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Home
Stocks
PDD Holdings Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall91
Excellent — top fifth of the marketContrarianF 4/9Better than 91% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
90
8.5x▲17.4xTop tier
▸
Growth
85
10.0%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
93
18.3%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
90
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
46
0.00%▼0.18%Around median
▸
Momentum
11
-39.6%▼1.3%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
68
17▲3Top tier
PDD

PDD PDD Holdings Inc.

PDD Holdings Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Open
78.40
▲ ⁦+0.64%⁩ (+0.50)
Market Cap$111.6B
Beta-0.01
52w Low52w High
71.94139.41
Last Week
⁦+1.16%⁩
Last Month
⁦-4.63%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-7.48%⁩
Last Year
⁦-41.60%⁩
Fair Value
Current price⁦$78⁩
  • Analyst targets
    23 analysts
    ⁦$97⁩
    ⁦+23%⁩
    Range ⁦⁦$80⁩–⁦$129⁩⁩Typical for this method across large companies: ⁦+19%⁩
  • Value at the industry multipleLow confidence
    Sales × ⁦0.5⁩, median of 87 companies
    ⁦$24⁩
    ⁦−69%⁩
    Range ⁦⁦$9.98⁩–⁦$60⁩⁩

The floor: what the company is worth if growth stopped today

  • Value with no growth
    Today's after-tax operating profit, held flat forever, at a ⁦8.9%⁩ discount rate
    ⁦$105⁩
    ⁦+34%⁩

⁦0%⁩ of today's price is what a buyer pays for growth that has not happened yet.

1
methods value it above the price
0
methods near the price
1
methods value it below the price

10-year US Treasury yield ⁦5.28%⁩ as of ⁦2026-10-02⁩. Estimates computed from company data and analyst targets, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 23 analysts setting price target
$99.13
⁦+26.4%⁩
Current Price $78.40·Median $96.50
Low
$80.00
High
$129.00
Current price
$78.40
Average target
$99.13
Street summary

PDD consensus price targets decline while dispersion remains high

PDD’s consensus price target fell to 99.13 from 103.22 over one day and seven days, and to 99.13 from 106.33 over the last 30 days, a decline of 6.77% over the month. The number of analysts remained unchanged at 23, indicating that the decline reflects an adjustment in estimates rather than a change in the coverage base. The range is between 80 and 129, while the median is 96.5, reflecting clear divergence in outlook despite the targets remaining above the current price of 78.49.

As of 2026-09-28
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-6.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.59
Buy
Analyst coverage
37
Buy conviction
57%
Mixed
Target dispersion
63%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time37 analysts rating
4
17
14
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.81 → 3.59
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-26
    Bank of America Securities
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-25
    Benchmark
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-24
    US Tiger Securities
    Hold
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    8.52x
    4.39x35.10x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    7.41x
    2.74x21.94x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    13.5%
    -28.4%17.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    10.0%
    -14.5%30.9%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    47.8%
    -156.8%135.1%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    56.3%
    11.6%66.2%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    18.3%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.0%
    0.0%5.5%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Last updated: 2026-08-26Based on 2026-08-24 data

Company Overview

PDD Holdings operates an e-commerce ecosystem combining platforms serving the Chinese market with global businesses including Temu, and generates revenue primarily from online marketing services and transaction services. The company's strategy focuses on supporting merchants, improving governance, and developing supply chains and order fulfillment, with an emphasis on the 100 billion yuan support initiative, free shipping to villages, and the directly owned brands model, while management affirmed that e-commerce remains its core business.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue increased 8% year over year to 112.4 billion yuan. Revenue from online marketing services and others reached 57.6 billion yuan, or about 51% of the total, while transaction services revenue increased 13% to 54.7 billion yuan, or about 49% of the total. With cost of revenues of 48.0 billion yuan, calculated gross profit was approximately 64.4 billion yuan, with a gross margin of about 57.3%.

