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Stocks
Patrick Industries, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall39
Weak — below market medianContrarianF 8/9Grey zoneBetter than 39% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
79
17.4x17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
22
3.2%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
50
8.2%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
48
3.7x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
62
2.44%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
6
-22.7%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
84
7▲3Top tier
PATK

PATK Patrick Industries, Inc.

Patrick Industries, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
73.40
▼ ⁦-1.95%⁩ (-1.46)
Market Cap$2.4B
Beta1.10
52w Low52w High
73.06148.50
Last Week
⁦-9.72%⁩
Last Month
⁦-14.15%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-21.24%⁩
Last Year
⁦-35.44%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$73
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$112
⁦+53%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$85–$150⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$13
⁦-82%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.2⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$13–$112⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$113.38
⁦+54.5%⁩
Current Price $73.40·Median $112.00
Low
$85.00
High
$150.00
Current price
$73.40
Average target
$113.38
Street summary

Patrick Industries (PATK) price consensus declines

Bearish tilt

The analyst outlook for PATK has seen a noticeable decline over the past thirty days, with the average price target falling by 8.21% from $122.33 to $112.29. This negative adjustment reflects a state of increased caution, particularly with the stock's rating downgraded to 'Neutral' by BNP Paribas at the end of July, and continued divergence in opinions among the seven analysts; a wide gap (dispersion) is evident between the minimum target of $85 and the maximum of $150.

As of 2026-08-18
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.70
Buy
Analyst coverage
10
Buy conviction
70%
High
Target dispersion
89%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time10 analysts rating
2
5
2
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.70 → 3.70
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-11
    Benchmark
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Raymond James
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Bank of America Securities
    Underperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    17.43x
    4.56x36.49x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    13.75x
    3.79x30.29x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.12x
    2.75x22.03x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    5.4%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    3.2%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    13.2%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    23.1%
    12.0%66.5%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    8.2%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.72x
    0.65x5.48x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    2.4%
    0.1%5.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    40.4%
    8.9%99.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.82
    -2.656.14
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Patrick Industries operates as a supplier of value-added solutions and components to the recreational vehicle, marine, powersports, and housing markets, generating revenue from a portfolio that includes electrical and digital solutions, towers and windshields, SeaDek flooring, and fuel tanks for boats, cab enclosures for powersports vehicles, and laminated panels, composite materials, and surface-printing solutions. In fiscal Q2 2026, sales were distributed across recreational vehicles at 39%, housing at 31%, marine at 18%, and powersports at 12%, illustrating that the company no longer depends on a single market cycle, although recreational vehicles remain its largest individual business.

Revenue in fiscal Q2 2026 was approximately $1.04 billion, down less than 1% year over year, while gross profit was $247.6 million at a gross margin of 23.8%, compared with 23.9% in the corresponding period. Net income was $43.4 million, or $1.28 per diluted share, up approximately 34% from $32 million, but adjusted net income declined to $44 million from $51 million, and adjusted earnings per share were $1.29 versus $1.50.

Marine revenue growth of 22% to $191 million, powersports growth of 28% to $123 million, and housing growth of 2% to $320 million offset a large portion of the 15% decline in recreational vehicle revenue to $407 million. Management estimated that organic revenue growth added 7% and acquisition growth added 1%, while end-market contraction subtracted 9%; on a last-twelve-month basis, revenue was $3.9 billion, gross profit was $911.1 million, and net income was $136.3 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The all-stock merger agreement with LCI Industries, also known as Lippert, is a key factor for the stock; the companies are targeting completion of the transaction in the first half of 2027 following shareholder and regulatory approvals, and Patrick Industries expects annual run-rate net synergies of approximately $150 million.
  • The marine business led growth in fiscal Q2 2026, with revenue rising 22% to $191 million despite approximately flat wholesale powerboat shipments, while content per unit over the last twelve months increased 22% to $4,883, driven by tower, glass, electrical and digital system solutions, SeaDek flooring, and fuel tanks.
  • Powersports revenue rose 28% to $123 million in fiscal Q2 2026, driven by resilient demand for utility-oriented units and increased adoption of cab enclosures offered by Sportech; however, management maintained its full-year expectations for low-single-digit growth in units and content, implying mid- to high-single-digit total growth for the business.
  • The company launched advanced digital-printing technology through a multimillion-dollar investment at the North American Forest Products complex, with the technology printing graphics and textures directly onto a wide range of surfaces, including composite materials. Management says initial customer reception was positive and that the technology can serve both value-oriented and premium finishes, with flexibility to produce individual panels when needed.
  • Management expects fiscal 2026 operating cash flow of between $320 million and $350 million, capital expenditures of between $70 million and $80 million, and free cash flow of approximately $250 million. It also expects working capital to become a source of cash during the second half of fiscal 2026 as inventory is reduced and composite material adoption improves.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Patrick Industries' diversification demonstrated its ability to absorb the recreational vehicle market downturn in fiscal Q2 2026; despite a 15% decline in revenue from this business, consolidated revenue fell by less than 1%, supported by marine growth of 22%, powersports growth of 28%, and housing growth of 2%.
  • +The company is achieving content and market-share gains that exceed end-unit trends; marine content per unit rose 22% to $4,883 over the last twelve months, and recreational vehicle content per unit rose 7% to $5,303 despite contracting shipments.
  • +Liquidity of approximately $691 million at the end of fiscal Q2 2026, and no significant debt maturities before 2028, provide room to fund organic growth and operating investments while targeting approximately $250 million in free cash flow during fiscal 2026.
  • +The company returned approximately $106 million to shareholders in fiscal Q2 2026, including $91 million to repurchase approximately 980 thousand shares and $15 million in cash dividends. Insider data through the June 10, 2026 transaction also show one purchase and no sales over three months, for a net 8,385 shares, with the overall signal rated neutral.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $112.29 with a “Buy” consensus, but the wide range between $85 and $150 reflects significant variation in assessments of the effects of weakness in the recreational vehicle market and the proposed merger with LCI Industries. The average target is approximately 24% below the 52-week range high of $148.5, while the highest target of $150 nearly matches that high, and the lowest target of $85 is slightly above the range low of $81.29. The valuation picture therefore combines an opportunity based on diversification and targeted annual merger synergies of $150 million with clear risks from margin pressure, financial leverage, and failure to obtain the approvals required for the transaction.

