EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Penumbra, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall87
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 6/9SafeBetter than 87% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
11
77.9x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
84
17.6%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
79
7.9%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
93
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
69
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
56
19.1%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
81
9▲3Top tier
PEN

PEN Penumbra, Inc.

Penumbra, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
317.73
▼ ⁦-0.02%⁩ (-0.05)
Market Cap$12.5B
Beta0.70
52w Low52w High
221.26362.41
Last Week
⁦-1.57%⁩
Last Month
⁦-2.53%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-0.51%⁩
Last Year
⁦+17.90%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$318
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$320
⁦+1%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$320–$320⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$111
⁦-65%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦4⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$111–$320⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$320.00
⁦+0.7%⁩
Current Price $317.73·Median $320.00
Low
$320.00
High
$320.00
Street summary

Penumbra (PEN) price consensus declines

Bearish tilt

The price target for Penumbra has seen a notable decline over the past thirty days, with the average forecast dropping from $347 to $320, a decrease of 7.78%. The five analysts currently show a rare state of complete consensus in their estimates, with both the high and low price targets equal at $320, which is below the current trading price of $323.05, indicating a bearish short-term outlook.

As of 2026-08-26
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-7.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.25
Hold
Analyst coverage
16
Buy conviction
19%
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time16 analysts rating
1
2
13
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.35 → 3.25
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-06
    Evercore ISI Group
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-05-07
    Evercore ISI Group
    Outperform· $335.00⚡Bold call
  • = Reiterate2026-02-26
    UBS
    Neutral· $374.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    77.88x
    3.94x44.30x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    56.12x
    4.64x37.16x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    62.17x
    3.77x30.13x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    1.7%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    17.6%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    7.9%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    67.8%
    12.8%90.7%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    7.9%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    18.88
    -38.7417.53
    Exceptional
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2025-11-05 data

Company Overview

Penumbra generates revenue from vascular intervention technologies, and its reported business is divided between thrombectomy and embolization and vascular access. Its thrombectomy portfolio growth drivers include CAVT technology and Lightning and Bolt products, while its embolization portfolio includes Ruby XL and Swift products; in Q3 FY2025, thrombectomy represented $236.4 million, or approximately 66.6% of revenue, compared with $118.3 million for embolization and vascular access, or approximately 33.4%.

In Q2 FY2026, revenue was $390.0 million, gross profit was $264.9 million, net income was $34.8 million, and earnings per share were $0.88. These results equate to a gross margin of approximately 67.9% and a net income margin of approximately 8.9%, compared with revenue of $374.8 million and net income of $32.6 million in Q1 FY2026.

For the twelve months ended in FY2026, according to the latest EDGAR data, Penumbra recorded revenue of $1.5 billion, gross profit of $1.0 billion, net income of $160.6 million, and earnings per share of approximately $4.06. For the full FY2025, it recorded revenue of $1.4 billion and net income of $177.7 million, showing that revenue growth was not accompanied by a comparable increase in net income in the latest trailing period.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Q2 FY2026 revenue increased to $390.0 million from $374.8 million in Q1 FY2026, representing sequential growth of approximately 4.1%, while net income increased to $34.8 million from $32.6 million.
  • In Q3 FY2025, the VTE business grew 34% year over year, while U.S. thrombectomy sales increased 18.5% to $192 million, supported by CAVT and higher case volumes.
  • The STORM-PE study showed the superiority of CAVT with anticoagulation over anticoagulation alone in reducing right-heart strain in patients with intermediate- to high-risk acute pulmonary embolism, with a comparable safety profile and secondary functional outcomes favoring CAVT; Penumbra is working to disseminate the data to help hospitals update their protocols.
  • Lightning Bolt 16 and Lightning Flash 3.0 received FDA clearance during Q3 FY2025; the former adds modulated aspiration technology to the 16 French system, while the latter updates the hardware and software to improve algorithm accuracy, accelerate procedures, and reduce blood loss.
  • Embolization and vascular access generated revenue of $118.3 million in Q3 FY2025, up 22% year over year, while U.S. embolization revenue increased 21.2% sequentially following the launch of Ruby XL and the addition of more than 50 specialized sales representatives.
  • Management raised FY2025 revenue guidance to a range of $1.375–1.380 billion and maintained its forecast for U.S. thrombectomy growth of 20%–21%, while targeting a gross margin above 70% by the end of 2026.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Penumbra has two clear growth engines: global thrombectomy revenue increased 15.8% to $236.4 million, and embolization and vascular access revenue increased 22% to $118.3 million in Q3 FY2025.
  • +STORM-PE data could expand the addressable market, as it showed CAVT's superiority on the primary endpoint and several secondary endpoints, and management stated that interventional and non-interventional physicians had begun reviewing pulmonary embolism treatment protocols within their hospitals after the results were presented.
  • +Gross margin improved by 130 basis points year over year and 180 basis points sequentially to 67.8% in Q3 FY2025, supported by geographic mix, product mix, and improved Ruby XL productivity, while the target of exceeding 70% by the end of 2026 remains in place.
  • +The company ended Q3 FY2025 with $470.3 million in cash and cash equivalents and marketable securities and no debt, after a sequential increase of $45.7 million, giving it the capacity to fund product development and commercial expansion.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Neutral,” with an average price target of $320 and identical high and low targets of $320, meaning the range is based on a single estimate or identical estimates and does not provide meaningful dispersion of views. This target is below the 52-week high of $362.41 and above the low of $221.26, while the available data do not include a published price-to-earnings multiple that could be used to assess valuation relative to earnings.

