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Stocks
Pelagos Insurance Capital Limit
PLGO

PLGO Pelagos Insurance Capital Limit

Pelagos Insurance Capital Limit · NYSE
Market Open
23.81
▲ ⁦+0.17%⁩ (+0.04)
Market Cap$2.0B
Beta0.28
52w Low52w High
19.8826.34
Last Week
⁦-0.25%⁩
Last Month
⁦-5.96%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-4.26%⁩
Last Year
—
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall98
Excellent — top fifth of the marketF 5/9Better than 98% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
94
6.0x▲17.4xTop tier
▸
Growth
83
-3.6%▼7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
90
——Top tier
▸
Safety
23
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
97
2.52%▲0.18%Top tier
▸
Momentum
—
—1.3%N/A
▸
Sentiment
73
5▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price⁦$24⁩
  • Value at the industry multiple
    Book value × ⁦1.3⁩, median of 17 companies
    ⁦$36⁩
    ⁦+52%⁩
    Range ⁦⁦$24⁩–⁦$47⁩⁩
  • Analyst targetsLow confidence
    2 analysts
    ⁦$24⁩
    ⁦−1%⁩
    Range ⁦⁦$23⁩–⁦$29⁩⁩Typical for this method across large companies: ⁦+18%⁩
1
methods value it above the price
1
methods near the price
0
methods value it below the price

10-year US Treasury yield ⁦5.31%⁩ as of ⁦2026-10-05⁩. Estimates computed from company data and analyst targets, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$24.63
⁦+3.4%⁩
Current Price $23.81·Median $23.50
Low
$22.50
High
$29.00
Current price
$23.81
Average target
$24.63
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.22
Hold
Analyst coverage
9
Buy conviction
33%
Target dispersion
27%
Analyst ratings over time9 analysts rating
2
1
4
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.22 → 3.22
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    Barclays
    —· $23.00
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    Citigroup
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-10
    Evercore ISI Group
    —· $24.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    5.97x
    3.02x24.14x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    6.29x
    2.61x20.85x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -3.6%
    -36.3%104.9%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    1175.7%
    -99.9%193.6%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    2.5%
    0.0%8.8%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    14.0%
    11.9%103.5%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Last updated: 2026-09-01Based on 2026-08-13 data

Company Overview

Pelagos Insurance Capital operates as a specialty insurer, reinsurer, and capital allocator, underwriting more than 100 product lines through a network of underwriting partners. Its direct insurance and reinsurance businesses span property, marine, political risk and political violence, asset finance and portfolio credit, and aviation, with capital directed toward opportunities that meet risk-adjusted return thresholds. In fiscal Q2 2026, net earned premiums were $515 million in the insurance segment and $66 million in the reinsurance segment, representing approximately 89% and 11%, respectively, of their combined total of $581 million.

In fiscal Q2 2026, Pelagos reported EDGAR financial statement revenue of $650.0 million, net income of $44.4 million, and earnings per share of $0.52. On management's operating measure, operating net income was $29 million, or $0.34 per diluted share, while annualized operating return on average equity was 5.1%. The data did not include a gross margin, but the operating combined ratio rose to 99.5% due to catastrophe and large-event losses of $162 million, or 27.8 points of the combined ratio.

For the first half of fiscal 2026, gross written premiums grew 6.6%, operating net income reached $117 million, and diluted operating earnings per share were $1.31, with an annualized operating return on average equity of 10.1% and a combined ratio of 93.1%. Diluted book value per share rose to $26.56, representing growth of 23% over the twelve months ended fiscal Q2 2026 after accounting for cumulative dividends. Meanwhile, trailing-twelve-month 2026 data show revenue of $2.5 billion, net income of $400.7 million, and earnings per share of approximately $4.71.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Gross written premiums in fiscal Q2 2026 grew 6.4% to $1.3 billion, driven by new underwriting partners and growth in property, asset finance and portfolio credit, and reinsurance, while management maintained its expectation for mid-single-digit annual growth.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Management expects fiscal Q3 2026 net earned premiums in the insurance segment to be similar to the fiscal Q2 level of $515 million, and premiums of between $130 million and $160 million in reinsurance, with the second half benefiting from wind-risk seasonality.
  • War-risk lines have generated more than $1 billion in premiums since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war, with a loss ratio below 20%, while underwritten business related to the Middle East conflict in fiscal 2026 also recorded a loss ratio below 20% despite regional losses being included in the results.
  • During fiscal Q2 2026, Pelagos expanded an existing relationship with an asset finance and portfolio credit specialist, then entered into an additional whole-account quota-share arrangement effective July 1, 2026, to support expansion and manage capital and net volatility.
  • The company repurchased 2.8 million shares for $60 million in fiscal Q2 2026, with repurchases reaching $280 million in the first half and adding $0.90 to diluted book value per share; since the program began in 2024, the cumulative addition has reached $2.14 per share.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The capital-allocation model across more than 100 product lines and a growing network of underwriting partners gives Pelagos the ability to shift capacity among property, marine, asset finance, and reinsurance, as reflected in 6.6% growth in written premiums during the first half of fiscal 2026.
    • +Underwriting quality supports the positive case over a period longer than one quarter; the combined ratio was 86.4% for the twelve months ended fiscal Q2 2026, consistent with management's target range in the mid-to-high 80s.
    • +The 23% growth in diluted book value per share to $26.56 during the twelve months ended fiscal Q2 2026 provides tangible evidence of value accumulation, supported by share repurchases and the quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share scheduled for payment in September 2026.
    • +The asset finance and portfolio credit business provides diversification from more cyclical insurance lines; management said this business has grown steadily over four or five years and that the new partner targets a different customer base and geographic scope from The Fidelis Partnership.

