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Home
Stocks
PepsiCo, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall64
Balanced — near the middle of the marketContrarianF 5/9SafeBetter than 64% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
63
17.8x17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
55
5.6%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
86
16.3%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
63
2.3x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
63
4.22%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
28
-6.9%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
42
13▲3Around median
PEP

PEP PepsiCo, Inc.

PepsiCo, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
136.32
▼ ⁦-0.24%⁩ (-0.33)
Market Cap$186.7B
Beta0.36
52w Low52w High
133.73171.48
Last Week
⁦-2.99%⁩
Last Month
⁦-1.02%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-8.58%⁩
Last Year
⁦-8.28%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$136
Analyst target · 11 analysts
$155
⁦+14%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$134–$183⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$94
⁦-31%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$94–$155⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 11 analysts setting price target
$155.64
⁦+14.2%⁩
Current Price $136.32·Median $155.00
Low
$134.00
High
$183.00
Current price
$136.32
Average target
$155.64
Street summary

Stable Targets with Clear Dispersion in Valuations

The average price target of 155.64 remained unchanged over 1, 7, or 30 days, with the number of analysts holding steady at 11. The range is between 134 and 183, compared with a current price of 137.63, reflecting wide dispersion in estimates despite stable consensus. Estimates for average revenue and earnings per share also rose gradually from 2026 to 2029, but the number of participating analysts declines in some periods, particularly in estimates of earnings per share for the more distant years.

As of 2026-09-04
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.42
Hold
Analyst coverage
24
Buy conviction
29%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
36%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time24 analysts rating
4
3
16
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.25 → 3.42
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-28
    TD Cowen
    Hold
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-07
    Raymond James
    Sell
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-07
    Citigroup
    NeutralOverweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    17.84x
    4.61x36.85x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    15.16x
    3.86x30.86x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.72x
    2.86x22.90x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    5.0%
    -37.4%14.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    5.6%
    -16.7%29.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    39.2%
    -135.4%136.3%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    54.0%
    9.2%67.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    16.3%
    -29.3%20.8%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.33x
    0.61x4.86x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    4.2%
    0.9%8.3%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    75.2%
    15.9%176.6%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    3.43
    -4.825.90
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-09 data

Company Overview

PepsiCo operates through a global portfolio spanning snacks and beverages, generating revenue from product sales in North America and international markets and through retail, away-from-home, and gas-and-convenience channels. Its cited portfolio drivers include Doritos protein, Naked, poppi, and Siete, alongside partnerships with Celsius and Alani Nu; it also focuses on zero-sugar beverages, functional hydration, energy, foods with positive nutritional attributes, and portion-controlled packaging. International markets account for more than half of food volumes and two-thirds of beverage volumes companywide, and management expects its international business to exceed $40 billion during fiscal 2026.

In fiscal 2026 quarter 2, revenue was $24.2 billion, gross profit was $13.1 billion, net income was $3.0 billion, and earnings per share were $2.18. This equates to a gross margin of approximately 54.1% and a net income margin of approximately 12.4%. Compared with fiscal 2026 quarter 1, revenue increased from $19.4 billion and net income from $2.3 billion, bearing in mind that the data do not provide a direct year-over-year comparison for these two items.

During the first half of fiscal 2026, management said reported revenue grew by approximately 7%, while global volumes increased 3% in foods and 2% in beverages, the fastest pace of volume growth since 2022. The international business delivered 7% growth in fiscal 2026 quarter 2, and its operating margin increased by a full percentage point, while North America performed below management's expectations; PFNA volume was flat and PBNA operating margin declined by approximately 90 basis points.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Affordability investments returned the U.S. savory snacks category to volume growth, and PepsiCo shifted from losing volume share to gaining it during the first half of fiscal 2026, although PFNA volume in fiscal 2026 quarter 2 fell short of management's expectations and remained flat.
  • The contribution from the transformed portfolio is expanding; the U.S. foods portfolio with positive nutritional attributes reached $3 billion and is growing at a rate of approximately double digits, and the company is working to expand Doritos protein, Naked, multipacks, and portion-controlled packages during the second half of fiscal 2026.
  • The international business represents the strongest growth driver, having recorded 7% growth in fiscal 2026 quarter 2 and increased its operating margin by one percentage point, with performance remaining strong in Europe, the Middle East, China, Vietnam, and Thailand, while growth in Latin America was lower than in the rest of the international business but remained positive.
  • Management said on July 9, 2026, that poppi's transition to the PepsiCo network was nearly complete and that the brand had returned to a healthy growth rate, while Siete's ingredient issues that affected April and May 2026 had been resolved; both brands are a core part of the portfolio expansion strategy.
  • PepsiCo reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 guidance and sees a path toward the low end of its long-term growth range of 4% to 6% during the second half of fiscal 2026. The company expects refund claims for tariffs paid in the prior year to add approximately one full percentage point to earnings-per-share growth in fiscal 2026, with the earnings-per-share outcome potentially landing near the low end of the announced range.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The scale of the international business provides meaningful diversification away from the North American slowdown; it accounts for two-thirds of beverage volumes and more than half of food volumes, and in fiscal 2026 quarter 2 it recorded 7% growth and a one-percentage-point improvement in operating margin.
  • +The strategy of lowering prices and improving affordability is showing an initial volume benefit, as the U.S. savory snacks category returned to volume growth and PepsiCo began gaining volume share, while permanent shelf-space increases and the implementation of certain customer investments remain opportunities for the second half of fiscal 2026.
  • +The company combines internal innovation with expansion through brands and partnerships; the foods portfolio with positive nutritional attributes reached $3 billion and is growing at approximately double digits, while poppi, Siete, Celsius, and Alani Nu support its presence in functional beverages, energy, and new consumer categories.
  • +Net income was $3.0 billion and earnings per share were $2.18 in fiscal 2026 quarter 2, while reported earnings per share grew 6% in the first half of fiscal 2026. Management plans to continue funding marketing and improving pricing and the portfolio through productivity, automation, and co-mingling centers shared between the U.S. food and beverage businesses.

