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Precision Drilling Corporation
PDS

PDS Precision Drilling Corporation

Precision Drilling Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
89.77
▲ ⁦+0.57%⁩ (+0.51)
Market Cap$1.2B
Beta1.26
52w Low52w High
53.42103.80
Last Week
⁦-4.46%⁩
Last Month
⁦+18.51%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-0.39%⁩
Last Year
⁦+60.33%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall83
Excellent — top fifth of the marketTurnaroundF 7/9Better than 83% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
91
—17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
18
3.9%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
34
0.8%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
64
1.6x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
90
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
70
35.4%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
77
4▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$90
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$85
⁦-5%⁩
See it slightly overvalued
Range ⁦$48–$122⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$57
⁦-36%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.0⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$57–$85⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$85.00
⁦-5.3%⁩
Current Price $89.77·Median $85.13
Low
$47.74
High
$122.00
Current price
$89.77
Average target
$85.00
Street summary

Precision Drilling (PDS) Target Price Revision Analysis

Bearish tilt

The target price for (PDS) has seen a sharp and sudden decline, with the Consensus dropping from 122 to 85 over the last 24 hours, representing a 30.33% decrease. This negative adjustment follows a series of declines that began 30 days ago when the target was at 113.5. Interestingly, the current stock price (93.96) is now trading at a premium above the new average target price, reflecting a negative gap between market valuation and updated analyst estimates.

As of 2026-09-02
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-25.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.20
Buy
Analyst coverage
10
Buy conviction
80%
High
Target dispersion
83%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time10 analysts rating
4
4
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.20 → 4.20
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-05-01
    TD Securities
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-05-01
    CIBC
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-04-30
    BMO Capital
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    5.89x
    2.12x16.98x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    6.9%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    3.9%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -130.9%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Weak
  • Gross Margin
    34.5%
    7.8%72.1%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    0.8%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Near median
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.58x
    0.40x3.19x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

Precision Drilling Corporation operates drilling rigs and provides well services, with operations concentrated in Canada, the United States, and international markets, particularly Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. The company generates revenue from operating rigs at daily rates, contract-based rig reactivations and upgrades, as well as well services and surface equipment rentals within the C&P segment, while using Alpha technologies, robotics, and remote operations to improve drilling efficiency and deepen customer relationships.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue increased 11% year over year, driven by a 14% increase in North American operations, while international revenue declined 11%. Average activity was 61 rigs in Canada, 35 rigs in the United States, and 7 rigs internationally, while the C&P segment generated adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of C$14.4 million, exceeding the comparable-period result due to demand for well services in Canadian heavy oil regions.

Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were C$97 million, or C$95 million before the impact of the recovery of share-based compensation, compared with C$108 million and C$112 million, respectively, in fiscal Q2 2025. The company recorded a net loss of C$1 million versus net income of C$16 million, and cash flow from operations was C$146 million. Normalized daily operating margin in Canada declined to C$13,300 from C$13,900, while the U.S. daily margin fell to US$6,210 from US$9,290 in the previous quarter due to reactivation costs.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The number of active U.S. rigs increased from 32 rigs in April 2026 to 42 rigs on June 30, 2026, following seven major reactivations, and management expects to reactivate approximately five additional rigs in fiscal Q3 2026, with average activity in the low 40s.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Management expects the average Canadian rig count to be in the low-to-mid 70s in fiscal Q3 2026, compared with 63 rigs in the comparable period, and also expects to operate between 70 and 80 rigs during the second half of the year, deliver the twentieth pad-capable Super Single rig in September 2026, and complete two major Super Triple rig upgrades in October and November 2026.
  • The contract book allocated to fiscal Q4 2026 expanded by 12 rigs in Canada and 9 rigs in the United States compared with the disclosure issued in April 2026, and the number of customers operating more than one rig with Precision increased from 25 to 30 globally.
  • The Alpha robotic rig in Montney completed two and a half years of operation and drilled 54 wells, autonomously handling more than 3 million feet of pipe and recording 17,000 hours without workers on the rig floor. Precision also received a grant from Emissions Reduction Alberta to support the development of a robotic solution for a Super Triple 1200 rig in Canada.
  • In fiscal Q2 2026, the company secured a five-year contract to operate its idle rig in Kuwait following recertification and upgrades, raising the expected international count to eight active rigs by mid-2027. Management estimated the capital expenditure associated with the reactivation at approximately C$12 million to C$15 million, with recovery expected during the first two years of the contract.
  • The company maintained its fiscal 2026 capital expenditure budget at C$265 million, reduced debt by C$75 million, and repurchased C$16 million of shares during the first half. It is targeting a C$100 million debt reduction during the year and allocating up to 50% of free cash flow to share repurchases.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Canadian activity provides clear support for growth; the company recorded a record average of 61 active rigs in fiscal Q2 2026, an increase of 11 rigs year over year, and expects to raise the average to the low-to-mid 70s range in Q3.
    • +U.S. profitability could improve as reactivation costs subside; management expects the daily margin to rise from the US$7,000 to US$8,000 range in fiscal Q3 2026 to approximately US$10,000 in Q4, alongside fleet-wide price increases estimated at approximately US$500 to US$1,000 per day each quarter.
    • +Contracts strengthen visibility into future revenue, with 21 rigs added to the fiscal Q4 2026 contract book in Canada and the United States, alongside the five-year Kuwait contract supporting the operation of an eighth international rig by mid-2027.
    • +The capital allocation policy combines deleveraging and share repurchases; debt was reduced by C$75 million in the first half of fiscal 2026, with the full-year C$100 million reduction target remaining in place, while total liquidity exceeded C$502 million and the average cost of debt was 6.7%.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Annual profitability declined sharply despite revenue remaining at a high level; in fiscal 2025, revenue decreased to C$1.8 billion from C$1.9 billion in fiscal 2024, while net income fell to C$3.1 million from C$111.3 million, after having been C$289.2 million in fiscal 2023.
    • −U.S. rig reactivations pressured margins, with the daily operating margin declining to US$6,210 in fiscal Q2 2026 from US$9,290 in the previous quarter, below management's guidance range. The company expects this pressure to continue in Q3 with approximately five reactivations and a daily cost ranging from US$1,500 to US$2,000 per reactivation on an allocated basis.
    • −Canadian operations show strong activity growth but lower margins; the normalized daily margin declined to C$13,300 from C$13,900 in fiscal Q2 2025, and management expects a range of C$12,000 to C$13,000 in Q3 due to the higher weighting of Super Single rigs. It also described opportunities for Canadian price increases as limited and not yet broadly established.
    • −International operations face operating pressures related to tensions in the Middle East, including flight cancellations, airport closures, and difficulties with personnel movement, while the average international daily rate declined 5% to US$50,500 in fiscal Q2 2026. Management expects international margins in Q3 to remain below the comparable period due to higher operating costs.
    • −The Canada Revenue Agency dispute could impose a cash and legal burden; the maximum potential liability disclosed by the company is C$155 million plus interest, and defending its position could require an initial payment of approximately C$80 million over two years. Management estimated that approximately C$40 million could become due in late 2026 or early 2027, despite affirming the strength of its position and its intention to appeal the reassessment.
    • −The company expects a larger working capital build in fiscal Q3 2026 due to accelerating activity in Canada and the United States, alongside the semiannual interest payment. This coincides with a C$265 million capital expenditure budget, which could make cash generation weaker in that quarter before the expected recovery in Q4.

