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Prospect Capital Corporation
PSEC

PSEC Prospect Capital Corporation

Prospect Capital Corporation · NASDAQ
Market Closed
2.22
▲ ⁦+1.83%⁩ (+0.04)
Market Cap$1.1B
Beta0.78
52w Low52w High
2.113.13
Last Week
⁦-0.45%⁩
Last Month
⁦-3.06%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-9.76%⁩
Last Year
⁦-23.45%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall59
Balanced — near the middle of the marketValue TrapF 6/9Better than 59% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
86
7.6x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
25
-13.3%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
27
——Bottom tier
▸
Safety
59
——Around median
▸
Capital Return
96
28.80%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
21
-19.7%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
80
1▼3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$2.22
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$2.50
⁦+13%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$2.50–$2.50⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$14
⁦+508%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$2.50–$14⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$2.50
⁦+12.6%⁩
Current Price $2.22·Median $2.50
Low
$2.50
High
$2.50
Street summary

Stability Analysis of Forecasts for Prospect Capital (PSEC)

PSEC stock shows a state of complete stability in price targets at 2.5 dollars, with a total lack of dispersion among analysts, as the high, low, and average target prices are identical. This consistency reflects a unified and conservative view by the single analyst currently covering the stock, without any upward or downward revisions during the timeframes (1, 7, 30 days).

As of 2026-05-22
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.00
Sell
Analyst coverage
1
Buy conviction
0%
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time1 analysts rating
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.00 → 2.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2025-08-28
    Wells Fargo
    Underweight· $2.50
  • = Reiterate2024-08-30
    Wells Fargo
    Underweight· $4.50
  • = Reiterate2024-05-16
    Wells Fargo
    Underweight
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    7.58x
    3.16x25.26x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    6.17x
    2.76x22.06x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    16.07x
    3.07x24.55x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    44.3%
    -19.9%19.1%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -13.3%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    104.5%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    87.6%
    23.5%98.3%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    6.6%
    -36.5%24.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    6.41x
    0.25x7.31x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    28.8%
    0.6%9.0%
    High
  • Payout Ratio
    218.4%
    9.8%97.8%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-21 data

Company Overview

Prospect Capital Corporation operates as a business development company focused primarily on lending to and investing in private middle-market companies in the United States, generating its income mainly from loan interest alongside returns from real estate investments and equity interests associated with its portfolio. In June 2026, middle-market lending represented 85% of investments at cost, senior and secured debt accounted for 84% of the portfolio at cost, while the real estate portfolio at National Property REIT Corp represented about 14%. The portfolio’s total fair value was $6.3 billion, distributed across 91 companies in 31 industries, while interest income accounted for 91% of total investment income during fiscal year 2026.

In fiscal year 2026, Prospect Capital recorded revenue of $581.9 million and net income of $153.7 million, equivalent to a calculated net income margin of about 26.4%, compared with revenue of $671.1 million and a net loss of $469.9 million in fiscal year 2025. Earnings per share reported in EDGAR filings were about $0.06 for fiscal year 2026, and the data did not include a figure for gross profit or its margin. These figures reflect the company’s return to profitability, but they coincide with an annual revenue decline of about 13.3%.

In Q4 of fiscal year 2026, ended June 2026, net investment income was $78 million, or $0.15 per common share, and remained consistent with the previous quarter. Net asset value was $2.9 billion, or $5.71 per share, while new investments reached $166 million, 91% of which were in the middle market, versus $46 million of repayments and exits, resulting in net investments of $120 million. Management declared monthly distributions of $0.035 per share for each of September and October 2026.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Q4 fiscal year 2026 results supported the operating picture, with net investment income of $78 million, or $0.15 per share, while an August 21, 2026 report cited revenue of $155.76 million versus expectations of $149.80 million, and earnings per share of $0.15 versus estimates of $0.11.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • On July 1, 2026, Prospect Capital closed the sale of portfolio company Valley Electric for total proceeds of about $328 million, with expected net proceeds from the exit of about $281 million and a realized and annualized aggregate internal rate of return of 20.5% and a 4.8 times multiple on invested capital since 2012.
  • New investment activity is focused on senior secured first-lien loans; middle-market lending represented 91% of investments in the quarter ended June 2026, and new investments included Safety Solutions Financing, Abacus Dermatology Management, and Eyefive.
  • The company strengthened its liquidity with $1.6 billion of cash and undrawn revolving credit facility commitments in June 2026, before the proceeds from the Valley Electric sale, alongside $4.2 billion of unencumbered assets and $2.12 billion of commitments provided by 48 banks.
  • Management expects the use of large language models, generative and predictive artificial intelligence, and automation across Prospect’s business and its portfolio companies to potentially deliver tens of millions of dollars in annual cash flow benefits, and stated that some of these benefits have already been realized, without providing specific numerical financial guidance.
  • Insider purchases provide an additional supportive signal; net purchases during the three months ended with the latest transaction on June 23, 2026 amounted to about $4.7 million, through three purchases and with no recorded sales.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Annual performance improved clearly in fiscal year 2026, as the company moved from a net loss of $469.9 million in fiscal year 2025 to net income of $153.7 million, despite the decline in revenue.
    • +The portfolio has stronger credit characteristics than the comparisons presented by management: portfolio company net leverage of 4.9 times versus 6.1 times for peers, cash interest coverage of 223% versus 160%, and an annualized realized net loss rate of 20 basis points versus 100 basis points.
    • +The Valley Electric sale strengthens the company’s track record of realizing value from investments, after the investment generated a realized and annualized aggregate internal rate of return of 20.5% and a multiple of 4.8 times, with expected net proceeds from the exit of about $281 million.
    • +The funding structure provides a degree of flexibility, with a net debt-to-total-assets ratio of 28.6% as of June 30, 2026, unencumbered assets valued at $4.2 billion, debt maturities extending through 2052, and an average funding cost on unsecured debt of 4.78%.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The company relies heavily on interest income, which accounted for 91% of total investment income in fiscal year 2026; therefore, income could be materially affected by changes in interest rates or the ability of middle-market borrowers to repay.
    • −Fiscal year 2026 revenue declined to $581.9 million from $671.1 million in fiscal year 2025, a decrease of about 13.3%, meaning the return to profitability was not accompanied by revenue growth.
    • −Accounting results remain volatile; the company recorded a net loss of $469.9 million in fiscal year 2025 before generating net income of $153.7 million in fiscal year 2026, while quarterly net income reported in EDGAR ranged between $23.7 million and $78.0 million during the first three quarters of fiscal year 2026.
    • −Non-accrual investments amounted to about 0.7% of total assets at fair value in June 2026, while payment-in-kind interest income represented 10% of total investment income in fiscal year 2026; although this payment-in-kind income declined 53% compared with the period ended June 2024, it remains less liquid than cash interest.
    • −Real estate at National Property REIT Corp represented about 14% of investments at cost in June 2026, and the remaining portfolio included 52 properties with a quarterly income yield of 5.3%; management’s focus on rotating this portfolio indicates that improving income depends partly on successfully executing exits and redeploying the proceeds.
    • −The analyst consensus is Neutral, and the sole stated target of $2.50 falls within the 52-week range of $2.11–$3.13 and is about 20.1% below its high; the identical high and low target of $2.50 also reveals the limited dispersion of available opinions rather than a broad range of independent estimates.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on PSEC is Neutral, with an average target of $2.50 and identical high and low targets at the same level, making the available comparison base narrow. This target falls within the 52-week range of $2.11–$3.13 and is about 20.1% below the top of that range; no valid price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, so the valuation assessment is based on the Neutral target, the historical trading range, and earnings volatility between the fiscal year 2025 loss and fiscal year 2026 profitability.

