| Factor | Score | Distribution | Value | Avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valuation | 31 | 109.0x | 17.3x | Bottom tier | |
Growth | 64 | 43.9% | 7.1% | Around median | |
Quality | 66 | 11.1% | 4.5% | Around median | |
Safety | 83 | — | 2.6x | Top tier | |
Capital Return | 45 | 0.00% | 0.06% | Around median | |
Momentum | 57 | 28.1% | -1.6% | Around median | |
Sentiment | 73 | 5 | 3 | Top tier |
The floor: what the company is worth if growth stopped today
73% of today's price is what a buyer pays for growth that has not happened yet.
10-year US Treasury yield 4.96% as of 2026-10-22. Estimates computed from company data and analyst targets, not investment advice.
Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.
Pattern Group Inc. operates an e-commerce platform that helps brands increase sales by optimizing traffic, conversion, price, and inventory availability, then executing operations across marketplaces, geographies, and logistics services. Its model relies on revenue from existing partners, adding new brands and products, expanding into marketplaces such as Amazon, Walmart, Tmall, and TikTok Shop, alongside software-as-a-service, logistics, and other revenue. The Pattern Intelligence platform is built on 91 trillion data points collected over 13 years, while the company holds 44 issued or pending patents across its data, semantic, and execution layers.
In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue increased 47% year over year to $876.8 million, and gross profit reached $384.4 million at a gross margin of approximately 43.8%, while net income reached $27.5 million and earnings per share were $0.15. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization rose 54% to $54 million, equivalent to a margin of approximately 6.2%, marking the fourth consecutive quarter in which this metric grew faster than revenue.
Amazon remained the dominant channel in Q2 fiscal 2026, as non-Amazon revenue represented approximately 9% of total activity versus 7% a year earlier, but grew 93% year over year, supported by Tmall, TikTok Shop, Walmart, and Coupang. International revenue reached $110 million after growing 87%, or approximately 12.5% of total revenue, while software-as-a-service, logistics, and other revenue increased 123% to $17 million; these categories overlap and are not components that can be directly added together.
The average analyst price target is $28, within a wide range of $21 to $31, and the stock carries a “Buy” consensus; the average is approximately 6% below the 52-week range high of $29.8, while exceeding the range low of $8.92 by more than three times. No published price-to-earnings ratio is available, and with net income of $26.4 million and earnings per share of approximately $0.146 during the trailing twelve months, the valuation depends heavily on continued growth and improved conversion of revenue into net profits, weighed against the risks of slowing growth and margin pressure.
Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.
Pattern's revenue increased 47% year over year to $876.8 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, with net revenue retention reaching a record 129%. International revenue grew 87% to $110 million, while non-Amazon revenue increased 93%. Software-as-a-service, logistics, and other revenue also increased 123% to $17 million, reflecting the contribution of expansion across marketplaces and services alongside growth from existing partners.
Management raised the fiscal 2026 revenue range to between $3.4 billion and $3.5 billion, equivalent to annual growth of between 37% and 38%. It also raised adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance to $211–213 million, representing growth of between 38% and 40%. Management expects net revenue retention to end fiscal 2026 at 123%–124%, above its long-term target of 115%, despite the expected decline from the 129% recorded in Q2 fiscal 2026.
Non-Amazon revenue represented approximately 9% of total activity in Q2 fiscal 2026, up from 7% a year earlier, meaning that approximately 91% of revenue remained tied to Amazon. In contrast, non-Amazon revenue grew 93%, supported by Tmall, TikTok Shop, Walmart, and Coupang. Management stated that the Walmart business had reached 3.4 times its level two years earlier, but it did not provide a specific forecast for Amazon's share over the next two years.
Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.
Pattern relies on an ecosystem comprising 91 trillion data points collected over 13 years, with data, semantic relationship, and execution layers and 44 issued or pending patents. It launched Pattern Intelligence in May 2026 to execute millions of governed actions daily while allowing brands to review them and modify their inputs. In Q2 fiscal 2026, the company received a U.S. patent for the True ROAS methodology, and through ROI Hunter it also enabled advertising on ChatGPT in July 2026 alongside Meta, Google, Snap, and TikTok.
Net income reached $27.5 million in Q2 fiscal 2026 on revenue of $876.8 million, representing a net margin of approximately 3.1%. During the twelve months ended June 30, 2026, the company generated $136 million in operating cash flow and $106 million in free cash flow, representing growth of 76% and 92%, respectively. It ended the period with liquidity of $346 million and no outstanding debt, along with additional borrowing capacity of $150 million.
Pattern expects revenue of between $840 million and $860 million in Q3 fiscal 2026, representing annual growth of between 31% and 34%, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of between $51 million and $53 million, representing growth of 25%–29%. Management explained that the shift of Amazon Prime Day, Walmart Deals, and Target Circle events into Q2 fiscal 2026 moved approximately four percentage points of growth away from Q3. The company also faces more difficult comparisons following growth of 46% in the comparable period, while continuing to invest in research and development at a faster rate than revenue.