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Stocks
Okta, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall96
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 8/8SafeBetter than 96% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
12
99.7x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
84
11.2%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
75
2.8%▼4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
93
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
84
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
98
59.4%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
74
27▲3Top tier
OKTA

OKTA Okta, Inc.

Okta, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
166.50
▼ ⁦-2.69%⁩ (-4.61)
Market Cap$27.7B
Beta0.76
52w Low52w High
62.66179.44
Last Week
⁦-2.30%⁩
Last Month
⁦+10.43%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+19.11%⁩
Last Year
⁦+79.83%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$167
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$185
⁦+11%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$60–$203⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$117
⁦-30%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$117–$185⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$175.68
⁦+5.5%⁩
Current Price $166.50·Median $185.00
Low
$60.00
High
$203.00
Current price
$166.50
Average target
$175.68
Street summary

Major consensus upgrade with wide dispersion

The average price target rose over the last 30 days from 127.35 to 175.68, an increase of 48.33 points or 37.95%, while the number of analysts remained at 7. The consensus did not change over the last day or 7 days, while the current price stands at 170.6, making the average only slightly higher than it. The target range is between 60 and 203, with a median of 185, reflecting wide variation among estimates.

As of 2026-09-04
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+38.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
44
Buy conviction
80%
High
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
86%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time44 analysts rating
9
26
9
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.83 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-28
    Susquehanna
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-28
    Goldman Sachs
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-27
    Bernstein
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    99.70x
    6.87x54.92x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    40.61x
    5.19x41.53x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    100.21x
    4.52x36.15x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    3.3%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    11.2%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    92.0%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    78.1%
    12.9%79.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    2.8%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    8.45
    -10.9113.66
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-26 data

Company Overview

Okta provides an independent identity and security management platform to more than 20 thousand customers, with its core businesses spanning Workforce Identity and Customer Identity, alongside governance, privileged access, identity threat protection, and AI agent security products. The company relies on selling its solutions to enterprises, and the breadth of adoption is reflected in having more than 600 customers with annual contract values exceeding $1 million, while partnerships help increase average deal size and improve close rates; channel partners participated in the 20 largest deals during Q2 of fiscal year 2027.

In Q2 of fiscal year 2027, revenue reached $805 million, gross profit was $641 million, net income was $116 million, and earnings per share were $0.65. This equates to a gross profit margin of approximately 79.6% and a net income margin of approximately 14.4%, compared with revenue of $765 million, gross profit of $595 million, and net income of $74 million in Q1 of fiscal year 2027. On a trailing twelve-month basis for fiscal year 2027, Okta recorded revenue of $3.1 billion, gross profit of $2.4 billion, and net income of $296 million.

Performance was driven by broad strength across the Workforce Identity and Customer Identity platforms, with particular contributions from large enterprises, partners, and new products. New products represented approximately 30% of bookings in Q2 of fiscal year 2027, with Okta Identity Governance the largest contributor among them, while professional services declined to approximately 1% of total revenue after more implementation work was shifted to global integration partners.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Okta raised its fiscal year 2027 outlook to revenue growth of between 10% and 11%, a non-GAAP operating margin of 26%, and a free cash flow margin of between 28% and 29%, after achieving its highest bookings in any non-Q4 quarter in Q2 of fiscal year 2027.
  • New products represented approximately 30% of bookings in Q2 of fiscal year 2027, and including any new product in a deal is associated with an average increase of approximately 40% in annual contract value, with Okta Identity Governance leading this group.
  • The number of customers with annual contract values exceeding $1 million grew by more than 20%, reaching more than 600 customers; channel partners also participated in the 20 largest deals during the quarter, and the largest deal was sourced by a partner.
  • Okta closed dozens of AI-related deals in Q2 of fiscal year 2027, including several deals exceeding $1 million and a multimillion-dollar deal with a Fortune 50 healthcare company. Okta for AI Agents became generally available on April 30, 2026, and the company then added 24 significant enhancements during the first 2 months.
  • The public-sector opportunity expanded after Okta obtained Impact Level 5 authorization, the highest unclassified cloud authorization at the U.S. Department of Defense, as defense agencies work to meet the 2027 Zero Trust mandate. The public sector represented less than 10% of the company’s business, while the largest deal of the quarter came from a public-sector customer.
  • Okta completed its acquisition of Permiso on August 26, 2026. Permiso has 400 native risk-detection mechanisms, compared with 90 mechanisms in Okta’s current protection product. The company intends to integrate Permiso with Identity Threat Protection and Identity Security Posture Management to strengthen the runtime monitoring and control of human, non-human, and agentic identities.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case5 pts

  • +The breadth of Okta’s installed base, comprising more than 20 thousand customers and more than 8 thousand integrations, gives the company an established distribution channel for selling AI agent governance to enterprises that already use its platform to manage human identities and service accounts.
  • +The figures show that growth does not yet depend on AI revenue: annual contract value growth accelerated in Workforce Identity and Customer Identity, and bookings reached a record outside Q4, while the contribution from AI products remained immaterial in fiscal year 2027. This provides an additional growth opportunity if AI deals and the record pipeline convert into material revenue in fiscal year 2028 and beyond.
  • +New products support contract value expansion, as they represented approximately 30% of bookings and increased annual contract value by an average of approximately 40% when added to a deal. The growth of more than 20% in customers whose annual contract values exceed $1 million also reflects the success of the large-enterprise cross-selling strategy.
  • +Actual profitability improved in Q2 of fiscal year 2027, with net income of $116 million compared with $74 million in Q1 of fiscal year 2027, while the company ended the quarter with approximately $2.3 billion in cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments, and no convertible debt after settling $350 million of principal.

