EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Polaris Inc.
PII

PII Polaris Inc.

Polaris Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
58.51
▲ ⁦+0.98%⁩ (+0.57)
Market Cap$3.3B
Beta1.28
52w Low52w High
47.1477.98
Last Week
⁦-5.20%⁩
Last Month
⁦-18.25%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-14.36%⁩
Last Year
⁦+3.06%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall21
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketValue TrapF 4/9Better than 21% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
50
—17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
10
8.4%▲7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
18
-5.7%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
30
16.2x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
45
4.53%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
50
23.8%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
82
10▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$59
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$66
⁦+12%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$65–$66⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$3.10
⁦-95%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.1⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$3.10–$66⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$65.50
⁦+11.9%⁩
Current Price $58.51·Median $65.50
Low
$65.00
High
$66.00
Current price
$58.51
Average target
$65.50
Street summary

Stable Polaris price targets amid a slight decline in coverage

The average price target for Polaris stock has not changed over the past 1, 7, or 30 days, remaining at 65.5 versus a current price of 62.52, reflecting an implied upside of approximately 4.8%. The target range is narrow, between 65 and 66, indicating limited variation among analysts, but their number declined from 6 to 5, slightly weakening the strength of the consensus.

As of 2026-09-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.11
Hold
Analyst coverage
18
Buy conviction
17%
Target dispersion
2%
Analyst ratings over time18 analysts rating
1
2
14
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.11 → 3.11
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    Roth MKM
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    RBC Capital
    Sector Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    KeyBanc
    Sector Weight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    22.12x
    3.79x30.29x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    47.35x
    2.75x22.03x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    4.5%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    8.4%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -144.1%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Weak
  • Gross Margin
    21.2%
    12.0%66.5%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    -5.7%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Near median
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    16.19x
    0.65x5.48x
    Financial risk
  • Dividend Yield
    4.5%
    0.1%5.9%
    High
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-28 data

Company Overview

Polaris Inc. manufactures and sells powersports vehicles and work-oriented vehicles, generating revenue through three segments cited in the July 28, 2026 call: Polaris Powersports, Marine, and Aixam-Goupil, in addition to parts, garments, and accessories PG&A. The business includes ORV vehicles such as Ranger, Pro XD commercial vehicles designed for worksites, and premium Bennington QX and Godfrey Sanpan pontoon boats, while demand comes from individuals, dealers, rental companies, infrastructure projects, data centers, and government and defense entities.

In Q2 of fiscal 2026, reported sales increased 9% year over year, or 17% excluding Indian Motorcycle, and all three segments recorded revenue growth. Polaris Powersports sales increased 17%, Marine sales 16%, and Aixam-Goupil sales 6%, while PG&A sales in Powersports increased 21%. Operating gross margin, excluding the tariff refund, expanded by 82 basis points according to management's presentation, while operating EBITDA margin improved by about 180 basis points.

