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Stocks
Oracle Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall41
Weak — below market medianFalling StarF 5/9DistressBetter than 41% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
25
27.2x▼18.2xBottom tier
▸
Growth
85
17.4%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
71
11.0%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
36
4.3x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
41
1.25%▼2.10%Around median
▸
Momentum
30
-35.7%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
63
23▲3Around median
ORCL

ORCL Oracle Corporation

Oracle Corporation · NYSE
Market Open
162.52
▲ ⁦+2.36%⁩ (+3.74)
Market Cap$457.5B
Beta1.72
52w Low52w High
114.50345.72
Last Week
⁦+8.99%⁩
Last Month
⁦+10.54%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-23.27%⁩
Last Year
⁦-30.19%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$162
Analyst target · 9 analysts
$241
⁦+48%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$95–$325⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 9 analysts setting price target
$239.29
⁦+47.2%⁩
Current Price $162.52·Median $241.00
Low
$95.00
High
$325.00
Current price
$162.52
Average target
$239.29
Street summary

Slight Decline in Oracle’s Average Price Target Amid Wide Dispersion

Oracle’s average price target declined to 239.29, falling 1.28 percentage points over 7 days and 8.07 points, or 3.26%, over the last 30 days. The number of analysts remained unchanged at 9, indicating that the decline reflects an adjustment to existing targets rather than an expansion of the coverage base. The current average is also above the price of 158.83, but the target range between 95 and 325 reflects significant dispersion in estimates.

As of 2026-09-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-3.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.98
Buy
Analyst coverage
44
Buy conviction
82%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
142%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time44 analysts rating
8
28
7
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.74 → 3.98
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    Guggenheim
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    Oppenheimer
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-09-04
    Morgan Stanley
    Positive
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    27.15x
    7.08x56.62x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    18.73x
    5.23x41.81x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    19.78x
    4.60x36.80x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    -5.2%
    -56.3%10.3%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    17.4%
    -18.0%68.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    33.9%
    -157.8%193.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    65.8%
    13.2%79.6%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    11.0%
    -63.2%26.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.28x
    0.26x3.28x
    Above average
  • Dividend Yield
    1.3%
    0.0%3.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    34.0%
    4.4%96.7%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.77
    -11.3113.68
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-06-10 data

Company Overview

Oracle operates through an integrated technology ecosystem combining OCI cloud infrastructure, databases, and enterprise applications. It generates revenue from running computing and artificial intelligence workloads, database services on Oracle Cloud and partner clouds, applications such as Fusion, as well as healthcare and public-sector solutions; this integration enables it to sell infrastructure, data, applications, and artificial intelligence tools to the same customer.

In Q4 FY2026, Oracle reported record revenue of $19.2 billion, up 21%, and net income of $4.3 billion according to EDGAR data. Non-GAAP operating income was approximately $8.6 billion, equivalent to a calculated margin of about 44.8%, while non-GAAP earnings per share rose 24% to $2.11, or 20% after excluding a one-time investment gain.

The cloud mix drove Q4 FY2026 results; cloud infrastructure revenue grew 93%, Oracle Cloud applications revenue reached approximately $4.1 billion with 10% growth, and the cloud database business grew 29%. For FY2026, revenue reached $67.4 billion and net income was $17.1 billion, while gross margin declined by about five points due to infrastructure buildout and the accelerating mix of infrastructure revenue, with operating efficiency offsetting part of this pressure.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Oracle ended Q4 FY2026 with remaining performance obligations of $638 billion, up 363%, and expects to recognize approximately 12% of them during the following twelve months and another 34% during the period from month 13 to month 36, providing strong contractual revenue visibility.
  • The company signed $67 billion in artificial intelligence infrastructure contracts in Q4 FY2026, bringing prepaid or customer-provided-hardware contracts to $75 billion. Global graphics processing unit utilization also reached 97.5%, supporting the case for continued strong demand for OCI capacity.
  • Multicloud database revenue grew 404% and bookings grew 325% in Q4 FY2026. On August 13, 2026, incoming news reported an expansion of Oracle's partnership with AWS to accelerate adoption of artificial intelligence-linked databases, strengthening Oracle Database's distribution channel beyond its own direct cloud.
  • Oracle introduced more than one thousand artificial intelligence agents across its applications during FY2026 and began a limited rollout of token packages to 33 customers in Q4 FY2026, including Aon Services Corporation and Liberty Energy. The company is also adding outcome-based pricing models, such as pricing interview agents by the number of candidates screened, with the aim of linking customer spending to the returns achieved.
  • For FY2027, management is targeting revenue growth of 34% in constant currency and non-GAAP earnings per share of $8.05 after excluding one-time investment gains. For Q1 FY2027, it expects revenue growth of between 27% and 29%, cloud revenue growth of between 58% and 64%, and non-GAAP earnings per share of between $1.72 and $1.76.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The $638 billion remaining performance obligation balance at the end of Q4 FY2026 provides a massive contractual base, while prepaid or customer-provided-hardware contracts reduce part of the infrastructure funding requirements and, according to management, maintain margins similar to or better than those of other contracts.
  • +Cloud infrastructure growth of 93%, combined with cloud database growth of 29% and cloud applications growth of 10% in Q4 FY2026, brings together a fast-growing engine and established applications and database businesses. This diversification reduces the growth thesis's dependence on a single cloud product.
  • +Operational execution supports the OCI opportunity; Oracle delivered more than 1.2 gigawatts during FY2026, and delivery capacity in Q1 FY2027 was approaching one gigawatt according to the June 10, 2026 call. The company also resold most of the graphics processing units that were not renewed during the same quarter, with global utilization reaching 97.5%.
  • +Oracle is expanding artificial intelligence monetization methods through more than one thousand embedded agents, token packages for advanced capabilities, and outcome-based pricing. In Q4 FY2026, the company brought more than 300 new customers live on Fusion, while deferred software services revenue rose 16%, exceeding the 10% growth in cloud applications revenue.

