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Stocks
Prologis, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall36
Weak — below market medianMomentum TrapF 5/9Better than 36% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
22
30.2x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
39
7.3%▲7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
43
5.0%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
55
4.3x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
37
0.02%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
63
22.2%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
47
6▲3Around median
PLD

PLD Prologis, Inc.

Prologis, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
135.73
▲ ⁦+0.98%⁩ (+1.32)
Market Cap$126.6B
Beta1.32
52w Low52w High
110.60153.35
Last Week
⁦-0.63%⁩
Last Month
⁦-2.70%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-6.89%⁩
Last Year
⁦+21.22%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$136
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$157
⁦+16%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$135–$170⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$27
⁦-80%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.3⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$27–$157⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$155.15
⁦+14.3%⁩
Current Price $135.73·Median $157.00
Low
$135.00
High
$170.00
Current price
$135.73
Average target
$155.15
Street summary

Prologis (PLD) Price Target Analysis

Bullish tilt

Prologis (PLD) stock has seen a tangible improvement in analyst outlook over the past thirty days, with the average price target rising by 2.34% to reach $154.15 compared to $150.62 in July. This positive outlook was bolstered by an upgrade of the stock's rating by RBC Capital on August 4, 2026, to "Outperform," reflecting growing confidence in the company's future growth prospects.

As of 2026-08-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.7%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.76
Buy
Analyst coverage
17
Buy conviction
59%
Mixed
Target dispersion
26%
Analyst ratings over time17 analysts rating
3
7
7
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.77 → 3.76
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-04
    RBC Capital
    Sector PerformOutperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-23
    Scotiabank
    Sector Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-16
    Barclays
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    30.16x
    5.03x40.26x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    39.01x
    5.89x47.13x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    21.07x
    3.68x29.40x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    4.0%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    7.3%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    21.6%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    29.1%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    5.0%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.32x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.0%
    0.6%15.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    0.7%
    31.2%370.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-16 data

Company Overview

Prologis, Inc. is a global real estate platform focused on modern logistics real estate, generating income from leasing warehouses and distribution centers, developing and acquiring properties, and recycling capital through asset sales or contributions to strategic capital vehicles. The company is expanding the use of its land and customer relationships into data centers, energy, and warehouse operations solutions; in Q2 FY2026, its portfolio totaled 1.3 billion square feet, while its 14 thousand-acre land bank provided an embedded development opportunity of 240 million square feet.

According to the latest available EDGAR data, Q1 FY2026 recorded revenue of $2.3 billion, net income of $982 million, and earnings per share of $1.05, equivalent to a calculated net margin of approximately 42.7%, while the data did not include a gross margin. On a trailing-twelve-month basis ending in FY2026, revenue totaled $8.9 billion, net income $3.7 billion, and earnings per share approximately $3.88, compared with revenue of $8.8 billion, net income of $3.3 billion, and earnings per share of $3.56 in FY2025.

The Q2 FY2026 call showed a broadening contribution from business drivers, with core funds from operations per share of $1.63 including incentive income and $1.60 excluding it, while strategic capital generated $83 million in incentive revenue. Operationally, ending occupancy reached 95.5%, same-store net operating income grew 6.4% on a net effective basis and 8.5% on a cash basis, while data center development starts since the beginning of FY2026 exceeded $2.1 billion.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Prologis signed a record 67 million square feet of leases in Q2 FY2026, its fourth record in seven quarters, while ending occupancy increased 20 basis points to 95.5%.
  • Rent change on rollover exceeded 36% on a net effective basis and 22% on a cash basis in Q2 FY2026, generating $60 million of incremental net operating income, with the lease-to-market gap remaining at 17%, representing approximately $800 million of embedded net operating income opportunity.
  • The company raised its FY2026 guidance to net earnings of $4.40–$4.55 per share and core funds from operations of $6.22–$6.30 per share, and also raised its average occupancy range to 95.25%–95.75% and its same-store net operating income growth range to 5.25%–5.75% on a net effective basis.
  • The data center power pipeline expanded to approximately 5.8 gigawatts, more than double its level over two years, representing approximately $17 billion of powered-shell investment or up to $87 billion on a fully delivered basis; approximately 85% of the pipeline is positioned to begin development through 2030.
  • On August 4, 2026, Prologis agreed to acquire SEGRO in full through a share offer with a partial cash alternative of up to £3.5 billion, in a transaction valued at approximately $18.8 billion and unanimously recommended by the SEGRO board, expanding the logistics platform's presence in Europe.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Pricing power within the portfolio supports the earnings trajectory, as rent growth on rollover exceeded 36% on a net effective basis and the lease-to-market gap remained at 17% in Q2 FY2026, preserving an embedded net operating income opportunity of approximately $800 million.
  • +The 14 thousand-acre land bank provides capacity to develop 240 million square feet, and the company raised its FY2026 guidance for owned and managed development starts to a range of $5.5–$6.5 billion after starting more than $1.6 billion of projects during Q2.
  • +Data centers have become a tangible growth driver, with the start of a 260-megawatt build-to-suit campus with an expected investment of approximately $800 million, bringing the company's total development starts in this business to approximately $4 billion under build-to-suit contracts.
  • +The company ended Q2 FY2026 with a debt-to-earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization ratio of 4.7 times after completing approximately $3.4 billion of financings, while expected acquisition internal rates of return exceeded disposition returns by 140 basis points since the beginning of the fiscal year.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is Buy with an average price target of $154.15, within a wide range of $135–$170, and the average is slightly above the top of the 52-week range of $153.35. RBC Capital set a target of $160 on August 5, 2026, above the consensus average but below the $170 upper bound. Conversely, an August 4, 2026 article cited a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.2 times, placing the valuation burden on continued rent growth, efficient execution of data center investments, and the SEGRO transaction.

