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Home
Stocks
Permian Resources Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall99
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 4/9Better than 99% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
78
15.2x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
84
12.8%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
75
11.7%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
81
0.8x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
77
2.52%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
96
42.7%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
68
13▲3Top tier
PR

PR Permian Resources Corporation

Permian Resources Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
23.78
▲ ⁦+0.34%⁩ (+0.08)
Market Cap$19.9B
Beta0.48
52w Low52w High
11.9224.20
Last Week
⁦-0.04%⁩
Last Month
⁦+17.26%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+23.66%⁩
Last Year
⁦+68.06%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$24
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$25
⁦+5%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$23–$29⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$43
⁦+81%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦7⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$25–$43⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$25.67
⁦+7.9%⁩
Current Price $23.78·Median $25.00
Low
$23.00
High
$29.00
Current price
$23.78
Average target
$25.67
Street summary

A slight rise in the consensus of PR targets amid continued divergence

Bullish tilt

The consensus price target for Permian Resources rose to 25.67 from 24.88 over the last 30 days, an increase of 0.79 or 3.18%, while remaining unchanged over the last 7 days. The number of analysts remained at 7, meaning the improvement reflects higher estimates rather than a broader coverage base. The current range is between 23 and 29, with a median of 25, indicating clear divergence in valuations compared with the current price of 23.7.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+3.2%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.05
Buy
Analyst coverage
21
Buy conviction
90%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
25%
Analyst ratings over time21 analysts rating
3
16
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.05
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-03
    Seaport Global
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-27
    Raymond James
    Strong Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-19
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    15.24x
    3.56x28.47x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    11.29x
    3.36x26.89x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    6.29x
    2.12x16.98x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    7.9%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    12.8%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    0.0%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    46.0%
    7.8%72.1%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    11.7%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.81x
    0.40x3.19x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    2.5%
    0.4%10.1%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    38.5%
    11.9%109.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Permian Resources Corporation is an independent exploration and production company with assets concentrated in the Delaware Basin within the Permian Basin, generating revenue from the production and sale of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Oil production reached approximately 198 thousand barrels per day in Q2 FY2026, up 3% sequentially, while the company reduced natural gas production by approximately 20% during the quarter to avoid selling at negative WAHA prices. Its model is based on improving well efficiency, increasing its working interest in existing projects, and acquiring complementary acreage and assets that can be integrated with its operating position.

The company generated record free cash flow of $751 million in Q2 FY2026, up approximately 50% sequentially, with free cash flow per share reaching $0.88, while cash capital expenditures totaled $521 million. The provided data did not include revenue, net income, or margin figures for the quarter, but the latest available EDGAR filings show revenue of $1.4 billion, net income of $43.6 million, and earnings per share of $0.05 in Q1 FY2026. On a trailing twelve-month basis ending in FY2026, revenue totaled $5.1 billion, net income was $649.5 million, and earnings per share were approximately $0.78.

The production mix consists of oil and natural gas, with oil serving as the primary driver of the growth plan; strong performance increased oil production by approximately 6 thousand barrels per day sequentially in Q2 FY2026. Gas, meanwhile, faced severe pricing pressure when the average WAHA price reached negative $3.14 per thousand cubic feet and fell as low as negative $9.52, but temporary production curtailments, firm transportation, and hedges enabled the company to realize an effective price of $0.38 and add more than $75 million to gas sales revenue compared with what would have occurred without these measures.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Permian Resources raised its FY2026 oil production target to 199 thousand barrels per day, up 10% from FY2025, after Q2 FY2026 production increased to approximately 198 thousand barrels per day, up 3% sequentially.
  • Q2 FY2026 generated record free cash flow of $751 million, up approximately 50% from the previous quarter, and management said full-year FY2026 free cash flow is expected to approach twice the amount generated in FY2024.
  • The company increased its working interest in wells completed during Q2 FY2026 to approximately 82%, compared with an original expectation of 75%, supporting an increase in oil production of approximately 6 thousand barrels per day with cash capital expenditures of $521 million.
  • Since the beginning of FY2026, the company has acquired approximately 55 thousand net acres for approximately $1.05 billion through nearly 190 transactions, adding approximately 330 high-confidence, high-net-revenue-interest locations; the Ward County acreage exchange also increased the number of net operable locations from 50 to 120 and increased average lateral length by 20%.
  • The updated plan targets average capital expenditures of $1.95 billion in FY2026, approximately 1% below FY2025 spending, alongside 10% oil production growth, reflecting improved capital efficiency despite the capital target increasing by $100 million from prior guidance.
  • Leverage was approximately 0.5 times in Q2 FY2026, and management expects it to remain near 0.5 times at the end of FY2026 despite acquisition activity, supporting capital allocation flexibility.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case5 pts

  • +Operating performance combines 3% sequential oil production growth with record free cash flow of $751 million in Q2 FY2026, demonstrating the assets' ability to convert improved production and realized prices into cash.
  • +The company raised its FY2026 production target to 199 thousand barrels of oil per day, up 10% from FY2025, while planned average capital expenditures are $1.95 billion, approximately 1% below the previous year's spending.
  • +FY2026 transactions added approximately 330 high-confidence locations across 55 thousand net acres, while the Ward County exchange improved asset operability and increased net operated locations from 50 to 120, expanding drilling inventory without relying on a single large transaction.
  • +Leverage of approximately 0.5 times supports the company's ability to fund complementary acquisitions, repay debt, and grow the base distribution, with management reaffirming that increasing the base distribution over time remains a priority.
  • +Recycled-water initiatives, slimmer hole design, and longer laterals provide additional cost-reduction opportunities; water-based mud saved approximately $5 to $7 per foot in certain wells, while the slimmer design shortened drilling time by approximately one day per well.

