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Primoris Services Corporation
PRIM

PRIM Primoris Services Corporation

Primoris Services Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
75.28
▲ ⁦+3.17%⁩ (+2.31)
Market Cap$4.1B
Beta1.47
52w Low52w High
70.12205.50
Last Week
⁦+1.40%⁩
Last Month
⁦-8.90%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-40.54%⁩
Last Year
⁦-35.77%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall30
Weak — below market medianValue TrapF 7/9SafeBetter than 30% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
57
29.4x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
65
5.1%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
33
5.9%▲4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
51
3.5x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
27
0.43%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
9
-30.2%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
84
8▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$75
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$127
⁦+69%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$90–$172⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$10
⁦-86%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.9⁩% discount · ⁦4⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$10–$127⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$126.33
⁦+67.8%⁩
Current Price $75.28·Median $127.00
Low
$90.00
High
$172.00
Current price
$75.28
Average target
$126.33
Street summary

PRIM Price Target Consensus Declines as Dispersion Widens

The consensus price target fell to 126.33 from 130.88 over 7 days, and to 126.33 from 136.33 over 30 days, a decline of 3.48% and 7.34%, respectively, while the number of analysts remained at 7. The range is between 90 and 172, compared with a current price of 72.96, reflecting clear dispersion among estimates despite targets remaining above the current price.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-7.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.93
Buy
Analyst coverage
15
Buy conviction
73%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
109%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time15 analysts rating
3
8
4
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.73 → 3.93
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-09
    Piper Sandler
    OverweightNeutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-10
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-10
    UBS
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    29.41x
    5.69x45.54x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    13.30x
    4.57x36.58x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    16.40x
    3.43x27.47x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    2.2%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    5.1%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -42.1%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    8.6%
    8.6%54.6%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    5.9%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.52x
    0.55x4.37x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    0.4%
    0.1%4.8%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    12.3%
    6.6%80.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    3.02
    -5.667.97
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-06 data

Company Overview

Primoris Services Corporation is a specialty contracting company that delivers infrastructure solutions through two main segments: Utilities and Energy. The Utilities segment includes electric transmission, substations, gas networks, and communications, while the Energy segment includes solar power, battery storage, gas-fired power generation, pipeline services, and industrial work. Revenue is generated from project execution and service programs, including long-term customer contracts and design-build, engineering, procurement, and construction work.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, Primoris reported revenue of $1.7 billion, gross profit of $82.4 million, a net loss of $24.2 million, and a loss per share of $0.45. These figures represent a gross margin of approximately 4.8% and a negative net margin of approximately 1.4%, compared with revenue of $1.6 billion, gross profit of $134.7 million, and net income of $17.4 million in Q1 fiscal 2026. Revenue therefore increased by approximately 6% sequentially, but gross profit declined by approximately 39%, and the company moved to a net loss.

