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Ormat Technologies, Inc.
ORA

ORA Ormat Technologies, Inc.

Ormat Technologies, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
94.89
▼ ⁦-1.82%⁩ (-1.76)
Market Cap$5.8B
Beta0.90
52w Low52w High
89.70146.39
Last Week
⁦-8.93%⁩
Last Month
⁦-16.32%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-34.60%⁩
Last Year
⁦+4.31%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall16
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketSucker StockF 5/9DistressBetter than 16% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
17
46.3x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
59
31.1%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
27
4.7%▲4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
40
3.5x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
21
0.51%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
39
21.6%▲2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
63
7▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$95
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$135
⁦+42%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$112–$152⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$132.14
⁦+39.3%⁩
Current Price $94.89·Median $135.00
Low
$112.00
High
$152.00
Current price
$94.89
Average target
$132.14
Street summary

Divergence in ORA’s price targets with a neutral bias

The current average price target stands at 132.14 versus a current price of 96.65, with a wide range between 112 and 152 and a median average of 135; this reflects clear divergence among analysts. The consensus declined 1.39% over the last 7 days, alongside a decrease in the number of analysts from 7 to 5, while remaining stable over the last day and falling 0.97% over 30 days, indicating a limited decline in comparable coverage and confidence.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-1.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.69
Buy
Analyst coverage
13
Buy conviction
62%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
3↑ · 2↓
Target dispersion
42%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time13 analysts rating
3
5
4
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 3.69
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-09
    Jefferies
    Hold
  • = Reiterate2026-09-09
    Oppenheimer
    Outperform
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-09-04
    Bernstein
    UnderperformMarket Perform
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    46.29x
    4.50x36.01x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    50.20x
    4.35x34.77x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    15.79x
    3.07x24.54x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    -4.5%
    -17.6%10.2%
    Near median
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    31.1%
    -10.5%25.3%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -4.7%
    -53.8%122.0%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    27.9%
    9.8%69.4%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    4.7%
    -2.0%11.4%
    Near median
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.53x
    1.28x10.25x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    0.5%
    1.4%6.1%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    23.1%
    35.0%95.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.34
    0.573.91
    Below average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Ormat Technologies operates through an integrated three-segment model: electricity generation, sales of energy products and technologies, and energy storage. The Electricity segment generates revenue from geothermal and solar plants supported by long-term power purchase agreements, while the Storage segment combines contracted revenue with selective exposure to market prices, particularly in PJM. As of June 30, 2026, the total operating portfolio was approximately 1.85 gigawatts, including 1,355 megawatts in electricity and 495 megawatts and 1,358 megawatt-hours in storage.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue rose 10.6% year over year to $258.8 million, gross profit increased 20.8% to $68.7 million, and gross margin expanded 220 basis points to 26.5%. Net income attributable to the company's shareholders was $27.1 million, or $0.43 per diluted share, compared with $28 million and $0.46, respectively, affected by a $6.6 million write-off for a storage project the company no longer intends to pursue. In contrast, adjusted net income rose 6.5% to $31 million, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 6.9% to $143.9 million.

The Electricity segment accounted for approximately 65% of Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue, with revenue of $169.3 million and growth of 5.8%, while Products revenue declined 21.6% to $46.7 million, representing approximately 18% of the mix. Energy Storage revenue jumped 195.1% to $42.8 million, or approximately 17% of revenue, and the segment achieved a gross margin of 56.2%. During the first half of fiscal 2026, revenue reached $662.7 million, up 42.9%, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $338.8 million, up 18.9%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Ormat raised its fiscal 2026 guidance to revenue of between $1.15 billion and $1.20 billion, representing growth of approximately 18.7% at the midpoint, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of between $630 million and $650 million, representing growth of nearly 10% at the midpoint.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Energy Storage became the fastest growth driver in Q2 fiscal 2026; existing PJM assets contributed approximately $19.5 million in additional revenue, and newly commissioned facilities generated approximately $7.7 million, lifting segment revenue to $42.8 million and its gross margin to 56.2%.
  • Blue Mountain, Puna, and Olkaria supported Electricity performance; Blue Mountain contributed approximately $2.6 million in revenue, improved pricing and operating recovery at Puna added approximately $3 million, and wellfield optimization at Olkaria added approximately $2.5 million, alongside a $4.2 million reduction in the impact of generation curtailment in the United States.
  • The company has 202 megawatts of electricity projects under construction and development through the end of 2028, all supported by long-term power purchase agreements. Recontracting and blended extension agreements are also expected to add approximately $14 million to annual revenue progressively between 2026 and 2030, with limited additional capital investment.
  • Ormat is targeting an operating portfolio of between 2.6 gigawatts and 2.8 gigawatts by 2028, equivalent to an expected compound annual growth rate of between 15% and 18% from 2025. This is supported by seven storage projects with capacity of 497 megawatts and 1,888 megawatt-hours, including the Denali facility with capacity of 100 megawatts and 400 megawatt-hours, supported by a 20-year services agreement with Clean Power Alliance.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +The diversified revenue model provides relative protection from weakness in any single segment; in Q2 fiscal 2026, Electricity growth of 5.8% and the 195.1% surge in Storage offset the 21.6% decline in Products, lifting consolidated revenue by 10.6%.
    • +The economics of the core businesses improved clearly, as gross profit grew 20.8%, faster than revenue, and gross margin expanded to 26.5%. Adjusted net income also rose 6.5% despite a $6.6 million storage project write-off.
    • +Long-term power purchase agreements provide clearer visibility into growth; all 202 megawatts of electricity projects under construction and development through the end of 2028 are contracted, and Lone Mountain will be covered by the portfolio agreement with Google.
    • +Repricing geothermal power contracts represents an internal opportunity; approximately 190 megawatts are under contracts between 2031 and 2034 at a weighted average of approximately $86 per megawatt-hour, compared with market prices cited by management of more than $100, in addition to an expected annual increase of $14 million from renegotiated contracts between 2026 and 2030.
    • +Liquidity was approximately $1.1 billion as of June 30, 2026, supporting the development program spanning electricity, storage, and EGS trials. An exploration financing facility of up to $40 million for the Wapsalit project in Indonesia also reduced part of the financial risk associated with the early exploration stage.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The Products segment faces tangible financial pressure; its revenue declined 21.6% to $46.7 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, and its gross margin fell to 9.7% because of higher construction costs for a project in Europe and currency fluctuations affecting manufacturing costs. Management expects a margin of only approximately 15% in the second half of fiscal 2026 and approximately 18% for the full year.
    • −The exceptional Energy Storage performance may not recur; management stated that market prices in PJM began returning to more normal levels in late July and August 2026. It therefore expects the segment's margin to decline from 56.2% in Q2 fiscal 2026 to a range of 30%–40% in the second half, making part of earnings sensitive to weather and market price volatility.
    • −Leverage and capital spending remain high; total debt was approximately $3.4 billion and net debt was approximately $2.7 billion as of June 30, 2026, equivalent to 4.3 times net debt to adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. The company also plans capital expenditures of $449 million during the remainder of fiscal 2026, including $281 million for Electricity and $129 million for Storage.
    • −Execution faced delays of between one month and two months at two projects in the Caribbean region, reducing the Electricity segment outlook by approximately $5 million, despite Dominica beginning full operations on July 31, 2026. Planned maintenance also pressured the Q2 fiscal 2026 Electricity margin, and high temperatures in the western United States remain a factor that could affect geothermal power generation.
    • −EGS technology remains at the experimental stage and carries technical risks related to maintaining water flow, connecting fractures, and limiting the impact of rock cooling caused by cold-water injection. Ormat allocated approximately $20 million for the remainder of fiscal 2026 to the SLB trial and other EGS activities, while the technology had not yet reached commercial completion according to management's remarks on August 6, 2026.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on ORA is “Neutral,” with an average price target of $134 and a wide range of between $112 and $152, reflecting differing assessments of the impact of Storage growth and contracted projects versus margin, execution, and debt risks. The average target is approximately 8.5% below the 52-week range high of $146.39, while the highest target exceeds that high, and the wide 52-week range of between $89.08 and $146.39 remains evidence of the valuation's sensitivity to growth and profitability expectations.

