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Stocks
Palantir Technologies Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall94
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 7/9SafeBetter than 94% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
6
142.9x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
98
78.9%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
95
32.0%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
96
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
53
—2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
61
2.6%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
72
19▲3Top tier
PLTR

PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc.

Palantir Technologies Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
167.23
▲ ⁦+0.83%⁩ (+1.37)
Market Cap$384.0B
Beta1.56
52w Low52w High
106.37207.52
Last Week
⁦-8.38%⁩
Last Month
⁦-2.23%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+27.58%⁩
Last Year
⁦+0.29%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$167
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$200
⁦+20%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$80–$250⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$29
⁦-83%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦11.3⁩% discount · ⁦12⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$29–$200⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$180.50
⁦+7.9%⁩
Current Price $167.23·Median $200.00
Low
$80.00
High
$250.00
Current price
$167.23
Average target
$180.50
Street summary

Palantir (PLTR) Price Target Analysis

Palantir stock is currently trading at $186.38, a level exceeding the analysts' average price target of $176.33, indicating a conservative stance in current valuations compared to the market price. The consensus has seen a slight decline of 0.61% over the past thirty days, with complete stability in forecasts over the last week, reflecting a state of anticipation among the seven analysts covering the stock.

As of 2026-08-31
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+2.4%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.59
Buy
Analyst coverage
32
Buy conviction
66%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
102%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time32 analysts rating
1
20
9
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.96 → 3.59
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-26
    William Blair
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-04
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-04
    William Blair
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    142.93x
    6.87x54.92x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    97.11x
    5.19x41.53x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    150.29x
    4.52x36.15x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    0.8%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    78.9%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    290.0%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    84.8%
    12.9%79.5%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    32.0%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    136.48
    -10.9113.66
    Exceptional
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-03 data

Company Overview

Palantir Technologies develops data and artificial intelligence infrastructure software for enterprises and government entities, and its platforms include PG, Foundry, Gaia, Maven, Ontology, and AIP. Its model is based on transforming artificial intelligence models and enterprise data into operational workflows and applications within the customer's security boundaries, with tools for integration, access control, auditing, agent orchestration, and model tuning. In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, the government segment generated revenue of $990 million, compared with $945 million for the commercial segment, while U.S. operations accounted for more than 81% of total revenue.

Revenue in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 reached approximately $1.935 billion, up 93% year over year and 19% sequentially, while gross profit according to EDGAR data was approximately $1.6 billion. The company recorded GAAP net income of $1.062 billion, a net margin of 55%, and earnings per share of $0.41, while the GAAP operating margin was approximately 47% and the adjusted operating margin was 62%. U.S. commercial revenue reached $764 million, growing 149%, and U.S. government revenue reached $809 million, growing 90%, compared with growth of 26% for international commercial operations and 42% for international government operations.

On a trailing-twelve-month basis in 2026, EDGAR data showed revenue of $6.2 billion, gross profit of $5.2 billion, net income of $3.0 billion, and earnings per share of approximately $1.17. This compares with revenue of $4.5 billion and net income of $1.6 billion in fiscal year 2025. In Q2 of fiscal year 2026 alone, Palantir generated adjusted free cash flow of $1.22 billion at a 63% margin and ended the period with $9.2 billion in cash and short-term U.S. Treasury securities.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Accelerating adoption of AIP in the U.S. commercial market drove revenue from this business to $764 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, growing 149% year over year and 28% sequentially, while its customer count increased to 653 customers, up 35% year over year.
  • Palantir recorded total contract value bookings of $2.132 billion in its U.S. commercial business during Q2 of fiscal year 2026, up 153% year over year and 81% sequentially, while bookings for this business over twelve months reached $5.964 billion, up 117%.
  • The company closed 220 deals worth $1 million or more in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, including 98 deals exceeding $5 million and 73 deals exceeding $10 million; announced conversions included a three-year contract worth approximately $370 million with a multinational technology company and a three-year contract worth $37 million with a nonprofit health system.
  • Management raised its fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $8.15 billion to $8.158 billion, with a midpoint of $8.154 billion and expected growth of 82%, and also raised its U.S. commercial revenue guidance to more than $3.424 billion, representing growth of at least 134%.
  • Maven continues to expand Palantir's government presence; in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, a government program of record selected Maven as the platform for running its program, and the number of developers working on the platform exceeded 25 thousand. On August 6, 2026, it was reported that Japan plans to integrate Maven Smart System alongside Anduril's Lattice AI into the command-and-control systems of the Self-Defense Forces.
  • Net dollar retention reached 157% in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, and total remaining deal value increased to $13.1 billion, growing 83%, while remaining performance obligations rose to $4.9 billion, growing 103%, providing a contractual base that supports future revenue.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Q2 fiscal year 2026 performance combines revenue growth of 93%, an adjusted operating margin of 62%, and an adjusted free cash flow margin of 63%, indicating that the expansion of AIP and Maven is translating into profits and cash generation, not merely revenue growth.
  • +U.S. commercial bookings of $2.132 billion, net dollar retention of 157%, and 103% growth in remaining performance obligations to $4.9 billion demonstrate that customers are expanding their use of Palantir's platforms after initial trials.
  • +The company has two major growth engines in the U.S. market: commercial revenue grew 149% and government revenue grew 90% in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, with actual contracts including a technology deal worth approximately $370 million and Maven adoption among more than 25 thousand developers.
  • +Raising fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance to a midpoint of $8.154 billion, with an 11-percentage-point increase in the expected growth rate compared with the previous quarter's guidance, reflects the continued strength of demand demonstrated by bookings and large deals.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

Analyst consensus rates PLTR as a “Buy,” with an average price target of $176.33 and a wide range of $80 to $215; the average is below the 52-week range high of $207.52, while the highest target is slightly above that high. In contrast, reports dated August 4 and 5, 2026 indicated a price-to-earnings multiple of approximately 134 times, a price-to-sales multiple of approximately 61 to 68 times, and a free cash flow yield of 0.9%, multiples that assume continued growth close to the exceptional levels recorded in Q2 of fiscal year 2026. The $135 spread in analyst targets, from $80 to $215, demonstrates that the strength of AIP and the guidance increase are offset by fundamental disagreement over how much future growth is priced into the valuation.

