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Paymentus Holdings, Inc.
PAY

PAY Paymentus Holdings, Inc.

Paymentus Holdings, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
36.38
▲ ⁦+0.28%⁩ (+0.10)
Market Cap$4.6B
Beta1.31
52w Low52w High
20.1445.31
Last Week
⁦+0.28%⁩
Last Month
⁦-6.69%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+71.85%⁩
Last Year
⁦-4.31%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall85
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 6/8Better than 85% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
20
55.1x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
90
30.2%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
74
12.8%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
92
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
46
—2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
72
2.7%▼2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
35
6▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$36
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$39
⁦+7%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$36–$44⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$20
⁦-46%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.2⁩% discount · ⁦4⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$20–$39⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$39.50
⁦+8.6%⁩
Current Price $36.38·Median $39.00
Low
$36.00
High
$44.00
Current price
$36.38
Average target
$39.50
Street summary

Paymentus (PAY) Stock Price Target Analysis

Paymentus stock has seen a positive revision in its average price target, which rose by 12.46% over the past thirty days to reach 38.8, reflecting optimism regarding revenue growth and projected earnings per share through 2028. However, absolute confidence has recently declined following Wolfe Research's downgrade of the stock from 'Outperform' to 'Peer Perform' on August 25, 2026, signaling a shift toward a neutral outlook despite previous price target hikes.

As of 2026-09-01
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.43
Hold
Analyst coverage
7
Buy conviction
43%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 1↓
Target dispersion
22%
Analyst ratings over time7 analysts rating
3
4
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.71 → 3.43
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-25
    Wolfe Research
    OutperformPeer Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-04
    Wolfe Research
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-04
    Goldman Sachs
    Neutral
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    55.12x
    6.87x54.92x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    40.77x
    5.19x41.53x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    40.56x
    4.52x36.15x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    3.2%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    30.2%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    50.0%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    24.9%
    12.9%79.5%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    12.8%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-03 data

Company Overview

Paymentus Holdings provides a technology platform for billing, payments, and service commerce, and generates revenue primarily from processing transactions for billers and service providers. Its customer base includes utilities, government entities, telecommunications, insurance, banks, education, property management, healthcare, consumer finance, and businesses, while the platform enables institutions to manage payments, business rules, workflows, and data through a single integration. Average revenue per transaction was $1.69 in fiscal Q2 2026, compared with $1.59 in the corresponding period, supported by customer mix, particularly large enterprise billers with higher payment amounts.

Paymentus reported record revenue of $360.7 million in fiscal Q2 2026, representing year-over-year growth of 28.8%, after processing 213.4 million transactions, an increase of 21.4%. Contribution profit was $118.1 million, up 26.3%, but its margin declined to 32.7% from 33.4% as larger, higher-volume enterprise customers were added. Adjusted gross profit was $100.2 million, and non-GAAP net income was $32.4 million, or $0.25 per share, exceeding the analyst estimate of $0.19 per share.

Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $48.8 million in fiscal Q2 2026, representing year-over-year growth of 54%, while its margin was 41.3% of contribution profit, an improvement of 740 basis points. The company generated free cash flow of $39 million and ended the quarter with $379.7 million in cash and cash equivalents and no debt. Meanwhile, EDGAR data for the twelve-month period ending in fiscal 2026 shows revenue of $1.3 billion, gross profit of $316.6 million, and net income of $74 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The company raised its fiscal 2026 outlook to revenue of between $1.443 billion and $1.458 billion, representing year-over-year growth of between 21.2% and 21.9%, and increased the midpoint by approximately $18 million from the previous outlook.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Paymentus raised its fiscal 2026 contribution profit outlook to a range of $460–465 million and also raised its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization outlook to $175–185 million; the high end implies year-over-year growth of 34.6% and a margin of 39.8% of contribution profit.
  • Transactions increased by 21.4% in fiscal Q2 2026 to 213.4 million, while average revenue per transaction rose to $1.69, combining volume growth with an improved biller mix.
  • The company ended fiscal Q2 2026 with strong bookings and a large, diversified contractual backlog spanning small, midsized, and large enterprise customers, and management said this provides visibility for the remainder of fiscal 2026 and extends into fiscal 2027; it also noted that customer implementation times are improving compared with estimates made at the time of contracting.
  • Billeo expands Paymentus beyond billing and payments into artificial intelligence infrastructure and service commerce through Billeo AI 360, Billeo Agentic Service Suite, the intelligent data vault, and the billing and settlement engine. Management reported positive feedback from customers and prospects on August 3, 2026, but expects the revenue impact to begin over the next few years rather than producing an immediate financial impact.
  • Operating leverage supported results, as adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 54% while non-GAAP operating expenses grew by only 10.5%, and the incremental margin for these earnings reached 69.6% in fiscal Q2 2026.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +Current growth combines volume, pricing, and mix: transactions increased 21.4%, average revenue per transaction rose from $1.59 to $1.69, and revenue grew 28.8% in fiscal Q2 2026.
    • +Revenue growth translated into faster profitability growth, as adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 54% to $48.8 million, while its margin improved by 740 basis points to 41.3% of contribution profit.
    • +Liquidity of $379.7 million, no debt, and free cash flow of $39 million in fiscal Q2 2026 provide flexibility to fund organic growth and software investment; capitalized software spending totaled $9.7 million during the quarter.
    • +Diversified bookings and a large contractual backlog support revenue visibility through fiscal 2027, and the company does not include expansions from existing customers in the bookings described during the call, meaning the cited momentum came from new customers.
    • +BillWallet, Billeo, and Billeo AI 360 could expand the company’s addressable market from payment processing into workflows, data, and artificial intelligence services, while leveraging Paymentus’s existing network to distribute these capabilities.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Artificial intelligence represents a potential threat to traditional intermediation between service providers and their customers, a risk that management said billers and businesses have become increasingly concerned about. Paymentus is relying on BillWallet, Billeo, and its cloud infrastructure to address this risk, but management did not specify current revenue from these products and said their income statement impact will emerge over the next few years.
    • −The mix of large enterprise customers pressured processing economics, as the contribution profit margin declined to 32.7% in fiscal Q2 2026 from 33.4% a year earlier. The company explained that larger customers often receive volume discounts, making the continued offset of this pressure through operating leverage an important factor for profitability.
    • −The fiscal Q3 2026 outlook indicates a clear slowdown compared with the previous quarter’s performance: the company expects year-over-year revenue growth of 15.2% at the midpoint, compared with 28.8% in Q2, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization growth of 18.5%, compared with 54%. The expected margin for these earnings also ranges between 37.4% and 39.1%, below the Q2 margin of 41.3%.
    • −Management acknowledged that rapid diversification in customer sizes and sectors has changed seasonal patterns and that it does not yet know how transaction trends will persist, increasing the difficulty of quarter-by-quarter forecasting and exposing average revenue and contribution profit per transaction to fluctuations in mix and payment amounts.
    • −The analyst consensus on the stock is Neutral, not Buy, with targets ranging from $36 to $44. The average target of $38.8 is also approximately 14% below the 52-week range high of $45.31, reflecting a more conservative valuation than the stock’s highest level during that period.
    • −Net insider selling during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 5, 2026, totaled approximately $7.1 million across 13 sales, with no purchases. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the context provides no evidence establishing the motives behind those transactions.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $38.8, within a range of $36 to $44, while the recommendation consensus is Neutral; the average is approximately 14% below the 52-week range high of $45.31. No price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data despite net income of $74 million and earnings per share of $0.5723 for the twelve-month period ending in fiscal 2026, so the valuation assessment here is based on the target range and the breadth of the 52-week range from $20.11 to $45.31, balancing strong growth against the expected slowdown in fiscal Q3 2026 and pressure on the contribution profit margin.

    HoldAnalyst target: $38.8(+6.7%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving Paymentus’s growth in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Paymentus’s revenue increased by 28.8% to $360.7 million in fiscal Q2 2026. The company processed 213.4 million transactions, a year-over-year increase of 21.4%, while average revenue per transaction rose from $1.59 to $1.69. Management attributed the growth to the launch of new billers, increased transactions from existing customers, and, to a lesser extent, improved average pricing, with the full benefit of large enterprise customers launched in fiscal Q3 2025.

    What is Paymentus’s outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2026?

    The company expects annual revenue of between $1.443 billion and $1.458 billion in fiscal 2026, representing growth of between 21.2% and 21.9%. It expects contribution profit of between $460 million and $465 million and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of between $175 million and $185 million. For fiscal Q3 2026, it expects revenue of between $353 million and $363 million and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of between $40 million and $45 million.

    How important are Billeo and BillWallet to Paymentus’s future?

    Paymentus uses the Billeo platform to expand its offerings from payments into artificial intelligence, workflows, and service commerce. The announced capabilities include Billeo AI 360, Billeo Agentic Service Suite, an intelligent data vault, and a billing and settlement engine, while BillWallet preserves the identities of the service provider and customer and payment data. Management said on August 3, 2026, that feedback from customers and prospects had been positive and that BillWallet user numbers had increased, but it did not provide a specific figure. Management expects the revenue impact of these products to begin appearing over the next few years.

    Is Paymentus’s profitability improving as revenue grows?

    Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization grew by 54% to $48.8 million in fiscal Q2 2026, exceeding revenue growth of 28.8%. The margin for these earnings increased to 41.3% of contribution profit, compared with 33.9% a year earlier, while the incremental margin reached 69.6%. In contrast, the contribution profit margin declined from 33.4% to 32.7% due to the mix of large enterprise customers and volume discounts, making operating leverage essential to continued profitability improvement.

    How strong is Paymentus’s financial position?

    Paymentus ended fiscal Q2 2026 with $379.7 million in cash and cash equivalents, a sequential increase of $37.6 million, and no debt. Operations generated $48.9 million in cash, while free cash flow was $39 million. The company used $11.2 million in investing and financing activities, including $9.7 million of capitalized software, and working capital totaled $393.3 million.

    What are the main risks to monitor for PAY stock?

    The expected growth slowdown in fiscal Q3 2026 should be monitored, as revenue growth at the guidance midpoint is 15.2% compared with 28.8% in Q2. The contribution profit margin also declined to 32.7% due to the large-enterprise mix, and volume discounts could sustain pressure despite strong operating leverage. Additional risks include artificial intelligence displacing traditional intermediaries, the lack of specified current revenue from Billeo products, the Neutral analyst consensus, and net insider selling of $7.1 million during the three months through August 5, 2026.