    HoldAnalyst target: $134(+41.2%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove ORA's results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Ormat's revenue rose 10.6% to $258.8 million, and gross profit increased 20.8% to $68.7 million. Energy Storage was the fastest driver, with revenue surging 195.1% to $42.8 million and a gross margin of 56.2%, supported by PJM prices and capacity expansions. The Electricity segment also benefited from Blue Mountain, improvements at Puna and Olkaria, and reduced generation curtailment in the United States.

    What is Ormat's guidance for fiscal 2026?

    The company raised its revenue range to $1.15 billion–$1.20 billion, representing growth of approximately 18.7% at the midpoint compared with fiscal 2025. It expects Electricity revenue of between $710 million and $725 million, Products revenue of between $300 million and $320 million, and Storage revenue of between $140 million and $155 million. It also raised adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance to $630 million–$650 million, representing growth of approximately 10% at the midpoint.

    How large is Ormat's project pipeline through 2028?

    Management targeted an operating portfolio of between 2.6 gigawatts and 2.8 gigawatts by 2028, equivalent to expected compound annual growth of between 15% and 18% from 2025. The company has 202 megawatts of electricity projects under construction and development through the end of 2028, including 87 megawatts of geothermal and 115 megawatts of solar, all supported by long-term power purchase agreements. In Storage, there are seven projects with total capacity of 497 megawatts and 1,888 megawatt-hours, alongside a U.S. opportunity pipeline of approximately 2.5 gigawatts and 10 gigawatt-hours across 25 identified projects.

    How important are EGS technology and the Ormega100 product to ORA's growth?

    In fiscal 2026, Ormat introduced the 100-megawatt modular Ormega100 unit to serve large-scale conventional geothermal projects and EGS applications. In the Desert Peak trial with SLB, the company completed its analysis of geophysical data and submitted drilling permit applications, and it was targeting the start of drilling in Q4 fiscal 2026. However, management identified technical challenges related to water flow, fracture connectivity, and cooling caused by injection, so EGS remains a long-term opportunity rather than a proven commercial contributor.

    What are the main pressures on Ormat's margins after Q2 fiscal 2026?

    The Products margin was 9.7% because of higher construction costs at a European project and currency fluctuations, and management expects it to improve to approximately 15% in the second half of fiscal 2026. In Storage, the margin is expected to decline from 56.2% in Q2 to a range of 30%–40% in the second half as PJM prices return to more normal levels. A $6.6 million storage project write-off also affected reported net income, which declined to $27.1 million from $28 million.

    What is the state of Ormat's liquidity and debt?

    Cash and restricted cash were approximately $658 million, and total liquidity was approximately $1.1 billion as of June 30, 2026. In contrast, total debt was approximately $3.4 billion and net debt was $2.7 billion, or 4.3 times net debt to adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, with an average interest rate of approximately 3.9%. The company plans capital expenditures of $449 million during the remainder of fiscal 2026, making project execution and financing discipline key factors in the stock's trajectory.

  • −Regulation of electrical transformer imports adds risk to solar and storage projects under construction; the company was evaluating the impact of restrictions on foreign models and relying on disabling remote transformer connectivity so that it could continue purchasing from foreign suppliers. The success of this solution depends on supplier and regulatory compliance for projects such as Jersey Valley and Denali.