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Stocks
Pfizer Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall80
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 6/9Grey zoneInsider cluster buyBetter than 80% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
67
36.5x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
13
-0.2%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
83
10.6%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
61
2.5x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
60
6.20%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
70
10.2%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
85
15▲3Top tier
PFE

PFE Pfizer Inc.

Pfizer Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
27.72
▲ ⁦+0.25%⁩ (+0.07)
Market Cap$158.0B
Beta0.28
52w Low52w High
23.5829.21
Last Week
⁦-4.48%⁩
Last Month
⁦+4.13%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+8.28%⁩
Last Year
⁦+12.18%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$28
Analyst target · 11 analysts
$27
⁦-3%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$26–$31⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$22
⁦-21%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$22–$27⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 11 analysts setting price target
$28.20
⁦+1.7%⁩
Current Price $27.72·Median $27.00
Low
$26.00
High
$31.00
Current price
$27.72
Average target
$28.20
Street summary

A Slight Increase in Consensus Amid a Divergent Outlook

The consensus price target rose from 27.38 to 28.20 over the last 30 days, an increase of 0.82 or 2.99%, while the number of analysts remained at 11. Over the last 7 days, the change was marginal, and the consensus remained unchanged over the last day. The current price is 27.72, placing it close to the consensus; the range between 26 and 31, with a median of 27, also reflects clear divergence among the estimates.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+3.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.32
Hold
Analyst coverage
28
Buy conviction
36%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
18%
Analyst ratings over time28 analysts rating
2
8
16
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.33 → 3.32
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-10
    HSBC
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-07-13
    Guggenheim
    Buy
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-07-06
    HSBC
    BuyHold
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    36.47x
    3.94x44.30x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    9.92x
    4.64x37.16x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.70x
    3.77x30.13x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    7.0%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -0.2%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -59.6%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    73.2%
    12.8%90.7%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    10.6%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.50x
    0.60x5.10x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    6.2%
    0.0%3.9%
    High
  • Payout Ratio
    226.0%
    7.4%76.0%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.23
    -38.7417.53
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Pfizer Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company that generates revenue from a portfolio of medicines and vaccines spanning oncology, vaccines, primary care, immunology, and inflammation. Its cited commercial drivers include Eliquis, Padcev, the Vyndaqel family, Lorbrena, and NURTEC, alongside the COVID-19 products COMIRNATY and Paxlovid; the Seagen, Metsera, and Biohaven transactions also added platforms and portfolios in oncology, obesity, and migraine. The company reinvests part of its cash flows in research and development, having spent $5.5 billion on internal and external research and development during the first half of fiscal 2026, versus $4.9 billion returned to shareholders through quarterly dividends.

In quarter 2 of fiscal 2026, revenue totaled $15.0 billion, up 1% operationally year over year, while the business excluding COVID-19 products grew 5% operationally. Launched and acquired products generated $3.2 billion in revenue and grew 18% operationally, or 27% after excluding nonrecurring items in the comparable quarter; revenue from acquired products also grew 25% operationally after the same exclusion. Gross profit under EDGAR was approximately $10.9 billion, equivalent to a gross margin of about 72.7%, while adjusted gross margin was 76% and adjusted operating margin was 35%.