Adjusted earnings per share in Q2 of fiscal 2026 were about 1.97 dollars, including 0.96 dollars from the impact of a 74 million dollar pre-tax tariff refund; excluding this impact, adjusted operating earnings per share were 1.01 dollars, exceeding management's previous range of 0.70–0.80 dollars. In contrast, EDGAR statements for Q1 of fiscal 2026 show revenue of 1.7 billion dollars and gross profit of 334.8 million dollars, but net income was negative at 47.4 million dollars and earnings per share were negative at 0.83 dollars, highlighting the difference between the adjusted operating improvement and the continued reported accounting losses in the latest EDGAR data available within the provided information.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The ORV business gained market share for the fifth consecutive quarter in Q2 of fiscal 2026; North American retail sales increased 5%, Ranger sales rose by more than 10%, and Polaris's share of the utility side-by-side vehicle market reached its highest level since 2021.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Ranger 500 became the fastest-growing vehicle in the off-road vehicle market according to industry data cited by management on July 28, 2026, and about 70% of its buyers were new Polaris customers. Ranger 1000 and Ranger XP 1000 cab-equipped vehicles also contributed several points of market share gains, and cab-equipped vehicles exceeded half of ORV retail sales for the first time during the quarter.
  • Polaris Powersports sales increased 17% in Q2 of fiscal 2026, driven by double-digit growth in ORV and the commercial business. Commercial Pro XD vehicles benefit from demand from data center and infrastructure projects, alongside rapid growth in government and defense business and sales of vehicles to police, fire, and border patrol agencies.
  • Management raised its fiscal 2026 sales guidance to 7.3–7.5 billion dollars, representing growth of between 2% and 5%, compared with previous guidance of flat to 2% growth. Excluding Indian Motorcycle, management expects organic growth of about 10%, and it also raised adjusted earnings per share guidance to 3.00–3.10 dollars and adjusted operating earnings per share guidance to 2.05–2.15 dollars.
  • Dealer inventory declined 8% year over year in Q2 of fiscal 2026, and inventory duration remained slightly above 100 days and well below its historical levels. Aligning the vehicle mix with each dealer's needs improved sales velocity by 18% in the first half of fiscal 2026, reducing inventory financing costs and supporting dealer profitability.
  • Net leverage improved to 2.6 times at the end of Q2 of fiscal 2026, compared with 3.6 times at the end of the previous quarter, aided by operating performance and the 74 million dollar tariff refund. Management expects leverage to continue declining during the second half of fiscal 2026 as seasonal working capital is released.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +ORV share gains for five consecutive quarters show that Polaris's growth does not depend solely on market improvement; ORV retail sales increased 5% in Q2 of fiscal 2026, while Ranger outperformed with growth of more than 10% and share in the largest subcategory reached its highest level since 2021.
    • +The Ranger mix provides two complementary sources of growth: Ranger 500, priced below 10 thousand dollars, attracts new customers at a rate of about 70%, while NorthStar and cab-equipped vehicles maintain mix strength in the midrange and premium categories. Management observed no customer shift from NorthStar Ultimate to lower-priced cab-equipped models, limiting the risk of mix erosion.
    • +The commercial, government, and defense business provides diversification away from the interest-rate-sensitive recreational consumer; data center projects and major construction projects support demand for Pro XD, while increased usage hours create additional demand for parts and readiness support services.
    • +Portfolio simplification and factory improvement efforts are beginning to appear in margins; operating EBITDA margin expanded by about 180 basis points in Q2 of fiscal 2026, and estimated incremental margins after isolating the effects of tariffs, commodities, and Indian Motorcycle exceeded 32%. Factories were also operating at about 70% of capacity, providing additional room for operating leverage if volumes increase.
    • +The second increase to fiscal 2026 guidance reflects improvement beyond the tariff refund alone; adjusted operating earnings per share reached 1.01 dollars in Q2, exceeding the 0.70–0.80 dollar range, and the expected operating EBITDA margin growth range increased to 145–170 basis points.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Profitability according to EDGAR data remains weak despite improvement in adjusted metrics; fiscal 2025 recorded a net loss of 465.5 million dollars and negative earnings per share of 8.18 dollars, followed by a net loss of 47.4 million dollars and negative earnings per share of 0.83 dollars in Q1 of fiscal 2026. The reported trailing 12-month loss in 2026 was also about 446.1 million dollars, so no positive price-to-earnings multiple is available as a basis for valuation.
    • −Demand for midrange and entry-level recreational and marine products remains under pressure due to inflation, borrowing costs, and economic uncertainty; management expects recreational ORV weakness to continue during the second half of fiscal 2026. Polaris pontoon boat retail sales also declined by a high-single-digit percentage through May 2026, in a market that contracted by about 9%.
    • −Guidance points to a potential slowdown after the strength of Q2 of fiscal 2026; following reported sales growth of 9% in that quarter, management expects growth of between 4% and 5% in the following quarter and a roughly flat retail environment in the second half. It also expects adjusted earnings per share of about one dollar for the entire second half, divided approximately equally between Q3 and Q4 of fiscal 2026.
    • −Raw material and transportation prices represent direct pressure on margins; management raised its estimate of the negative commodity impact in fiscal 2026 to 70 million dollars, with notable pressure from steel, aluminum, copper, diesel, and trucking. Hedges cover only about 50% of the exposure, while management does not expect a significant benefit in fiscal 2026 even if steel prices decline later because the year's requirements had already been purchased.
    • −Tariffs and trade policies remain a source of uncertainty; Polaris expects to pay about 215 million dollars in tariffs in fiscal 2026, while the outcomes of the USMCA review and Section 301 investigations remained unresolved at the time of the July 28, 2026 call. Despite the plan to reduce materials sourced from China from 18% of cost of goods in 2024 to less than 5% by the end of 2027, the clearest portion of the benefit will not appear before 2028 according to management.

