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Planet Labs PBC
PL

PL Planet Labs PBC

Planet Labs PBC · NYSE
Market Closed
16.45
▼ ⁦-1.44%⁩ (-0.24)
Market Cap$5.6B
Beta2.12
52w Low52w High
8.6051.76
Last Week
⁦-17.71%⁩
Last Month
⁦-30.59%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-46.45%⁩
Last Year
⁦+82.37%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall8
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketSucker StockF 2/8SafeBetter than 8% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
24
—17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
75
44.1%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
30
-14.2%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
45
—2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
18
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
32
139.1%▲2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
43
5▲3Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$16
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$35
—
Range ⁦$25–$50⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$0.87
⁦-95%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦13.3⁩% discount · ⁦9⁩% growth

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$34.71
⁦+111.0%⁩
Current Price $16.45·Median $35.00
Low
$25.00
High
$50.00
Current price
$16.45
Average target
$34.71
Street summary

Clear Decline in Target Price Consensus

Bearish tilt

The target price consensus fell to 34.71 from 35.86 7 days ago, and to 34.71 from 43.83 30 days ago, representing declines of 3.21% and 20.81%, respectively, while the number of analysts remained at 5. The consensus remained unchanged over the last day. The current range is between 25 and 50, versus a median of 35, reflecting wide variation in estimates despite the current price remaining at 16.45.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-20.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.64
Buy
Analyst coverage
11
Buy conviction
64%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
152%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time11 analysts rating
1
6
3
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.90 → 3.64
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-09-04
    New Street
    SellNeutral
  • = Reiterate2026-09-04
    Needham
    Buy
Premium content
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-09-03 data

Company Overview

Planet Labs PBC operates an Earth observation platform that combines satellite fleets, imagery data, AI-powered analytics, and sovereign satellite services. The company generates revenue from annual and multi-year subscription contracts for data and solutions, and from satellite services that include sovereign ownership, direct access, managed operations, and dedicated capacity; recurring contracts represented 98% of annual contract value at the end of fiscal year 2027 Q2, while 94% of the portfolio consisted of annual or multi-year contracts.

In fiscal year 2027 Q2, Planet Labs reported record revenue of $116.1 million, up approximately 58% year over year, and EDGAR gross profit of $65.6 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 56.5%, compared with a non-GAAP gross margin of 59%. Net loss was $9.4 million and earnings per share were negative $0.03, while the company generated adjusted EBITDA profit of $13.9 million.

The defense and intelligence segment led performance with growth exceeding 90% year over year, compared with more than 15% for the commercial segment and more than 5% for civil governments. Satellite services deliveries increased the share of revenue recognized at a point in time to 12% of quarterly revenue, compared with 1% in fiscal year 2026 Q2, and the delivery of the first Pelican satellite to the Swedish Armed Forces was a key factor in revenue exceeding expectations.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Planet Labs raised the lower end of its fiscal year 2027 revenue guidance to a range of $430 million to $441 million, representing annual growth of 40% to 43%, and raised its non-GAAP gross margin outlook to 55%–57% and its adjusted EBITDA outlook to a profit of $3 million to $10 million.
  • Remaining performance obligations reached $753 million at the end of fiscal year 2027 Q2, up 9% annually, and backlog reached $815 million, up 11%. The company expects execution of existing contracts to enable recognition of more than $400 million in revenue over the following four quarters, excluding new contracts or renewals.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Identified satellite services opportunities exceeded $4 billion, and more than 25% of them, or approximately $1 billion, were classified as near-term opportunities measured in quarters rather than years. Announced wins in August 2026 included an $8 million contract with NGA for the Global Monitoring Service, a seven-figure European defense and intelligence agreement, and a German tender with a maximum value of €25 million over five years.
  • Planet's AI application moved into open beta in fiscal year 2027 Q2, leveraging a ten-year daily archive to enable natural-language queries. The company also signed an expanded six-figure renewal with a hyperscale AI developer to monitor the construction of data centers and semiconductor factories, opening use cases across the AI, financial services, energy, and insurance sectors.
  • The Owl program aims to improve monitoring resolution from the 3-meter class to the 1-meter class and reduce data delivery time to one hour in key regions, with approximately ten times the data volume and delivery speed. Management sees an opportunity to raise prices and unlock new applications, including identifying ships approximately 10 meters long instead of a threshold of approximately 30 meters in some maritime domain awareness applications.
  • Net cash generated from operating activities reached $68 million since the beginning of fiscal year 2027, while free cash flow reached $21 million and adjusted free cash flow reached $29 million. The company ended the quarter with approximately $865 million in cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments, supporting funding for Pelican and Owl and the expansion of manufacturing in San Francisco and Berlin.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +Fiscal year 2027 Q2 combines revenue growth of approximately 58% with adjusted EBITDA profit of $13.9 million, while the company is targeting adjusted EBITDA profitability and positive adjusted free cash flow on a full-year basis.
    • +The $815 million backlog and $753 million in remaining performance obligations provide strong revenue visibility, with approximately 50% of the backlog applicable to the following twelve months and approximately 70% to the following twenty-four months.
    • +Daily scanning and a ten-year imagery archive provide a distinct advantage in Global Monitoring Service, maritime domain awareness, and change-detection applications; this capability resulted in Planet being awarded the $8 million NGA contract as the only supplier considered.
    • +The company's model broadens its growth sources across defense and intelligence, civil governments, and commercial customers; in fiscal year 2027 Q2, every segment grew, while growth in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa exceeded 130%, North America grew by approximately 25%, and Asia-Pacific grew by more than 15%.
    • +The Pelican, Owl, and Tanager generations could increase the value of data available to customers: Pelican targets 30-centimeter-class resolution, Owl targets 1-meter-class resolution and shorter data delivery times, while the launch of the second Tanager doubles methane and carbon dioxide detection capacity.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Defense and intelligence's contribution rose to approximately 70% of fiscal year 2027 Q2 revenue, according to the discussion on the call, increasing the dependence of results on the timing of large government and international contracts and public budgets; most satellite services opportunities also remained within this segment despite the start of expansion into civil governments.
    • −The expansion of satellite services introduces volatility into the timing of revenue recognition; revenue recognized at a point in time rose to 12% of quarterly revenue from 1% a year earlier, and the early delivery of the Swedish satellite shifted revenue expected in fiscal year 2027 Q3 into Q2.
    • −Fiscal year 2027 Q3 guidance points to growth slowing to approximately 27% at the midpoint of the $101 million–$105 million revenue range, compared with growth of approximately 58% in Q2. Part of the sequential decline reflects the timing of the Swedish satellite delivery, but it highlights the sensitivity of quarterly growth rates to contract execution schedules.
    • −For fiscal year 2027 Q3, the company expects a non-GAAP gross margin of 56% to 58%, below 59% in Q2, and an adjusted EBITDA loss of $1 million to $6 million following a profit of $13.9 million. Management attributed this decline to business mix and investment for growth, while EDGAR filings still show a net loss of $359.9 million during the twelve-month period ending in fiscal year 2027.
    • −Planet Labs raised its fiscal year 2027 capital expenditure plan to $100 million–$115 million, with $30 million–$37 million expected in Q3, to fund Pelican, Owl, manufacturing facility expansion, and early procurement. This requires successful execution of expected demand for the pulled-forward investments to convert into revenue and returns, particularly as launch prices have risen slightly and demand for rideshare missions remains strong.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $35.86, within a wide range of $25 to $50, and the consensus rating is Buy; the average is approximately 31% below the 52-week range high of $51.76, while the highest target is close to that high. No positive price-to-earnings multiple is available as a basis because losses continue, including a net loss of $359.9 million during the twelve-month period ending in fiscal year 2027, so the valuation depends more heavily on converting growth and backlog into sustainable profits and cash flows and balancing that against dilution risk and quarterly revenue volatility.

