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Stocks
Pan American Silver Corp.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall96
Excellent — top fifth of the marketContrarianF 7/9Better than 96% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
76
15.0x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
95
38.0%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
82
16.8%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
92
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
26
0.28%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
47
46.3%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
90
8▲3Top tier
PAAS

PAAS Pan American Silver Corp.

Pan American Silver Corp. · NYSE
Market Closed
50.34
▼ ⁦-0.61%⁩ (-0.31)
Market Cap$21.2B
Beta1.54
52w Low52w High
33.0869.99
Last Week
⁦-4.30%⁩
Last Month
⁦-3.89%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+8.19%⁩
Last Year
⁦+38.91%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$50
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$72
⁦+43%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$53–$94⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$70
⁦+39%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦11.3⁩% discount · ⁦12⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$70–$72⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$73.00
⁦+45.0%⁩
Current Price $50.34·Median $72.00
Low
$53.00
High
$94.00
Current price
$50.34
Average target
$73.00
Street summary

Pan American Silver (PAAS) Price Target Review Analysis

Pan American Silver shares saw stability in the average price target at $73 over the past week, following a slight decline of 1.62% in the last 30 days (from $74.2). This adjustment reflects a more cautious tone from analysts, coinciding with BMO Capital maintaining its rating at "Market Perform" on August 13, 2026. Although the current price ($50.3) is trading below the lowest recorded price target ($53), the wide gap between the high ($94) and low indicates a divergence in the assessment of operational risks.

As of 2026-08-19
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.11
Buy
Analyst coverage
9
Buy conviction
78%
High
Target dispersion
81%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time9 analysts rating
3
4
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.11
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    BMO Capital
    Market Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-14
    Scotiabank
    Outperform
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-05-11
    TD Securities
    Buy· $72.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    14.98x
    4.94x39.51x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    9.11x
    3.70x29.59x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    8.41x
    2.62x20.92x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    7.0%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    38.0%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    134.1%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    44.6%
    7.6%58.9%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    16.8%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.3%
    0.2%5.5%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    4.2%
    4.7%147.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-13 data

Company Overview

Pan American Silver produces silver and gold through a portfolio of mines and projects across the Americas, generating revenue from the sale of the two metals extracted from assets including La Colorada, Juanicipio, Jacobina, El Peñón, Timmins, and Shahuindo. In Q2 FY2026, attributable silver production reached 6.5 million ounces, driven by strong performance at La Colorada and Juanicipio, while gold production totaled approximately 166 thousand ounces.

In Q2 FY2026, the company generated revenue of $1.1 billion, or $1.3 billion on an attributable revenue basis including its 44% interest in Juanicipio. Net income was $305 million and earnings per share were $0.72, while adjusted earnings were $0.73 per share, attributable operating cash flow was $418 million, and attributable free cash flow was $344 million. The silver segment recorded all-in sustaining costs of $17.80 per ounce, compared with $1,984 per ounce in the gold segment.

The annual financial statements show a sharp improvement in FY2025, with revenue rising to $3.6 billion from $2.8 billion in FY2024 and gross profit increasing to $1.4 billion from $549 million, representing a gross margin of approximately 38.9% compared with about 19.6%. Net income also surged to $980 million and earnings per share to $2.56, compared with net income of $113 million and earnings per share of $0.31 in FY2024.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Pan American Silver produced approximately 6.5 million attributable ounces of silver in Q2 FY2026, at the upper end of its quarterly range, and reaffirmed annual guidance of 25 to 27 million ounces thanks to the performance of La Colorada and Juanicipio.
  • The company generated $344 million in attributable free cash flow in Q2 FY2026, then returned a record $300 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends, with more than 7 million shares repurchased since the beginning of FY2026 and a quarterly dividend of $0.184 per share declared.
  • Available liquidity totaled approximately $3.2 billion at the end of Q2 FY2026, supported by approximately $1.8 billion in cash and short-term investments and an undrawn $1.5 billion revolving credit facility with a $750 million accordion feature.
  • Development of ramp 588 to access the Skarn deposit at La Colorada began in early August 2026, while engineering for the materials-handling system and ventilation shaft is progressing, with the company targeting delivery of the design, cost, schedule, and recommendation before the end of FY2026.
  • Management reaffirmed FY2026 guidance for silver and gold production, all-in sustaining costs, and sustaining capital, but expects gold production to be at the lower end of the 700 thousand to 750 thousand ounce range, with production improving in the second half and more heavily weighted toward Q4 FY2026.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Annual performance shifted from a net loss of $104.9 million in FY2023 to net income of $113 million in FY2024 and then $980 million in FY2025, alongside revenue growth from $2.3 billion to $3.6 billion over the same period.
  • +Strong cash generation was evident in Q2 FY2026, as attributable free cash flow reached $344 million despite the payment of $205 million in income taxes, enabling the company to return $300 million to shareholders while continuing to fund growth projects.
  • +Approximately $3.2 billion of liquidity and an undrawn $1.5 billion credit facility provide flexibility to fund La Colorada Skarn, the Jacobina optimization, and the Timmins development without indicating any immediate need to draw on the facility.
  • +The company maintained FY2026 silver production guidance of 25 to 27 million ounces and recorded first-half silver all-in sustaining costs below the lower end of the guidance range, supporting the ability of its silver assets to benefit from strong metal prices.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $73, within a wide range of $53 to $94, and the stock carries a consensus “Buy” rating. The average target exceeds the recorded high within the 52-week range of $69.99, but the breadth of the target range relative to the stock’s annual range of $32.95 to $69.99 reflects meaningful divergence in assessments of strong cash flow versus reduced gold expectations and operational risks at Jacobina and El Peñón.

