EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Oshkosh Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall90
Excellent — top fifth of the marketContrarianF 5/9Better than 90% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
85
16.6x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
55
2.2%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
66
11.0%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
77
0.9x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
70
1.40%▼2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
48
8.0%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
84
12▲3Top tier
OSK

OSK Oshkosh Corp

Oshkosh Corp · NYSE
Market Closed
145.85
▼ ⁦-1.30%⁩ (-1.92)
Market Cap$9.0B
Beta1.25
52w Low52w High
116.77180.49
Last Week
⁦-4.60%⁩
Last Month
⁦-6.06%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+12.63%⁩
Last Year
⁦+2.39%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$146
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$176
⁦+21%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$138–$190⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$254
⁦+74%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦9.9⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$176–$254⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$169.29
⁦+16.1%⁩
Current Price $145.85·Median $176.00
Low
$138.00
High
$190.00
Current price
$145.85
Average target
$169.29
Street summary

Oshkosh (OSK) Price Forecast Analysis

Bullish tilt

The average price target for Oshkosh stock saw a slight increase of 0.79% over the past thirty days to reach 173.7, reflecting stable optimism despite a recent decrease in the number of analysts updating their forecasts. The stock is currently trading at 156.33, which is significantly lower than the median price of 178, indicating positive expectations for price growth potential supported by strong EPS growth estimates from 10.92 in 2026 to 16.36 by 2028.

As of 2026-08-24
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-2.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.67
Buy
Analyst coverage
18
Buy conviction
56%
Mixed
Target dispersion
36%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time18 analysts rating
2
8
8
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.74 → 3.67
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    Barclays
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-05-12
    Morgan Stanley
    —· $150.00
  • = Reiterate2026-05-11
    Evercore ISI Group
    Outperform· $181.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    16.59x
    5.69x45.54x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    10.83x
    4.57x36.58x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.65x
    3.43x27.47x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    13.3%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    2.2%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -12.0%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    15.9%
    8.6%54.6%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    11.0%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.87x
    0.55x4.37x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.4%
    0.1%4.8%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    23.2%
    6.6%80.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-28 data

Company Overview

Oshkosh Corp operates through three interconnected segments serving specialty equipment and mission-critical vehicles. The Access segment sells access equipment such as compact scissor lifts and connected ClearSky Smart Fleet technologies, while the Vocational segment includes fire trucks, refuse collection and recycling vehicles, and airport products, including passenger boarding bridges. The Transport segment includes the Next Generation Delivery Vehicle for the United States Postal Service and defense platforms such as FMTV A2 and ROGUE-Fires, generating revenue from selling vehicles and equipment to commercial and government customers and fulfilling extended order backlogs.

In quarter 2 of fiscal 2026, consolidated sales rose 6.7% year over year to $2.9 billion, driven by improved sales volumes and pricing, while adjusted earnings per share reached $2.87. Adjusted operating income declined to $258 million from $313 million, equivalent to a calculated margin of approximately 8.9% of sales, due to an unfavorable sales mix and higher manufacturing overhead costs. In contrast, free cash flow jumped to $348 million from $49 million, supported by working capital discipline, particularly in inventory, and higher customer advances.

The Access segment was the largest contributor in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026, with sales of $1.4 billion, growth of 9.4%, and an adjusted operating income margin of 11.3%. The Vocational segment recorded sales of $967 million, nearly flat year over year, and an adjusted margin of 13.5%, while Transport sales increased 12% to $536 million and its operating income reached $16 million. Delivery vehicles represented nearly half of Transport sales after their revenue increased by $155 million to $262 million, while the defense business declined compared with the corresponding period, which still included domestic JLTV production through May 2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The order cycle in the Access segment improved during quarter 2 of fiscal 2026; orders reached $1.5 billion, the order-to-sales ratio reached 1.1, and orders more than doubled compared with the corresponding period, while backlog stood at $2.0 billion at the end of the quarter. This prompted management to raise its outlook from a modest decline in segment revenue to growth during fiscal 2026 compared with fiscal 2025.
  • Megaprojects, including infrastructure and data center projects, support demand for Access equipment, alongside customer interest in the compact scissor lift and ClearSky Smart Fleet technologies. On July 28, 2026, management cited strong equipment utilization rates and the aging boom lift fleet, two factors supporting the need for growth and replacement.
  • The contribution of Next Generation Delivery Vehicle to the Transport segment is expanding; delivery vehicle revenue grew to $262 million in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026, an increase of more than 20% from quarter 1 of fiscal 2026, and the fleet surpassed 35 million miles. Management expects higher production and an additional order from the United States Postal Service in quarter 4 of fiscal 2026, an assumption included in the annual guidance.
  • During quarter 2 of fiscal 2026, Oshkosh Defense received a $142 million order for the FMTV A2 program and another $92 million order for the ROGUE-Fires platform. These contracts provide visibility beyond fiscal 2026, while ROGUE-Fires combines autonomy with a platform offering protection, mobility, speed, and off-road capability.
  • The airport business provides additional momentum for the Vocational segment, with orders for passenger boarding bridges in Chicago, Denver, and Philadelphia, alongside testing of an autonomous, AI-powered ground support robot at Grand Rapids Airport during quarter 2 of fiscal 2026. The company also received a large order from the New York City Department of Sanitation despite lower refuse collection vehicle sales than the previous year.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The Access segment has strong operating visibility due to a $2.0 billion backlog and quarterly orders of $1.5 billion, with the fiscal 2026 revenue outlook shifting from a modest decline to growth compared with fiscal 2025.
  • +Oshkosh diversifies demand across access equipment, fire trucks, airport products, postal vehicles, and defense, and these businesses support strong backlogs in the Access, Vocational, and Transport segments instead of relying on a single product line.
  • +Free cash flow improved in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026 to $348 million from $49 million, and management maintained its fiscal 2026 free cash flow outlook at $550–650 million. The company also repurchased approximately 667 thousand shares for $92 million during the quarter.
  • +The modernization of fire truck manufacturing could provide growth leverage if executed as planned; management targets an approximately 10% production increase during fiscal 2026 and a gradual total increase of 25%–30% across quarters 3 and 4 of fiscal 2026 and during fiscal 2027.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