GAAP operating profit increased 8% to 27.8 billion yuan in Q2 fiscal 2026, but net income attributable to shareholders declined 12% to 27.2 billion yuan, and diluted earnings per ADS fell to 18.45 yuan from 20.75 yuan. Adjusted operating margin was 26% versus 27% a year earlier, while operating activities generated cash flow of 25.7 billion yuan, and cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments reached 456.4 billion yuan as of June 30, 2026.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Transaction services became the clearest growth driver in Q2 fiscal 2026, as revenue increased 13% to 54.7 billion yuan, compared with total revenue growth of 8% to 112.4 billion yuan.
  • The 100 billion yuan support initiative began to show tangible operating results; it helped some factories cut production cycles in half, while the Pinduoduo Premium initiative reached dozens of specialized agricultural regions, and Golden Diamond pineapple cultivation in Hainan expanded to more than 100 thousand mu.
  • The free-shipping-to-villages program is expanding demand in underserved areas; the company established last-mile delivery networks in more than 10 provinces and municipalities, service stations covered all 177 villages in Youxian, and daily parcels sent to villages in Shandong exceeded 100 thousand parcels.
  • The directly owned brands model represents a new bet on higher-quality products and better margins, but management said on August 24, 2026 that its launch during the previous six months had been slower than expected due to external factors, and that operations had subsequently entered full execution.
  • PDD Holdings is responding to changing global trade rules by expanding local merchants, warehouses, and local fulfillment capabilities in overseas markets; however, management warned on the August 24, 2026 call that temporary European tariffs on low-value shipments would reduce fulfillment efficiency and raise costs for cross-border orders in affected markets in the short term.
  • Adjusted research and development spending increased 40% to 4.3 billion yuan in Q2 fiscal 2026, alongside more than 150 comprehensive trust and safety measures, including more than 50 targeted initiatives launched in June 2026 to address product safety, intellectual property, advertising, and misleading marketing.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +PDD Holdings has a strong capacity to fund its long-term investments; it generated 25.7 billion yuan in operating cash flow in Q2 fiscal 2026 and held approximately 456.4 billion yuan in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments as of June 30, 2026.
  • +The core business maintained positive growth despite the competitive environment, with quarterly revenue increasing 8%, transaction services growing 13%, and GAAP operating profit rising 8% to 27.8 billion yuan.
  • +Supply-chain and rural-shipping investments provide a path to long-term demand growth and efficiency; last-mile networks covered more than 10 provinces and municipalities, and order volumes in some pilot villages in Shandong increased severalfold.
  • +The directly owned brands model could add a new source of value through collaboration with manufacturers on product planning, research and development, and quality control, targeting higher-quality products and better margins alongside products from third-party merchants.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus on PDD Holdings is Neutral, with an average price target of 106.33 dollars and a wide range between 80 and 136 dollars. The average target is about 24% below the 52-week range high of 139.41 dollars, while the highest target is close to that high, reflecting divided views on the impact of slowing revenue and regulatory and competitive pressures versus strong liquidity and transaction services growth. The provided data do not include a usable price-to-earnings ratio, so the stock's valuation cannot be anchored to a reliable earnings multiple.

HoldAnalyst target: $106.33(+35.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were PDD Holdings' key results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue reached approximately 112.4 billion yuan, up 8% year over year. GAAP operating profit increased 8% to 27.8 billion yuan, but net income attributable to shareholders declined 12% to 27.2 billion yuan. Diluted earnings per ADS were 18.45 yuan versus 20.75 yuan in the corresponding period, while adjusted operating margin was 26% versus 27%.

What are PDD Holdings' main revenue sources?

Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue came from two streams of similar size. Online marketing services and others generated 57.6 billion yuan, compared with 55.7 billion yuan a year earlier. Transaction services generated 54.7 billion yuan, up 13%, making it the faster-growing driver during the quarter.

How do European tariffs affect Temu and PDD Holdings' business?

In July 2026, the European Union began applying a temporary tariff on low-value cross-border shipments. Management said on August 24, 2026 that cross-border orders in affected markets would face lower fulfillment efficiency and higher costs, with a significant impact on those parts of the business in the short term. The company is responding by onboarding more local merchants and expanding local warehousing and fulfillment, without providing a numerical estimate of the tariffs' impact on revenue or orders.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
The global business faces direct pressure from changing trade policies; management said on August 24, 2026 that temporary European tariffs on low-value shipments would lead to lower fulfillment efficiency and higher costs, and that the impact would be significant for parts of the cross-border business in affected markets.
  • −Competition remains intense in Chinese e-commerce, and Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue fell short of analyst expectations despite earnings exceeding estimates; the company also chose not to pursue instant commerce because its supply-chain requirements and operating model offer limited scope for synergies with PDD's core business.
  • −The results show pressure on profitability even as revenue grew; net income declined 12% to 27.2 billion yuan, diluted earnings per ADS fell to 18.45 yuan, and adjusted operating margin contracted to 26% from 27%, while GAAP operating expenses increased 13% to 36.6 billion yuan.
  • −The company's growth has clearly slowed compared with previous years; fiscal 2025 revenue increased about 10% to 431.8 billion from 393.8 billion in fiscal 2024, after growth of approximately 59% in fiscal 2024, while Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue growth was limited to 8%.
  • −The directly owned brands model carries execution risks, as management acknowledged that its launch during the six months preceding the August 24, 2026 call took longer than expected, while product development and collaboration with manufacturers also require an extended period before a clear financial impact emerges.
  • −Analyst coverage reflects a high degree of uncertainty; the consensus is Neutral, and price targets range from 80 to 136 dollars, a gap of 56 dollars, while the average target is 106.33 dollars.
  • Why is the 100 billion yuan support program important to PDD Holdings?

    The program focuses on reducing fees, supporting merchants, and improving supply chains and governance rather than maximizing short-term profit. In Q2 fiscal 2026, management said some manufacturers cut production cycles in half and that the Pinduoduo Premium initiative reached dozens of specialized agricultural regions. Free-shipping-to-villages networks also expanded to more than 10 provinces and municipalities, and daily deliveries to villages in Shandong exceeded 100 thousand parcels.

    What is the status of PDD Holdings' directly owned brands project?

    Management said on August 24, 2026 that the initial launch during the previous six months was slower than expected due to external factors, but confirmed that operations had entered full execution. The model selectively focuses on categories where the platform and supply chain have an advantage, with manufacturers participating in product planning, research and development, quality standards, and marketing tests. These products will operate alongside products from third-party merchants, and the company did not provide a financial target or a specific timetable for their revenue contribution.

    Can PDD Holdings' cash position support new investments?

    Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments reached 456.4 billion yuan as of June 30, 2026. Operating activities generated 25.7 billion yuan in Q2 fiscal 2026, up from 21.6 billion yuan in the corresponding period. This provides internal funding for investments in research and development, governance, supply chains, and fulfillment, while the impact of this spending remains evident in the 12% decline in net income during the quarter.