EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
OPENLANE, Inc.
OPLN

OPLN OPENLANE, Inc.

OPENLANE, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
35.28
▲ ⁦+1.47%⁩ (+0.51)
Market Cap$3.7B
Beta1.28
52w Low52w High
24.3242.90
Last Week
⁦+1.88%⁩
Last Month
⁦-6.22%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-7.40%⁩
Last Year
⁦+21.24%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall74
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 8/9DistressBetter than 74% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
53
21.6x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
40
11.8%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
81
12.4%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
67
1.2x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
25
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
75
31.3%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
67
5▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$35
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$49
⁦+39%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$40–$50⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$41
⁦+15%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦10.1⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$41–$49⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$46.33
⁦+31.3%⁩
Current Price $35.28·Median $49.00
Low
$40.00
High
$50.00
Current price
$35.28
Average target
$46.33
Street summary

OPENLANE (OPLN) Stock Price Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

OPENLANE stock has seen a notable bullish trend from analysts over the past 30 days, with the average price target rising from 39.25 to 45.33, an overall increase of 15.49%. This upward adjustment reflects growing confidence, especially as the current stock price (38.22) is currently trading below the lowest price target set by analysts (40), indicating a positive price gap expected by the market.

As of 2026-08-05
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.22
Buy
Analyst coverage
9
Buy conviction
78%
High
Target dispersion
28%
Analyst ratings over time9 analysts rating
4
3
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.22
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-21
    Barclays
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-05-06
    Barclays
    Overweight· $40.00
  • = Reiterate2026-05-06
    Robert W. Baird
    —· $40.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    21.60x
    4.56x36.49x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    23.01x
    3.79x30.29x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    14.36x
    2.75x22.03x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    8.2%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    11.8%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -184.9%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Weak
  • Gross Margin
    41.3%
    12.0%66.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    12.4%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.23x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.63
    -2.656.14
    Near median
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-05 data

Company Overview

OPENLANE operates a digital wholesale vehicle marketplace connecting automakers, commercial sellers, franchise dealers, and independent dealers. The company generates marketplace revenue from auction and related service fees, subscriptions and software solutions, and sales of purchased vehicles; in fiscal year 2026 Q1, auction and related services revenue was $242 million, software and other services revenue was $68 million, and purchased vehicle sales were $112 million. AFC complements this business by financing dealer inventory, managing average receivables of $2.4 billion and generating $45 million in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization in the same quarter.

In fiscal year 2026 Q2, the latest quarter included in the submitted EDGAR filings, OPENLANE reported revenue of $554.6 million, net income of $44.3 million, and earnings per share of $0.32; the data did not include a gross margin or segment breakdown for this quarter. By comparison, fiscal year 2026 Q1 revenue was approximately $527.9 million, net income was $48.9 million, and earnings per share were $0.35, meaning revenue increased by approximately 5.1% quarter over quarter while net income declined by approximately 9.4%. On a trailing-twelve-month basis through the latest fiscal year 2026 disclosure, revenue reached $2.1 billion, net income reached $200.6 million, and earnings per share reached approximately $1.71.

Fiscal year 2026 Q1 details showed that the digital marketplace was the primary growth driver: vehicles sold increased 19%, gross merchandise value rose 32% to $9.1 billion, and segment adjusted earnings reached $52 million at a 12% margin following an expansion of 160 basis points. Consolidated company revenue grew 15% to approximately $528 million, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 17% to $97 million, while trailing-twelve-month adjusted free cash flow reached $259 million at a 75% conversion rate. In contrast, adjusted earnings in the financing segment declined 1% to $45 million, demonstrating that momentum in the digital marketplace was stronger than AFC's growth during the period.

