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PagerDuty, Inc.
PD

PD PagerDuty, Inc.

PagerDuty, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
14.09
▲ ⁦+2.47%⁩ (+0.34)
Market Cap$1.3B
Beta0.92
52w Low52w High
5.7017.29
Last Week
⁦+0.36%⁩
Last Month
⁦+26.94%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+89.38%⁩
Last Year
⁦-12.92%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall93
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 7/9DistressBetter than 93% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
74
6.9x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
70
2.3%▼7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
92
28.0%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
55
—2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
79
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
68
-31.3%▼2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
62
6▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$14
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$14
⁦-4%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$9.00–$15⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$19
⁦+33%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦8.4⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$14–$19⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$12.50
⁦-11.3%⁩
Current Price $14.09·Median $13.50
Low
$9.00
High
$15.00
Current price
$14.09
Average target
$12.50
Street summary

Consensus Rises Amid Clear Divergence in Ratings

The consensus target price rose from 9 to 12.5 over the last 30 days, an increase of 38.89%, while remaining stable over the last 7 days and 1 day. The current price is 13.62, versus a target range of 9 to 15, with a median of 13.5; this reflects notable divergence between two analysts, with no change in their number or expansion of the coverage base.

As of 2026-09-04
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+38.9%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.00
Hold
Analyst coverage
9
Buy conviction
33%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
43%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time9 analysts rating
3
4
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.11 → 3.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-28
    Morgan Stanley
    Underweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-26
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-14
    RBC Capital
    Sector Perform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    6.94x
    6.87x54.92x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    10.30x
    5.19x41.53x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    29.59x
    4.52x36.15x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    11.4%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    2.3%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    1368.8%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    84.8%
    12.9%79.5%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    28.0%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.33
    -10.9113.66
    Near median
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-27 data

Company Overview

PagerDuty provides a platform for managing the reliability of digital operations and critical systems, serving more than 15 thousand paying customers, including nearly two-thirds of Fortune 100 companies. The company generates revenue from incident management, AIOps, automation, and analytics solutions, and is moving toward a usage-based model through PD Reliability Platform, the name under which Operations Cloud will launch upon general availability in fall 2026. The company places the autonomous SRE agent at the heart of the platform to read operational data, leverage knowledge from past incidents, detect disruptions, and assist with investigation and remediation.

Revenue for fiscal Q2 2027 was approximately $124.4 million, up 1% year over year and above the high end of management's guidance, with international revenue accounting for nearly 30% of the total. EDGAR data shows gross profit of $104.4 million, equivalent to a calculated gross margin of approximately 83.9%, net income of $7.8 million, and earnings per share of $0.06. Management reported, according to its non-GAAP measures, a gross margin of 85% and operating income of $29.5 million, equivalent to an operating margin of 24%.

PagerDuty ended fiscal Q2 2027 with annual recurring revenue of $501 million, after adding $6 million during the quarter and surpassing the $500 million threshold for the first time. Dollar-based net retention was 98%, while the number of customers spending more than $100 thousand annually rose to 884, an increase of 24 customers from the previous quarter. The company generated $37 million in operating cash flow and $33 million in free cash flow, with a free cash flow margin of 26%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Usage-based growth gained momentum in fiscal Q2 2027; the Operations Cloud business grew at a double-digit rate on an overall basis, alongside meaningful sequential growth, with PD Reliability Platform set to become available for purchase by all customers in fall 2026.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Annual recurring revenue surpassed $500 million to reach $501 million and increased by $6 million during the quarter, while dollar-based net retention improved to 98% and the number of customers with annual spending above $100 thousand rose to 884.
  • Large deals provided evidence of enterprise demand: an approximately $850 thousand three-year usage-based agreement with a financial services institution, a 36-month agreement worth approximately $3 million with a global workflow automation platform, and a multi-product deal with a Japanese bank targeting a 40% reduction in its operating expenses.
  • The company raised the low end of its fiscal 2027 revenue guidance to a range of $491.5 million to $496.5 million and increased its non-GAAP operating margin guidance to 25%–26% from 24%–25%. It also expects fiscal Q3 2027 revenue of between $123 million and $125 million and an operating margin of between 26.5% and 27.5%.
  • The company strengthened its cash generation in fiscal Q2 2027 with free cash flow of $33 million and a margin of 26%, and revised its annual outlook to a free cash flow margin comparable to fiscal 2026 instead of a decline of two to four points.
  • PagerDuty launched upgrades to its autonomous SRE agent, incident management lifecycle integration, and an agent-based on-call management solution in fiscal Q2 2027, alongside integrations with Anthropic, Cursor, and LangChain and the use of its platform by CoreWeave and Anduril.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +PagerDuty has a base of more than 15 thousand paying customers, including nearly two-thirds of Fortune 100 companies, giving it a broad foothold for increasing usage of PD Reliability Platform and selling SRE, AIOps, and automation capabilities to existing customers.
    • +Fiscal Q2 2027 indicators show simultaneous operational improvement: annual recurring revenue reached $501 million, net retention improved to 98%, and the number of customers with annual spending above $100 thousand increased by 24 to 884.
    • +Cash generation supports the path to profitability; the free cash flow margin reached 26% in fiscal Q2 2027, and cash, cash equivalents, and investments totaled $470 million, while management targets a long-term non-GAAP operating margin of 30%.
    • +Deals worth approximately $3 million and $850 thousand demonstrate that reliability management and artificial intelligence capabilities are attracting large enterprises, while winning back a UK artificial intelligence infrastructure customer from an emerging competitor provides specific evidence of the strength of integration, reliability, and the SRE agent.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Growth in the core business remains weak; fiscal Q2 2027 revenue increased by only 1%, while the midpoint of fiscal Q3 revenue guidance indicates nearly zero year-over-year growth, and the midpoint of the fiscal 2027 revenue range of $494 million similarly points to approximately flat annual performance.
    • −Dollar-based net retention was 98% in fiscal Q2 2027, meaning spending by the existing customer base remained below the prior year's level despite sequential improvement. Management acknowledged that the company had gone through two difficult quarters and that the work required to address seat pressures and restore growth was not yet complete.
    • −PagerDuty operates in a competitive market, and the CEO stated that competition is constantly present, while the CFO pointed to historical pressures resulting from seat contraction. Although the usage model aims to mitigate these pressures, its success depends on customer consumption of Operations Cloud and PD Reliability Platform capabilities growing enough to offset weak seat-based growth.
    • −The transition to PD Reliability Platform involves adoption and execution risks; the usage-based platform was not yet generally available as of August 27, 2026, and management did not provide a specific recurring metric for its usage or the effect of migration to it on annual recurring revenue. It is therefore difficult to assess the sustainability of the double-digit growth recorded by the Operations Cloud business in fiscal Q2 2027.
    • −PagerDuty reduced its workforce by approximately 15%, with the reductions concentrated in non-customer-facing roles, and expects restructuring costs of between $5.5 million and $7.5 million, most of which will be recognized in fiscal Q3 2027. The plan may generate savings, but it carries execution risks related to maintaining support quality, accelerating product development, and reinvesting in sales and engineering at the same time.
    • −

