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Stocks
Pearson plc
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall82
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 7/9Better than 82% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
74
21.9x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
33
0.7%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
66
—4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
72
1.4x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
63
2.13%2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
79
12.3%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
38
33Bottom tier
PSO

PSO Pearson plc

Pearson plc · NYSE
Market Closed
15.69
▲ ⁦+0.58%⁩ (+0.09)
Market Cap$9.4B
Beta-0.03
52w Low52w High
12.0217.47
Last Week
⁦-2.67%⁩
Last Month
⁦-4.68%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+3.29%⁩
Last Year
⁦+6.23%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$16
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$15
⁦-8%⁩
See it slightly overvalued
Range ⁦$11–$18⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$14.50
⁦-7.6%⁩
Current Price $15.69·Median $14.50
Low
$11.00
High
$18.00
Current price
$15.69
Average target
$14.50
Street summary

Pearson’s price targets remain stable amid deteriorating ratings

Bearish tilt

Price expectations have not changed over the last 30 days; the average target and median remained at 14.5, with the number of analysts staying at three. The range is between 11 and 18, while the current price is 15.73, reflecting clear dispersion in the targets and no recent improvement in consensus.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.00
Sell
Analyst coverage
2
Buy conviction
0%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 1↓
Target dispersion
45%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time2 analysts rating
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.00 → 2.00
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-09-02
    Citigroup
    BuyNeutral
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-04
    Goldman Sachs
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    Deutsche Bank
    Hold
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    21.92x
    4.21x33.71x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    8.05x
    2.57x20.60x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    8.5%
    -33.4%21.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    0.7%
    -16.2%48.2%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -20.2%
    -464.8%138.2%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    52.0%
    11.3%77.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.36x
    0.60x5.67x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    2.1%
    0.0%9.4%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    49.6%
    5.9%105.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-31 data

Company Overview

Pearson plc operates in education, assessment, and skills verification services, generating profits from testing and professional and clinical qualifications, virtual schools, printed and digital educational content, corporate and professional learning solutions, and English language education. About 90% of its profits come from Assessments & Verification, virtual schools, and print, activities that rely on human-led services and complex physical and digital workflows, and often operate within regulated markets; the remaining 10% comes from digital courseware content, particularly in U.S. higher education. The company also provides a global skills verification infrastructure serving companies, professional associations, states, and government entities.

In the first half ending within Q2 FY2026, underlying revenue rose 4%, adjusted operating profit increased 14% to £226 million, and the margin expanded 140 basis points to 15.5%, while adjusted earnings per share rose 19% at constant exchange rates to 28.9 pence. Free cash flow reached £259 million, an increase of £103 million, benefiting partly from the timing of payables and a one-time U.S. insurance policy settlement. The annual financial statements for FY2025 showed revenue of $3.6 billion, gross profit of $1.9 billion, and net income of $336 million, compared with net income of $435 million in FY2024.

The growth mix in the first half of FY2026 was mixed: Virtual Learning grew 19% and its margin reached 18%, Enterprise Learning & Skills grew 7% with a 28% margin, and Higher Education rose 2% with a 6% margin, while Assessment & Qualifications also increased 2% despite its margin declining 20%. In contrast, English Language Learning revenue fell 3% because of weakness in Pearson Test of English, despite growth in the institutional business. This mix shows that virtual schools and corporate learning offset pressure from language testing and some U.S. student assessment contracts.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Pearson reaffirmed its FY2026 guidance for mid-single-digit underlying revenue growth, adjusted operating profit of between £640 million and £685 million, and free cash flow conversion of between 90% and 100%, following 4% revenue growth and a 14% increase in adjusted operating profit in the first half.
  • Virtual Learning achieved 19% growth in the first half of FY2026, with enrollment growth accelerating to 15% in the spring and the margin rising to 18%. Pearson renewed all ten long-term contracts scheduled for renewal and was on track to open five new schools in the academic year following the results published on July 31, 2026.
  • Pearson launched a global certification program for a leading artificial intelligence laboratory in a single-digit number of months rather than the historical 18-to-24-month period, and tens of thousands of candidates had already gone through its centers by July 31, 2026. It also launched the Google Cloud contract in the first half, while FY2026 benefits from the full-year impact of the Salesforce and ServiceNow contracts that began in the second half of FY2025.
  • Inclusive access growth accelerated to 23% in Q2 FY2026 and now represents 50% of the core U.S. courseware business. This improvement is supported by changes to the go-to-market approach, including adjustments to sales team incentives and better market information available to them.
  • Pearson is standardizing a highly fragmented operating architecture comprising approximately 150 content tools and more than 140 ways of describing educational assets, while also reducing more than 130 separate sales incentive plans to about 30 role-based plans. In the early stages of implementing AI-powered self-service, the technology now handles 40% of customer service interactions across voice, chat, and email, supporting the goal of expanding the margin by about 40 basis points annually on average over the medium term.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The first-half FY2026 results combine 4% underlying revenue growth, a 14% increase in adjusted operating profit, and 140 basis points of margin expansion, indicating that operating leverage and cost efficiency are translating into faster profit growth than revenue growth.
  • +Virtual Learning provides a strong and measurable growth driver; it grew 19%, enrollment rose 15% in the spring, and the company renewed all ten long-term contracts, with five new schools planned for the academic year following the July 31, 2026 announcement.
  • +The Google Cloud, Salesforce, and ServiceNow contracts and the artificial intelligence laboratory certification program strengthen Pearson's position in technical skills verification, and the latter program received tens of thousands of candidates within a few months of its launch.
  • +Free cash flow reached £259 million in the first half of FY2026, and balance sheet strength enabled an accelerated £350 million share buyback and a proposed 5% increase in the interim dividend to 8.2 pence, while capital allocation policy remained disciplined according to management.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus on PSO is neutral, with an average price target of $14.5 and a wide range of $11 to $18 reflecting meaningful differences in views on Pearson's prospects. The average is below the 52-week range high of $17.75, while the highest target slightly exceeds that high and the lowest target falls below the range low of $12.02; the data does not include a valid price-to-earnings ratio that can be used to compare valuation with earnings.