    BuyAnalyst target: $35.86(+118.0%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-05; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove PL's revenue in fiscal year 2027 Q2?

    Revenue reached $116.1 million, up approximately 58% year over year, and the delivery of the first Pelican satellite to the Swedish Armed Forces was the main driver of the beat. Defense and intelligence grew by more than 90%, commercial by more than 15%, and civil governments by more than 5%. The satellite delivery increased revenue recognized at a point in time to 12% of quarterly revenue, compared with 1% in fiscal year 2026 Q2.

    What is Planet Labs' outlook for fiscal year 2027?

    The company expects fiscal year 2027 revenue of $430 million to $441 million, equivalent to annual growth of 40% to 43%. It expects a non-GAAP gross margin of 55% to 57% and adjusted EBITDA profit of $3 million to $10 million. It also plans capital expenditures of $100 million to $115 million and is targeting positive adjusted free cash flow for the full fiscal year.

    How important is the satellite services opportunity pipeline to PL stock?

    Planet Labs identified more than $4 billion in satellite services opportunities and classified more than 25% of them, or approximately $1 billion, as near-term opportunities measured in quarters. In August 2026, it secured a German tender with a potential ceiling of €25 million over five years, in addition to an $8 million NGA contract for GMS. However, these figures represent opportunities or maximum contract values rather than realized revenue, so their impact depends on conversion and execution rates.

    How does Planet Labs use AI in its products?

    The company's AI application moved into open beta in fiscal year 2027 Q2 and enables natural-language searches within a ten-year global archive of daily data. The application allows users to select the backend model, while Planet focuses on the value of its data, imagery, and calibration across different generations. Announced use cases include monitoring the construction of data centers and semiconductor factories, estimating sugar beet production in collaboration with FarmQA during the 2026 growing season, and detecting patterns and threats through GMS.

    Has Planet Labs become profitable?

    The company generated adjusted EBITDA profit of $13.9 million in fiscal year 2027 Q2, while free cash flow reached $21 million since the beginning of the fiscal year and adjusted free cash flow reached $29 million. In contrast, EDGAR data showed a quarterly net loss of $9.4 million and a net loss of $359.9 million during the twelve-month period ending in fiscal year 2027. Management expects adjusted EBITDA to return to a loss of $1 million to $6 million in Q3, while targeting a full-year adjusted profit of $3 million to $10 million.

    What are the main dilution and capital spending risks for PL?

    Planet Labs raised approximately $120 million from share sales through its at-the-market program during fiscal year 2027 Q2, at an average net price of $31.96 per share, despite holding approximately $865 million in cash and short-term investments. Management said the capital is intended to provide strategic flexibility while seeking to minimize dilution, but any additional issuances could reduce existing shareholders' ownership stakes. At the same time, the company plans capital expenditures of $100 million to $115 million in fiscal year 2027 to expand manufacturing, accelerate Pelican and Owl, and secure long-lead-time components.

  • −The company funded part of its financial flexibility by issuing approximately $120 million in shares during fiscal year 2027 Q2 through its at-the-market program at an average net price of $31.96 per share, creating shareholder dilution risk if issuance continues. This is reinforced by insider activity classified as strong_sell, with seven sales, no purchases, and net sales of $10.5 million during the three months through July 23, 2026, with the caveat that insider sales may be prearranged unless the context proves otherwise.