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Stocks
PBF Energy Inc.
PBF

PBF PBF Energy Inc.

PBF Energy Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
78.30
▲ ⁦+1.58%⁩ (+1.22)
Market Cap$9.3B
Beta0.10
52w Low52w High
24.4082.61
Last Week
⁦+4.41%⁩
Last Month
⁦+26.88%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+101.80%⁩
Last Year
⁦+203.96%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall39
Weak — below market medianSuper StockF 2/8SafeBetter than 39% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
93
6.9x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
50
13.5%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
53
18.0%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
75
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
89
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
100
151.8%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
45
8▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$78
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$81
⁦+3%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$65–$84⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$120
⁦+54%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦4⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$81–$120⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$76.67
⁦-2.1%⁩
Current Price $78.30·Median $81.00
Low
$65.00
High
$84.00
Current price
$78.30
Average target
$76.67
Street summary

PBF Energy Price Target Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

The price target for PBF Energy saw a sharp positive revision 30 days ago, with the consensus jumping 35.29% to reach $76.67, and has remained stable since then. The stock is currently trading at $66.51, which represents a price discount compared to the target average, but it is very close to the low-end forecast of $65, indicating a divergence in analyst estimates regarding fair value with only two analysts providing price targets.

As of 2026-08-25
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+17.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.71
Hold
Analyst coverage
14
Buy conviction
7%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
24%
Analyst ratings over time14 analysts rating
1
9
3
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.86 → 2.71
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-18
    Goldman Sachs
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-04
    UBS
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-24
    Citigroup
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    6.88x
    3.56x28.47x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    10.86x
    3.36x26.89x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    7.8%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    13.5%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    234.2%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    3.9%
    7.8%72.1%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    18.0%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    3.99
    -1.814.34
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

PBF Energy operates in oil refining and the marketing of refined products through its assets on the West Coast, East Coast, and in the Midwest of the United States, with an owned logistics system that includes the M70 pipeline in California. Its earnings primarily depend on margins from converting crude oil into gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, in addition to its stake in SBR for renewable diesel production; SBR contributed net income of $27.5 million and approximately $40 million of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization in fiscal Q2 2026.

In fiscal Q2 2026, PBF Energy recorded revenue of $11.7 billion, gross profit of $1.1 billion, and net income of $906.4 million, with earnings per share of $7.54. These results represent a gross margin of approximately 9.4% and a net income margin of approximately 7.7%, compared with revenue of $7.9 billion and net income of $198.3 million in fiscal Q1 2026.

The results reflected strong refined product markets and tight supply, while adjusted net income was $6.22 per share and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $1.24 billion. The results included a $250 million insurance gain related to the Martinez fire, while SBR produced approximately 15,100 barrels per day of renewable diesel following a catalyst change in April 2026.

