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Outfront Media Inc.
OUT

OUT Outfront Media Inc.

Outfront Media Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
28.62
▲ ⁦+0.70%⁩ (+0.20)
Market Cap$5.0B
Beta1.48
52w Low52w High
16.9734.96
Last Week
⁦-3.15%⁩
Last Month
⁦-8.30%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-9.03%⁩
Last Year
⁦+53.21%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall60
Balanced — near the middle of the marketHigh FlyerF 4/9Better than 60% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
47
20.3x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
67
7.6%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
74
8.3%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
23
7.5x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
46
4.19%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
65
66.8%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
72
4▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$29
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$38
⁦+31%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$37–$38⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-1.24
⁦-104%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦11.0⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$-1.24–$38⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$37.50
⁦+31.0%⁩
Current Price $28.62·Median $37.50
Low
$37.00
High
$38.00
Current price
$28.62
Average target
$37.50
Street summary

Stable Outfront Media price targets with a steady positive outlook

Target estimates were unchanged over one day, one week, and 30 days; consensus remained at $37.5 with four analysts participating, within a narrow range of $37 to $38. Compared with the current price of $28.81, consensus reflects an upside of approximately 30.2%, but this does not represent a new improvement in the outlook in the recent period; rather, it reflects stable expectations and limited dispersion among analysts.

As of 2026-09-08
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.29
Buy
Analyst coverage
7
Buy conviction
86%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
3%
Analyst ratings over time7 analysts rating
3
3
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.29 → 4.29
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    Citigroup
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-06
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-05-12
    TD Cowen
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    20.30x
    5.03x40.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    22.94x
    5.89x47.13x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    16.82x
    3.68x29.40x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    6.6%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    7.6%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    131.1%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    30.8%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    8.3%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    7.49x
    1.55x12.39x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    4.2%
    0.6%15.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    85.1%
    31.2%370.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Outfront Media sells out-of-home advertising space across roadside billboards and transit networks, in static and digital formats. The company generates revenue from commercial advertisers and major institutions, while expanding automated and programmatic sales channels for digital assets. In Q2 fiscal 2026, digital revenue represented approximately 37% of total revenue, compared with 34% in the comparable period, while programmatic and direct automated sales accounted for 20% of digital revenue versus approximately 17%.

Revenue in Q2 fiscal 2026 reached approximately $522.5 million, up 13.5%, and net income rose to $77.5 million from $19.5 million, equivalent to a net income margin of approximately 14.8%. Adjusted OIBDA reached approximately $160 million, up 29% and equivalent to a margin of approximately 30.6%, while AFFO increased 45% to $121 million. This performance exceeded management's previous expectations, supported by strong demand and FIFA revenue that exceeded $35 million during the quarter.

At the operating mix level, billboard revenue grew 8%, or 9.4% excluding the Los Angeles billboard contract that the company exited, while transit revenue jumped 32%, led by New York MTA, which achieved growth of 48%. Digital billboard revenue rose 17.6%, or more than 21% excluding the aforementioned contract, and digital transit revenue increased approximately 36% to approximately $68 million. Commercial revenue also grew 15% and institutional revenue approximately 12%, indicating broad-based growth across multiple advertiser categories.