BuyAnalyst target: $154.15(+13.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were PLD's key Q2 FY2026 results?

Prologis generated core funds from operations of $1.63 per share including incentive income and $1.60 excluding it in Q2 FY2026. Ending occupancy reached 95.5% after improving 20 basis points from the previous quarter, while the company signed 67 million square feet of leases. Same-store net operating income grew 6.4% on a net effective basis and 8.5% on a cash basis, and incentive revenue totaled $83 million.

What is Prologis's FY2026 guidance?

On July 16, 2026, management raised net earnings guidance to $4.40–$4.55 per share and core funds from operations guidance to $6.22–$6.30 per share. It expects average occupancy of 95.25%–95.75% and same-store net operating income growth of 5.25%–5.75% on a net effective basis and 6.75%–7.25% on a cash basis. It also raised the range for owned and managed development starts to $5.5–$6.5 billion and acquisitions to $1.5–$2 billion.

How could the SEGRO transaction change Prologis's business?

On August 4, 2026, Prologis agreed to acquire SEGRO in full in a transaction valued at approximately $18.8 billion. The offer consists of shares with a partial cash alternative of up to £3.5 billion and was unanimously recommended by the SEGRO board. The transaction aims to combine two logistics real estate platforms and expand Prologis's presence in European markets, but its size makes execution, financing, and integration critical elements of the investment outcome.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The SEGRO transaction announced in August 2026 is valued at approximately $18.8 billion, and its financing includes a share offer and a partial cash alternative of up to £3.5 billion, making execution terms, financing, and the integration of a large European platform material factors in realizing the transaction's expected value.
  • −The 5.8-gigawatt data center pipeline could require investments ranging from approximately $17 billion for powered shells to as much as $87 billion for fully delivered projects, increasing return sensitivity to the project mix, the timing of asset sales, and capital availability.
  • −Data center projects face local approval and permitting risks; management described these procedures on the Q2 FY2026 call as an increasing constraint on supply and complex, multi-year processes, although it said the referenced moratorium in New York did not affect Prologis.
  • −Management expects the portfolio's lease-to-market gap to decline from 17% toward a normalized low-double-digit rate in the future, meaning that one of the strong drivers of net operating income growth will gradually diminish unless market rent growth exceeds rent increases realized on rollover.
  • −An article dated August 4, 2026 cited a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.2 times, a valuation that requires continued occupancy and rent growth and successful data center expansion to justify it, particularly because the stock's 52-week range was wide at $110.51–$153.35.
  • −Net insider sales during the three months ending with the latest transaction on July 16, 2026 totaled approximately $8 million across two sales and no purchases, but this is a weak trading indicator on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data disclose otherwise.
How large is PLD's data center opportunity?

Prologis's power pipeline reached approximately 5.8 gigawatts in Q2 FY2026, after more than doubling over two years. This pipeline represents approximately $17 billion of powered-shell investment or up to $87 billion when projects are fully delivered, and approximately 85% of it is positioned to begin development through 2030. Since the beginning of FY2026, the company has started $2.1 billion of data center projects, including a 260-megawatt build-to-suit campus with an expected investment of approximately $800 million.

What supports Prologis's rent growth?

The gap between in-place lease rents and market rents was 17% in Q2 FY2026, equivalent to approximately $800 million of embedded net operating income opportunity. Rent change on rollover exceeded 36% on a net effective basis and 22% on a cash basis, generating $60 million of incremental net operating income. At the U.S. market level, net absorption totaled 66 million square feet in the quarter, vacancy declined to 7.2%, and rents increased 70 basis points from the previous quarter.

Is Prologis's dividend sustainable based on FY2026 data?

An analysis dated August 24, 2026 indicated that Prologis's payout ratio was 68.4% relative to the midpoint of FY2026 core funds from operations guidance. The company had raised this guidance range to $6.22–$6.30 per share on the July 16, 2026 call. Operating earnings support the ratio through 95.5% occupancy and 8.5% cash same-store net operating income growth in Q2, while the financing needs of the SEGRO transaction and data center expansions remain factors to monitor.