    Valuation

    The analysts' average price target is $122, which is also both the highest and lowest target, with a consensus rating of “Buy”; this target is above the 52-week range high of $103.8, while the range low is $53.42. However, the absence of variation among the targets means the presented consensus does not offer a broad range of scenarios, while fiscal 2025 net income of $3.1 million and earnings per share of 0.14 make the price-to-earnings multiple less useful as a valuation anchor in the provided data compared with the contract book, cash flow, and debt reduction.

    BuyAnalyst target: $122(+35.9%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove Precision Drilling's growth in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Precision Drilling's revenue increased 11% year over year, driven by a 14% increase in North American operations. Canada recorded a record average of 61 active rigs, an increase of 11 rigs from fiscal Q2 2025, while the U.S. average increased to 35 rigs from 33. The C&P segment also benefited from strong demand for well services in Canadian heavy oil regions and generated adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of C$14.4 million.

    Why did Precision Drilling's margins decline in the United States?

    The company increased the number of active U.S. rigs from 32 in April 2026 to 42 on June 30, 2026, and completed seven major reactivations during fiscal Q2 2026. Crew preparation costs, equipment recertification, and startup plans reduced the U.S. daily margin to US$6,210 from US$9,290 in the previous quarter. Management expects a range of US$7,000 to US$8,000 in Q3, followed by a margin approaching US$10,000 in Q4 as reactivation activity declines.

    How important are Alpha technologies and robotics to PDS's business?

    Precision operated the Alpha robotic rig in Montney continuously for two and a half years through the July 29, 2026 call. The rig drilled 54 wells, handled more than 3 million feet of pipe without manual intervention, and recorded 17,000 hours without workers on the rig floor. The company also received a grant from Emissions Reduction Alberta to develop a robotic solution for a Super Triple 1200 rig and intends to open the Alpha remote operations center in Calgary in August 2026 to integrate with the Houston center.

    What is the impact of the Kuwait contract on Precision Drilling's international growth?

    In fiscal Q2 2026, the company secured a five-year contract for its idle rig in Kuwait, with a potential additional one-year extension according to the call details. The rig requires recertification and upgrades at an estimated capital cost of approximately C$12 million to C$15 million, with spending divided between 2026 and 2027. Management expects the rig to begin operating by mid-2027, increasing the active international fleet from seven rigs to eight rigs, with the investment recovered during the first two years of the contract.

    How is Precision Drilling managing debt and share repurchases in fiscal 2026?

    The company is targeting a C$100 million debt reduction during fiscal 2026 and allocating up to 50% of free cash flow to share repurchases. By midyear, it had reduced debt by C$75 million and repurchased C$16 million of shares, including a C$50 million debt reduction and C$12 million of repurchases during Q2. The average cost of debt was 6.7%, and total liquidity exceeded C$502 million on July 29, 2026.

    How significant are the tax dispute risks with the Canada Revenue Agency for PDS?

    Precision received a reassessment notice related to 2018 in late July 2026 and announced that it would vigorously appeal it because the company and its advisers believe its tax position is appropriate. Management estimated the maximum potential liability at C$155 million plus interest, with a potential initial payment of approximately C$80 million to defend the position. Approximately C$40 million could become due in late 2026 or early 2027, with the remainder spread over 24 months, but any cash amounts paid would be refunded with interest if the company successfully defends its position.