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Pool Corporation
POOL

POOL Pool Corporation

Pool Corporation · NASDAQ
Market Closed
173.04
▼ ⁦-1.55%⁩ (-2.72)
Market Cap$6.3B
Beta1.05
52w Low52w High
172.60336.15
Last Week
⁦-5.44%⁩
Last Month
⁦-13.94%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-6.17%⁩
Last Year
⁦-46.17%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall48
Balanced — near the middle of the marketContrarianF 5/9Better than 48% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
71
15.9x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
16
2.2%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
70
15.5%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
62
2.6x2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
64
2.91%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
9
-36.2%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
81
9▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$173
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$210
⁦+21%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$185–$260⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$104
⁦-40%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.0⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$104–$210⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$211.57
⁦+22.3%⁩
Current Price $173.04·Median $210.00
Low
$185.00
High
$260.00
Current price
$173.04
Average target
$211.57
Street summary

Target-price consensus declines as dispersion widens

Bearish tilt

The consensus target price remained unchanged at 216 over the last 7 days, but declined over 30 days by 10.83, or 4.77%, from 226.83. The number of analysts included in the latest snapshot also fell from 7 to 5, reducing the breadth of the consensus base. The current range is between 185 and 260, while the median is 217.5 versus a current price of 185.22, reflecting clear dispersion among estimates.

As of 2026-09-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-2.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.20
Hold
Analyst coverage
⁦15 (-2)⁩
Buy conviction
33%
Target dispersion
43%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time15 analysts rating
5
9
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.21 → 3.20
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-24
    Stephens & Co.
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-05-11
    Stifel Nicolaus
    —· $210.00
  • = Reiterate2026-04-24
    Stifel Nicolaus
    —· $240.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    15.92x
    5.69x45.54x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    14.81x
    4.57x36.58x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.29x
    3.43x27.47x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    6.2%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    2.2%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    0.2%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    29.6%
    8.6%54.6%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    15.5%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.58x
    0.55x4.37x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    2.9%
    0.1%4.8%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    46.3%
    6.6%80.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

Pool Corporation operates as a global distributor of swimming pool and outdoor living products, serving a professional base of builders, maintenance providers, and retailers through 455 locations. The company relies on sales of equipment, chemicals, and building materials, in addition to the Horizon irrigation and landscaping business, and benefits from recurring demand generated by maintenance and periodic renovation of the existing pool base. Sales are also supported by the POOL360 platform and proprietary and exclusive products, while the broad branch network, inventory availability, and technical expertise are key elements of its competitive offering.

In the second quarter of fiscal 2026, net sales increased 2% to $1.8 billion, including a 3% pricing contribution. Gross profit reached $541 million, up 1%, but gross margin declined 30 basis points to 29.7% due to higher inbound freight costs and customer mix, while adjusted operating income reached $276 million, with a margin of 15.1%. Adjusted net income increased 1% to $196 million, while reported net income declined 3% to $188 million, and reported diluted earnings per share remained unchanged at $5.17.