The Q1 fiscal 2026 details showed a clear divergence between the two segments; Utilities revenue increased 12.3% by approximately $70 million, and its gross profit reached $62 million at a margin of 9.8%, supported by electric transmission and gas networks. In contrast, Energy revenue declined 13.8% by $152.9 million, while its gross profit fell to $72.7 million and its margin declined to 7.6% because of delays in renewable energy projects and cost overruns on a limited number of solar projects. At the company level, backlog stood at $11.6 billion at the end of Q1 fiscal 2026, compared with $11.9 billion at the end of fiscal 2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Electric transmission remains a key driver; the Utilities segment achieved revenue growth of 12.3% in Q1 fiscal 2026, and its gross margin increased from 9.2% to 9.8%, supported by transmission and substation activity in Texas and the southeastern United States, as well as new gas utility service programs.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Primoris has a substantial pipeline of potential gas-fired power generation contracts, including approximately $800 million of near-term verbal awards, $3 billion of opportunities the company was pursuing during fiscal 2026, and $7.1 billion of identified opportunities beyond fiscal 2026. Management confirmed on May 6, 2026, that some starts had been delayed because of customer cost reviews and investment decisions, without any project cancellations.
  • The renewable energy opportunity pipeline exceeded $15 billion on May 6, 2026, while verbal awards for the second half of fiscal 2026 exceeded approximately $1.1 billion, with another $2.8 billion that management said it expected to sign. The pipeline of BESS battery energy storage system projects also increased by more than four times year over year when measured in megawatt-hours.
  • The acquisition of Paynecrest, completed on May 1, 2026, added an electrical contracting platform serving data centers, industrial, energy, and renewable energy markets. Approximately 40% of Paynecrest's revenue comes from data centers and more than another 40% from industrial, energy, and renewable infrastructure, while Primoris booked more than $400 million of data center-related infrastructure work in Q1 fiscal 2026, compared with just over $800 to $850 million throughout fiscal 2025.
  • Management expects the Energy segment's book-to-bill ratio to exceed one time during fiscal 2026, with the majority of bookings concentrated in the second half of fiscal 2026. Conversely, it reduced its renewable energy revenue forecast to approximately $2.3 billion for fiscal 2026 because the timing of some bookings, starts, and revenue recognition shifted to later periods.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +A backlog of $11.6 billion at the end of Q1 fiscal 2026 provides substantial forward visibility, supported by a $476 million year-over-year increase in Utilities backlog as customer spending on grid reliability and capacity expansion accelerates.
    • +Growth opportunities span electric transmission, gas-fired power generation, solar power, BESS, and data centers; the renewable energy pipeline exceeded $15 billion, the post-fiscal 2026 gas generation pipeline reached approximately $7.1 billion, and the BESS pipeline increased by more than four times year over year.
    • +Paynecrest gives the company direct access to electrical work inside data center facilities, rather than limiting it to supporting infrastructure outside them, with approximately 40% of the acquired company's revenue tied to data centers. Management sees an opportunity to expand the scope of work with a major hyperscale infrastructure operator, but it did not include this additional potential in its fiscal 2026 guidance.
    • +The company maintained liquidity of $676.5 million at the end of Q1 fiscal 2026 and expected net debt to EBITDA to remain below 1.5 times after financing Paynecrest. It also had $150 million remaining under its share repurchase authorization while continuing organic investment in high-demand infrastructure markets.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Execution problems on solar projects represent the clearest operational risk; six projects experienced margin pressure because of labor, redesign, execution sequencing, weather, and soil and stormwater protection requirements. Management estimated that cost overruns recorded in Q1 fiscal 2026 were approximately $35 to $40 million, in addition to approximately $25 million from the impact of lower margins while completing the projects, while the company's gross margin fell to approximately 4.8% in Q2 fiscal 2026 and the result shifted to a net loss of $24.2 million.
    • −Underlying activity slowed in Q1 fiscal 2026; company revenue declined 5.4% year over year, Energy segment revenue fell 13.8%, and company gross profit decreased 21.1%. Total backlog also declined from $11.9 billion at the end of fiscal 2025 to $11.6 billion, including a $780 million reduction in Energy backlog because of the timing of gas, pipeline, and solar contracts.
    • −Fiscal 2026 guidance came under pressure from project delays and renewable energy margins; management reduced its renewable energy revenue forecast to approximately $2.3 billion and estimated the impact of lower revenue at approximately $400 million and nearly $45 million of gross profit. The company expects diluted earnings per share of $4.05 to $4.25, adjusted earnings per share of $4.80 to $5.00, and adjusted EBITDA of $480 to $500 million for fiscal 2026, assuming a gradual margin recovery during subsequent quarters.
    • −The pace at which opportunities convert into revenue depends on customer decisions and contract timing; some expected bookings shifted from Q2 to Q3 fiscal 2026, and the starts of gas and renewable energy projects were delayed because of cost reviews, design maturity, and clarity regarding 48E tax credits. Although management said the projects had not been canceled, delays in converting a verbal award or limited notice to proceed into a final contract could postpone revenue and backlog growth.
    • −Financing the Paynecrest acquisition increased the term loan by approximately $400 million, prompting management to raise its fiscal 2026 net interest expense forecast to $35–38 million from $23–26 million previously. Operations also used $122.6 million of cash in Q1 fiscal 2026, a year-over-year decrease of $188.8 million, although management attributed a substantial portion of this to payment timing.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average target of $130.88 within a wide range of $102 to $172. The average target is approximately 36% below the 52-week high of $205.5, and even the highest target remains approximately 16% below that peak, reflecting a more conservative reassessment in light of the Q2 fiscal 2026 loss and pressure from solar projects, despite strong contract pipelines in Utilities, gas, and renewable energy.