HoldAnalyst target: $14.5(-7.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What are the main drivers of Pearson's growth in FY2026?

In the first half of FY2026, underlying revenue rose 4% and adjusted operating profit increased 14% to £226 million. Virtual Learning led growth with a 19% increase, while Enterprise Learning & Skills grew 7% and Assessment & Qualifications and Higher Education each grew 2%. Management reaffirmed guidance for mid-single-digit underlying revenue growth and adjusted operating profit of between £640 million and £685 million for FY2026.

How is Pearson benefiting from the adoption of artificial intelligence?

Pearson launched a global assessment and certification program for a leading artificial intelligence laboratory in a single-digit number of months, compared with a historical launch cycle of between 18 and 24 months. By the July 31, 2026 call, tens of thousands of people had applied to the program through the Pearson Professional Assessments network. The company is also using artificial intelligence internally, with self-service now handling 40% of customer interactions in the early stages of implementation, while its research showed that users of its adaptive products were 90% more likely to achieve initial mastery than with legacy educational tools.

Why is Virtual Learning important to PSO stock?
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Pearson depends heavily on three business groups, with 90% of its profits coming from Assessments & Verification, virtual schools, and print; therefore, a setback in any of these pillars could materially affect group profit, as shown in part by the impact of losing the New Jersey contract in U.S. student assessment.
  • −English Language Learning revenue declined 3% in the first half of FY2026, and management reduced the level of certainty regarding growth in this segment during the year because of weakness in study abroad, tighter immigration policies, and geopolitical disruption. It also expected Pearson Test of English to continue declining, after the immigration market fell 15% in FY2025 and continued contracting at a slower pace in FY2026.
  • −The Assessment & Qualifications margin declined 20% in the first half of FY2026 because the impact of sales mix and delivery costs exceeded the improvement in trading. The pressure came from the expiration of the mature New Jersey contract and the launch of a U.K. primary school testing contract at a lower initial margin, in addition to one-time delivery costs.
  • −The first large-scale administration of U.K. primary school tests experienced technical issues with the new platform that caused a short delay in delivering results for about two million papers. Although Pearson acted to support schools and strengthen execution in subsequent cycles, the incident reveals operational risks in large-scale regulated contracts.
  • −Pearson's annual revenue remained at $3.6 billion in both FY2024 and FY2025, after $3.7 billion in FY2023 and $3.8 billion in FY2022. Net income also declined from $435 million in FY2024 to $336 million in FY2025, making the achievement of mid-single-digit growth in FY2026 important for demonstrating a reversal of the annual stagnation trend.
  • −The neutral analyst consensus, with an average target of $14.5 and a wide range of $11 to $18, reflects significant divergence in valuation estimates. The average target is below the 52-week range high of $17.75, while the low end extends below the range low of $12.02, and no price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data to provide an additional valuation anchor.

Virtual Learning grew 19% in the first half of FY2026, with enrollment growth accelerating to 15% in the spring and the margin rising to 18%. Pearson successfully renewed all ten long-term contracts scheduled for renewal and was on track to open five new schools in the academic year following the July 31, 2026 results. Management estimated that the virtual learning market grew at a high-single-digit enrollment rate during the 2025–2026 academic year and said that Pearson's share performance was better than the market.

What is Pearson's most notable operational weakness in FY2026?

English Language Learning revenue declined 3% in the first half of FY2026 because growth in the institutional business did not offset the decline in Pearson Test of English. Management linked the weakness to lower study abroad activity, tighter immigration policies, and geopolitical disruption, after the immigration market declined 15% in FY2025 and continued falling at a slower pace in FY2026. Pearson therefore updated its outlook for the segment to indicate that its growth in FY2026 had become less certain, while maintaining confidence in guidance for the group as a whole.

What do Pearson's profitability and cash flows look like?

Adjusted operating profit reached £226 million in the first half of FY2026, and the margin increased 140 basis points to 15.5%. Adjusted earnings per share rose 19% at constant exchange rates to 28.9 pence, while free cash flow reached £259 million, an increase of £103 million. However, part of the cash flow strength came from the timing of payables and a one-time U.S. insurance policy settlement, while net debt increased by £0.3 billion to £1.3 billion after share buybacks, acquisition spending, and dividends.

What does analyst consensus say about PSO stock's valuation?

The aggregate analyst recommendation is neutral, and the average price target is $14.5. The target range is between $11 and $18, compared with a 52-week range of $12.02 to $17.75, revealing a wide divergence between conservative and optimistic scenarios. The data does not include an available price-to-earnings ratio, so the stock's valuation here is based on the analyst target range and 52-week range rather than a specific earnings multiple.