Valuation

The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average price target of $240.57, but the target range is extremely wide at $95 to $325, indicating fundamental disagreement about the value of the transition to artificial intelligence infrastructure. The average target is below the 52-week range high of $345.72, while the broad repricing between the range boundaries of $114.5 and $345.72 reflects the strength of OCI growth on one hand and the risks of capital expenditure, credit, and margin pressure on the other.

BuyAnalyst target: $240.57(+48.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove Oracle's results in Q4 FY2026?

Revenue rose 21% to $19.2 billion, driven by 93% growth in cloud infrastructure revenue and 10% growth in Oracle Cloud applications revenue to $4.1 billion. Net income according to EDGAR data reached approximately $4.3 billion, while non-GAAP operating income reached $8.6 billion. Non-GAAP earnings per share also rose to $2.11, up 24%, or 20% after excluding a one-time investment gain.

What is the significance of the $638 billion in remaining performance obligations?

Remaining performance obligations reached $638 billion at the end of Q4 FY2026, up 363%, and represent contracts that provide future revenue visibility rather than revenue recognized immediately. Oracle expects to recognize approximately 12% of them during the following twelve months and another 34% between months 13 and 36. This momentum includes $67 billion in artificial intelligence infrastructure contracts signed during the same quarter.

What is Oracle's outlook for FY2027?

Management expects total revenue growth of 34% in constant currency in FY2027, with non-GAAP earnings per share of $8.05 after excluding one-time investment gains. For Q1 FY2027, it expects revenue growth of between 27% and 29% and cloud revenue growth of between 58% and 64%. It also expects non-GAAP earnings per share of between $1.72 and $1.76, with revenue and earnings accelerating in the second half of FY2027 as additional data center capacity becomes operational.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −The infrastructure strategy requires exceptional spending and financing; net cash capital expenditure reached $48 billion in FY2026, and Oracle is targeting approximately $70 billion in FY2027 while raising about $40 billion from debt and equity, including a $20 billion share issuance. On August 4, 2026, news reports pointed to the risk of a credit rating downgrade to the high-yield bond category because of debt and debt-funded artificial intelligence spending, while the cost of insuring against default on Oracle bonds rose according to a July 29, 2026 report.
  • −Infrastructure expansion pressured profitability and cash conversion; gross margin declined by about five points in FY2026, and management expects a further decline in FY2027 as data center projects become operational. Although operating cash flow reached $32 billion, net capital expenditure of $48 billion exceeded it, and an August 26, 2026 report explicitly pointed to continuing free cash flow concerns.
  • −The data center construction schedule carries execution risks and depends on power availability; an August 14, 2026 report indicated that a $165 billion Oracle data center project was delayed because of a gas pipeline delay. Any similar disruption could delay the conversion of remaining performance obligations into revenue, particularly as management expects revenue and earnings to accelerate in the second half of FY2027 alongside the commissioning of additional electrical capacity.
  • −OCI faces increasing competition from cloud providers and new entrants to the artificial intelligence data center market. In the renewal sample during Q4 FY2026, only 49% of 59 customers renewed their contracts, although they represented 92% of 35 thousand graphics processing units and most of the remaining units were sold to other customers during the same quarter.
  • −Oracle Cloud applications growth remained at 10% in Q4 FY2026, far slower than cloud infrastructure growth of 93% and multicloud database growth of 404%. This disparity increases the group growth rate's dependence on the more capital-intensive infrastructure business, which places greater pressure on gross margin.
  • −The range of analyst targets from $95 to $325 reveals sharp disagreement over Oracle's value, while the average target of $240.57 is approximately 30% below the 52-week range peak of $345.72. This dispersion reflects the valuation's sensitivity to balancing rapid cloud growth against margin, financing, and execution pressures.
How does Oracle generate revenue from artificial intelligence beyond leasing infrastructure?

Oracle introduced more than one thousand artificial intelligence agents across its applications during FY2026, while continuing to include many core features at no additional charge. In Q4 FY2026, it began a limited rollout of token packages to 33 customers, including Aon Services Corporation and Liberty Energy, for access to advanced inference capabilities. It also uses outcome-based pricing models, such as charging for interview agents based on the number of candidates screened and for hospitality agents based on the share of upselling transactions.

Can Oracle finance its data center expansion without weakening its balance sheet?

Operating cash flow reached $32 billion in FY2026, but it was lower than net cash capital expenditure of $48 billion. In FY2027, the company expects net capital expenditure of approximately $70 billion and plans to raise about $40 billion from debt and equity, including a $20 billion share issuance. Expected upfront payments of between $20 billion and $25 billion and some customer-provided-hardware structures reduce funding requirements, but news on August 4 and July 29, 2026 showed that credit rating risk and the cost of default protection remain.

How do analysts value ORCL shares, and why is there such wide disagreement among them?

The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average price target of $240.57, a highest target of $325, and a lowest target of $95. The average target is below the 52-week range peak of $345.72, limiting the usefulness of the previous peak as an automatic valuation benchmark. The wide range of targets reflects the balance between 93% cloud infrastructure growth and $638 billion in remaining performance obligations versus the decline in gross margin, the capital expenditure plan, and financing and execution risks.