    Valuation

    Analyst consensus is neutral, with an average price target of 65.5 dollars and a very narrow range between 65 and 66 dollars, indicating convergence in estimates and limited variation among published scenarios. The average target is about 16% below the 52-week range high of 77.98 dollars and about 39% above its low of 47.14 dollars, while the width of the range reflects a reassessment associated with accounting losses and weak recreational demand versus improving margins and share gains. No positive price-to-earnings multiple is available because of the net loss and negative earnings per share, so the stock's valuation depends more heavily on achieving fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings per share guidance of 3.00–3.10 dollars and converting the operating improvement into sustainable accounting profits.

    HoldAnalyst target: $65.5(+11.9%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove Polaris's results in Q2 of fiscal 2026?

    Reported sales increased 9%, or 17% excluding Indian Motorcycle, with growth across all three segments. Polaris Powersports led the performance with a 17% increase, while Marine rose 16% and Aixam-Goupil 6%, and PG&A sales in Powersports increased 21%. Adjusted earnings per share were 1.97 dollars, but 0.96 dollars of that was related to a 74 million dollar pre-tax tariff refund, resulting in adjusted operating earnings per share of 1.01 dollars.

    Why is Ranger important to Polaris's growth?

    Ranger retail sales increased by more than 10% in Q2 of fiscal 2026 and helped Polaris gain ORV share for the fifth consecutive quarter. Ranger 500 was the fastest-growing vehicle in the off-road vehicle market according to the data presented by management, and about 70% of its buyers were new Polaris customers. Ranger 1000 and Ranger XP 1000 cab-equipped vehicles also generated several points of share gains, and cab-equipped vehicles became more than half of the company's ORV sales for the first time.

    How does Polaris benefit from data center construction and infrastructure projects?

    Polaris sells Pro XD vehicles designed for demanding work environments to rental companies and commercial projects, and the commercial business achieved strong growth in Q2 of fiscal 2026. Management explained that demand comes from data center construction and major construction projects, where sites require a larger number of vehicles. Parts sales also benefit from increased fleet operating hours, but management said on July 28, 2026 that the replacement cycle and vehicle use after data center site construction is completed were not yet clear.

    What is Polaris's guidance for fiscal 2026?

    The company raised sales guidance to 7.3–7.5 billion dollars, representing growth of between 2% and 5%, and expects organic growth of about 10% excluding Indian Motorcycle. It also raised adjusted earnings per share guidance to 3.00–3.10 dollars and adjusted operating earnings per share guidance to 2.05–2.15 dollars. It expects adjusted EBITDA margin to increase by between 50 and 75 basis points, or between 145 and 170 basis points on an operating basis excluding the tariff refund.

    What are the main risks that could derail the improvement in Polaris's earnings?

    Management expects retail sales to remain roughly flat in the second half of fiscal 2026, with continued weakness in recreational vehicles and midrange and entry-level boats due to inflation and interest rates. It also expects an additional commodity cost of 70 million dollars and tariffs of about 215 million dollars during fiscal 2026, while hedges cover only about half of the exposure. In addition, EDGAR data showed a net loss of 47.4 million dollars in Q1 of fiscal 2026 after a loss of 465.5 million dollars in fiscal 2025, making the conversion of adjusted improvement into accounting profit a key test.

    What do Polaris's debt levels and capital allocation policy look like?

    Net leverage declined to 2.6 times at the end of Q2 of fiscal 2026, compared with 3.6 times at the end of Q1 of fiscal 2026. Operating performance and the 74 million dollar tariff refund helped drive this improvement, and management expects a further decline during the second half as seasonal working capital is released. Allocation priorities are investing in higher-margin growth, then returning capital through dividends, followed by reducing debt.

  • −Competition could intensify if manufacturers with elevated inventory resort to broader discounting; management stated on July 28, 2026 that some competitors still held relatively high inventory levels, although their promotional activity had been limited and targeted up to that date. Polaris also faces more difficult year-over-year comparisons as it begins to lap the acceleration in share gains achieved in the second half of fiscal 2025.