    ▼ Selling Case5 pts

    • −Earnings remain exposed to volatility from large losses; in fiscal Q2 2026, catastrophe and large-event losses totaled $162 million, including $60 million related to the Middle East and $34 million from the explosion at the Ras Laffan facility in Qatar, pushing the quarterly combined ratio to 99.5%.
    • −The company faces declining pricing and rising competitive capacity across several classes; according to management, market pricing for midyear fiscal 2026 catastrophe reinsurance renewals fell by 15% to 20%, while the decline for Pelagos was closer to the single digits because of its leadership position.
    • −The sequential slowdown in net income highlights the sensitivity of results to loss timing; EDGAR net income fell from $108.0 million in fiscal Q1 2026 to $44.4 million in fiscal Q2, while earnings per share declined from $1.15 to $0.52.
    • −Management expects fiscal Q3 2026 not to achieve a growth rate comparable to the 6.4% premium growth recorded in fiscal Q2 because of portfolio seasonality, despite maintaining its expectation for mid-single-digit annual growth; this limits the likelihood of near-term growth accelerating from the levels recorded in the first half.
    • −The property and geopolitical-risk portfolio carries continuing exposure to severe events; the probable California earthquake loss at a 1-in-250-year return period is in the mid-single digits as a percentage of shareholders' equity, while 1-in-100-year aggregate exposure in the Southeastern United States, Gulf, and Caribbean remains below 10% of shareholders' equity.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is "Buy," with an average price target of $24.63 and a relatively wide range of $22.50 to $29; the average is below the 52-week high of $26.34, while the highest target exceeds that level. The 52-week range is $16.96 to $26.34, and no reliable price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, so the valuation case rests on 23% growth in diluted book value to $26.56, weighed against large-loss risks and softening insurance pricing.

    BuyAnalyst target: $24.63(+3.4%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove Pelagos's growth in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Gross written premiums grew 6.4% to $1.3 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, with growth reaching 6.6% in the first half. The drivers were property, marine, asset finance and portfolio credit, along with selective expansion in reinsurance. The Bamboo Insurance relationship contributed to property growth, while new underwriting partners provided additional distribution channels in asset finance and portfolio credit.

    Why was profitability in fiscal Q2 2026 weaker than in the previous quarter?

    EDGAR net income was approximately $44.4 million and earnings per share were $0.52 in fiscal Q2 2026, compared with $108.0 million and $1.15 in fiscal Q1. The quarter was affected by $162 million in catastrophe and large-event losses, including $60 million from the Middle East and $34 million from the explosion at the Ras Laffan facility. As a result, the combined ratio was 99.5%, despite recording $33 million of net favorable prior-year reserve development.

    What is Pelagos's outlook for the rest of fiscal 2026?

    Management expects mid-single-digit annual growth in gross written premiums in fiscal 2026. In fiscal Q3 2026, it expects insurance net earned premiums to be similar to the fiscal Q2 level of $515 million and reinsurance net earned premiums of between $130 million and $160 million. It also maintained its targets for operating return on average equity of between 13% and 15% and a combined ratio in the mid-to-high 80s.

    How does Pelagos manage catastrophe risk and large volatility?

    Pelagos uses external reinsurance to reduce net volatility while retaining meaningful gross positions, and it added a comprehensive quota-share arrangement effective July 1, 2026. On that date, the probable California earthquake loss at a 1-in-250-year return period remained in the mid-single digits as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Aggregate exposure in the Southeastern United States, Gulf, and Caribbean at a 1-in-100-year return period also remained below 10% of shareholders' equity.

    How important are asset finance and portfolio credit to PLGO's growth?

    Asset finance represented approximately 12% of the portfolio according to the question raised on the August 13, 2026 call and was one of the main sources of growth in fiscal 2026. In fiscal Q2, Pelagos expanded its relationship with an existing specialist to access a broader portfolio of transactions, while the new partner targets customers and a geographic scope different from The Fidelis Partnership. Management believes this line, which has grown steadily over four or five years, can continue growing at the same rate while providing diversification from more cyclical property lines.

    How did share repurchases affect PLGO's book value?

    Pelagos repurchased 2.8 million shares for $60 million in fiscal Q2 2026 at an average of $21.60 per share. Purchases reached $280 million in the first half, including $216 million through privately negotiated transactions, and added $0.90 to diluted book value per share. Since the program was launched in 2024, repurchases have added $2.14 per share, and diluted book value reached $26.56 at quarter-end.