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Stocks
Parsons Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall39
Weak — below market medianContrarianF 6/9Better than 39% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
63
31.3x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
45
-5.8%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
53
6.0%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
58
3.4x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
21
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
11
-39.2%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
90
9▲3Top tier
PSN

PSN Parsons Corporation

Parsons Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
45.75
▼ ⁦-0.28%⁩ (-0.13)
Market Cap$4.9B
Beta0.70
52w Low52w High
40.2689.50
Last Week
⁦-1.34%⁩
Last Month
⁦-4.25%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-22.59%⁩
Last Year
⁦-43.05%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$46
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$55
⁦+19%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$17–$65⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$46
⁦+0%⁩
Sees it fairly priced
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦4⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$46–$55⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$47.75
⁦+4.4%⁩
Current Price $45.75·Median $54.50
Low
$17.00
High
$65.00
Current price
$45.75
Average target
$47.75
Street summary

Consensus rises as the estimate range widens

The consensus price target rose from 44.67 to 47.75 over the last 30 days, an increase of 3.08 or 6.9%, while remaining unchanged over the last 7 days. The number of analysts covered also increased from 5 to 7, indicating a limited improvement in coverage, but the consensus has become very close to the current price of 47.59.

As of 2026-09-08
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+6.9%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.93
Buy
Analyst coverage
⁦14 (+2)⁩
New coverage
Buy conviction
79%
High
Target dispersion
105%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time14 analysts rating
2
9
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.79 → 3.93
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    Goldman Sachs
    Neutral
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-02
    Jefferies
    HoldBuy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    Bernstein
    Market Perform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    31.34x
    6.87x54.92x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    13.11x
    5.19x41.53x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    14.89x
    4.52x36.15x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    6.2%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -5.8%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -34.2%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    21.5%
    12.9%79.5%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    6.0%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.40x
    0.26x3.22x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

Parsons Corporation operates in two interconnected markets: Federal Solutions and Critical Infrastructure. In Federal Solutions, it sells cybersecurity, missile defense, space, electronic warfare, and counter-unmanned aircraft services and products, with a portfolio that includes Joint Cyber Hunt Kit, TReX, DroneArmor, OrbitXchange, and GOCaaS; its infrastructure business covers transportation, airports, rail, water, urban development, and program management. Products represented 10% of its federal business in fiscal Q2 2026, while government contracts, long-term frameworks, and engineering projects provided the primary sources of revenue.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue reached $1.6 billion, while adjusted revenue grew 8% year over year and 3% organically after excluding the classified contract. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $161 million, up 8%, and its margin expanded 70 basis points to 10.1%. Reported results were affected by $118 million of nonrecurring events, consisting of a $77 million loss on two remote contracts held for sale and a $41 million charge related to historic rainfall and schedule delays at a joint venture project, partially offset by a $19 million gain from the sale of two consulting contracts.

