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PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation
PRCT

PRCT PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation

PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation · NASDAQ
Market Closed
20.38
▲ ⁦+1.54%⁩ (+0.31)
Market Cap$1.2B
Beta0.89
52w Low52w High
16.6742.43
Last Week
⁦-7.24%⁩
Last Month
⁦-0.15%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-25.07%⁩
Last Year
⁦-49.70%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall12
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketSucker StockF 3/9Better than 12% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
26
—17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
83
22.7%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
34
-25.9%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
33
—2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
68
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
10
-49.0%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
82
9▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$20
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$21
⁦+1%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$19–$29⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$22.13
⁦+8.6%⁩
Current Price $20.38·Median $20.50
Low
$19.00
High
$29.00
Current price
$20.38
Average target
$22.13
Street summary

Stable Targets with Limited Variation in Ratings

Price target expectations have not changed over the last 30 days; the consensus average remained at $22.13, while the number of analysts stayed at three. The range is between $19 and $29, while the median is $20.50 compared with the current price of $20.74, reflecting clear variation and no strong bullish signal from the distribution of targets.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.21
Hold
Analyst coverage
14
Buy conviction
29%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
49%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time14 analysts rating
1
3
9
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.50 → 3.21
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-09
    Oppenheimer
    Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
Premium content
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation develops the HYDROS robotic system and markets Aquablation therapy for the treatment of benign prostatic hyperplasia, while older AQUABEAM systems remain within the installed base. Its revenue model relies on selling systems to hospitals, followed by sales of AMP handpieces and procedure-related consumables; the company also operates outside the United States, with the United Kingdom being its largest international market according to the August 4, 2026 call. In fiscal Q2 2026, HYDROS accounted for the majority of procedure volume for the first time, while AMP sales represented approximately 98% of procedures.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue reached $94.5 million, up 19% year over year, while U.S. revenue reached $83.4 million, up 20%, compared with international revenue of $11.1 million, up 15%. Within the U.S. market, single-use handpieces and other consumables generated $48.4 million, up 12%, while systems generated $29.1 million, up 32%; the company placed 65 HYDROS systems, including 50 systems at new sites, 14 replacement systems, and one system under an operating lease.

Gross margin was 66% in fiscal Q2 2026, compared with 65% in the comparable period, but it benefited from a $2.9 million tariff refund. Operating expenses increased to $89.8 million from $73.9 million, and the net loss widened to $26.9 million from $19.6 million, while adjusted EBITDA loss was $11.3 million. Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash totaled $231 million as of June 30, 2026.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The company increased fiscal Q2 2026 revenue by 19% to $94.5 million, driven by a 32% increase in U.S. systems revenue to $29.1 million and a 12% increase in U.S. handpiece and consumables revenue to $48.4 million.
  • The company recorded more than 13,100 procedures in the United States during fiscal Q2 2026, representing year-over-year growth of approximately 21%, but the figure fell short of management's expectations due to weakness concentrated in older AQUABEAM accounts, while utilization at new HYDROS accounts exceeded that of older accounts by a margin management described as meaningful.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The average selling price of new HYDROS systems in the United States was approximately $495 thousand in fiscal Q2 2026, up from $485 thousand in fiscal Q1 2026 and $435 thousand in fiscal 2025. This increase supports systems revenue, while management expects an average between $480 thousand and $490 thousand during the second half of fiscal 2026.
  • The AQUABEAM-to-HYDROS replacement cycle accelerated, with 14 replacement systems sold in fiscal Q2 2026, and management expects approximately 40 replacements during fiscal 2026 at the midpoint of revenue guidance, at an average price between $300 thousand and $325 thousand. The installed base was split approximately evenly between AQUABEAM and HYDROS as of August 4, 2026, leaving additional replacement opportunities.
  • The share of systems launched by the specialized launch team increased from approximately 20% in fiscal Q1 2026 to approximately 40% in fiscal Q2 2026, and the company aims to have the capacity to support the launch of all new HYDROS systems by the end of fiscal 2026. In these accounts, management is observing a shorter time to the first purchase order, training of more surgeons, and higher initial procedure volume.
  • Management maintained fiscal 2026 revenue guidance of between $390 million and $410 million, representing growth of between 27% and 33%, and gross margin guidance of approximately 65%. It also expects international revenue of between $50 million and $51 million and adjusted EBITDA loss of between $30 million and $35 million, while targeting positive adjusted EBITDA in fiscal Q4 2026.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +PROCEPT's systems-and-consumables model provides two interconnected growth engines; U.S. systems revenue grew 32% in fiscal Q2 2026, while handpieces and consumables generated $48.4 million, and AMP sales corresponded to approximately 98% of procedures.
    • +Replacing nearly half of the installed base that still uses AQUABEAM provides an opportunity to sell replacement HYDROS systems and subsequently improve utilization; replacements exceeded management's initial expectations, with 14 completed in fiscal Q2 2026 and approximately 40 targeted for the full year.
    • +Pricing strength supports the platform's commercial value, as the average price of a new U.S. HYDROS system reached a company record of approximately $495 thousand in fiscal Q2 2026, alongside the placement of 65 systems and without annual guidance relying on a large group purchasing deal from a single hospital network.
    • +Clinical evidence supports adoption prospects; in May 2026, the American Urological Association strengthened its recommendation for Aquablation therapy, and the technology was supported by approximately 250 peer-reviewed publications as of August 4, 2026. Enrollment of all 280 patients in the WATER IV trial was also completed, with initial results targeted for presentation at the AUA annual meeting in spring 2027.
    • +The $231 million balance of cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash as of June 30, 2026 supports investment in commercial expansion and clinical trials, while management confirms its target of positive adjusted EBITDA in fiscal Q4 2026.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The company lowered its U.S. procedure guidance for fiscal 2026 to a range of between 54 thousand and 56 thousand procedures, representing growth of between 25% and 29%, after fiscal Q2 2026 procedures fell short of expectations due to weakness in older AQUABEAM accounts. The low end of guidance assumes very limited performance improvement, while the high end requires the effects of replacements, the launch team, and patient activation to begin emerging.
    • −The company remains heavily dependent on the United States, which generated $83.4 million of total fiscal Q2 2026 revenue of $94.5 million, or approximately 88% of revenue. This makes results highly sensitive to the pace of U.S. hospital purchases and growth in Aquablation procedures within this market.
    • −Losses intensified despite revenue growth; the net loss widened to $26.9 million in fiscal Q2 2026 from $19.6 million a year earlier, while operating expenses increased to $89.8 million from $73.9 million. The cumulative net loss for the trailing twelve months was also $102.5 million, so no positive price-to-earnings multiple is available as a basis for valuation.
    • −The improvement in gross margin to 66% in fiscal Q2 2026 was supported by a $2.9 million tariff refund, meaning part of the improvement did not result solely from recurring operating performance. At the same time, the company expects a gross margin of approximately 65% for fiscal 2026 despite lower replacement system prices within an expected range of between $300 thousand and $325 thousand.
    • −Aquablation faces competition from established and alternative procedures; management described TURP volumes as resilient and acknowledged growth in PAE, even while emphasizing differences among certain patient segments and the advantages of Aquablation. As of August 4, 2026, management had also not fully determined the causes of the recent decline within AQUABEAM accounts, leaving execution and commercial diagnosis risks in place.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $22.13, within a relatively wide range of $19 to $29, with a consensus Buy rating; the average equals only approximately 52% of the 52-week range high of $42.43, while the highest target equals approximately 68% of that high. No positive price-to-earnings multiple is available because of the trailing twelve-month loss of $102.5 million and earnings per share of approximately negative $1.81, so valuation depends more heavily on continued revenue growth and achievement of the targeted profitability path, balanced against the reduction in procedure guidance, the lawsuit, and the widening quarterly loss.