    HoldAnalyst target: $2.5(+12.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How did Prospect Capital generate a profit in fiscal year 2026 despite lower revenue?

    Fiscal year 2026 revenue was about $581.9 million, down approximately 13.3% from $671.1 million in fiscal year 2025. Nevertheless, the company moved from a net loss of $469.9 million to net income of $153.7 million. In Q4 of fiscal year 2026, it recorded net investment income of $78 million, or $0.15 per share. These figures demonstrate an improvement in the bottom line, but they do not establish a return to revenue growth.

    Why is the Valley Electric sale important to PSEC shareholders?

    Prospect Capital closed the sale of Valley Electric on July 1, 2026 for total proceeds of about $328 million, with expected net proceeds from the exit of $281 million. Since 2012, the investment generated a realized and annualized aggregate internal rate of return of 20.5% and a multiple equal to 4.8 times invested capital. Management stated that if the cash had been received before June 30, 2026 and used to repay the revolving credit facility, the amount drawn would have been $323 million on a pro forma basis. The exit therefore supports liquidity and provides tangible evidence of the company’s ability to realize value from some of its controlling equity investments.

    How strong was Prospect Capital’s credit portfolio in June 2026?

    The portfolio included 91 companies across 31 industries, with a total fair value of $6.3 billion in June 2026. Net leverage among middle-market companies was 4.9 times versus 6.1 times for peers, and cash interest coverage was 223% versus 160% for peers, according to the comparison presented by management. The annualized realized net loss rate was also 20 basis points versus 100 basis points for peers, while non-accrual investments represented 0.7% of total assets at fair value. Senior and secured debt represented 84% of the portfolio at cost.

    Are PSEC distributions supported by investment income in Q4 of fiscal year 2026?

    The company recorded net investment income of $0.15 per share in Q4 of fiscal year 2026. It declared monthly distributions of $0.035 per share for each of September and October 2026, or $0.07 in total for the two declared months. From the initial public offering 22 years ago through the declared October 2026 distribution, the company said its total distributions would exceed $4.8 billion, or $22.14 per share. However, continued coverage depends on interest income, which represented 91% of total investment income in fiscal year 2026.

    How did Prospect Capital’s investment mix change in fiscal year 2026?

    Middle-market lending represented 85% of investments at cost in June 2026 and accounted for 91% of investments in the quarter ended that month. The company had nearly completed its exit from the subordinated structured notes portfolio, whose weighting declined from 8.4% in June 2024 to about zero in June 2026. Meanwhile, National Property REIT Corp’s real estate portfolio represented 14% of investments at cost and included 52 properties with a quarterly income yield of 5.3%. Management intends to redeploy proceeds from future real estate exits primarily into senior secured first-lien corporate loans with selected equity-related investments.

    What does Prospect Capital’s artificial intelligence strategy mean?

    Management said during the August 21, 2026 call that it is applying large language models, generative and predictive artificial intelligence, machine learning, and automation across Prospect’s business, its portfolio companies, and its real estate properties. Management estimated that these initiatives could generate tens of millions of dollars in annual cash flow benefits through increased revenue and reduced costs. It stated that some of the benefit had already been realized, but did not provide a separate realized figure, a timeline, or specific financial guidance. The initiative therefore represents a potential efficiency driver, but is not yet an independent quantitative basis for valuation.