The mix in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 was varied: building materials grew 4% and equipment grew 3%, while chemicals declined 2% due to pricing, sales to retail customers fell 1%, and Pinch A Penny franchise sales were flat. Europe achieved 11% growth, and seasonal markets increased 6%, but sales in California, Texas, and Arizona declined by mid-single-digit percentages, and Florida declined 1%, with clear pressure from the Horizon business and weak residential projects. POOL360's share reached a record 18% of sales, reflecting growing use of the digital channel within the distribution network.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On July 23, 2026, management kept its adjusted earnings per share guidance for fiscal 2026 unchanged at $10.87–$11.17, despite lowering its annual gross margin outlook from stable to a decline of approximately 30 basis points from the prior year.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Pool Corporation expects low-single-digit revenue growth in fiscal 2026, with an annual pricing contribution of approximately 2%; this is based on modest maintenance growth, a limited increase in renovation work, and continued weakness in new pool construction with some stabilization.
  • The POOL360 platform reached a record 18% of sales in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, alongside expanded integrations in water testing and services; management views increasing the return on existing technology investments as a key factor in improving productivity and market share.
  • Building materials grew 4% in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, supported by pool trends showrooms, a broader assortment, and new products, while Europe increased 11% and seasonal markets grew 6%, partially offsetting weakness in new construction and discretionary spending in year-round markets.
  • Share repurchases totaled approximately $86 million from the beginning of fiscal 2026 through June 30, and management increased the repurchase authorization to $600 million, of which $580 million remained; the company also paid $93 million in dividends during the same period.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Pool Corporation's model provides a degree of resilience due to recurring demand for maintenance and renovation of the existing pool base, and maintenance strength helped deliver 2% sales growth in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 despite continued weakness in new construction and discretionary spending.
    • +The company has a network of 455 locations that management describes as difficult to replicate, supported by long-standing supplier relationships, a broad assortment, and the POOL360 platform, which reached 18% of sales; this infrastructure gives it the ability to serve large customers and increase sales density without requiring significant near-term network investment.
    • +Building materials and proprietary and exclusive products offer opportunities to improve mix and market share; building materials grew 4% in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, and management emphasized that private-label chemicals and building materials carry attractive margins.
    • +The company maintained its adjusted earnings per share guidance for fiscal 2026 at $10.87–$11.17 and expects operating cash flow to approximate 100% of net income, while leverage remained at 1.78 times, within the target range of 1.5–2.0 times.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The company faces continued weakness in new pool construction and discretionary spending; U.S. pool permits were down by low-single-digit percentages from the beginning of fiscal 2026, and during the July 23, 2026 call, management did not view its previous long-term growth algorithm of 6%–9% as achievable under prevailing market conditions.
    • −Gross margin declined 30 basis points to 29.7% in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 due to inbound freight costs that the company did not fully recover through pricing, in addition to a mix shift toward larger, lower-margin customers; management now expects annual margin to decline by approximately 30 basis points instead of remaining stable.
    • −Supplier concentration represents a significant risk, as management indicated that the three largest suppliers account for approximately 40% of cost of goods sold; this increases the sensitivity of purchasing, product availability, and pricing terms to any change in relationships with these suppliers.
    • −The outlook reflects a clear growth slowdown, as management targets low-single-digit revenue growth in fiscal 2026, with the pricing contribution declining in the second half when compared with price increases implemented in April and May of the prior year.
    • −The Horizon business is under pressure from slower residential projects and the timing of certain commercial projects, contributing approximately one percentage point of decline in some key markets; sales in California, Texas, and Arizona also declined by mid-single-digit percentages, and Florida declined 1% in the second quarter of fiscal 2026.
    • −Total debt increased to $1.3 billion on June 30, 2026, up $111 million over 12 months, while interest expense and other expenses increased by $2 million from the comparable quarter; the swap agreements that reduced the average effective interest rate to 4.3% expire in February 2027.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $216 within a wide range of $185 to $260, with a consensus rating of “Buy.” The average is approximately 36% below the 52-week high of $336.15, while the highest target also remains below that level, reflecting a reassessment related to weakness in new construction and discretionary spending and pressure from freight and customer mix on margins. The data do not include a valid comparable earnings multiple, so the stock's valuation here is based on the target range, the 52-week range of $172.68–$336.15, and adjusted earnings per share guidance for fiscal 2026 of $10.87–$11.17.

    BuyAnalyst target: $216(+24.8%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving POOL's revenue in fiscal 2026?

    Pool Corporation relies on recurring demand for maintenance of the existing pool base, along with renovation work, new construction, and sales of equipment, chemicals, and building materials. In the second quarter of fiscal 2026, sales grew 2% to $1.8 billion, with a 3% pricing contribution. Building materials increased 4% and equipment grew 3%, while chemicals declined 2% due to pricing. For fiscal 2026, management expects low-single-digit growth with a pricing contribution of approximately 2%.

    Why did Pool Corporation's profit margin decline in the second quarter of fiscal 2026?

    Gross margin was 29.7% in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, down 30 basis points from the comparable period. Higher inbound freight costs were the largest factor, as the company was unable to fully recover the increase through selling prices. A higher share of sales to larger customers also pressured the mix, while supply chain gains and proprietary products offset part of the impact. Accordingly, management expects fiscal 2026 margin to decline by approximately 30 basis points from the prior year.

    How important is POOL360 to Pool Corporation's growth?

    POOL360 reached a record 18% of sales in the second quarter of fiscal 2026. During the July 23, 2026 call, management noted continued growth in integrations, including water testing and services. The company uses the platform together with training and digital tools to help professional customers and increase its share of their spending. The priority is to improve returns on existing technology investments instead of making significant new investments in the network.

    What are the main areas of weakness in demand for POOL's products?

    New pool construction remained weak in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, and U.S. pool permits were down by low-single-digit percentages from the beginning of the year. Pressure was also concentrated in discretionary spending and year-round markets, where sales in California, Texas, and Arizona declined by mid-single-digit percentages and Florida declined 1%. Horizon faced additional pressure from slower residential projects and the timing of certain commercial projects. In contrast, seasonal markets grew 6% and Europe increased 11% during the same quarter.

    What is Pool Corporation's earnings guidance for fiscal 2026?

    On July 23, 2026, management reaffirmed the adjusted earnings per share range of $10.87–$11.17 for fiscal 2026. After accounting for $0.21 of one-time CEO transition costs, the reported diluted earnings per share range became $10.66–$10.96. The company also expects interest expense of $49 million to $51 million, a tax rate of approximately 25%, and average shares outstanding of approximately 36.4 million. The guidance assumes low-single-digit revenue growth and an annual decline of approximately 30 basis points in gross margin.

    What do POOL's liquidity and capital allocation look like?

    Inventory reached $1.4 billion on June 30, 2026, up 4%, and management said seasonal inventory levels had begun to decline as expected. Total debt reached $1.3 billion, and the leverage ratio was 1.78 times, within the target range of 1.5–2.0 times, while the average effective interest rate declined to 4.3%. The company expects operating cash flow for fiscal 2026 to equal approximately 100% of net income. Through June 30, 2026, it paid $93 million in dividends and repurchased approximately $86 million of shares, with $580 million remaining under the existing authorization.