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Stocks
Powell Industries, Inc.
POWL

POWL Powell Industries, Inc.

Powell Industries, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
182.50
▲ ⁦+3.17%⁩ (+5.61)
Market Cap$6.6B
Beta1.22
52w Low52w High
83.85328.00
Last Week
⁦+7.03%⁩
Last Month
⁦-13.74%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-38.33%⁩
Last Year
⁦+111.91%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall65
Strong — clearly above market medianHigh FlyerF 6/9SafeBetter than 65% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
24
34.8x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
85
7.0%7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
83
25.5%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
86
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
23
0.59%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
50
136.6%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
34
4▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$183
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$284
⁦+56%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$235–$333⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$154
⁦-16%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦9.8⁩% discount · ⁦9⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$154–$284⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$284.00
⁦+55.6%⁩
Current Price $182.50·Median $284.00
Low
$235.00
High
$333.00
Current price
$182.50
Average target
$284.00
Street summary

Powell Industries (POWL) Price Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

Powell Industries stock has seen a notable positive shift in analyst estimates over the past 30 days, with the average price target jumping 19.49% to reach $284 from $237.67. This increase reflects significant optimism despite the number of analysts remaining constant, especially as the current price ($197.67) is trading at a significant discount even to the lowest price target set by analysts at $235, indicating a collective conviction in an untapped growth opportunity.

As of 2026-08-21
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-14.7%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.75
Buy
Analyst coverage
4
Buy conviction
50%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
54%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time4 analysts rating
1
1
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.75 → 3.75
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-14
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-05-06
    Roth MKM
    —· $333.00
  • = Reiterate2026-04-29
    Roth MKM
    Buy· $285.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    34.84x
    5.69x45.54x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    30.47x
    4.57x36.58x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    25.48x
    3.43x27.47x
    Expensive
  • FCF Yield
    3.7%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    7.0%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    67.9%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    30.1%
    8.6%54.6%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    25.5%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.6%
    0.1%4.8%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    6.8%
    6.6%80.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    8.76
    -5.667.97
    Exceptional
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Powell Industries designs and manufactures custom electrical distribution and control equipment for industrial projects, electric utilities, and commercial facilities. Its offerings include switchgear and control equipment, power control rooms, switches, automation solutions, and related services. Revenue generation depends on executing large, multi-year projects for the oil and gas, petrochemical, liquefied natural gas, electric utility, and data center markets; at the end of Q3 fiscal 2026, core industrial markets represented 30% of backlog, electric utilities 24%, and other commercial and industrial markets 40%.

In Q3 fiscal 2026, revenue increased 9% year over year to approximately $312 million, gross profit reached $95.3 million with a gross margin of 30.6%, while net income reached $52.2 million and diluted earnings per share reached $1.42. Net income increased from $48.2 million and earnings per share from $1.32 in the comparable quarter of fiscal 2025, but revenue and earnings per share fell short of market expectations of $1.47 per share, causing the stock to decline 13.4% in premarket trading on August 4, 2026.