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on PD stock is neutral, with an average price target of $12.5 and a wide range extending from $9 to $15. Both the average target and the highest target are below the 52-week range high of $17.29, while the annual range extends to a low of $5.7, reflecting a significant revaluation and divergence consistent with 1% revenue growth and guidance for nearly zero annual growth. The available data does not provide a price-to-earnings multiple, so the valuation assessment is based on analyst targets and the 52-week range, weighed against improving margins and cash flows on one side and weak revenue growth on the other.

    HoldAnalyst target: $12.5(-11.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving PagerDuty's growth in fiscal 2027?

    PagerDuty is relying on increased usage of Operations Cloud, which will launch as PD Reliability Platform upon general availability in fall 2026, and on expanding sales of the SRE agent, AIOps capabilities, and automation. The Operations Cloud business grew at a double-digit rate on an overall basis in fiscal Q2 2027, and annual recurring revenue increased by $6 million to $501 million. The number of customers spending more than $100 thousand annually also increased by 24 to 884, but quarterly revenue growth remained at only 1%.

    How does PagerDuty use artificial intelligence in its products?

    PD Reliability Platform places the autonomous SRE agent at the center of a platform that combines agents and humans to detect, investigate, and remediate incidents. The agent leverages the customer's knowledge base, production operational data, and accumulated memory from past incidents, alongside machine-learning-based signal detection. In fiscal Q2 2027, the company launched upgrades to the SRE agent, incident lifecycle integration, and an on-call management solution, and cited integrations with Anthropic, Cursor, and LangChain.

    Did PagerDuty's profitability improve in fiscal Q2 2027?

    Revenue was $124.4 million and gross profit according to EDGAR was approximately $104.4 million, equivalent to a calculated margin of approximately 83.9%. Management reported a non-GAAP gross margin of 85% and a non-GAAP operating margin of 24%, while EDGAR data showed net income of $7.8 million and earnings per share of $0.06. The company raised its fiscal 2027 non-GAAP operating margin guidance to 25%–26%, with a long-term target of 30%.

    What does the 98% net retention rate mean for PD stock?

    Dollar-based net retention was 98% in fiscal Q2 2027, up sequentially, while gross retention also improved for the second consecutive quarter. The improvement indicates relative stabilization, but the rate remaining below 100% means aggregate spending by existing customers did not fully offset contraction. Management is betting on the usage model and artificial intelligence capabilities to improve platform stickiness and reduce the impact of historical seat pressures.

    What is the impact of PagerDuty's restructuring on results?

    The restructuring announced in August 2026 affected approximately 15% of the workforce, with reductions concentrated in non-customer-facing roles while preserving sales and product development capabilities. The company expects costs of between $5.5 million and $7.5 million, most of which will be recognized in Q3, with the process largely completed by the end of fiscal Q4 2027. Management linked the savings to raising its annual non-GAAP operating margin guidance to 25%–26% and expecting a free cash flow margin comparable to fiscal 2026.

    What does the analyst consensus say about the valuation of PD stock?

    The aggregate analyst rating is neutral, with an average price target of $12.5, a low target of $9, and a high target of $15. Both the average and the high end of the targets are below the 52-week range high of $17.29, while the range low is $5.7. This dispersion reflects the market's balance between improving margins and cash flows and 1% revenue growth alongside fiscal 2027 guidance indicating approximately flat annual performance.

    The neutral analyst consensus and wide target range of $9 to $15 reflect meaningful disagreement about the stock's value, while the average target of $12.5 is below the 52-week range high of $17.29. No price-to-earnings multiple is provided in the available data, limiting the ability to value the stock based on earnings relative to signs of slowing growth.