    BuyAnalyst target: $22.13(+8.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    How does PROCEPT BioRobotics generate its revenue?

    PROCEPT sells HYDROS robotic systems to hospitals and then generates recurring revenue from AMP handpieces and consumables associated with Aquablation procedures. In fiscal Q2 2026, U.S. systems revenue was $29.1 million, while U.S. handpiece and consumables revenue was $48.4 million. The company also generated $11.1 million from international markets, with the United Kingdom being its largest international market according to the August 4, 2026 call.

    Why did PROCEPT lower its fiscal 2026 procedure guidance?

    The company performed more than 13,100 U.S. procedures in fiscal Q2 2026, representing year-over-year growth of approximately 21%, but the result fell short of its expectations. Management attributed the shortfall primarily to recent weakness in older AQUABEAM accounts, while HYDROS accounts continued to perform in line with expectations and at a higher utilization rate. Accordingly, fiscal 2026 guidance became between 54 thousand and 56 thousand procedures, representing growth of between 25% and 29%.

    Why is the AQUABEAM-to-HYDROS replacement cycle important?

    The installed base was split approximately evenly between AQUABEAM and HYDROS as of August 4, 2026, providing a meaningful number of upgrade opportunities. The company sold 14 replacement systems in fiscal Q2 2026 and expects approximately 40 replacements during the year at the midpoint of revenue guidance. Management believes HYDROS provides improved imaging, workflow, and clinical capabilities, and that its accounts achieve higher utilization than older AQUABEAM accounts, with the possibility of temporary disruption as each account transitions between the two platforms.

    Is PROCEPT approaching profitability?

    The company remained unprofitable in fiscal Q2 2026, with a net loss of $26.9 million and an adjusted EBITDA loss of $11.3 million. Management expects an adjusted EBITDA loss of between $30 million and $35 million for fiscal 2026, but it maintained its target of achieving positive adjusted EBITDA in fiscal Q4 2026. Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash totaled $231 million as of June 30, 2026, while management expects improved cash utilization and operating leverage during the second half of fiscal 2026.

    What are the main clinical catalysts for Aquablation therapy?

    In May 2026, the American Urological Association strengthened its recommendation for Aquablation therapy within its benign prostatic hyperplasia treatment guidelines, following a strong European recommendation cited by management in the August 4, 2026 call. The technology was supported by approximately 250 peer-reviewed publications as of that date. PROCEPT also completed enrollment of 280 patients in the WATER IV trial comparing it with radical prostatectomy and is targeting presentation of the primary endpoint results at the AUA meeting in spring 2027.

    What are the key risks to monitor for PRCT?

    The principal operating risk is weakness in procedures at older AQUABEAM accounts, which prompted the company to lower its fiscal 2026 procedure guidance to 54–56 thousand. Financial risks include the widening quarterly net loss to $26.9 million and the increase in operating expenses to $89.8 million, in addition to the margin benefiting from a $2.9 million tariff refund. There is also a class-action lawsuit referenced on August 4, 2026 that includes allegations of inflated results through discounts and large orders; these are allegations that have not been judicially proven within the provided information.

  • −PROCEPT faces a class-action lawsuit referenced on August 4, 2026 that includes allegations of securities fraud and inflated results through substantial discounts that allegedly encouraged large orders, pulled sales forward from later periods, and accumulated inventory at customers. These are allegations in the lawsuit and not proven judicial findings within the provided information, but they create unresolved legal exposure and commercial reputational risk.