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PDF Solutions, Inc.
PDFS

PDFS PDF Solutions, Inc.

PDF Solutions, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Open
44.28
▲ ⁦+1.26%⁩ (+0.55)
Market Cap$1.9B
Beta1.65
52w Low52w High
19.1771.69
Last Week
⁦-6.11%⁩
Last Month
⁦-16.14%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-21.35%⁩
Last Year
⁦+121.95%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall56
Balanced — near the middle of the marketMomentum TrapF 3/9Better than 56% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
12
177.1x▼17.6xBottom tier
▸
Growth
91
23.0%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
44
3.4%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
62
—2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
50
—2.15%Around median
▸
Momentum
72
164.7%▲2.3%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
34
33Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$44
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$64
⁦+43%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$50–$74⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$9.47
⁦-79%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦11.7⁩% discount · ⁦6⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$9.47–$64⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$62.75
⁦+41.7%⁩
Current Price $44.28·Median $63.50
Low
$50.00
High
$74.00
Current price
$44.28
Average target
$62.75
Street summary

Target Raised While Coverage Remains Limited

Bullish tilt

The average price target rose from 54.33 to 62.75 over the last 30 days, an increase of 8.42 or 15.5%, while it remained unchanged over the last 7 days and 1 day. The current price is 41.42, making the consensus target higher than it, but the number of analysts contributing to this consensus remained at one analyst; therefore, the increase does not reflect broader agreement. A range between 50 and 74 also appears, with a median of 63.5, indicating notable variation in valuation levels despite the limited sample.

As of 2026-09-15
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.4%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.83
Buy
Analyst coverage
6
Buy conviction
83%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 1↓
Target dispersion
54%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time6 analysts rating
5
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 3.83
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-09-08
    RBC Capital
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-11
    Bernstein
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    177.12x
    7.02x56.18x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    32.60x
    5.21x41.67x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    73.89x
    4.43x35.48x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    1.4%
    -54.9%10.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    23.0%
    -18.1%67.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    1150.0%
    -155.6%189.9%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    71.5%
    13.2%79.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    3.4%
    -63.6%26.8%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-08 data

Company Overview

PDF Solutions provides a commercial platform for data analytics and mission-critical operating software for the semiconductor industry. Its revenue sources include Exensio solutions for test and characterization analytics, Cimetrix software for factory and equipment control, the secureWISE ecosystem for secure remote access to and monitoring of manufacturing equipment, and eProbe systems for defect inspection and linking inspection results with design and process data. The company also generates revenue tied to customer usage volumes and shipments, including gainshare revenue, although this portion is more volatile and is not included in backlog.

In Q1 fiscal 2026, non-GAAP revenue was $60.1 million, up 26% year over year. Platform revenue was $50.9 million, or approximately 85% of the total, and grew 36%, supported by advanced solutions, Exensio, and the inclusion of a full quarter of secureWISE revenue; meanwhile, volume-related revenue declined 12% to $9.2 million due to lower gainshare. Backlog was $246 million, up 9% year over year.