Valuation

The analyst consensus rating is “Buy,” with an average price target of $25.25 and a range of $23 to $29; the average is approximately 4.8% above the 52-week range high of $24.09, while the highest target exceeds that high by approximately 20%. The stock's 52-week range is $11.92 to $24.09, a wide range reflecting its sensitivity to commodity prices and changing production expectations, and the provided fundamental data does not include a currently reliable price-to-earnings ratio.

BuyAnalyst target: $25.25(+6.2%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove PR's results in Q2 FY2026?

Oil production reached approximately 198 thousand barrels per day, up 3% sequentially, after the company increased the number of workover rigs by 50% and raised its working interest in completed wells to approximately 82%. These measures contributed approximately 6 thousand barrels of oil per day against cash capital expenditures of $521 million. Free cash flow reached a record $751 million, up approximately 50% sequentially, with free cash flow per share of $0.88.

How did Permian Resources manage negative WAHA gas prices?

The average WAHA price was negative $3.14 per thousand cubic feet in Q2 FY2026 and fell as low as negative $9.52. The company reduced natural gas production by approximately 20% sequentially from wells with high gas-to-oil ratios instead of selling at negative prices. Through temporary curtailments, firm transportation, and hedges, it realized an effective price of $0.38 per thousand cubic feet and increased gas sales revenue by more than $75 million, then returned all curtailed wells to production at the end of June 2026.

What are PR's production and spending guidance for FY2026?

The company raised its oil production target to 199 thousand barrels per day in FY2026, up 10% from FY2025. The midpoint of capital expenditure guidance increased by $100 million to $1.95 billion but remains approximately 1% below FY2025 spending. Of the targeted production increase of 6.5 thousand barrels per day compared with Q1 guidance, only approximately 1 thousand barrels per day is attributable to annual Ward County production, while most of the remainder comes from a higher working interest and certain accelerated workover activities.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Cash flow remains highly sensitive to oil and gas prices; the average WAHA price in Q2 FY2026 was negative $3.14 per thousand cubic feet and fell as low as negative $9.52, forcing the company to reduce natural gas production by approximately 20% sequentially.
  • −The company faces inflation in diesel and casing costs, and management acknowledged that achieving the targeted drilling and completion cost of $675 per foot has become more difficult than expected at the beginning of FY2026, despite efficiency gains offsetting the pressures through Q2.
  • −The midpoint of FY2026 capital expenditure guidance increased by $100 million to $1.95 billion; $25 million of the increase was allocated to costs associated with taking over the Ward County asset, while the remainder was primarily related to a higher working interest in wells brought online.
  • −The pace of acquisitions entails inventory integration and pricing risks; the company has spent approximately $1.05 billion across nearly 190 transactions since the beginning of FY2026, and the number of potentially productive additional zones in the Parkway area remains unresolved, as management said whether there are two or three zones versus four or five zones is still under evaluation.
  • −Operating momentum may slow after the exceptional increase in well workover activity; the company increased the number of workover rigs by 50% during Q2 FY2026, but management explained that this pace exhausted the entire backlog and will return to the normal level in subsequent periods.
  • −According to EDGAR, net income declined from $339.5 million in Q4 FY2025 to $43.6 million in Q1 FY2026, while trailing twelve-month net income in FY2026 fell to $649.5 million from $935.2 million in FY2025, highlighting the volatility of accounting earnings despite strong cash flow in the following quarter.
What did Permian Resources' acquisitions add during FY2026?

As of August 6, 2026, the company had acquired approximately 55 thousand net acres in the core of the Delaware Basin for approximately $1.05 billion through nearly 190 transactions. These transactions added approximately 330 high-confidence, high-net-revenue-interest locations, with disclosed averages of $13 thousand per net acre and $2.5 million per net location. This included the Ward County asset, with approximately 2 thousand net acres and production of 5 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day, for $520 million, as well as the Parkway project, with approximately 15 thousand net acres and two-mile laterals.

What are PR's most notable cost-reduction and productivity-enhancement technologies?

The company increased its recycled-water usage in Q2 FY2026 to the highest level in PR's history, aiming to reduce water-disposal costs, which represent the largest component of operating expenses. It also used water-based mud in selected areas to achieve savings of approximately $5 to $7 per foot and adopted a slimmer hole design in New Mexico that shortened drilling time by approximately one day per well. Average lateral length reached approximately 11 thousand feet, while the company drilled its first four-mile lateral during the quarter and described the result as successful.

What are the main risks to monitor for PR stock?

The first risk is oil and gas price volatility, as demonstrated when negative WAHA prices prompted the company to reduce gas production by 20% in Q2 FY2026. Additional risks include pressure from diesel and casing costs, which made the $675-per-foot target more difficult to achieve, and the $100 million increase in average capital spending to $1.95 billion. The $1.05 billion of acquisitions also require disciplined execution, while the number of potentially productive additional zones at Parkway remains under evaluation.