Pfizer recorded an EDGAR net loss of $248 million and a reported loss of $0.04 per share in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026, versus adjusted earnings per share of $0.77, exceeding the $0.68 estimate. The large divergence between the two results was due to $4.3 billion of non-cash intangible asset impairments, primarily related to the outcome of the phase 3 SV study in lung cancer and, to a lesser extent, the removal of Oxbryta revenue projections following discussions with FDA. On a trailing-twelve-month basis ending in 2026, revenue was $63.7 billion, gross profit was $46.6 billion, and net income was $4.3 billion.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Pfizer raised its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance range to $60.5–$62.5 billion, while lowering its COVID-19 product revenue forecast to approximately $4 billion from $5 billion, supported by stronger performance from the non-COVID-19 portfolio. The company maintained its adjusted earnings-per-share guidance at $2.80–$3.00 despite absorbing an approximately $0.10 negative impact from acquired research and development expense related to the Innovent Biologics transaction.
  • Productivity and manufacturing optimization programs target total net savings of approximately $9.7 billion through the end of 2029, of which $7.2 billion is expected to be largely achieved by the end of 2026 and an additional $2.5 billion during 2027–2029. In quarter 2 of fiscal 2026, $175 million in manufacturing savings was achieved out of the $700 million targeted during fiscal 2026.
  • The Padcev opportunity expanded following FDA approval of its use with pembrolizumab in muscle-invasive bladder cancer regardless of cisplatin eligibility, based on data showing a 35% reduction in the risk of death compared with the standard of care. Padcev grew by more than 20% in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026, and its share of new patients with locally advanced or metastatic urothelial cancer exceeded 60%, with a phase 3 study in bladder-preserving therapy initiated.
  • berobenatide supports Pfizer's entry into the obesity market, which management expects to reach $150 billion; the monthly 4.8 mg dose achieved a placebo-adjusted weight reduction of up to 12.3% over 28 weeks, while participants on the high dose achieved an average reduction of approximately 16% over 32 weeks. Three phase 3 studies were underway as of August 4, 2026, and the company plans to advance ten phase 3 studies during fiscal 2026, targeting the first approval in 2028.
  • Litfulo showed statistically significant and clinically meaningful improvement at the 50 and 100 mg doses in the TRANQUILLO program, with the placebo-adjusted response rate on the facial vitiligo improvement measure reaching 19.5% at week 52 for the 100 mg dose. On August 14, 2026, EMA accepted the marketing authorization application for the VLA15 Lyme disease vaccine developed with Valneva, but the final regulatory decision remained under review.
  • Insider activity provided an additional supportive signal, with net purchases over three months totaling $2.8 million across three purchases and two sales. The data included CEO Albert Bourla's purchase of 38,000 shares valued at approximately $1 million on August 12, 2026.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The non-COVID-19 portfolio demonstrated its ability to offset part of the decline in pandemic products, with 5% operational growth in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026 and 27% growth in launched and acquired products after excluding nonrecurring items. Pfizer also exceeded revenue expectations in nine of the last ten quarters and adjusted earnings-per-share expectations in all ten quarters, according to management.
  • +The oncology portfolio provides several tangible drivers, including 21% growth in the legacy Seagen portfolio in the United States after excluding a nonrecurring stocking benefit, Padcev growth of more than 20%, and approval of its expanded use based on a 35% reduction in the risk of death. In addition, mevrometostat with XTANDI showed a 49% reduction in the risk of disease progression or death in randomized phase 1 data, with three pivotal studies underway.
  • +The Metsera platform gives the company a long-term growth option in obesity, as berobenatide combines the potential for monthly dosing with weight-reduction data of 12.3% placebo-adjusted in VESPER-3 and approximately 16% in the VESPER-1 extension. Pfizer is targeting a series of approvals beginning in 2028, while enrollment in the SOLIS-1 study of the combination with a long-acting amylin analog exceeded half of the planned total of approximately 900 participants.
  • +Targeted net savings of $9.7 billion through 2029 could support margin expansion while funding the research pipeline at the same time. The company ended quarter 2 of fiscal 2026 with operating cash flow of $3.45 billion, and management reaffirmed its commitment to maintaining and growing the dividend over the long term.

Valuation

The analyst consensus on PFE is “Neutral,” with an average price target of $28.17 and a range of $26 to $31; the average is below the annual high of $28.75, while the highest target exceeds that high, within a 52-week range of $23.58–$28.75. No published price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, which is consistent with the distortion in reported earnings caused by $4.3 billion of non-cash impairments in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026, so the valuation assessment depends more heavily on execution against adjusted earnings-per-share guidance of $2.80–$3.00 and the pipeline's conversion into revenue after 2028.

HoldAnalyst target: $28.17(+1.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

Why did PFE's reported loss differ from its adjusted earnings in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026?

Pfizer recorded an EDGAR net loss of $248 million and a reported loss of $0.04 per share in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026. In contrast, adjusted earnings per share were $0.77, exceeding the analyst estimate of $0.68. The difference was primarily due to $4.3 billion of non-cash impairments related to the outcome of the SV study in lung cancer and, to a lesser extent, the removal of Oxbryta revenue projections following discussions with FDA.

What prompted Pfizer to raise its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance?