BuyAnalyst target: $112.29(+53.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is driving PATK stock results in fiscal Q2 2026?

Patrick Industries' revenue was approximately $1.04 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, down less than 1% year over year, and net income was $43.4 million. Marine growth of 22%, powersports growth of 28%, and housing growth of 2% offset most of the impact of a 15% decline in recreational vehicle revenue. Gross margin remained approximately stable at 23.8%, but adjusted operating margin declined to 7.5% from 8.3%.

How important is the merger between Patrick Industries and LCI Industries for PATK investors?

Patrick Industries signed an all-stock merger agreement with LCI Industries, also known as Lippert, and they are targeting completion of the transaction in the first half of 2027. Management expects the combined entity to generate annual run-rate net synergies of approximately $150 million while expanding capabilities and the product portfolio offered to customers. The transaction remains subject to shareholder and regulatory approvals, and the companies remain independent until closing.

Why did Patrick Industries' recreational vehicle business decline?

Recreational vehicle revenue declined 15% to $407 million in fiscal Q2 2026, alongside a 16% decline in industry wholesale shipments, equivalent to approximately 15,300 fewer units. The company estimated retail sales of approximately 99,200 units and wholesale shipments of approximately 77,600 units, implying seasonal dealer inventory reductions of approximately 21,600 units. Despite market weakness, Patrick Industries' content per unit over the last twelve months rose 7% to $5,303.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The recreational vehicle business still represents 39% of consolidated revenue, and its revenue fell 15% to $407 million in fiscal Q2 2026 after industry wholesale shipments declined 16%. Management expects recreational vehicle retail sales to decline by a low-teens percentage in fiscal 2026, with wholesale shipments of between 285 thousand and 300 thousand units, leaving the company's largest business exposed to weak demand for big-ticket purchases.
  • −High domestic fuel prices, elevated interest rates, weak consumer confidence, and sensitivity to monthly payments and prices are pressuring Patrick Industries' markets, while management also expects manufactured housing shipments and new housing starts to decline by a low- to mid-single-digit percentage in fiscal 2026. Management also indicated that recreational vehicle production rates in the second half could be 20% to 25% below the first half, increasing the risk of weak fixed-cost absorption.
  • −Adjusted operating profitability declined despite an approximately stable gross margin; adjusted operating margin fell to 7.5% from 8.3%, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin fell to 12.1%, down 80 basis points. Management expects fiscal 2026 adjusted operating margin to be flat versus fiscal 2025, with potential additional pressure of 20 basis points from volume-related pricing programs and affordability improvements.
  • −Cash generated from operations declined to $69 million during the first six months of fiscal 2026 from $189 million in the corresponding period, due to working capital investment and inventory remaining elevated to support composite materials and shield customers from price and tariff increases. Net leverage rose to 3.0 times following share repurchases and inventory investment, so the expected improvement depends on releasing working capital and reducing leverage over the next two quarters.
  • −The company faces exposure to antidumping and countervailing duties imposed on luan plywood imported from Indonesia and expects their impact to emerge near the end of fiscal Q3 and fiscal Q4 2026. It purchased inventory to mitigate the impact on customers and had not passed through price increases as of the July 30, 2026 call, but this slowed composite material inventory turnover and tied up additional liquidity.
  • −Patrick Industries' merger with LCI Industries remains subject to shareholder and regulatory approvals before the targeted closing in the first half of 2027, and the companies remain independent until completion. Patrick Industries has also become generally restricted from conducting additional share repurchases before closing under the agreement's interim operating covenants, despite $62 million remaining under the existing authorization at the end of fiscal Q2 2026.
What are PATK's sources of growth outside recreational vehicles?

Marine revenue was $191 million in fiscal Q2 2026, supported by tower, glass, electrical and digital system solutions, SeaDek flooring, and fuel tanks. Powersports revenue was $123 million, with continued demand for cab enclosures offered by Sportech and utility-oriented units. Housing also generated revenue of $320 million, and laminated panel sales to big-box retailers helped offset weak manufactured housing shipments.

Are cash flow and debt a concern for PATK investors?

Operating cash flow declined to $69 million in the first six months of fiscal 2026 from $189 million, due to elevated inventory and investment in composite materials and imported luan wood. Net leverage was 3.0 times at the end of fiscal Q2 2026, while available liquidity was approximately $691 million and there were no significant debt maturities before 2028. Management expects fiscal 2026 operating cash flow of between $320 million and $350 million and free cash flow of approximately $250 million, while targeting leverage reduction over the next two quarters.

What is the impact of the new digital-printing technology on Patrick Industries?

In fiscal Q2 2026, the company launched advanced digital-printing technology through a multimillion-dollar investment at the North American Forest Products complex. The technology prints graphics and textures directly onto multiple surfaces, including composite materials, instead of relying on traditional vinyl or laminated paper. It aims to improve design flexibility, manufacturing efficiency, and quality while offering cost-competitive and premium finishes and the ability to produce individual panels for servicing products later.