The segment mix reflected a clear divergence in fiscal Q2 2026: Critical Infrastructure revenue grew 5%, while its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization rose 18% to $97 million, with an 11.9% margin. Adjusted Federal Solutions revenue grew 11%, but the segment's adjusted profit declined 5% to $64 million and its margin fell to 8.2% because of lower classified contract volume and a higher share of materials and subcontractors. EDGAR data for fiscal Q1 2026 shows revenue of $1.5 billion, gross profit of $357.4 million, net income of $52.9 million, and earnings per share of $0.49.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Bookings reached $1.9 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, up 24% year over year, and the book-to-bill ratio reached 1.2 times; Federal Solutions bookings also rose 51%, with its book-to-bill ratio reaching 1.3 times. Parsons ended the period with a $9.3 billion backlog, including $6.6 billion funded, in addition to $11 billion of awards not yet booked.
  • Parsons subsidiary SealingTech won a five-year Joint Cyber Hunt Kit production contract with a ceiling of $750 million on August 25, 2026, as the sole prime contractor. Parsons had booked $250 million from the program in fiscal Q1 2026, completed delivery of 12 low-rate initial production units, and is targeting delivery of 62 units during fiscal 2026, followed by 74 units in each of fiscal 2027 and fiscal 2028.
  • On August 24, 2026, Parsons received a two-year, $514 million extension option from the U.S. Missile Defense Agency, of which it booked $195 million in fiscal Q2 2026. On August 26, 2026, it was also selected to participate in the multiple-award COMET contract, which has an aggregate ceiling of $14 billion, but actual revenue from it will depend on the task orders the company wins.
  • Fiscal Q2 2026 awards supported a diverse range of growth opportunities; they included two Other Transaction Agreements with a combined value of $400 million, a $245 million sole-source contract for the Naval Research Laboratory, a sole-source contract with a $184 million ceiling for the Intelligence Carry-on program, and a $161 million Canadian contract. Of the five contracts valued at more than $100 million each during the quarter, four used artificial intelligence, while ten of the 13 large contracts the company won over three quarters included advanced artificial intelligence capabilities.
  • The Middle East business increased organic revenue by 10% in fiscal Q2 2026 and achieved a book-to-bill ratio of 1.1 times. The average contract duration in the region was approximately five years, with 49% of revenue tied to long-term frameworks and 80% to sustainable long-term programs, supporting revenue visibility despite geopolitical risks.
  • Parsons expects fiscal 2026 revenue of between $6.2 billion and $6.5 billion, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of between $500 million and $560 million, and operating cash flow of between $430 million and $490 million. Management expects the Federal Solutions margin to expand to 9.4% in the second half of fiscal 2026, driven by higher product sales, growth in more profitable contracts, and acquisition contributions.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The $9.3 billion backlog, 71% funding ratio, and book-to-bill ratios above one time in both segments provide a tangible foundation for converting awards into revenue, although the timing of funding and execution remains a critical factor.
  • +Profitability quality is improving in Critical Infrastructure; the adjusted margin reached 11.9% in fiscal Q2 2026 after expanding by 140 basis points, and the segment recorded its fifth consecutive quarter with a margin above 10%. It also maintained a book-to-bill ratio of at least one time for 23 consecutive quarters.
  • +Higher-growth, more profitable products are strengthening the Federal Solutions mix; they currently represent 10% of the federal business, and management expects the products business to grow 30% to 40% in fiscal 2027. This trajectory is tied to specific programs such as Joint Cyber Hunt Kit and cybersecurity, electronic warfare, and space products.
  • +Reported insider activity indicates one purchase and no sales during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 7, 2026, with net activity of 959,400. This signal remains supportive only and does not offset execution risks or the guidance reductions.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average target of $47.75, but the wide target range from $17 to $65 reflects substantial disagreement over the impact of the backlog and new contracts versus execution and funding risks. The average target is approximately 47% below the top of the 52-week range of $89.50, and even the highest target is approximately 27% below that peak, consistent with a reassessment following reductions to revenue and profitability guidance; the data does not include a valid earnings multiple that could be used as an additional anchor.

BuyAnalyst target: $47.75(+4.4%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is driving Parsons' growth in fiscal 2026?

Growth depends on a $9.3 billion backlog, including $6.6 billion funded, and $11 billion of awards not yet booked. Bookings reached $1.9 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, up 24%, and the book-to-bill ratio reached 1.2 times. Execution drivers include Joint Cyber Hunt Kit, the Missile Defense Agency contract, the two Other Transaction Agreements valued at $400 million, and organic growth of 10% in the Middle East.

How important is the Joint Cyber Hunt Kit contract to PSN stock?

On August 25, 2026, USCYBERCOM raised the ceiling of the five-year Joint Cyber Hunt Kit contract to $750 million and selected SealingTech as the sole prime contractor. Parsons booked $250 million from the program in fiscal Q1 2026 and completed delivery of 12 low-rate initial production units. The company is targeting delivery of 62 units during fiscal 2026 and 74 units in each of fiscal 2027 and fiscal 2028, making it a defined component of federal product growth.