The company raised its revenue range to $60.5–$62.5 billion after the non-COVID-19 portfolio outperformed its expectations in the first half of fiscal 2026. This portfolio grew 5% operationally in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026, while launched and acquired products generated $3.2 billion in revenue and grew 18% operationally. The improvement came from several products, including Eliquis, NURTEC, and Padcev, despite lowering the COVID-19 product revenue forecast to approximately $4 billion.

How important are Padcev and Seagen to the future of PFE stock?

The legacy Seagen portfolio in the United States grew 21% year over year in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026 after excluding a nonrecurring stocking benefit. Padcev grew by more than 20%, and its share of new patients with locally advanced or metastatic urothelial cancer exceeded 60%. FDA also expanded the use of Padcev with pembrolizumab in muscle-invasive bladder cancer based on data showing a 35% reduction in the risk of death, and Pfizer initiated an additional phase 3 study in bladder-preserving therapy.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −The loss of exclusivity for certain products over the coming years remains a material risk; management said these pressures would continue for several years and that a return to growth is targeted from 2029 onward. The company expects leverage to remain near or slightly above the quarter 2 fiscal 2026 level of 2.7 times during this transition period.
  • −Demand for COVID-19 products remains weak and volatile, prompting Pfizer to lower its fiscal 2026 combined revenue forecast for COMIRNATY and Paxlovid to approximately $4 billion from $5 billion. Management explained that lower infection levels could continue to constrain Paxlovid use, while the majority of expected COMIRNATY sales depend on the vaccination season near the end of fiscal 2026.
  • −The quarter 2 fiscal 2026 loss highlights drug-development and asset-valuation risks, as the company recorded $4.3 billion of non-cash impairments after the SV study failed to meet its primary overall-survival endpoint in the intent-to-treat population and Oxbryta revenue projections were removed following discussions with FDA. As a result, reported earnings per share turned into a loss of $0.04 despite adjusted earnings per share of $0.77.
  • −Growth in some commercial drivers may slow as their use broadens; management said Padcev's growth rate would moderate after reaching the majority of eligible patients and physicians in locally advanced or metastatic urothelial cancer. Total revenue growth in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026 was also limited to 1% operationally, despite 5% growth in the non-COVID-19 business.
  • −The portfolio faces clinical and competitive risks before the pipeline converts into revenue; the first targeted approval for berobenatide is not until 2028, and encouraging comparisons with tirzepatide and semaglutide are derived partly from cross-study comparisons or models that do not permit definitive conclusions. Similarly, the opportunities for SV, 4404, mevrometostat, and Litfulo depend on technical and regulatory success and subsequent pivotal studies.
  • −Regulatory and pricing uncertainty remains, as management said on August 4, 2026, that the final form of potential changes to the 340B program was unknown, an important issue for the oncology portfolio. EMA's acceptance of the VLA15 application on August 14, 2026, also represents the start of the review rather than final marketing approval.
When could berobenatide become a revenue driver for Pfizer?

Pfizer is targeting the first approval for berobenatide in 2028, so the asset remains in the clinical investment stage during fiscal 2026. The monthly 4.8 mg dose showed a placebo-adjusted weight reduction of up to 12.3% over 28 weeks, while the high dose achieved an average reduction of approximately 16% over 32 weeks. As of August 4, 2026, three phase 3 studies were underway, with a plan to advance ten phase 3 studies during fiscal 2026.

How do COVID-19 products affect PFE's outlook for fiscal 2026?

Pfizer lowered its COVID-19 product revenue forecast to approximately $4 billion from $5 billion because of lower infection levels. Management explained that Paxlovid use is directly linked to the number of infections, while COMIRNATY vaccine sales are relatively more stable and the majority of its expected sales depend on the vaccination season near the end of fiscal 2026. Growth in the non-COVID-19 portfolio offset this weakness in the first half of fiscal 2026, but it does not eliminate future volatility in Paxlovid revenue.

How large is Pfizer's cost-reduction program through 2029?

Pfizer is targeting total net savings of approximately $9.7 billion through the end of 2029 through productivity and manufacturing optimization programs. The company expects to achieve most of the $7.2 billion in core savings by the end of 2026, followed by an additional $2.5 billion during 2027–2029. In quarter 2 of fiscal 2026, it achieved $175 million in savings from the first phase of manufacturing optimization, against an annual target of $700 million.