What's Driving the Stock

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • On August 22, 2026, OPENLANE raised its fiscal year 2026 adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance range to $385–400 million, after having raised it during the fiscal year 2026 Q1 call from $350–370 million to $365–385 million; this reflects continued improvement in the digital marketplace outlook following Q2 results.
  • The number of vehicles sold through the marketplace increased 19% in fiscal year 2026 Q1, with commercial vehicles growing 25% and U.S. dealer transactions growing in the high-twenties range. Gross merchandise value also increased 32% to $9.1 billion, while auction and related service fees rose 22% to $242 million.
  • The operation of a new private-label customer for 11 weeks out of 13 weeks contributed to the jump in commercial vehicle volumes; they grew 25%, compared with 6% excluding this customer. Management expects off-lease vehicle maturities to grow by approximately 20% to 25% during the second half of fiscal year 2026, supporting the flow of commercial supply to the platform.
  • The company launched OPENLANE Intelligence and a predictive pricing feature that displays projected vehicle values after 30, 60, and 90 days. It also launched MyLot for inventory management in Canada and secured hundreds of early registrations. MyLot represents a potential source of software subscription revenue, while the AI tools aim to improve dealer decision-making and the speed of inquiry and arbitration processing.
  • Apax Partners completed its full exit in August 2026, removing a large block of share supply according to the provided news, while OPENLANE simultaneously announced a $25 million share repurchase. The company had repurchased 964 thousand shares in fiscal year 2026 Q1 at an average of $27.20 per share, equivalent to approximately 0.7% of the fully diluted share count.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case5 pts

  • +The recovery in off-lease vehicles provides clear operating leverage for OPENLANE; commercial vehicles grew 25% in fiscal year 2026 Q1, commercial sales through the higher-margin open channel nearly doubled, and management expects underlying maturities to grow by approximately 20% to 25% in the second half of fiscal year 2026.
  • +The digital marketplace model demonstrated strong scalability in fiscal year 2026 Q1, as adjusted marketplace segment earnings increased 39% to $52 million and its margin expanded by 160 basis points to 12%, alongside 32% growth in gross merchandise value to $9.1 billion.
  • +Liquidity supports the company's ability to fund growth and return capital to shareholders; adjusted free cash flow reached $259 million for the trailing twelve months at a 75% conversion rate, and it ended fiscal year 2026 Q1 with $180 million in unrestricted cash and more than $400 million of available capacity under credit facilities.
  • +The integration between the marketplace and AFC connects the dealer base with both financing and inventory; at the end of fiscal year 2026 Q1, approximately 54% of AFC dealers were registered with OPENLANE, while AFC managed average receivables of $2.4 billion and maintained its credit loss provision at 1.6%, within the target range of 1.5%–2.0%.
  • +The increase in fiscal year 2026 earnings guidance to $385–400 million, together with the $25 million repurchase program announced in August 2026, strengthens the evidence of an improving profitability outlook and the company's confidence in its ability to generate cash.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −A significant portion of commercial vehicle growth in fiscal year 2026 Q1 depended on the operation of a new private-label customer; growth was 25% but only 6% excluding that customer, making the growth rate sensitive to the size and seasonality of its portfolio. Management confirmed that it does not expect the effect of the initial surge to recur to the same degree in fiscal year 2027 Q1.
  • −Profitability declined in the latest quarter despite revenue growth; in fiscal year 2026 Q2, revenue increased to $554.6 million from $527.9 million in the previous quarter, but net income declined to $44.3 million from $48.9 million and earnings per share fell to $0.32 from $0.35. The data does not include the Q2 margin, so the source of this decline cannot be determined precisely.
  • −The transaction mix pressured take rates; the commercial take rate declined from 1.59% to 1.43% because the U.S. share increased to more than 75%–76% of commercial gross merchandise value, while the new customer brought higher transaction values and a lower take rate. In the U.S. dealer business, the take rate declined by approximately 60 basis points from the underlying range of 680–700 basis points because of higher average vehicle values.
  • −Management expects U.S. dealer transaction growth to slow during the second half of fiscal year 2026 because of tougher comparisons and does not assume that Q1 growth in the high-twenties range will continue throughout the year. It also described the spring market in Q1 as stronger than in prior years due to higher tax refunds and limited supply, conditions the company cannot guarantee will persist.
  • −Higher fuel prices, weaker vehicle affordability, and automotive supply-chain disruptions could pressure customers and volumes, risks management explicitly included in its fiscal year 2026 outlook. It also warned that any sharp decline in used-vehicle values could increase risks for dealer inventory financiers such as AFC, which targets keeping credit losses between 1.5% and 2.0%.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $46.33, within a relatively wide range of $40 to $50, and the stock carries a consensus “Buy” rating. The average is approximately 8.5% above the 52-week range high of $42.69, while the lowest target is below that high, reflecting differing assessments of the impact of the raised fiscal year 2026 outlook versus the risks of slowing growth and pressure on take rates. A price-to-earnings ratio is not provided in the data despite trailing-twelve-month earnings per share of approximately $1.71, so it is not possible to judge whether the valuation is inexpensive or elevated based on the multiple alone, particularly given the wide 52-week range of $25.81 to $42.69.