What's Driving the Stock

  • PBF Energy exceeded earnings-per-share expectations by more than 50% in its fiscal Q2 2026 results published on July 30, 2026, supported by strong product markets and tight global supply, and reported earnings per share of $7.54 and adjusted earnings per share of $6.22.
  • Management stated that more than 5 million barrels per day of global refining capacity was offline and that product inventories may need until an advanced stage of 2027 to return to normal levels under normal economic conditions, supporting refining margins for longer.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The company reduced its net debt by more than $1.4 billion during fiscal Q2 2026 and ended the period with liquidity of $894 million, net debt of approximately $855 million, and a net debt-to-capital ratio of 15%, after reducing total debt by more than $1 billion.
  • The Martinez refinery safely restarted the units affected by the fire in May 2026 and returned to producing its full product slate, while cumulative insurance proceeds reached $1.25 billion after deductibles, and management expects an additional payment during the second half of 2026 approximately similar to the fifth payment.
  • The refining business improvement program achieved a 20% reduction in natural gas purchases per barrel, adjusted for the impact of price, compared with a 2024 baseline, while the renegotiation or rebidding of more than 60 contracts targets annual savings of approximately $60 million.
  • PBF increased domestic crude runs at Torrance by approximately 25,000 to 30,000 barrels per day, and average flows through the M70 pipeline rose from approximately 60,000 to approximately 90,000 barrels per day, supporting supply flexibility and crude cost differentials in California.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The company combines a sharp improvement in profitability with strong cash generation; cash flow from operations reached $1.6 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, enabling it to reduce net debt by more than 62% in a single quarter.
    • +The flexibility of its crude slate and proximity to stable supplies in the Americas give PBF an advantage in an environment where trade routes have been disrupted, and management did not expect crude availability to affect refinery operations.
    • +The refining business improvement program could increase the ability to retain margins throughout the cycle, with a 20% reduction in natural gas consumption, targeted procurement savings of approximately $60 million annually, and improved execution of turnaround maintenance.
    • +The West Coast assets benefit from a structural refining capacity deficit; California imports approximately 250,000 barrels per day of gasoline, or nearly one-third of demand, while the company's M70 system provides increasing access to domestic crude.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −PBF's earnings remain highly tied to the refining margin cycle and to the geopolitical disruptions that have kept more than 5 million barrels per day of global capacity offline; management acknowledged that it cannot determine when crude flows or price differentials will return to their historical balance.
    • −Operational risks remain elevated across the refinery network; fiscal Q2 2026 included $23 million of additional expenses related to the Martinez incident, Chalmette experienced a loss-of-containment incident, and the FCC unit at Toledo underwent unplanned work.
    • −Maintenance could pressure production and cash flows, as the Martinez hydrocracker outage begins during fiscal Q3 2026 and ends in October 2026, while the Paulsboro crude unit outage remains scheduled for late fall 2026 and cannot be deferred because of inspection and mechanical integrity requirements.
    • −Approximately $430 million of the $1.6 billion in operating cash flow in fiscal Q2 2026 resulted from improved working capital, and the company explained that inventories had returned to normal levels and that subsequent fluctuations would depend on commodity prices and operating needs, so this support should not be assumed to recur automatically.
    • −The renewable fuel program imposes a cost of approximately $14 per barrel on PBF, according to management, and the company remains exposed to volatility in RINs credit prices and to regulatory changes, despite those credit prices declining by between 10% and 15% during the two weeks preceding the July 30, 2026 call.
    • −Insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 17, 2026 indicates net sales of $227.4 million across 31 sales and no purchases; this is a weak signal on its own because such sales may be prearranged unless the context proves otherwise.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $76.67, within a wide range of $65 to $84, while the consensus rating is Neutral; the average is only approximately 1.3% above the 52-week range high of $75.68, while the highest target exceeds that high by approximately 11%. No published price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data despite trailing twelve-month earnings per share of $11.18, so earnings strength should be weighed against the role of the $250 million insurance gain, working capital support, and the cyclicality of refining margins.

    HoldAnalyst target: $76.67(-2.1%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove the jump in PBF's earnings in fiscal Q2 2026?

    PBF benefited from tight refined product supply and relatively stable demand, while more than 5 million barrels per day of global refining capacity remained offline. Revenue reached $11.7 billion and net income was $906.4 million, with reported earnings per share of $7.54 and adjusted earnings per share of $6.22. The results also included a $250 million insurance gain related to the Martinez fire, so net income alone does not fully reflect recurring operating performance.

    How did PBF's balance sheet change during fiscal Q2 2026?

    The company reduced net debt by more than $1.4 billion and ended the quarter with liquidity of $894 million and net debt of approximately $855 million. The net debt-to-capital ratio fell to 15% after repaying the asset-backed lending facilities and refinancing $802 million of notes due in 2028. As part of the transaction, the company issued $500 million of notes due in 2034, while financing the purchase of the two hydrogen plants at Torrance will add new debt when the transaction closes.

    What is the status of the Martinez refinery after its fire?

    PBF safely restarted the affected units in May 2026, and since then the refinery has returned to producing its full product slate. Cumulative insurance proceeds reached $1.25 billion after deductibles, with the claim remaining open and management expecting an additional payment during the second half of 2026. Maintenance on the hydrocracker begins during fiscal Q3 2026 and ends in October 2026, representing a planned outage after full operations were restored.

    How important are PBF's operations in California?

    California has a structural refining deficit and imports approximately 250,000 barrels per day of gasoline, or nearly one-third of its consumption, in addition to significant volumes of jet fuel. At Torrance, PBF increased domestic crude runs by approximately 25,000 to 30,000 barrels per day. Average flows through its M70 pipeline also increased from approximately 60,000 to nearly 90,000 barrels per day, with additional capacity remaining available on the pipeline.

    What is the contribution of renewable diesel and RINs credits to PBF's results?

    SBR produced an average of 15,100 barrels per day of renewable diesel during fiscal Q2 2026 following a catalyst change in April 2026. The investment contributed net income of $27.5 million and approximately $40 million of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. Conversely, management said the renewable fuel program imposes a cost of approximately $14 per barrel on PBF, despite RINs prices declining by between 10% and 15% during the two weeks preceding the July 30, 2026 call.

    What are the main maintenance activities scheduled for the remainder of fiscal 2026?

    Maintenance on the Martinez hydrocracker runs from fiscal Q3 2026 through October 2026, while the Paulsboro crude unit outage remains scheduled for late fall 2026. The company moved maintenance on the crude and coker units at Chalmette and the FCC unit at Toledo to 2027 following work and assessments completed during 2026. Because of this change, PBF reduced the midpoint of its fiscal 2026 capital expenditure guidance by approximately $75 million to $850 million.