What's Driving the Stock

  • FIFA campaigns added more than $35 million to revenue in Q2 fiscal 2026 and more than $50 million in total, and management estimated that approximately half of this amount was incremental to normal business; the contribution included approximately $19 million for billboards and approximately $17 million for transit during the quarter.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Management expects revenue growth in Q3 fiscal 2026 in the high single digits, driven by transit growth of approximately 20% and billboard growth in the mid-single digits, with a $16 million benefit from the World Cup split between $9 million for billboards and $7 million for transit.
  • Combined digital revenue grew by more than 23% in Q2 fiscal 2026, or 26% excluding the Los Angeles contract, while programmatic and direct automated sales jumped approximately 50%. Management sees additional room for growth because this channel still represents only 20% of the company's digital revenue.
  • Billboard yield per screen rose 12% to $3.34 thousand per month, supported by price increases and improved asset management, while technology, including artificial intelligence companies, legal, and medical were among the strongest billboard categories during Q2 fiscal 2026.
  • Outfront Media signed a five-year partnership to become the official media partner and exclusive out-of-home advertising partner within New York Jets sponsorship packages, enabling its advertising inventory to be integrated into the team's multichannel sponsorship offerings.
  • The company raised its outlook for reported AFFO growth in fiscal 2026 to the low-twenties percentage range compared with $338 million in fiscal 2025, and the board then increased the quarterly cash distribution 10% to $0.33 per share, payable on September 30, 2026, to shareholders of record on September 4, 2026.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The positive scenario is based on simultaneous growth in billboards, transit, and digitalization; transit revenue rose 32%, billboard revenue 8%, and digital revenue more than 23% in Q2 fiscal 2026, while adjusted OIBDA grew at a faster rate of 29%.
    • +Programmatic sales provide a clear internal expansion opportunity, as they grew approximately 50% but did not exceed 20% of digital revenue, and the company is supporting this channel with investments in sales teams, analytics, AdQuick, Salesforce tools, and IRL Nav.
    • +AFFO growth of 45% to $121 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, alongside expectations for annual growth in the low-twenties percentage range, strengthens the company's ability to fund distributions and investment; this was reflected in a 10% increase in the quarterly distribution.
    • +Net leverage was approximately 4 times as of June 30, 2026, at the low end of the target range of 4 to 5 times, with committed liquidity of approximately $600 million. This gives the company flexibility to add premium billboards or execute small acquisitions, after spending slightly more than $11 million on acquisitions during the quarter.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The New York MTA contract carries significant economic and accounting risk; the company recognizes the $161 million annual minimum guarantee in fiscal 2026 evenly, or approximately $40 million each quarter, and management explained that it does not expect to recover the full cost of the digital investment over the life of the contract following the impairment recorded in 2023.
    • −Growth in Q2 fiscal 2026 benefited from more than $35 million of FIFA revenue, and management estimated that only half of it was incremental to normal business. With the expected World Cup benefit declining to $16 million in Q3 fiscal 2026, management expects revenue growth to slow from 13.5% to the high single digits.
    • −Management expects SG&A expense to grow faster than revenue during the remainder of fiscal 2026 due to investment in sales, data, technology, and human resources. Billboard SG&A rose approximately 8% and transit SG&A approximately 14% in Q2 fiscal 2026, which could limit margin expansion despite revenue growth.
    • −Debt remains a financial burden despite improved leverage; fiscal 2026 guidance includes interest expense of approximately $145 million. The company also replaced $650 million of 5% notes due in 2027 with a $500 million issuance at 6% due in 2034, financing the remainder through the accounts receivable facility and cash.
    • −Billboard site lease expenses rose 5% in Q2 fiscal 2026, or approximately 9% excluding the effect of exiting the Los Angeles contract, while transit franchise expenses rose 6% because of variable costs and the inflation adjustment in the MTA guarantee. Continued increases could pressure profitability if demand slows or the costs cannot be passed through in pricing.
    • −Insider activity during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 19, 2026, recorded net selling of $1.3 million, with one purchase versus nine sales. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data disclose otherwise.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $37.5, within a narrow range of $37 to $38, with a consensus rating of “Buy”; the average is above the top of the 52-week range of $34.96, while the bottom of the range is $16.97. The displayed P/E ratio does not provide a comparable valuation anchor, so the valuation thesis depends mainly on continued AFFO growth and digitalization versus the risks of a declining FIFA impact, accelerating SG&A, and interest expense of approximately $145 million in fiscal 2026.

    BuyAnalyst target: $37.5(+31.0%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove OUT's results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Revenue reached $522.5 million, up 13.5%, and net income jumped to $77.5 million from $19.5 million. Transit revenue grew 32% and billboard revenue 8%, while FIFA campaigns contributed more than $35 million during the quarter. Adjusted OIBDA rose 29% to $160 million, while AFFO grew 45% to $121 million.

    How important is New York MTA to Outfront Media's business?

    New York MTA led growth in the transit segment, with its revenue rising 48% in Q2 fiscal 2026, compared with 32% growth for the segment as a whole. In contrast, the contract's annual minimum guarantee is $161 million in fiscal 2026, which the company recognizes evenly at approximately $40 million each quarter. Management explained that it does not expect to recover the full cost of the digital investment over the life of the contract, following the impairment it recorded in 2023.

    Can OUT's growth continue after the impact of the 2026 World Cup ends?

    The company generated more than $50 million of FIFA revenue in total, including more than $35 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, and estimated that approximately half of the total was incremental to normal business. It expects another benefit of $16 million in Q3 fiscal 2026, split between $9 million for billboards and $7 million for transit. Management aims to retain advertisers that began or expanded their spending during the tournament, but it did not disclose the amount of revenue that came specifically from new customers.

    How does Outfront Media benefit from digital advertising and programmatic sales?

    Digital revenue grew by more than 23% in Q2 fiscal 2026 and represented approximately 37% of total revenue, compared with 34% in the comparable period. Programmatic and direct automated sales rose approximately 50%, but remained at 20% of digital revenue, leaving room for expansion in management's view. The company is supporting this path through its investment in AdQuick, strengthening the programmatic sales team, and expanding analytics and measurement under the leadership of Hugh Griffiths.

    What is the status of OUT's debt and distributions in fiscal 2026?

    Net leverage was approximately 4 times as of June 30, 2026, at the low end of the target range of 4 to 5 times, with committed liquidity of approximately $600 million. The company refinanced $650 million of 5% notes due in 2027 through $500 million of new 6% notes due in 2034, in addition to the accounts receivable facility and cash. On August 5, 2026, a 10% increase in the quarterly cash distribution to $0.33 per share was announced, while expected interest expense remained near $145 million in fiscal 2026.

    What does Outfront Media's partnership with New York Jets mean?

    The company announced a five-year partnership in August 2026 that makes it the official media partner and exclusive out-of-home advertising partner within New York Jets sponsorship packages. The partnership allows Outfront Media's inventory to be integrated into the offerings the team presents to sponsors across the stadium, digital channels, and outdoor advertising. The company did not disclose a specific financial value for the contract, so its investment impact depends on its actual ability to attract additional sponsorship and advertising budgets.