Valuation

The stock carries a Buy consensus and an average analyst target of $175.37, a level near the upper end of its 52-week range of $174.85, while individual targets vary widely between $60 and $203. This dispersion reflects a fundamental disagreement over the value of growth in the core identity business and the potential of Okta for AI Agents, particularly because management does not expect a material AI contribution in fiscal year 2027 despite strong bookings. The 52-week range of $62.66 to $174.85 confirms that the rerating depends heavily on continued contract growth and the conversion of the AI pipeline into measurable revenue in fiscal year 2028 and beyond.

BuyAnalyst target: $175.37(+5.3%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were OKTA’s key results in Q2 of fiscal year 2027?

Okta’s revenue reached approximately $805 million, gross profit was $641 million, and net income was $116 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2027. Earnings per share reached $0.65, while the calculated gross profit margin was approximately 79.6% and the net income margin was approximately 14.4%. The company also achieved its highest bookings in any non-Q4 quarter, driven by strong pipeline conversion and contract expansion. Cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments totaled approximately $2.3 billion at the end of the quarter.

Has Okta for AI Agents become an important revenue driver for OKTA?

Okta for AI Agents had not become a material revenue driver as of Q2 of fiscal year 2027, according to management. The company closed dozens of deals during the quarter, including several deals exceeding $1 million, but this business remains small relative to a revenue base of approximately $3 billion. The product became generally available on April 30, 2026, and Okta added 24 significant enhancements during the first 2 months. Management sees the potential for the contribution to become material in fiscal year 2028 and beyond if pipeline conversion continues.

How do new products support Okta’s growth?

New products represented approximately 30% of bookings in Q2 of fiscal year 2027, with Okta Identity Governance the largest contributor within this group. Adding any of the new products to a deal increases average annual contract value by approximately 40%. The portfolio also includes Privileged Access, Identity Threat Protection, and Okta for AI Agents, enabling multiple capabilities to be sold within a single platform. This breadth helped increase the number of customers with annual contracts exceeding $1 million by more than 20% to more than 600 customers.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

+
Okta’s neutrality across models, clouds, and applications provides differentiation in multi-vendor enterprise environments; the company has supported Claude Code, Cursor, GitHub Copilot, and Salesforce Agentforce, and became the first identity provider to support Enterprise Managed Auth for Anthropic’s MCP connectors.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −AI agent security products have not yet become a material financial driver; despite dozens of deals and several deals exceeding $1 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2027, management said their contribution remains too small to appear in the figures and will not be material during fiscal year 2027, while the company lacks a 4-year history for estimating the pace of pipeline conversion.
  • −Okta faces direct competition from Microsoft and a crowded market landscape of security vendors and startups, while management described customer confusion as the largest competitor in the AI security market. The proliferation of platforms, protocols, and competing claims could lengthen evaluations or slow the conversion of the record pipeline into contracts.
  • −The growth outlook remains moderate relative to booking momentum, as the company targets revenue growth of only 10% in Q3 of fiscal year 2027 and between 10% and 11% for fiscal year 2027 as a whole. It also expects a non-GAAP operating margin of between 24% and 25% and a free cash flow margin of between 21% and 23% in Q3, compared with full-year targets of 26% and 28% to 29%, respectively.
  • −The public sector offers significant opportunities but represented less than 10% of Okta’s business, and management acknowledged that the first part of fiscal year 2027 saw disruption and heightened scrutiny of U.S. government spending. The timing of closing Department of Defense and federal-agency opportunities may therefore remain uneven despite Impact Level 5 authorization and the 2027 Zero Trust mandate.
  • −The wide divergence among analyst targets reveals high valuation uncertainty; the lowest target is $60 and the highest is $203, compared with an average of $175.37. The 52-week range also extends from $62.66 to $174.85, illustrating the stock’s significant sensitivity to growth expectations and the conversion of AI opportunities into revenue.
  • −Net insider sales reached $21.7 million during the 3 months ending with the latest transaction on July 8, 2026, with 22 sales and no purchases recorded. This remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the context provides no evidence of the motives behind those transactions.
Why is Okta’s acquisition of Permiso important?

Okta completed the acquisition of Permiso on August 26, 2026, to expand its identity threat detection capabilities across multi-cloud environments. Permiso has approximately 400 native risk-detection mechanisms, compared with approximately 90 mechanisms in Okta’s current protection product. The company plans to integrate the technology with Identity Threat Protection and Identity Security Posture Management within a unified security offering. The integration is intended to improve visibility into the behavior of autonomous agents and add runtime controls for human, non-human, and agentic identities.

What is Okta’s outlook for fiscal year 2027?

Okta expects revenue growth of between 10% and 11% in fiscal year 2027 after raising its outlook on August 26, 2026. The company targets a non-GAAP operating margin of 26% and a free cash flow margin of between 28% and 29%. The revenue outlook includes a negative impact of approximately 1 percentage point from shifting more professional services work to global integration partners. The free cash flow outlook also includes an impact of approximately 1 percentage point from lower interest income following share repurchases and the settlement of convertible notes.

What are the main investment risks facing OKTA stock?

The first risk is that AI products remain financially immaterial in fiscal year 2027, and there is no long track record showing how quickly the pipeline converts into revenue. Okta also faces competition from Microsoft and large platforms such as Salesforce and ServiceNow, alongside numerous startups in agentic identity security. The range of analyst targets between $60 and $203 is also far wider than the average target of $175.37, reflecting substantial disagreement over valuation. Finally, net insider sales reached $21.7 million over the 3 months through July 8, 2026, while recognizing that these sales may have been prearranged.