Analyst consensus rates OSK as “Buy,” with an average price target of $173.7, within a wide range of $138 to $197 that reflects meaningful differences in assessments of the execution trajectory. The average target is approximately 3.8% below the 52-week range high of $180.49, while the highest target exceeds that high and the lowest target remains within the 52-week range of $116.77–180.49. The positive consensus view is balanced by the reduction in the fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings per share outlook to approximately $11 and margin pressures resulting from sales mix, tariffs, and the slower ramp-up of fire truck production.

BuyAnalyst target: $173.7(+19.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove Oshkosh's growth in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026?

Consolidated sales rose 6.7% to $2.9 billion due to higher volumes and improved pricing. The Access segment grew 9.4% to $1.4 billion, while Transport increased 12% to $536 million. Delivery vehicles were an important driver, as their revenue increased by $155 million to $262 million and represented nearly half of Transport sales.

Why did Oshkosh lower its fiscal 2026 outlook?

Management lowered its adjusted earnings per share outlook by approximately $0.50 to about $11 because fire truck production progressed more slowly than expected. The company is reorganizing manufacturing from fixed-position assembly to high-flow lines, including rearranging the flow of thousands of parts to workstations. Management expects to increase fire truck production by approximately 10% during fiscal 2026, but it also expects to ship fewer units than previously planned.

How large is Oshkosh's Next Generation Delivery Vehicle opportunity?

Delivery vehicle revenue reached $262 million in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026, an increase of more than 20% from quarter 1 of fiscal 2026. The Next Generation Delivery Vehicle fleet surpassed 35 million miles, and management said feedback from the United States Postal Service and drivers remained positive. The fiscal 2026 outlook assumes receipt of an additional order in quarter 4 of fiscal 2026, alongside the continued production ramp-up and supply chain preparation.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
The slower ramp-up of fire truck production represents the most prominent operational risk; it prompted management to lower its fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings per share outlook by approximately $0.50 to about $11 because the transition from fixed-position assembly to high-flow lines requires reengineering the flow of thousands of parts. The company expects to produce and ship fewer trucks during fiscal 2026 than previously planned.
  • −Profitability is under clear pressure despite revenue growth; adjusted operating income in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026 fell to $258 million from $313 million due to an unfavorable sales mix and higher manufacturing overhead costs. The Access adjusted margin also declined to 11.3%, and management expects the fiscal 2026 Vocational margin to come in slightly below the lower end of its long-term target of 16%–18%.
  • −Achieving the Transport outlook in the second half of fiscal 2026 remains tied to ramping up NGDV production and receiving an additional order from the United States Postal Service, and management assumed the order would arrive in quarter 4 of fiscal 2026 for planning purposes. The delivery business received no orders during quarter 2 of fiscal 2026, making the timing of the new order influential to the revenue and margin trajectory.
  • −Tariffs and balancing price with cost remain a source of volatility; the net tariff impact was approximately $40–50 million in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026 and contributed to pressure on price-cost economics in Access. Management expects price and cost to break even across fiscal 2026, but achieving this depends on pricing actions, cost reductions, and engineering aimed at reducing the impact of tariffs.
  • −Sales of refuse collection and recycling vehicles declined in fiscal 2026 as some industrial customers remained cautious about capital spending because of economic uncertainty. Management also explained that the private nonresidential construction market remains slow, so the current improvement in Access depends heavily on megaprojects and large national customers.
  • −Transport income in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026 includes a nonrecurring positive item of $17 million related to the NGDV program, while the segment also faced higher warranty costs related to a one-time engine issue in a defense program. Therefore, operating income of $16 million does not necessarily reflect a recurring level of profitability without improvements in mix, pricing, and production.
  • What supports demand for Oshkosh's Access equipment?

    Access orders reached approximately $1.5 billion in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026, while backlog reached $2.0 billion and the order-to-sales ratio reached 1.1. Infrastructure, data center, and other megaprojects drive a large share of demand, particularly through large national rental companies. Compact scissor lifts and ClearSky Smart Fleet support the product offering, while high utilization rates and the aging boom lift fleet indicate an ongoing replacement need.

    What are the main opportunities and risks in Oshkosh's defense segment?

    In quarter 2 of fiscal 2026, Oshkosh received a $142 million order for the FMTV A2 program and a $92 million order for the ROGUE-Fires platform. These orders provide visibility beyond fiscal 2026, and ROGUE-Fires combines autonomy with protection, mobility, speed, and off-road capability. Conversely, defense revenue was lower than the previous year following the end of domestic JLTV production in May 2025, and Transport also incurred a one-time warranty cost related to an engine issue in a defense program.

    What is Oshkosh's liquidity and cash flow position in fiscal 2026?

    Oshkosh generated free cash flow of $348 million in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026, compared with $49 million in the corresponding period. Management attributed the improvement to disciplined working capital management, particularly inventory, and higher customer advances. The company maintained its fiscal 2026 free cash flow outlook at $550–650 million and repurchased approximately 667 thousand shares for $92 million during the quarter.