    BuyAnalyst target: $130.88(+73.9%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What caused PRIM's loss in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    EDGAR filings showed revenue of $1.7 billion, gross profit of $82.4 million, and a net loss of $24.2 million in Q2 fiscal 2026. Loss per share was $0.45, while the calculated gross margin fell to approximately 4.8%. Management had explained on May 6, 2026, that six solar projects faced cost overruns and margin pressure because of labor, redesign, work sequencing, and weather, and that their impact would remain significant during Q2 fiscal 2026.

    How large is Primoris's backlog, and which segments support it?

    Total backlog was $11.6 billion at the end of Q1 fiscal 2026, compared with $11.9 billion at the end of fiscal 2025. Energy backlog declined by $780 million because of the timing of gas generation, pipeline, and solar contracts, while Utilities backlog increased by $476 million year over year. Management expects the Energy segment's book-to-bill ratio to exceed one time during fiscal 2026, with most bookings concentrated in the second half.

    How does the Paynecrest acquisition affect PRIM's growth?

    Primoris completed the acquisition of Paynecrest on May 1, 2026, adding a union electrical contractor that provides design, construction, and maintenance services. Approximately 40% of Paynecrest's revenue comes from data centers, and more than another 40% comes from industrial, energy, and renewable energy markets, with the company operating in more than 25 states. The acquisition allows Primoris to expand from supporting data center infrastructure to electrical work inside facilities, but it increased the term loan by approximately $400 million and raised the fiscal 2026 interest expense forecast to $35–38 million.

    What opportunities does Primoris have in gas-fired power generation and renewable energy?

    Management stated on May 6, 2026, that it had approximately $800 million of near-term verbal awards in gas-fired power generation, in addition to $3 billion of opportunities it was pursuing during fiscal 2026. Identified opportunities beyond fiscal 2026 reached approximately $7.1 billion, compared with a previous pipeline of $6 billion. In renewable energy, the pipeline exceeded $15 billion, and the BESS pipeline increased by more than four times year over year, but contract and start timing was delayed by cost and design reviews and clarity regarding 48E tax credits.

    Does management expect Primoris's margins to recover during fiscal 2026?

    Management expected on May 6, 2026, that Energy segment margins would be in the high-single-digit range during Q2 fiscal 2026, then improve as the troubled solar projects were completed. It set a fiscal 2026 gross margin target for the Energy segment in the high 9% to low 10% range, compared with 7.6% in Q1. For the Utilities segment, it targeted an annual range of 10% to 12% after reporting 9.8% in Q1 fiscal 2026, but Q2 results showed that the company's overall gross margin remained under pressure at approximately 4.8%.

    How does PRIM's valuation look according to analyst consensus?

    The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average price target of $130.88, a low target of $102, and a high target of $172. The average target is approximately 36% below the 52-week high of $205.5, while the stock's full range spans $65 to $205.5. The wide target range and 52-week range reflect substantial differences in estimates of the impact of the solar project recovery and the strength of opportunities exceeding $15 billion in renewable energy and $7.1 billion in gas generation beyond fiscal 2026.

  • −The wide 52-week range of $65 to $205.5 reflects elevated valuation risk and volatility, while the average analyst target of $130.88 is approximately 36% below the top of the range. Targets also span $102 to $172, a wide divergence that reflects uncertainty about the speed of the renewable energy margin recovery and the conversion of contract pipelines into actual profits.