Non-GAAP gross margin was 76% in Q1 fiscal 2026, compared with 77% in the previous quarter, while operating margin increased to 25% from 24% in the previous quarter and 18% in the comparable period. The company generated approximately $15 million in operating profit, up 75% year over year, and net income was $12.6 million, or $0.31 per share, compared with $8.1 million, or $0.21 per share, in Q1 fiscal 2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On May 8, 2026, management reaffirmed its expectation for fiscal 2026 revenue growth at a rate consistent with its long-term target of 20%, with progress toward a target gross margin of 77% and a target operating margin of 27%.
  • Q1 fiscal 2026 saw the booking of an Exensio Test Operations contract worth more than ten million dollars to manage geographically distributed operations, alongside an Exensio renewal with a major fabless semiconductor customer and a software booking to control a large factory in Asia.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • PDF Solutions is targeting shipments of six eProbe systems during fiscal 2026; it expects five of them to generate revenue and one to be used for demonstration, with two systems going to new customers and four to existing customers. One system was shipped in Q1 fiscal 2026, and management expected it to begin contributing to revenue in Q2 fiscal 2026.
  • Development of the AI-powered Exensio analytics systems, which the company announced in December 2025, remained on track during Q1 fiscal 2026, and management is targeting a beta release in Q3 fiscal 2026. The capabilities focus on interpreting test vehicle data, extracting important signals, and linking them to chip design and characterization data.
  • secureWISE opportunities expanded from equipment suppliers to factory owners, OSAT companies, and fabless companies, with operational trials connecting front-end and back-end manufacturing stages. Management cited Intel's adoption of secureWISE and a deep sales pipeline among equipment suppliers and factories.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Platform revenue grew 36% in Q1 fiscal 2026, outpacing total revenue growth of 26%, reflecting a mix shift toward Exensio, advanced solutions, and secureWISE.
    • +Profitability expanded faster than revenue in Q1 fiscal 2026; net income increased 56%, earnings per share increased 48%, and operating profit increased 75% year over year, while operating margin reached 25% compared with the long-term target of 27%.
    • +Backlog of $246 million, up 9% year over year, supports forward visibility, and most eProbe systems operate under a subscription model; management expects to end fiscal 2026 with approximately ten subscription systems out of twelve systems.
    • +The company combines Exensio, eProbe, characterization vehicles, and secureWISE in a platform that links design, inspection, manufacturing, and secure collaboration data, as reflected in the multimillion-dollar Exensio contract and Cimetrix bookings tied to shipments of additional machines in subsequent quarters.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Customer concentration remains high; the three largest customers represented 53% of fiscal 2025 revenue, and management said repeat customers could remain the source of some of the largest bookings by value during fiscal 2026, making results sensitive to the timing of renewals and contracts across a limited number of relationships.
    • −Volume-related revenue declined 12% to $9.2 million in Q1 fiscal 2026 due to lower gainshare. Management explained that this business is affected by customer shipment volumes and data and chip usage and is not included in backlog, so it can add volatility to revenue and margins.
    • −Non-GAAP gross margin declined to 76% in Q1 fiscal 2026 from 77% in the previous quarter, and the company has not yet reached its long-term targets of 77% gross margin and 27% operating margin. Management linked reaching these levels to continued scaling and a recovery in the contribution from volume-related revenue, without specifying a particular quarter for achieving the two targets.
    • −Cash and equivalents and short-term investments declined to $31 million at the end of Q1 fiscal 2026 from $42 million at the end of the previous quarter, after approximately $10 million was used for capital expenditures, particularly to build eProbe systems. The company expects higher capital spending in fiscal 2026 compared with fiscal 2025, increasing the execution and collection risks associated with the shipment plan.
    • −Analyst targets range from $50 to $74, a spread of $24, while the stock's 52-week range was $18.93–$71.69; this breadth reveals meaningful differences in estimates of the growth and margin trajectory. The highest target also exceeds the top of the 52-week range, requiring strong execution of the 20% growth plan and eProbe expansion to achieve the most optimistic scenario.
    • −One insider sale and no purchases were recorded during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 12, 2026, for net activity of negative $77,256.47. This remains a weak standalone signal because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data discloses otherwise.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $63 and a range of $50 to $74; the average is below the top of the 52-week range of $71.69, while the highest target exceeds that peak. The $24 target spread reflects differing assessments of PDF Solutions' ability to sustain growth of approximately 20% and reach a 77% gross margin and a 27% operating margin, particularly given the volatility of volume-related revenue and increased spending on eProbe.

    BuyAnalyst target: $63(+42.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove PDF Solutions' growth in Q1 fiscal 2026?

    Non-GAAP revenue increased 26% year over year to $60.1 million. Platform revenue led the growth, increasing 36% to $50.9 million, driven by Exensio solutions, advanced solutions, and the inclusion of a full quarter of secureWISE. Bookings included an Exensio Test Operations contract worth more than ten million dollars, a renewal with a major fabless customer, and control software for a large factory in Asia.

    How important is eProbe to PDF Solutions' growth?

    One eProbe system was shipped in Q1 fiscal 2026, and management expected it to begin contributing to revenue in Q2 fiscal 2026. The company is targeting shipments of six systems during fiscal 2026, including five revenue-generating systems and one demonstration system, with two allocated to new customers and four to existing customers. Management expects to end fiscal 2026 with approximately ten systems operating under subscription out of twelve systems, compared with five subscription systems out of six at the end of fiscal 2025.

    How does PDF Solutions use AI within its products?

    The company is developing AI-powered Exensio analytics systems, which were announced in December 2025 and remained on track during Q1 fiscal 2026. Management is targeting a beta release in Q3 fiscal 2026 to interpret test vehicle data, extract signals, and link them to chip design. It is also building AI capabilities into eProbe to understand the relationship between detected defects and design and interconnected layers, while secureWISE enables equipment data to be transmitted securely for analysis and for enhanced models and services to be returned to factories.

    Did PDF Solutions' margins and profitability improve in Q1 fiscal 2026?

    Non-GAAP operating margin was 25%, compared with 24% in the previous quarter and 18% in Q1 fiscal 2025. Operating profit reached approximately $15 million, up 75% year over year, and net income increased 56% to $12.6 million. Meanwhile, gross margin was 76% compared with 77% in the previous quarter, while the company's long-term targets are a 77% gross margin and a 27% operating margin.

    What are PDF Solutions' main revenue risks?

    53% of fiscal 2025 revenue came from the three largest customers, creating exposure to the timing of renewals and spending among a limited number of customers. Volume-related revenue also declined 12% to $9.2 million in Q1 fiscal 2026 due to lower gainshare. Management explained that this revenue depends on customer shipment volumes and data and chip usage and is not included in the $246 million backlog.

    What does the expansion of secureWISE mean for PDF Solutions' opportunities?

    secureWISE provides secure remote access to manufacturing equipment with an auditable record showing who accessed the data and machine and when. Management said on the May 8, 2026 call that Intel discussed standardizing its usage on secureWISE, and that this supported interest from additional equipment suppliers. The product's business also expanded to factory owners, OSAT companies, and fabless companies, with trials connecting front-end manufacturing to back-end packaging and testing.