Revenue growth was driven by a 54% increase in the other commercial and industrial markets segment and an 18% year-over-year increase in electric utilities, while oil and gas revenue was approximately flat and petrochemicals declined 49%. Domestic revenue increased 12%, or $26 million, while international revenue declined slightly to $61 million due to weakness in the Canadian market. On a trailing twelve-month basis in 2026 data, the company recorded revenue of $1.2 billion, gross profit of $348.2 million, and net income of $190.9 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • New orders reached a record $934 million in Q3 fiscal 2026, nearly three times their level a year earlier, raising the quarterly book-to-bill ratio to 3.0 times and backlog to a record of approximately $2.4 billion.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Orders included a data center project valued at more than $400 million for the first phase of a multi-phase on-site power generation design; execution of the current phase extends approximately two to two and a half years across at least five facilities in North America, while management linked subsequent phases to the successful execution of the first phase.
  • The company increased its exposure to energy projects on the U.S. Gulf Coast with an order valued at approximately $60 million for a new natural gas liquefaction facility and a $75 million order for electrical distribution equipment at a petrochemical fertilizer production facility, in addition to more than $350 million of other orders distributed across its markets.
  • The backlog provides visibility extending through fiscal 2028; slightly less than $1.3 billion, or approximately 54% of the $2.4 billion balance, is expected to convert into revenue during the twelve months following the end of Q3 fiscal 2026.
  • The 335 thousand-square-foot Jacintoport expansion is nearing completion, and management expects it to support more than $100 million in additional annual revenue at full utilization. Alongside 30 thousand square feet near the Ohio facility and 50 thousand square feet near the Houston facilities, the initiatives target increasing total manufacturing, office, and warehouse space by more than 20% by the end of fiscal 2026 compared with the end of fiscal 2025.
  • Operating cash flow reached $100 million in Q3 fiscal 2026, and cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments increased to $634 million as of June 30, 2026, with no debt; this supports funding expansions and capital investments without pressure from existing borrowings.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The record backlog of $2.4 billion gives Powell Industries strong revenue visibility, after new orders exceeded $1.8 billion during the first three quarters of fiscal 2026 and the planned execution of some awards extended into fiscal 2028.
    • +The execution model maintains high profitability; gross margin reached 30.6% in Q3 fiscal 2026, benefiting from project mix, operating leverage, and pricing stability, while selling, general, and administrative expenses as a percentage of revenue declined to 8.6%.
    • +Demand is broadening across more than one driver, with revenue from other commercial and industrial markets increasing 54% and electric utilities increasing 18%, alongside the data center project valued at more than $400 million and liquefied natural gas and petrochemical orders of $60 million and $75 million, respectively.
    • +The balance sheet combines liquidity of $634 million with no debt, while quarterly operating cash flow reached $100 million; this gives the company the financial capacity to increase production capacity, develop products, and evaluate selective acquisitions.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −A large portion of the jump in orders depends on a single data center project valued at more than $400 million, representing more than 42% of the quarter's $934 million in orders, and subsequent phases are contingent on the successful execution of the first phase; therefore, difficulties with this project or changes in the customer's plans could materially affect the future conversion of backlog.
    • −Backlog conversion is slow and uneven because project execution typically takes between one and three years; following the large orders, the percentage of the balance expected to convert during the following twelve months declined from the low sixties to approximately 54%. Management indicated that annual growth may not sustain double-digit rates and that revenue will remain volatile between quarters.
    • −Margins face potential pressure from moderate inflation in copper, aluminum, steel, and engineered components, while new facilities require a ramp-up period before becoming productive that may increase selling, general, and administrative expenses. In addition, management expects the shortage of skilled labor to become a challenge during fiscal 2027 and 2028, despite not appearing as an immediate impact in Q3 fiscal 2026.
    • −Competition and price sensitivity remain risks, particularly in the more price-sensitive industrial market, while management acknowledged that the pace of the data center market will slow at some point as new production capacity enters the sector. A convergence of supply and demand could weaken the pricing and speed advantages supporting current margins.
    • −Q3 fiscal 2026 results showed divergence among markets; petrochemical revenue fell 49% year over year, the Canadian market weakened, and revenue and earnings per share fell short of market expectations, with earnings per share reaching $1.42 versus $1.47 expected. The stock's 13.4% decline in premarket trading on August 4, 2026 reflects valuation sensitivity to any quarterly shortfall despite strong orders.
    • −Insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 14, 2026 recorded net sales of $15 million, with 14 sales and no purchases. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the context provides no evidence to the contrary.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on POWL stock is Neutral, with an average price target of $284 and a wide range between $235 and $333; the average is below the 52-week range high of $328, while the highest target slightly exceeds that high. The breadth of the 52-week range between $83.85 and $328, alongside the stock's 13.4% decline after Q3 fiscal 2026 missed earnings and sales expectations, indicates that the market is balancing a revaluation driven by the record backlog against the risks of slow conversion and volatile quarterly results. The available data does not provide a valid comparable earnings multiple, so the range of analyst targets and the earnings and cash flow record remain the available valuation reference.

    HoldAnalyst target: $284(+55.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is the most important driver of Powell Industries' growth in fiscal 2026?

    The most prominent driver is record demand for electrical infrastructure for data centers, electric utilities, and energy projects. Powell Industries recorded new orders of $934 million in Q3 fiscal 2026, including more than $400 million for the first phase of a data center project. These orders raised backlog to approximately $2.4 billion, of which slightly less than $1.3 billion is expected to convert during the twelve months following the end of that quarter.

    Why did POWL stock decline on August 4, 2026 despite record orders?

    Earnings per share in Q3 fiscal 2026 came in at $1.42 versus expectations of $1.47, while revenue of approximately $312 million also fell short of market estimates. This caused the stock to decline 13.4% in premarket trading on August 4, 2026. This occurred despite orders reaching $934 million and backlog reaching $2.4 billion, highlighting the tension between the short-term results gap and strong long-term demand.

    How important is the data center project valued at more than $400 million?

    The project represents the first phase of a multi-phase on-site power generation design and is being executed across at least five facilities in North America. The company expects the current phase to take approximately two to two and a half years to convert into revenue, a pace similar to its other large projects. Management explained that future phases could replicate the first phase's design if the current phase is executed successfully, but it did not mention any confirmed additional award in the near term.

    Can Powell Industries fund its expansions without debt?

    Cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments reached $634 million as of June 30, 2026, compared with $476 million as of September 30, 2025, and the company carries no debt. It also generated $100 million in operating cash flow in Q3 fiscal 2026, compared with capital expenditures of $6.5 million during the quarter. This liquidity supports the 335 thousand-square-foot Jacintoport expansion and the leased facility planned to become available for manufacturing in late Q2 or early Q3 fiscal 2027.

    Is Powell Industries' current margin sustainable?

    Gross margin reached 30.6% in Q3 fiscal 2026, supported by project mix, operating leverage, pricing stability, and execution. Project closeout settlements contributed approximately 100 basis points to margin during the first nine months of fiscal 2026, compared with approximately 130 basis points a year earlier. In contrast, the company is monitoring moderate inflation in copper, aluminum, steel, and engineered components, and the costs of preparing new facilities may pressure expenses before production begins.

    How is Powell Industries' backlog distributed?

    At the end of Q3 fiscal 2026, backlog was approximately $2.4 billion, an increase of $967 million from the prior year and $619 million from the prior quarter. Other commercial and industrial markets represented 40% of the balance, core industrial markets in petrochemicals and oil and gas represented 30%, and electric utilities represented 24%. Execution of some awards extends into fiscal 2028, while approximately 54% of the balance is expected to convert during the twelve months following the end of the quarter.