HoldAnalyst target: $320(+0.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What are Penumbra's main revenue sources?

Reported revenue is divided primarily between thrombectomy and embolization and vascular access. In Q3 FY2025, thrombectomy generated $236.4 million, compared with $118.3 million for embolization and vascular access. The products and technologies mentioned include CAVT, Lightning, Bolt, Ruby XL, and Swift.

What did Penumbra's latest EDGAR results show?

In Q2 FY2026, revenue was $390.0 million and gross profit was $264.9 million. Net income was $34.8 million and earnings per share were $0.88, with a gross margin of approximately 67.9%. For the twelve months ended in FY2026, according to the latest filing, revenue was $1.5 billion and net income was $160.6 million.

Why is the STORM-PE study important for PEN stock?

STORM-PE compared CAVT with anticoagulation against anticoagulation alone in patients with intermediate- to high-risk acute pulmonary embolism. The study showed CAVT's superiority in reducing right-heart strain, with a comparable safety profile and multiple secondary outcomes favoring the technology. After the results were presented at TCT and VIVA during 2025, management said hospitals and physicians had begun working to update treatment protocols, but broader adoption will take time.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
In Q3 FY2025, Penumbra was highly dependent on the U.S. market, which represented 77.5% of sales, while thrombectomy accounted for approximately 66.6% of revenue; therefore, any slowdown in the United States or in this category could significantly affect overall growth.
  • −The U.S. stroke market experienced a slight decline in Q3 FY2025, and management acknowledged that stroke had pressured thrombectomy growth for several quarters, even as Penumbra continued to achieve positive growth and gain market share.
  • −Thunderbolt was still a new product without FDA clearance according to the November 5, 2025 call; the company submitted its responses to outstanding questions in October 2025, but the agency could still request clarifications or additional information, leaving the timing of the launch and its commercial impact uncertain.
  • −Non-GAAP operating expenses were approximately $191.6 million, or 54% of revenue, in Q3 FY2025, while selling, general, and administrative expenses increased approximately 25% to $168.9 million due to the expansion of sales and market-access teams; therefore, margin expansion requires the operating leverage management expects to achieve.
  • −Pressure in China continued to constrain international performance during Q3 FY2025; the international business grew only 6.6% as reported and 3% in constant currency, compared with double-digit growth in other international regions, although management expected pressure from China to become limited in early 2026.
  • −The CAVT portfolio faces competition from older thrombectomy technologies and competing products, and the company must also defend its intellectual property; despite prevailing before the Federal Circuit in a dispute involving competing patents, continued conversion to its products and market-share gains remain necessary to achieve growth expectations.
  • What was Thunderbolt's regulatory status according to the latest available call?

    Penumbra stated on the November 5, 2025 call that Thunderbolt is a new product undergoing 510(k) review, not a cleared product seeking an expansion of an existing use. In October 2025, the company submitted comprehensive responses to the questions it had received from the FDA and then entered the stage of addressing any final questions or clarifications. The company did not announce a confirmed clearance or launch date in the text, so a specific financial contribution from the product cannot be included.

    Are Penumbra's profitability and margins improving?

    Gross margin increased to 67.8% in Q3 FY2025, up 130 basis points year over year and 180 basis points sequentially. Non-GAAP operating income was approximately $48.8 million, or 13.8% of revenue, compared with 13.4% in the comparable period. Management is targeting a gross margin above 70% by the end of 2026, but operating expenses represented 54% of Q3 FY2025 revenue after the expansion of sales teams.

    What are the main risks that could slow PEN's growth?

    The United States represented 77.5% of Q3 FY2025 sales, increasing the sensitivity of results to trends in that market. The U.S. stroke market experienced a slight decline and pressured thrombectomy growth, while China remained an obstacle to international growth. Additional risks include the incomplete FDA review of Thunderbolt and the increase in selling, general, and administrative expenses to $168.9 million in that quarter.