Valuation

The average analyst price target for PEP is approximately $155.64, with a wide range of $134 to $183 and a neutral consensus, reflecting a balance between international growth and improving volumes versus North American weakness and margin pressure. The average target is approximately 9.2% below the 52-week range high of $171.48, while exceeding the range low of $133.73 by approximately 16.4%, and the data do not present a valid price-to-earnings ratio to provide an earnings-based valuation anchor.

HoldAnalyst target: $155.64(+14.2%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were PepsiCo's key results in fiscal 2026 quarter 2?

PepsiCo reported revenue of $24.2 billion and gross profit of $13.1 billion in fiscal 2026 quarter 2. Net income was $3.0 billion and earnings per share were $2.18, equating to a gross margin of approximately 54.1% and a net margin of approximately 12.4%. Management said revenue for the first half of fiscal 2026 grew by approximately 7%, with global food volumes growing 3% and beverage volumes growing 2%.

Why did PEP's North American performance weaken in fiscal 2026 quarter 2?

PFNA volume remained flat and fell short of management's expectations, while PBNA operating margin declined by approximately 90 basis points. On July 9, 2026, management cited pressure from higher fuel prices and inflation on consumer spending, particularly in gas-and-convenience stores and impulse-purchase channels. The implementation of some pricing investments and additional shelf space at certain customers was also delayed, despite the return of the savory snacks category to volume growth and PepsiCo's volume-share gains.

How important is the international business to the PepsiCo investment thesis?

Management expects the international business to exceed $40 billion during fiscal 2026. This business accounts for two-thirds of the company's beverage volumes and more than half of its food volumes, and it recorded 7% growth in fiscal 2026 quarter 2. Its operating margin also increased by a full percentage point in that quarter, with strong performance in Europe, the Middle East, China, Vietnam, and Thailand.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −The North American business performed below management's expectations in fiscal 2026 quarter 2, with flat PFNA volume, weakness in PBNA, and lower conversion of visits to gas-and-convenience stores and independent stores into purchases. Management attributed this partly to higher fuel prices and inflationary pressure on consumer budgets and expects a more gradual improvement than it had assumed before the quarter.
  • −Affordability investments in PFNA did not generate the full expected volume, as the implementation of price reductions or promotions was delayed at some customers and the company needs to improve returns by channel, customer, time of month, and holidays. Therefore, acceleration in the second half of fiscal 2026 depends on the success of commercial adjustments and additional shelf space that had not been fully implemented by quarter 2.
  • −PBNA operating margin declined by approximately 90 basis points in fiscal 2026 quarter 2 due to a lower gross profit rate; management attributed approximately half of this decline to the Alani business and its commercial arrangement, with weakness in the gas-and-convenience channel and product mix contributing to the remaining pressure.
  • −PepsiCo expects additional commodity inflation during the second half of fiscal 2026, particularly in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, as well as a higher year-over-year tax rate in fiscal 2026 quarter 3 and the timing of costs and investments that will pressure that quarter more than quarter 4. Management also said fiscal 2026 earnings per share could come in near the low end of the guidance range despite the tariff refund benefit of approximately one percentage point of growth.
  • −The neutral analyst consensus and the wide range of targets from $134 to $183 reflect significant disagreement over PEP's value, while the average target of $155.64 is below the 52-week range high of $171.48. This caution is linked to the divergence between strong international growth, North American weakness, and pressure on PBNA's margin, and the data do not include an available price-to-earnings ratio with which to assess valuation from an earnings perspective.
  • −Insider activity recorded one sale and no purchases during the three months ended July 27, 2026, for net selling of $404,673.83. This remains a weak standalone trading signal because insider sales may be prearranged, and the data provide no evidence to the contrary.
How do poppi, Siete, and Doritos protein support PepsiCo's growth?

Management said on July 9, 2026, that poppi's transition from its previous distributor network to the PepsiCo network was nearly complete and that the brand had returned to a healthy growth rate with additional points of consumption and customers. Siete's ingredient issues that pressured performance in April and May 2026 were resolved, while the brand's integration had begun earlier. PepsiCo is also working to expand Doritos protein and Naked as part of a foods portfolio with positive nutritional attributes that reached $3 billion and is growing at approximately double digits.

What is PepsiCo's guidance for the rest of fiscal 2026?

On July 9, 2026, PepsiCo reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 guidance, while indicating that earnings per share could approach the low end of the announced range. Management sees a path toward the low end of the long-term revenue growth range of 4% to 6% in the second half of fiscal 2026, supported by continued strength in international markets and gradual improvement in North America. The company expects refund claims for tariffs paid in the prior year to add approximately one full percentage point to earnings-per-share growth, but it will use this benefit partly to offset commodity inflation and fund investment.

What is the scheduled date for PepsiCo's next earnings release?

PepsiCo scheduled October 8, 2026, for the release of its fiscal 2026 quarter 3 results. Management indicated continued strength in the international business, with gradual improvement expected in North America during that quarter. Conversely, it expects a higher year-over-year tax rate and the timing of certain costs and investments to pressure fiscal 2026 quarter 3 more than quarter 4.