BuyAnalyst target: $46.33(+31.3%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What are the sources of OPENLANE's revenue, and what is AFC's role?

OPENLANE generates revenue from a digital wholesale vehicle marketplace serving commercial sellers, franchise dealers, and independent dealers, in addition to its inventory financing business through AFC. In fiscal year 2026 Q1, auction and related services revenue was $242 million, software and other services revenue was $68 million, and purchased vehicle sales were $112 million. The AFC segment managed average receivables of $2.4 billion and generated $45 million in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. Having approximately 54% of AFC dealers registered with OPENLANE at the end of that quarter creates opportunities for customers to move between financing and the marketplace.

How were fiscal year 2026 Q2 results?

OPENLANE reported fiscal year 2026 Q2 revenue of $554.6 million and net income of $44.3 million. Earnings per share were $0.32, compared with revenue of $527.9 million, net income of $48.9 million, and earnings per share of $0.35 in fiscal year 2026 Q1. Revenue therefore increased by approximately 5.1% quarter over quarter, but net income declined by approximately 9.4%. The submitted EDGAR data did not include a gross margin or segment breakdown for Q2, so the data does not allow the causes of the profit decline to be isolated.

Why is the recovery in off-lease vehicles important for OPLN stock?

Commercial vehicles sold grew 25% in fiscal year 2026 Q1, and commercial gross merchandise value increased 38% as average values rose 11%. The new customer contributed significantly to that growth, but volumes remained 6% higher even when excluding it. Management expects off-lease vehicle maturities to grow by approximately 20% to 25% in the second half of fiscal year 2026, while commercial sales through the higher-margin open channel nearly doubled. However, higher vehicle values can increase consumer buyouts and delay the transition of some vehicles to the marketplace.

How important are OPENLANE Intelligence and MyLot to growth?

The company launched OPENLANE Intelligence in fiscal year 2026 Q1 to consolidate its human and AI-powered capabilities into tools that help dealers make decisions. The products include a predictive pricing feature that provides estimates of each vehicle's value after 30, 60, and 90 days in the United States and Canada. It also launched MyLot in Canada for inventory management and secured hundreds of early registrations, and management views it as a potential subscription software product. The company also uses AI to improve the speed and accuracy of arbitration and responses to dealer inquiries.

What is OPENLANE's earnings outlook for fiscal year 2026?

On August 22, 2026, the company raised its fiscal year 2026 adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance to a range of $385–400 million. The range had been raised during the May 5, 2026 call from $350–370 million to $365–385 million, supported by the performance of the U.S. dealer and commercial businesses and the repeal of the Canadian digital services tax. The tax repeal adds an estimated annual benefit of approximately $5.5–6 million, including $1.4 million of savings attributable to fiscal year 2026 Q1. In contrast, the outlook took into account fuel-price volatility, vehicle affordability, and supply-chain challenges.

What are the main risks to monitor for OPLN?

The first risk is that a meaningful portion of commercial vehicle growth depends on a new customer, as fiscal year 2026 Q1 growth fell from 25% to 6% when excluding it. The commercial take rate also declined from 1.59% to 1.43% due to a geographic mix more heavily weighted toward the United States, while the U.S. dealer business take rate fell by approximately 60 basis points from its underlying range. Management also expects U.S. dealer transaction growth to slow in the second half of fiscal year 2026 as comparisons become tougher and warns about the impact of declining used-vehicle prices on AFC financing risk. Finally, net insider selling over three months reached $274.4 million through August 24, 2026, but this indicator is less meaningful because the Apax Partners exit and some sales may have been prearranged.

  • −Insider activity during the three months recorded net selling of $274.4 million across eight sales versus one purchase through August 24, 2026, coinciding with Apax Partners' full exit. This is a weaker trading signal than the operating risks because the institutional exit and some insider sales may have been prearranged, and alone they do not prove deterioration in OPENLANE's fundamentals.