-twelve-month billings growth accelerated to 10% in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 from 8.5% in the previous quarter, alongside 22% growth in partner revenue. Channels contributed 54% of revenue, supporting the partner-led growth strategy and allowing the company to expand sales without increasing spending at the same rate as revenue growth.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Qualys combines 11% revenue growth with a 46% adjusted EBITDA margin in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, demonstrating its model's ability to fund innovation and sales while maintaining high profitability.
    • +The ETM ecosystem provides an integrated path from detection through Agent Insta to validation through Agent Val and then remediation through Agent Sara, instead of merely aggregating vulnerability alerts. Qualys deployed approximately 150 million patches during the twelve months preceding the August 4, 2026 call, including 40 million autonomously, giving its automated remediation offering a genuine operational foundation.
    • +Penetration of new products within the customer base remains at a stage that allows for expansion; ETM and CSAM represented only about 12% of total bookings, while the dollar-based net expansion rate increased to 105%. The general availability of QFlex for enterprise customers provides a mechanism to increase spending across multiple modules, and its impact has appeared in six- and seven-figure expansion deals.
    • +Operating liquidity supported capital returns to shareholders; free cash flow reached 55.9 million dollars in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, and the company repurchased 797 thousand shares for 76.8 million dollars. A total of 229.8 million dollars remained under the share repurchase program at the end of that quarter.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Fiscal 2026 guidance assumes the dollar-based net expansion rate remains near 105% and only a moderate contribution from new business, while management did not observe a meaningful acceleration in deal cycles among customers scheduled for renewal in the second half. The company expects current billings growth in the second half of fiscal 2026 of only 7%–8%, after growth reached the mid-teens in the second quarter, highlighting the possibility that the momentum recorded in that quarter could slow.
    • −Despite total revenue growth of 11% in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, direct revenue remained nearly flat, and the dollar-based net expansion rate increased by only one point to 105%. Third-quarter fiscal 2026 guidance also includes revenue between 185.5 and 187.5 million dollars and growth between 9% and 10%, below the second quarter's 11% pace.
    • −Channels accounted for 54% of revenue in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 versus 49% a year earlier, and partner revenue grew 22% while direct revenue remained nearly flat. This strengthens customer reach, but it increases growth's dependence on the quality of partner execution and their continued contribution to acquiring new accounts.
    • −Qualys faces competition from CTEM solutions, vulnerability-scanning tools, and platforms that aggregate data from multiple vendors, while differentiating TruConfirm and ETM requires proving that actual validation and autonomous remediation are better than alternatives. Management acknowledged that many opportunities related to artificial intelligence threats remain at the discussion, proof-of-concept, and budget-identification stages, so a broader sales pipeline does not guarantee rapid conversion into revenue.
    • −The company plans to accelerate investment in sales and marketing during the second half of fiscal 2026, after this spending grew 17% in the first quarter and 14% in the second quarter. With operating expenses expected to increase by low double digits and a full-year adjusted EBITDA margin in the mid-forties, increased hiring and demand generation could affect margin expansion if deal closures are delayed.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is 179.8 dollars within a wide range of 130 to 220 dollars, with a neutral consensus, reflecting disagreement over the ability of ETM and QFlex to convert operating momentum into sustainable growth. The average target is approximately 10.8% below the 52-week range high of 201.54 dollars, while the highest target exceeds that high, a divergence consistent with the increase in fiscal 2026 guidance alongside an expected slowdown in second-half billings growth to 7%–8%. The 52-week range of 74.51–201.54 dollars indicates high valuation sensitivity to changes in growth and execution expectations, and the neutral consensus alone does not provide a one-directional valuation case.

    HoldAnalyst target: $179.8(+19.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove QLYS's results in the second quarter of fiscal 2026?

    Revenue increased 11% to 182.2 million dollars, while gross profit according to EDGAR was approximately 151.9 million dollars and net income was 52.4 million dollars. Adjusted earnings per share were 1.98 dollars, while the adjusted EBITDA margin reached 46% compared with 45% a year earlier. Partner revenue also grew 22%, and channels represented 54% of revenue, alongside an improvement in the dollar-based net expansion rate to 105%.

    How could ETM support Qualys's growth after the second quarter of fiscal 2026?

    ETM connects Agent Insta for rapid detection, Agent Val for exploitability validation, and Agent Sara for autonomous remediation. Management said on the August 4, 2026 call that TruConfirm can reduce findings to less than 1% of vulnerabilities requiring immediate action, making automated remediation more practical. ETM and CSAM together represented 12% of total bookings and 14% of new bookings on a trailing-twelve-month basis, up from 9% and 10% a year earlier.

    What is the significance of InstaScan and TotalAI 2.0 for QLYS stock?

    InstaScan is designed to detect exposure within minutes of a new advisory being published and without rescanning, compared with traditional cycles that may take from 24 hours to a week. In the tests presented by management, the ecosystem reduced the exposure window from 21 days to minutes and automatically remediated 60% of vulnerabilities. TotalAI 2.0 covers artificial intelligence activity from employees to workloads, extends to Anthropic and OpenAI platforms, and tests model-context exploits and MCP tools across more than 50 attack scenarios.

    What changed in Qualys's fiscal 2026 guidance?

    On August 4, 2026, management raised the revenue range to 732–738 million dollars from 721–727 million dollars, representing growth of between 9% and 10%. The adjusted earnings-per-share range increased to 7.74–7.88 dollars from 7.44–7.65 dollars, with an adjusted EBITDA margin expected in the mid-forties. For the third quarter of fiscal 2026, the company expects revenue between 185.5 and 187.5 million dollars and adjusted earnings per share between 1.91 and 1.98 dollars.

    What are the main risks to monitor for QLYS during fiscal 2026?

    Management expects current billings growth in the second half of fiscal 2026 of 7%–8% and did not observe a meaningful acceleration in the deal cycles of customers scheduled for renewal during that period. Direct revenue also remained nearly flat in the second quarter, while channels' contribution increased to 54% of revenue, making partner execution more important. In addition, many opportunities related to ETM and artificial intelligence threats remain at the discussion, proof-of-concept, and budget-allocation stages, alongside a neutral analyst consensus and a wide target range between 130 and 220 dollars.

    How does Qualys use liquidity and share repurchases?

    Free cash flow reached 55.9 million dollars in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, representing a margin of 31% versus 20% a year earlier, with management noting that working-capital fluctuations affected the comparison. For the first half of fiscal 2026, the adjusted free cash flow margin was 42% versus 43% in the prior period. The company spent 76.8 million dollars to repurchase 797 thousand shares during the quarter, and 229.8 million dollars remained available under the repurchase program at its end.

  • −The neutral analyst consensus and the divergence of targets between 130 and 220 dollars reflect substantial disagreement over the growth trajectory, while net insider sales during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 20, 2026 totaled approximately 7.9 million dollars across 49 sales and no purchases. Insider sales remain a weak standalone signal because they may be prearranged, and the data do not indicate otherwise.