Why did Parsons lower its fiscal 2026 guidance?

The company reduced the midpoint of its revenue guidance by $300 million to a range of between $6.2 billion and $6.5 billion. The reduction was divided among $85 million related to divestitures, $125 million related to infrastructure, award timing, and lower pass-through costs, and $90 million related to a contract protest and delayed federal funding. The midpoint of adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance was also reduced by $115 million, but management said underlying performance offset part of the impact of lower revenue volume.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Parsons reduced the midpoint of its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance by $300 million; $85 million was related to divestitures, $125 million to slower infrastructure ramp-up and lower pass-through costs, and $90 million to the timing of federal contracts. The midpoint of adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance was also reduced by $115 million, while the midpoint of operating cash flow guidance was reduced by $40 million.
  • −Fiscal Q2 2026 charges of $118 million reveal actual execution risks: a $77 million loss on two remote contracts that faced staffing, supply-chain, and cost-escalation challenges, and a $41 million charge at a joint venture project affected by historic rainfall and schedule delays. Parsons still has three programs in which it is a non-managing partner; one ends as fiscal 2027 begins, while the other two end in early and mid-fiscal 2028.
  • −Reported growth slowed when the classified contract was included; total revenue rose only 1% in fiscal Q2 2026 and declined 4% organically, compared with adjusted growth of 8% and organic growth of 3% when it was excluded. In Federal Solutions, total revenue declined 3% and 12% organically when the contract was included, while the segment's adjusted profit declined 5% to $64 million.
  • −Approximately half of Parsons' business depends on the U.S. federal government, while contract protests, funding delays, and task orders reduced federal revenue expectations by $90 million. Of this amount, approximately $20 million was related to a protest involving a new contract, while the remainder reflected delayed funding for work the company had already won, meaning strong bookings do not guarantee rapid conversion into revenue.
  • −Liquidity faces pressure from working capital and collections; Parsons invested approximately $30 million in fiscal Q2 2026 in memory and storage inventory to secure product production schedules, while days sales outstanding rose to 76 days. Payments from some Middle East customers also slowed, and trailing twelve-month free cash flow conversion was 74%, compared with an annual target above 100%.
  • −The valuation reflects a wide dispersion in analyst expectations; the average target of $47.75 ranges from a low target of $17 to a high target of $65, while the 52-week range extends from $36.26 to $89.50. The average target and the highest target both falling below the top of the annual range reflect a reassessment related to the guidance reductions, slower contract conversion, and nonrecurring charges, despite the consensus remaining Buy.
Were the fiscal Q2 2026 charges recurring?

Parsons recorded nonrecurring events totaling $118 million, including a $77 million loss on two remote contracts and a $41 million charge for a joint venture project affected by historic rainfall. The company expects to complete the sale of the two remote contracts in fiscal Q3 2026, while the weather-affected project is expected to reach 90% completion by the end of fiscal 2026. However, three programs in which Parsons is a non-managing partner remain in place through the start of fiscal 2027 and early and mid-fiscal 2028, requiring continued execution monitoring.

How does profitability differ between Parsons' two segments?

Critical Infrastructure adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $97 million in fiscal Q2 2026, up 18%, and its margin reached 11.9%. In Federal Solutions, the corresponding profit was $64 million, down 5%, while the margin was 8.2% because of lower classified contract volume and a higher share of materials and subcontractors. Management expects the federal margin to rise to 9.4% in the second half of fiscal 2026 as products and more profitable contracts grow.

What are Parsons' main liquidity risks in fiscal 2026?

Days sales outstanding reached 76 days at the end of fiscal Q2 2026, affected by lower classified contract volume and the timing of collections in the Middle East. The company also invested approximately $30 million in memory and storage inventory to support production of Joint Cyber Hunt Kit and other products. Trailing twelve-month free cash flow conversion was 74%, while Parsons reaffirmed a target above 100% for fiscal 2026 within operating cash flow guidance of between $430 million and $490 million.