BuyAnalyst target: $73(+45.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were PAAS’s key Q2 FY2026 results?

Pan American Silver generated approximately $1.1 billion in revenue, rising to $1.3 billion on an attributable basis including its 44% interest in Juanicipio. The company recorded net income of $305 million and earnings per share of $0.72, while adjusted earnings were $0.73 per share. Attributable operating cash flow was $418 million and attributable free cash flow was $344 million, after paying $205 million in income taxes.

Did Pan American Silver maintain its FY2026 production guidance?

The company reaffirmed silver production guidance of 25 to 27 million ounces in FY2026 after producing 6.5 million attributable ounces in Q2 FY2026. It also maintained its annual gold production range of 700 thousand to 750 thousand ounces, but expects to reach the lower end of that range. The Q3 FY2026 gold forecast is now 3 thousand to 6 thousand ounces below the lower end of the quarterly range of 178.5 thousand to 192 thousand ounces.

Why were gold production expectations reduced at Jacobina and El Peñón?

At Jacobina, a reassessment of seismic activity risks prompted the company to leave larger pillars, reduce production in certain higher-grade areas, and increase development to open additional mining areas. Management therefore expects production to be approximately 10 thousand ounces below the lower end of the original annual guidance of 181 thousand to 191 thousand ounces, while confirming that there were no injuries or infrastructure damage. At El Peñón, weaker continuity in certain secondary structures and a shift toward ore richer in silver and poorer in gold led to an expected shortfall of approximately 10 thousand ounces relative to the lower end of the original gold guidance of 104 thousand to 111 thousand ounces.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
Gold production in Q2 FY2026 declined to approximately 166 thousand ounces, below the quarterly forecast, and management now expects to reach only the lower end of FY2026 guidance of 700 thousand to 750 thousand ounces; the Q3 FY2026 forecast was also reduced to 3 thousand to 6 thousand ounces below the lower end of the quarterly range of 178.5 thousand to 192 thousand ounces.
  • −Jacobina faces operational risks related to seismic activity; although there were no injuries or infrastructure damage, measures to leave larger pillars, reduce production in certain higher-grade areas, and increase development work led to an expected production shortfall of approximately 10 thousand ounces relative to the lower end of the original annual guidance of 181 thousand to 191 thousand ounces.
  • −The company expects gold production at El Peñón to be approximately 10 thousand ounces below the lower end of the original FY2026 guidance of 104 thousand to 111 thousand ounces, due to weaker continuity in certain secondary structures and a shift toward areas richer in silver and poorer in gold.
  • −The company’s sites in Chile and Argentina experienced heavy rainfall during July and August 2026 that affected workforce access, and management indicated that El Niño effects could persist through the remainder of FY2026 despite incorporating known impacts into its operating plan.
  • −The restart of Escobal remains subject to the consultation process under International Labour Organization Convention No. 169, and the company has not provided a timeline for completing the process or a restart date, leaving the timing of the asset’s economic contribution uncertain.
  • −Adjusted earnings in Q2 FY2026 were $0.73 per share versus expectations of $0.84, while the company raised its paid income tax guidance to a range of $585 million to $635 million due to higher profitability and cash remittance taxes; gold all-in sustaining costs also rose to $1,984 per ounce due to lower production and labor and materials inflation.
  • How is Pan American Silver allocating liquidity between shareholders and growth projects?

    The company returned $300 million to shareholders in Q2 FY2026 through share repurchases and dividends, a quarterly record for the company. More than 7 million shares have been repurchased since the beginning of FY2026, and it declared a quarterly dividend of $0.184 per share. At the same time, the company maintains approximately $3.2 billion in available liquidity to fund La Colorada Skarn, the Jacobina optimization, and the Timmins project while balancing investment with shareholder returns.

    Why is the La Colorada Skarn project important to PAAS stock?

    The project reached an important execution milestone in early August 2026 with the first cut for ramp 588 to access the Skarn deposit. Engineering for the materials-handling system and ventilation shaft is also progressing, and the company aims to deliver the design, cost, schedule, and recommendation before the end of FY2026. The project is among its capital-allocation priorities alongside the Jacobina optimization and Timmins development, supported by approximately $3.2 billion in available liquidity.

    What is the status of Escobal according to the Q2 FY2026 update?

    The Escobal consultation process under International Labour Organization Convention No. 169 continued during Q2 FY2026. Government representatives visited the mine in May 2026, the company met with representatives of the Ministry of Energy and Mines and the Vice Minister of Sustainable Development in June 2026, and a bilateral meeting between the government and Xinka representatives was held in July 2026. The company did not announce a timeline for completing the consultation or a date for restarting the mine.