BuyAnalyst target: $176.33(+5.4%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove Palantir's growth in Q2 of fiscal year 2026?

Revenue increased to $1.935 billion in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, growing 93% year over year and 19% sequentially. The U.S. commercial business was the fastest-growing driver, generating $764 million with 149% year-over-year growth, driven by the adoption of AIP to operate artificial intelligence models within enterprises. The U.S. government business generated $809 million, growing 90%, benefiting from existing programs and new awards. The company also closed 220 deals worth $1 million or more, including 73 deals exceeding $10 million.

How important is AIP to PLTR's business model?

AIP combines data integration, Ontology, security, auditing, workflows, agent orchestration, and model tuning within the customer's security boundaries. In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, demand for it was reflected in 149% growth in U.S. commercial revenue to $764 million and an increase in the customer count for this business to 653 customers. Management reported that a trial at a technology company in Silicon Valley converted into a contract with an annual value of $10 million after Palantir built agent swarms for marketing, packaging, and pricing recommendations. AIP's focus on sovereign artificial intelligence was also associated with enabling customers to control data, logic, actions, security, and model weights.

How is Palantir's revenue divided between commercial and government operations?
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Palantir depends heavily on the U.S. market, which represented more than 81% of Q2 fiscal year 2026 revenue; therefore, any slowdown in U.S. commercial or government spending could have a significant effect on overall growth.
  • −Momentum varies clearly by geography, as international commercial revenue grew only 26% year over year and 2% sequentially in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, compared with U.S. commercial growth of 149% year over year and 28% sequentially, making the exceptional performance primarily dependent on the United States.
  • −Adjusted expenses in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 increased 37% year over year and 14% sequentially to $741 million due to investment in AIP and technical hiring, and management expects a further significant increase in expenses during Q3 of fiscal year 2026 as a result of hiring seasonality and product and marketing initiatives. Covering cloud hosting for a government customer also increased cost of revenue in Q2.
  • −Earnings per share in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 included unrealized support from the SpaceX holding amounting to $0.03 for GAAP earnings per share and $0.02 for adjusted earnings per share, so the $0.41 earnings per share did not result entirely from recurring operating performance.
  • −Reports dated August 4 and 5, 2026 show a price-to-earnings multiple of approximately 134 times, a price-to-sales multiple of approximately 61 to 68 times, and a free cash flow yield of 0.9%, leaving little margin for error if the exceptional growth rates do not continue. The average analyst target of $176.33 is also below the 52-week range high of $207.52, while the target range spans $80 to $215, reflecting substantial disagreement about fair value.
  • −Net insider sales during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 21, 2026 totaled approximately $117.2 million, with 34 sales and no purchases recorded. This remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the data does not specify the nature of these transactions.
  • Government revenue reached $990 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, growing 79% year over year, compared with commercial revenue of $945 million, growing 110%. Within the United States, the government business recorded $809 million and the commercial business recorded $764 million. Internationally, commercial revenue reached $182 million and government revenue reached $181 million. The United States therefore accounted for more than 81% of total quarterly revenue, combining the strength of the core market with geographic concentration risk.

    What is Palantir's guidance for fiscal year 2026 and Q3?

    During the August 3, 2026 call, management raised fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $8.15 billion to $8.158 billion, with a midpoint of $8.154 billion and expected growth of 82%. It also raised U.S. commercial revenue guidance to more than $3.424 billion, representing growth of at least 134%. For Q3 of fiscal year 2026, the company expects revenue between $2.16 billion and $2.164 billion and adjusted operating income between $1.292 billion and $1.296 billion. It also raised its adjusted free cash flow guidance for fiscal year 2026 to a range of $4.5 billion to $4.7 billion.

    Do contractual bookings support continued PLTR growth?

    Total contract value bookings for the U.S. commercial business reached $2.132 billion in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, up 153% year over year and 81% sequentially. Total remaining deal value reached $13.1 billion, while remaining performance obligations reached $4.9 billion, growing 103%. Announced deals included a three-year contract worth approximately $370 million with a multinational technology company and a three-year contract worth $35 million with a global asset management company. However, the company explains that remaining performance obligations do not include certain short-term or terminable government contracts and therefore do not represent the entire contract base.

    What are the main valuation risks for PLTR stock?

    Reports dated August 4 and 5, 2026 indicated a price-to-earnings multiple of approximately 134 times and a price-to-sales multiple of approximately 61 to 68 times, with a free cash flow yield of 0.9%. These multiples place a significant burden on the company to sustain the 93% revenue growth recorded in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 and achieve its fiscal year 2026 guidance midpoint of $8.154 billion. The average analyst target is $176.33, but targets range from $80 to $215, revealing wide variation in valuation estimates. The average target is also below the 52-week range high of $207.52, limiting the margin of safety when returning to elevated valuations within that range.